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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Saturday, October 1

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Dwayne Bryant

3 Units Alabama / Florida Under 43.5

2 Units Arkansas +2.5

2 Units Kent / Ohio Under 46.5

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 7:49 am
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Carolina Sports

Nebraska at Wisconsin
Play: Wisconsin -10

The oddsmakers are telling you something in this game. Wisconsin is really good and Nebraska may not be all that is cracked up to be. Wisconsin offense has been great even if they have played poor defenses and QB Russell Wilson is really making a big impact. Wilson is completing 75.8%, 12.5-yppa and a 11:1 ratio. He now faces a Nebraska pass defense that has yet to face a QB like Wilson. Nebraska's defense has not been as strong as in years past under HC Bo Pelini. Wisconsin stops the run well as they are allowing 2.9-ypr this year and should be able to gang up on Nebraska. Wisconsin falls into several team trends that impress. Wisconsin is 8-0 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Wisconsin is 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Wisconsin is 9-2 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6.25 yards/play as the coach of Wisconsin. Wisconsin also falls into a 37-23 stat match-up system. Wisconsin defense will have enough to shut down Nebraska while Nebraska won't be able to stop the Badgers. Madison, WI will be out of control for a night game against a strong Nebraska team. Wisconsin 38-23.

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 8:42 am
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Jeff Benton

40 Dime Iowa State

10 Dime Fresno State

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 8:43 am
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Dom Chambers

80 Dime Clemson

20 Dime Navy / Air Force Under

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 8:44 am
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SCOTT SPREITZER

CONFERENCE BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR

ARKANSAS STATE

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 8:45 am
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SCOTT SPREITZER

TAPOUT GAME OF THE MONTH

STANFORD -21.5

The Cardinal thumped UCLA 35-0 last year in Pasadena. It was a 5-TD blowout despite a less than average game from Andrew Luck who completed just 11 of 24 passes. I expect a similar margin of victory in this one, while I also believe Luck will have a much better game. One thing that I believe won't change will be Stanford's dominating defensive performance. Last season, the Cardinal held UCLA to 233 total yards on 4.3 yards per play. QBs Richard Brehaut and Kevin Prince connected on just 11 of 21 passes for 81 yards with a pair of sacks and an interception. Seven of UCLA's 10 possessions ended in five plays or less. Neither Bruin QB is impressing us this season. The two were slammed by Texas in their only true step-up game, combining on 11 of 26 passing for 176 yards, 3 INTs and a sack. UCLA gained a rare conference road win last week, a 27-19 victory over a bad Oregon State team. But in doing so, the Bruins did get outgained. The difference came thanks to a +2 turnover margin. But against Texas, UCLA was shelled for 488 yards on 7 yards per play. Young Case McCoy tore up the Bruins like a seasoned veteran and the Longhorns ran for 284 yards on more than 5 yards per pop. Stanford is simply nasty on both sides of the ball and will look to put the Bruins away early. Making matters tougher on the Bruin offense is the loss of starting OLT Sean Sheller. The 6th year senior was lost for the season after injuring his arm against Texas. UCLA will now start a sophomore (Chris Ward) at OLT. This looks like a long night for the already struggling UCLA offense. The Bruins are on a 0-7 ATS slide against teams that average at least 4.75 yards per carry. They're 0-6 ATS against teams that average at least 5.9 yards per play. Meanwhile, the Cardinal are on an 8-0-1 ATS run overall. They're 9-0 ATS after outgaining an opponent by at least 125 yards which shows once this team gains momentum...look out. That's 4 perfect 100% spots. And the first and last add up to a 16-0, 100% combined spot. I'm laying the points with Stanford on Saturday night.

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 8:48 am
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KELSO

100 UNITS ARKANSAS STATE -12
25 UNITS IOWA STATE +9
25 UNITS OHIO -15.5
10 UNITS WISCONSIN -10
5 UNITS GEORGIA TECH -10
5 UNITS TENNESSEE -28.5

SYNDICATE

200 UNITS NAVY MIDSHIPMEN -3.5
200 UNITS STANFORD/UCLA OVER 55.5

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 8:51 am
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Ben Burns

10* South Carolina -10.5

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 8:52 am
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Frank Patron

Baylor

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 9:03 am
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Brian Leonard

Virginia

Arizona/USC Under

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 9:04 am
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Al DeMarco

15 Dime Wisconsin

5 Dime Fresno State

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 9:16 am
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Anthony Redd

75 Dime Illinois

75 Dime Kansas

75 Dime Arizona

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 9:17 am
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Bob Valentino

40 Dime Kansas State

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 9:17 am
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Chuck O'Brien

20 Dime Louisiana Tech

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 9:18 am
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Derek Mancini

50 Dime Florida Gators

 
Posted : October 1, 2011 9:18 am
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