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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Saturday, November 7,2009

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David Malinsky

Saturday 3-Pack

6* Oregon State +7.5
5* South Carolina +7
4* Maryland +7

 
Posted : November 4, 2009 8:06 am
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Doc’s Sports

6 Unit Play. Take Penn State -4 over Ohio State Top Selection of the Week.

In past years this would be a proper line. However, this Ohio State team is not as talented. Do not be misled by the two big wins over Minnesota and New Mexico State. The Gophers played Ohio State after visiting Penn State the week before and the Aggies are one of the worst teams in the country. The Buckeyes started the season with a limited offense and that problem still remains. This unit has trouble moving the football on the ground and QB Pryor is not a big passing threat. Now he must face off against one of the best defenses in the country and expect him to have a long day.

As for Penn State, this team is playing better after suffering a setback to Iowa. They are coming off two big road wins and they now appear to be on a mission. They will have a hostile crowd behind them and the Lions will roar loud and clear! Penn State 27, Ohio State 10.

5 Unit Play. Take Michigan -6 over Purdue Top Big 10 Game.

I went against the Boilers last week behind the theory that they were running out of gas playing for the ninth straight week. That proved to be a good theory, as they were beaten at Wisconsin, 37-0. Now they are back on the road again this week and I see a similar situation occurring since Purdue is drained. The Boilers offense can be dangerous, but losing a couple of key personal has hurt. The Boilers have played just three road games and given up 38, 35, & 37 points, respectively, in those affairs. This should tell you that their defense is suspect.

As for Michigan, they need this one since they are on a two-game losing streak. They are certainly not as strong as in past years but they have the talent to cover this number. Michigan needs this game to ensure a bowl, as their last two are against Wisconsin and Ohio State. Look for an all-out effort here, as the homer gets the call. Michigan 35, Purdue 24.

5 Unit Play. Take LSU +7½ over Alabama Top Underdog Play.

The Tide had last week off while the Tigers coasted past Tulane, 42-0. As in past years, look for this to be an all-out war. I like taking the points in this type of game since the real pressure is on Alabama. The underdog has the talent to cover and in reality they could win this one straight-up. The Tigers also have something to prove after laying an egg against Florida last month.

Revenge should also play a factor, as LSU was beaten in overtime last year. In that game, LSU had a 382-353 advantage in total yards. The Tigers must stop RB Mark Ingram and if they can accomplish this it will go right down to the wire. I do not see a straight-up upset..However, I see an easy cover with the dog. Alabama 24, LSU 20.

4 Unit Play. Take Over 53 in Purdue @ Michigan Top Totals Play.

Both teams do not have very good defenses, as the results of their performances last week would indicate. Michigan gave up 38 points last week to Illinois and Purdue gave up 37 points to Wisconsin. Both teams like to pass and, thus, expect a long game with a lot of clock stoppages. Both teams are noted for giving up big plays and Purdue is among the national leaders in turnovers. When you add all of this up, it should be a high scoring game with Michigan coming out of top. Michigan 35, Purdue 24.

4 Unit Play. Take Notre Dame -11 over Navy

I have not backed the Irish much the last few years. However; they seem to be improving each week and this should be a great spot for a rout! Thought that the line would be between 14-17 points, but this is a real gift. Both teams have had injury problems at the quarterback position. However, the Middies have become one-dimensional and cannot throw the ball whatsoever. The Irish have been a very good at stopping the run.

Temple had great success controlling the line of scrimmage last week and I see Notre Dame doing the same as well. The Irish have played a much tougher schedule and it will show in this contest. The game will not be close, especially with the likely return of WR Michael Floyd. He is the most athletic player on the field and the defensive backs will not be able to contain him and WR Golden Tate. Homer gets the call. Notre Dame 42, Navy 17.

4 Unit Play. Take Fresno State -8 over Idaho

It’s hard to go against Idaho, as the potatoes have become the nation’s sentimental favorite. What a job Coach Robb Akey has done but the reality will set in here. The Vandals will be really tested this week and then likely get blown out by Boise State next week. In fact, I think they will be blown out in both of these games.

This week’s match-up will be very similar to Idaho playing Nevada two weeks ago. Idaho could not stop the Wolf Pack at all and gave up 70 points to them. Fresno State is talented and used to playing the heavyweights from BSC Conferences. They have been on the road against Wisconsin & Cincinnati. Idaho has improved but the talent gap is still large. Louisiana Tech ran up 600 yards of total offense on them last week and the Bulldogs should follow suit. Visitor wins this one big! Fresno State 45, Idaho 24.

