RAS
UCLA +21
Colorado St. -2.5
Hawaii / Louisiana Tech Over 59
Washington / Utah Under 56.5
San Jose St. / Colorado St. Over 44
Nevada / Boise St. Under 62.5
Texas / Iowa St. Over 48
Info Plays
7* Clemson +7
DOUBLE DRAGON
HYDRA
WISCONSIN -9.5
STANFORD -20.5
TOP
NORTHWESTERN +8
ARIZONA +13.5
FLORIDA +4
SOUTH CAROLINA -10
IOWA STATE +9
Spylock
5* Kansas St +3.5
3* Rutgers +1.5
3* Washington St +3
1* Illinois -9.5
1* Wisconsin -10
Blade, do you ever get ATS lock club anymore?
Wunderdog
Nevada vs. Boise State
Play: Boise State -27
While all the pundits discuss who is #1 amongst LSU, Alabama and Oklahoma, once again laying in the weeds waiting for someone to stumble is Boise State. They have knocked on the door of the BCS Championship game and will likely be in the discussion again when all is said and done this season. They already beat Georgia decisively on the road and their most difficult game on the schedule remaining is vs. TCU and they get them on the blue carpet. Meanwhile, Nevada at 1-2 SU and ATS comes to town this week. This is the team that shocked the Broncos a year ago and you can bet Boise State has a message to send. The Wolfpack have revamped their offense with Colkin Kaepernick, the orchestrator of that upset having departed. This game has been circled by the Broncos as the Wolf Pack stole a dream last season and I expect this to be a monumental payback game. The Broncos have won 69 straight games as a home favorite and in those games they are 45-22-2 ATS, doing so to an average line of -22.2 ppg. This one is in their sweet spot with the Broncos having a message to deliver and the talent to do so. Nevada has shown that they can lose big (lost by 49 at Oregon three weeks ago). Under Chris Ault, this team is just 6-15 ATS on the road in non-conference games. Boise State should win this one big.
Blade, do you ever get ATS lock club anymore?
They advertise here now so we don't post anymore, sorry.
David Malinsky
4* Northwestern +10
It should come as absolutely no surprise that we land here, in yet another investment behind Pat Fitzgerald as a road underdog, but we had to let the markets do their thing. Now that they have pushed it to the point at which +10 has become common available, it is time to get in the game.
We will not be too redundant in detailing the Fitzgerald track record in this role, but over the last four seasons, as either road underdogs or bowl underdogs on neutral fields, he and the Wildcats are a sparkling 11-2 ATS. But that only tells part of the tale – in seven of those games they won outright, while two of the losses came in O.T. That indicates something essential to understanding the value the bring – they are not just hanging ATS covers because of a lack of market respect, but instead showing that they have the moxie and tactical acumen to go out and make things happen on the field. With 19 fifth-year SR’s in prominent places on the depth chart, now that QB Dan Persa is ready to make his debut, and DT Jack DiNardo and S David Arnold are back in the fold, they also bring one of the highest motivational levels of their collective careers, after being whipped 48-27 by the Illini at Wrigley Field LY. Persa did not play in that one, and the defense may have had its worst outing of the Fitzgerald era. That brings pride into play for a group that has shown that they have it.
Not much is going to come easily for Illinois. The Illini had to scrap to the final possession to get past Arizona State and Western Michigan by three points each the past two weeks, and the way that Western was able to hang in the game last Saturday, with Alex Carder working the short passing lanes en route to 30 completions and 306 yards, is something what Persa and a deep Northwestern WR can continue. The Illinois pass rush is a force, but if you spread the field and get the ball out quickly it can be negated, and that is exactly what the Wildcats do best.
Prior to LY, Northwestern had won outright as an underdog in the last two meetings in this series, including a win on the last trip to Champaign. We would not be surprised if the Wildcats were in the hunt to the final possession, and another underdog victory is within their reach.
Dr. Bob
Illinois (-8½) 2 Stars at -10 or less, 3-Stars at -7.
Syracuse (pick) 3-Stars at -3 or less, 2-Stars up to -4.
Virginia (-16½) 2 Stars at -19 or less.
San Jose State (+4) 2-Stars at +3 or more.
Georgia (-7) 2-Stars at -7 or less.
Virginia Tech (-7) 3-Stars at -7 or less, 2-Stars up to -9 1/2.
Wisconsin (-9½) 3 Stars at -11 or less, 2-Stars up to -13.
Fresno State (-3½) 2 Stars at -5 or less, 3-Stars at -3.
Arkansas State (-13½) 3 Stars at -14 or less, 2-Stars up to -17.
Middle Tennessee State (-22½) 2-Stars at -24 or less.
Strong Opinions
Air Force (+3½) Strong Opinion at +3 or more.
Tulane (+7) Strong Opinion at +7 or more.
Ohio (-16½) Strong Opinion at -17 or less.
USC (-12) Strong Opinion at -13 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -11 or less.
Troy (-16½) Strong Opinion at -17 or less.
Arlon Sports
3* SMU
3* Nebraska
3* Florida Atlantic
2* Washington
2* Mississippi
2* Western Kentucky
Chip Chirimbes
Nebraska vs. Wisconsin
Play: Wisconsin -10
Welcome to the Big Ten! The Nebraska Cornhuskers make their Big Ten debut at Wisconsin Saturday night where both clubs enter this fray 4-0. Each of these teams crushed all the early season weaklings on their schedule but there is a difference in the defenses between the two. Nebraska has allowed mediocre competition to move the ball on the ground and that is something the Badgers (5.4 yards per run) will be sure to take advantage. Russell Wilson's passing rushing ability has given Wisconsin that little extra that they need to get to the National Championship game. Lay it as the Badgers wear the Huskers down in the second half.
THE GOLD SHEET LTS
1½ UNITS FRESNO STATE -3½
1 UNIT NORTHWESTERN +10
1 UNIT WESTERN MICHIGAN +3
1 UNIT MARSHALL +11
1 UNIT ARIZONA / USC OVER 57
1 UNIT WASHINGTON +10
1 UNIT PURDUE +12
Joseph D'Amico
Auburn vs. South Carolina
Play: South Carolina -10..5
Steve Spurrier isn't worried about his troubled QB, Stephen Garcia. Spurrier has the luxury of having RB Marcus Lattimore, who leads the SEC with 611 YR and 8 TDs. Lattimore will overpower the young and inexperienced Auburn "D" that ranks dead last in rush defense, allowing 227 YPG on the ground. Auburn is 3-1 SU while South Carolina is 4-0 , averaging 36.5 PPG. Auburn beat South Carolina twice LY and the Gamecocks have not forgotten theat. South Carolina faced a better class of opponents and is better prepared here. The Tigers allowed 624 yards to Clemson and 143 first half yards to FAU. The Gamecock's held Vandy to just 77 total points. South Carolina is 4-1 ATS their L5 overall while the Tigers are 2-6 ATS their L8 as a road 'dog. Take South Carolina.
Greg Roberts
5* South Carolina
Rob Vinciletti
On Saturday the NCAAF Early Power Dog is on Northwestern. Northwestern fits a solid system that pertains to rested road dogs from +5 to+ 10 that come in off a straight up and ats loss. Northwestern is 11-2 ats as a dog off a loss by six or more and has covered 4 of the last 5 here vs Illinois. The Fighting Ilini fit a perfect system that plays against teams playing their 5th straight home game. Provided they are off certain ats losses. They are 0-7 ats as favorites of 15 or less vs an opponent with revenge and have failed 21 of 3 times as a favorite from -3.5 to -10 long term. Look for Northwestern to play a tight game here and take the cash as a dog.