Rocketman
4* TEMPLE +7
Maddux Sports
3 Units Philadelphia +110
Sports Bank
500 Tenn
Score
300% Miami - Oregon
400% Cincy - Penn st
Rocketman
Temple vs. Navy
Play: Temple
Temple is 5-1 ATS in all games this year. Temple is 17-7 ATS last 3 years when playing on Saturday. Temple is 12-3 ATS on grass the past 3 years. Navy is 1-5 ATS last 3 years against MAC opponents. After losing two in a row, Temple has won 5 straight games. Navy appears to be without their quarterback Dobbs and their running back Curry is doubtful. That's 50% of Navy's rushing years and 73% of Navy's touchdowns. Owls are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Owls are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win. Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Owls are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Owls are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in October. Owls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. INDEP. Owls are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Owls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog. Midshipmen are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. Midshipmen are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. MAC. Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. We'll play Temple for 4 units today!
Mike Lineback
Middle Tenn St vs. Florida Atlantic
Play: Florida Atlantic -2.5
Same formula as last year. Florida Atlantic starting to come together after taking their lumps vs. strong non-conference schedule (Neb, S. Carolina, Wyoming). Senior QB Rusty Smith, working his magic again, should be able to stay one step ahead, on the scoreboard, vs. the visiting Blue Raiders. Smith, 95 pts generated L2 games, 59.1 comp% w/ 12/3 TD/Int ratio this season. Plus, close game favors the home team. Take Fla Atlantic.
Tony George
Hawaii vs. Nevada
Play: Nevada -28
Hawaii has MAJOR issues in this game. First up they are traveling. Secondly Nevada is physical and will run it down there throat at better than a 5 yard per carry clip. Thirdly Hawaii has no QB..third stringer starting. Nevada just lit up Idaho last week for 70 and will score 55+ here. Hawaii has averaged 16 ppg on offense their last 3 games against a team who can name the score. Hawaii off a pasting by Boise State last week at home and they are beat up. They have no chance in this game. My power ratings have this one at 35
Play 1 Unit Nevada
Ron Raymond
New Mexico St vs. San Diego St
Play: San Diego St -16
San Diego State is trying to get back to the .500 and they have reason to get some revenge here this weekend vs. a 0-7 New Mexico team. Plus, there are a few side bars to this game, as the new defensive coordinator for the Aztecs Rocky Long was the head coach of NEW MEXICO and the players will play hard on the defensive side of the ball to win this for their coach.
Here are a few quotes about this game taken from rivals.com;
Long knows the UNM offensive personnel as well as any opposing coach in the MWC, and the Aztecs have a little motivational factor in avenging a 70-7 loss in Albuquerque last year.
The Aztecs are the only Mountain West team never to appear in a bowl game. But after last week’s win against Colorado State, SDSU is starting to get mention in connection with postseason berths. One possible destination is the New Mexico Bowl, which defensive coordinator Rocky Long won as head coach at New Mexico in 2007.
Plus, the Aztecs were embarrassed 70-7 last year in New Mexico, so look for San Diego State to come out swinging vs. a very bad Lobos team.
Angle: When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite - After a division game - Playing on grass surface - Total is between 51.5 to 54.0 - Coming off a win on grass - Coming off a 14-17 point win; the Home Fave (SDST) is 7-3-0 ATS and 8-2 SU in this spot.
Evan Altemus
Wyoming vs. Utah
Utah is a step below from last season’s Sugar Bowl winning team that beat Alabama. However, they are still being priced at a similar level. The Utes are just 2-5 against the spread this season, including several close wins over mid to lower level teams this season. Utah simply hasn’t been able to blowout the weaker teams they have faced this season. Wyoming has improved this season, and their freshman quarterback Austyn Carta-Samuels has made an impact on an offense that struggled at the beginning of the season. Wyoming is a well coached team and will benefit from having two weeks to prepare for this game. The Cowboys also played Air Force two weeks ago, the same team that Utah faced last week. Wyoming played them very tough, losing by 10 points on the road, while Utah only beat them in overtime. I expect the Cowboys to hang out in this game, as the Utes simply have no reason to win this game by margin. Even if they wanted to though, I don’t think they have the offense capable of winning this game by more than 18 points.
