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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Saturday, October 31,2009

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Chris Jordan

600♦ UTEP - Love the Miners in this spot, as they have a solid shot at impressing a bowl committee out there with a blowout win. That's what counts these days: blowout wins over teams you're supposed to blow out.

UAB is a mistake-prone squad that generally gets rung up for penalities in the double-digit zone. And if the Blazers make too many mistakes on defense, I expect UTEP quarterback Trevor Vittatoe to explode. He is a very good quarterback, arguably one of the best in the conference.

Now is the time for him to shine, as there are five games left this season, and UTEP needs to win three of them. It's not out of the question, as the tough part of its Miners' campaign is over. They've played the likes of Kansas, Texas, Houston and Tulsa - winning the latter two - so there's no doubt they'll be up for trouncing a visiting 2-5 Blazers team that has the 115th-ranked defense in the nation.

The scoring defense gives up 33.4 points per game, which ranks 108th in the country, and on the road this team is allowing an average of 39.5 points per contest. And since this is a veteran-laden offense on UTEP's team, one that doesn't have a problem scoring well into the 30s, I like this play

600♦ OREGON STATE - This was the first game I bet on last Monday. The very first play I made for the week. That's how much I like the Beavers today. Actually, I think it's more so how much I dislike the Bruins.

UCLA has now lost four straight since knocking off San Diego State, Tennessee and Kansas State - two of which were inside the Rose Bowl. But since then, the Pac 10 has owned this team, and nothing changes today.

Not sure whether to blame it on a defense that can't stop the big play, or an anemic offense that ranks 102nd on the ground, 90th through the air, 106th in scoring and 109th overall. Since posting a 33-spot on SD State in the season-opener, this team hasn't been able to get past the 26-point plateau - that in a 45-26 loss to Cal.

The Bruins are averaging 16.2 points per game during this four-game skid, and they're not going to be able to compete with a team that has been quite successful through the air and can open things up at any time.

OSU has the 25th-best passing game in the nation, and will be fired up after a 42-36 loss at Southern Cal last week. The Beavers are averaging 33.5 points over their last four games, and they're just two wins shy of being bowl eligible.

Everyone knows how Mike Riley makes late-season runs, and this is about the time we see this team look as if it should have been part of the national spotlight talk at the start of the season. Big brother Oregon is embroiled with its clash with USC, so the Beavers will be looking to be the big beave in the Beaver State.

Lay the chalk

600♦ SAN DIEGO STATE - If there's been one handicapper this entire season who's been boasting about going against New Mexico, it's been me. I've been telling you all along how frazzled the Lobos are sans coach Rocky Long. I gave you a huge Mountain West Conference winner a few weeks back with Wyoming dismantling this team.

So why come back today? Cause Long is now with these Aztecs. He's the defensive coordinator. And you see how big of a demise the Lobos have been in this season - it's cause there is no one that knows this team better than Long.

And today, San Diego State's defense will be at its best. Long will have his troops fired up the same way he used have his Lobos prepared. How focused is the former Lobo coach? He's apparently turned down all interview requests this week.

Yeah, it's that deep. After all, Long served as the head football coach at his alma mater for 11 years before resigning last November. He produced a school-record 65 career wins and get this, he's still on New Mexico's university's system's payroll, collecting a $240,000 salary this year because of university obligations to end his contract.

But for the job he's geting paid to do, that's the sole reason I love this game so much and bet it hours after I wagered on Oregon State.

His trademark 3-3-5 defense has helped the Aztecs - who are 3-4 and have visions of getting to a bowl game - improve to 50th nationally in total defense, up from 113th out of 119 Division I-A teams last year.

Lay the chalk as the Aztecs roll to a three-touchdown winner ... at least!

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:03 am
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Psychic

CFB

2 units Rutgers +7
2 units Duke +7
3 units Baylor +13 (best bet)
3 units Colorado +3.5 (best bet)
3 units Kansas +6.5 (best bet)
4 units Temple +7 (Major)
5 units Miami -6.5 (ACC Game of the Year)

MLB

2 units New York Yankees +115

NBA

2 units Houston Rockets +

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:06 am
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Tom Stryker

5* Texas A & M

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:06 am
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Executive

400% Wisconsin


Score

400% Cinn

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:07 am
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Heisman Trophy Club

All 10*

Toledo Under
Boise St. Under
Fla. St. Under
Toledo

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:08 am
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ASA

7* South Carolina

10* NCAAF TOP TOTAL

Purdue/Wisconsin Under

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:16 am
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Rated Picks

Wisconsin: -7 2 units
Virginia: -7 2 units
Temple: +7 2 units
Nevada: -27.5 2 units
Connecticut: -7 1 unit

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:16 am
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Ethan Law

All 2%

S. Miss +7
Iowa st +6
UAB +7
Unlv + 35
Vandy + 12
Miss st +3.5
Under 48.5 USC/Org

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:17 am
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Dave Malinsky

5* Nebraska

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:17 am
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Trace Adams

2000* - Houston Cougars

500* - Indiana Hoosiers

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:18 am
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Mti Sports

4* Clippers

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:18 am
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GUARANTEED CAPPERS LOCK CLUB

10* SOUTHERN CAL -3

10* MICHIGAN STATE -3.5

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:20 am
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Mike Neri

4 Penn St
4 Neb
3 T A&M
3 Utah
3 Virg

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:57 am
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Executive

600% Texas A&M
400% Tenn
300% USC
300% Navy

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:57 am
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Jefferson-Sports

Tennessee -6

Oregon St -9.5

 
Posted : October 31, 2009 11:58 am
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