4 Unit Play. Take Stanford +7 over Oregon

No question that Oregon is playing as well as anyone in the country. They are coming off a big emotional win against USC last week. That win only creates a big letdown spot here. They are on the road against a club that is rested and talented. An interesting statistic is that teams that beat USC are just 11-22 ATS in their next game.

As for the Cardinal, they are 4-0 this season at Stanford Stadium. They have dropped seven straight games to Oregon, including in 2008 when they led all the way only to lose, 35-28, in the final seconds. Can they finish the job in 2009? See no reason to say no. Call it close with the Cardinal coming out on top. Stanford 24, Oregon 21.

 
Posted : November 5, 2009 6:38 pm
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DR BOB

Northern Illinois (-21) 3-Stars at -21 or less, 2-Stars up to -23.
Cincinnati (-17) 3-Stars at -19 or less, 2-Stars up to -20.
SMU (-17 1/2) 4-Stars at -19 or less, 3-Stars from -19 1/2 to -21, 2-Stars up to -23.
Nebraska (+5 1/2) 4-Stars at +4 or more, 3-Stars at +3 1/2 or +3, 2-Stars dog of less than 3.
Clemson (-8 1/2) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars from -10 1/2 to -12, 4-Stars at -7.
Middle Tennessee St (-11 1/2) 3-Stars at -12 or less, 2-Stars up to -14.

Opinions

Temple (-17) Strong Opinion at -17 or less, 2-Stars at -16.
Syracuse (+21 1/2) Strong Opinion at +21 or more.
Minnesota (-7) Strong Opinion at -7 or less.
Central Florida (+35 1/2) Strong Opinion at +35 or more.
Stanford (+7) Strong Opinion at +6 or more.

 
Posted : November 5, 2009 9:52 pm
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Teddy Covers

20* Big Ticket: Cincinnati -17

Illinois +7
Duke +10
Wisconsin -10
Penn State Under 39
Texas A&M -3

 
Posted : November 6, 2009 2:04 pm
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Pointwise Phone Service

4* KANSAS, MARYLAND

3* PENN ST, SMU, NORTHWESTERN, WISCONSIN, GEORGIA TECH

2* UCF, LOUISIANA TECH, ARKANSAS, NEW MEXICO, NEBRASKA

 
Posted : November 6, 2009 3:23 pm
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Tim Trushel

20* Stanford

Maryland
Army
Washington

 
Posted : November 6, 2009 4:18 pm
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Chris Jordan

1,000♦ UNLV REBELS

 
Posted : November 6, 2009 4:24 pm
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Tony Karpinski

10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR

Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State
Pick: Oklahoma State -8

I love Oklahoma State to bounce back this week. They were embarassed last Saturday night as Zack Robinson had one of the worst games of his careers throwing 4 INT's in which 2 were returned for TD's. The Cowboys had 5 turnovers in the game. Oklahoma St has the better athletes here and by far the better team. They will rush and pass all over the Cyclones. Iowa St had a first year coach Paul Rhoads who didn't remember the 59-17 beating from last year. Expect more of the same this week as OKLAHOMA STATE takes out their frustrations Saturday afternoon.

Oregon vs. Stanford
Pick: Stanford +7

Oregon is coming off a big emotional win against USC last week. I expect a big letdown spot here against a Stanford team that is rested and can run the ball. This Stanford team is very talented.Stanford is 4-0 this season at home and face them in a big revenge spot Saturday afternoon. Look for a very tight game here, so take all the points with the Stanford Cardinal.

 
Posted : November 6, 2009 5:23 pm
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Maddux Sports

5 units on Stanford +7

3 units on Missouri -14
3 units on SMU -17
3 units on Nebraska +5.5
3 units on San Diego State +24.5
3 units on Clemson -8.5
3 units on UAB -6.5

 
Posted : November 6, 2009 5:24 pm
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Nationwide

Top Play - Kansas State

Regular Plays - Duke, Navy, Oklahoma, LSU, Oregon State.

 
Posted : November 6, 2009 11:22 pm
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MAC MONSTER

15* ALABAMA-7
10* DUKE +10
7* PITTSBURGH -21
5* MISSOURI -14
5* LOUISVILLE + 17
5* TROY

 
Posted : November 6, 2009 11:22 pm
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Bob Valentino

50 Dime - Stanford

 
Posted : November 6, 2009 11:24 pm
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Al Demarco

Penn St.

 
Posted : November 6, 2009 11:24 pm
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Ben Burns

10* #1 REVENGE play for November!

Stanford

 
Posted : November 6, 2009 11:25 pm
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MustWinSports

5 DIME PENN STATE

 
Posted : November 6, 2009 11:27 pm
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