3 UNIT SELECTION WYOMING
Lenny Del Genio
20* CFB Primetime Bailout
Mississippi vs. Kentucky
Play: Kentucky -3
This is an obvious letdown spot for visiting Mississippi State, who comes off that 29-19 loss to top-ranked Florida, which was particularly tough for HC Mullen, the former OC for the Gators. Mullen called the officiating of that game into question (just how bad have SEC refs been this year?) and we have to wonder what his Bulldogs have left in the tank here. Note that MSU is 0-7 ATS off a home cover where they lost the game SU as an underdog, going all the way back to 1992. An inability to get the ball down the field means little room to operate for RB Dixon and that makes the Bulldogs one of the few SEC teams Kentucky deserves to actually be favored against. Those close to the Wildcats program will be quick to tell you that losing QB Hartline was not neccessarily a bad thing and it has shown over the last 2+ games with things really picking up in Lexington. With Hartline down, HC Rick Brooks has turned to more Wildcat sets and the results have been impressive. First, they took South Carolina down to the wire, rushing for 467 yards on a 5.8 yard per carry clip in a 28-26 loss. They have since rattled off confidence building wins over Auburn (a team that beat MSU 49-24) and last week LA Monroe, 36-13, their biggest win since the season opener over Miami OH (42-0). Kentucky won in Starkville last year, 14-13, holding the Bulldogs to just 43 yds rushing for their fifth win in seven games in this series. It's Homecoming this week in Lexington, so what better time for a three-game losing streak by the host in this series to come to an end? Kentucky is our 20* CFB Primetime Bailout.
Freddy Wills
Take Florida Atlantic -2.5 (3.5 Dime OE play)
I'm going with FAU for the third week in a row, the first time we had them as a POD, last week we gave you them as dogs in 20 point easy win as a free pick. This week it's our oddsmaker Error as Vegas is still not giving this team respect despite the 2-1 record inside the Sun Belt. The 2-4 record on the season has many worried, but this team has cleaned up its act and early season trouble all the way to being the 11th overall offense in the nation. This team struggled with turn overs, and penalties especially in the red zone which cost them points. They won the last two weeks on the road and now they return home to look to show their home fans just what kind of a different team they have become.
They will play MTSU which has solid offensive ranks and should be able to move the ball against FAU's improving defense, but then again they have not played any strong defense, as they have an average ranked defense opponent at 83. Defensively MTSU has struggled too so I expect them to have their hands full with the red hot FAU team. This reminds me of a game where MTSU visited Troy earlier this year. FAU now has similar ranks that Troy has offensively and defense that game resulted in a loss @ Troy 7-31. Look FAU to continue to improve on defense and for their offense to keep picking up the steam. They have well over 1100 yards in the last two games and Alfred Morris is coming off his career best 181 yards. Rusty Smith is red hot as well and a NFL prospect to boot! Take the red hot Owls to continue!
Take Kentucky -3 (5-Dime POD)
I'm going with Cobb and Kentucky to win by a TD over Miss State. Kentucky has faced a much more challenging schedule in my opinion particularly the defenses they have faced. Miss runs the ball well with Dixon, but they have yet to be tested as they have faced an average rush defense ranked 70th. Kentucky's front 7 is better than getting credit for and they'll have a big game on Saturday as they won't have to worry about the pass as Miss State is ranked 105th and that's vs. a 45th ranked defense on the season. Kentucky is ranked 22nd int he nation in pass defense. One on one coverage should be enough and allow them to concentrate on stopping the run.
Mike Hartline was lost for a knee injury and here comes Kentucky's MVP Randall Cobb to runt he wild cat. He played some QB last year and will continue to do so the rest of the season it looks like. The Wildcat has landed a new nickname in Kentucky it's called the WildCobb, and I don't think Miss State will be able to stop it on Saturday. Kentucky has an above average offensive line and they know how important this home game is as it will automatically give them a bowl game. The schedule is favorable ahead so if they can win this game they can get a very nice bowl game which is what the goal is. Guard Christian Johnson said, "This is one of hte biggest games of the season, if not the biggest." This offensive line opens up holes and protects the passer when they do drop back to pass as they have allowed just 7 sacks.
Once the offense gets a lead early and forces Miss State throw the ball it should be all but over. Kentucky won't be looking past Miss State as they remember a similar scenario two years ago. Miss State came into Kentucky and dominated Kentucky which ruined Kentucky's shot at a great bowl game. That makes this game that much more important to this team.
At the end of the day both of these teams are pretty even, and it will come down to the teams two stars. Anthony Dixon for Miss State, and Randall Cobb for Kentucky. Now we have seen Anthony Dixon be stopped, but because Cobb can do it in all different types of ways passing, rushing, receiving and kick returns I don't think you can really stop him, but only contain him. Cobb is averaging 8 yards per carry and is a threat to throw the ball out of the wild cat. Cobb carrys this team to another bowl birth.
Take Wash State +28 -120 Buy 1/2 Point 3.5 Dime Play
Like I said last weekend I'll continue to fade Notre Dame until proven otherwise this team is the most over rated team in football in my opinion. Charlie Weis is a shit coach and is bad as a coach as he is taking care of his body.. joking of course. But in reality the PAC-10 is much better than the Big Ten the opponents that Notre Dame has been facing. Pete Carrol has been quoted stating that the Pac-10 is the best it has been since he's been at USC. yes this is the last placed team... BUT They are battle tested and have faced better defenses than Notre Dame has faced, and much better defenses than Notre Dame itself. With that said Notre Dame has no business being a 4TD favorite at a neutral field in my opinion. Washington STate may be one of the worst teams in the league but you wont notice on Saturday as they have a lot to play for in this situation. QB Jeff Tuel looked sharp a week ago throwing for 354 yards against CAl a much better pass defense than Notre Dame ranked 117th. With that said Wash State's only bright spot matches Notre Dames weakness. Take the 4TDs
Take Oregon +3.5 3-Dime Play
This is not the sexy pick, but Oregon is the play here once again USC's shut down defense has looked troublesome as of late, but suddenly they have looked vulnerable. They let Notre Dame look like hte best team in the country in the 4th quarter, and Oregon STate totaled 482 yards a week ago. USC really struggles with mobile QB's and Jeremy Massoli should and will have a big game running the ball. I expect a game down to the wire, but it will be defensive, and I expect Oregon to be able to run the ball enough to win this game out right and finally take the reigns of the Pac-10!
The Real Animal
5* Colorado +3
I don't know how Missouri is favored in this game. The Tigers have been outscored 101-36 the past three weeks in the Big 12 against Nebraska, Oklahoma State, and Texas with two of those at home. The QB, Blaine Gabbert, has been limping for a month and last week tweaked his bothersome ankle again versus the Longhorns. Opposing Big 12 quarterbacks have a 7-1 touchdown to interception ratio hitting 63 percent of their passes. Missouri has rushed for 79, 91, 68, and 74 yards in their last four games. Last week the Tigers lost middle linebacker Luke Lambert with a shoulder injury. Colorado deserved a better outcome last week than the 20-6 loss at Kansas State when they dropped turnovers 4-1. Two of those miscues were interceptions thrown by mistake-prone Cody Hawkins. But Dan Hawkins this week named sophomore Tyler Hansen as the starting QB the rest of the year. It was Hanson that led Colorado to their 34-31 win over Kansas, #17 at the time, in Boulder two weeks ago. Prior to the loss at K-State last week, Colorado had four consecutive covers. The Buffaloes are no pushover in Boulder either winning their last two games against Kansas and Wyoming. They are 7-3 SU in their last 10 at home. You don't often find conference road favorites coming off three straight defeats both on the scoreboard and in the wallet. Missouri is actually the 13th team in this scenario and when such teams are facing an oponnet off a loss they are 3-9 ATS. I swear the wrong team is favored here. The Big 12 North has no quality teams and Colorado is still in this. Line coming down here too. I played Colorado at +4 and +3 1/2 last night. Now just +3.
4'* Georgia Tech -11
Georgia Tech is a RED HOT team. Everything is smelling like honey for the Yellow Jackets right now including the loss to Virginia Tech Thursday night helping them in their division of the ACC. Vanderbilt is 1-6 SU in their last seven games with the only win against Rice, a game the 'Dores won turnovers 4-1. But since then, the Commodores lost to Army and were destroyed by Georgia 34-10 in Nashville. The lack of offense for Vanderbilt is alarming. They have scored 13 points or less 6/7 games with the only time exceeding that total against Rice. How does this team possibly trade points with a Georgia Tech rushing attack that appears unstoppable. Despite being one-dimensional, Georgia Tech has won and covered five straight scoring 24, 42, 49, 28, and 34 points with rushing figures of 362, 309, 401, 213, and 317. Many figured the Jackets would be flat last week at Virginia after knocking off Virginia Tech at home two weeks ago. Well that didn't happen. They abused Virginia 34-9 in Charlottesville out-rushing the Cavaliers 362-30. Vanderbilt is 85th in the country against the run despite facing Western Carolina, Mississippi State, Rice, Army, and South Carolina. Plus when they met Georgia two weeks ago the Bulldogs had two running backs hurt. The Commodores yielded 160 or more rushing yards in six consecutive games this year. Georgia Tech, rushing between 213 and 401 yards during their five games streak, accomplished those figures against four of five rushing defenses rated higher than Vanderbilt. I sincerely doubt Vandy QB Larry Smith is going to be effective in terms of his mobility considering the Jackets did a great job containing Virginia's Sewell and Virginia Tech's Taylor the past two weeks. Coach Johnson is now 16-4 SU, 13-5 ATS since arriving in Atlanta on the Georgia Tech campus. Johnson has also covered 16/19 recently versus an opponent off a loss. Vandy at 1-6 has Florida up next. They have cashed in 2009 after a promising 7-6 campaign in 2008. Then again winning is hardly a tradition in Nashville. The 'Dores are 33-79 SU this decade. GT kills teams like Vanderbilt recording double-digit wins over North Carolina, Mississippi State, and Virginia. Limited offenses don't want to play Georgia Tech. A CAKEWALK!
4* Temple +7
With Navy QB Ricky Dobbs and RB Marcus Curry both unexpected to play (listed as doubtful), I'll take a shot with Temple plus the points. Dobbs and Curry have accounted for nearly 50 percent of the Midshipmen's total rushing yards this year. Talk about one-dimensional, last week Navy with back-up Kriss Proctor at QB did not attempt a pass. Note that Temple lost in overtime to Navy last year and only allowed 293 total yards. The Owls are hot having won five straight and covering 5/6. Check out Temple's rushing defense allowing 99 yards or less in five of seven games this year. Navy only scored 13 points against Wake Forest last week. This is the 9th straight weekend of action for the Middies. Navy has won but more like escaped the last two weeks beating SMU 38-35 and Wake 13-10. Three of their last four wins by a slim margin of a field goal. You have to love the work of Temple RB Pierce with 698 rushing yards and nine touchdowns in his last five games. Navy 0-7 ATS before facing Notre Dame when facing an opponent off a win and are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven versus the MAC. Temple 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The key here is Temple's strength is their rushing defense. 4* Temple +7
4* Okla State +9.5
I smell an upset with Oklahoma State on Saturday. The Cowboys are quietly 6-1 this year and come off three consecutive Big 12 wins and covers. The offensive line has allowed just four sacks and Zac Robinson has far better numbers than Colt McCoy. Robinson has 12 touchdowns and just three picks. One thing I really like about the Cowboys is the fact they've committed just one turnover in their last three games combined. This is the 3rd straight game for Texas outside of Austin. Oklahoma State is 6-0 ATS with revenge against undefeated opponents. MACK BROWN IS 0-8 ATS AS A ROAD FAVORITE AGAINST OPPOSITION WITH AN .800 OR HIGHER WINNING PERCENTAGE. Plus Oklahoma State historically give Texas a real battle. Last year Texas barely prevailed 28-24 and two years ago in Stillwater, the Longhorns won 38-35. The Pokes are 10-2 SU in their last dozen home games and this is their 6th home game of the year so needless to say, are quite comfortable here. Last week we saw Florida and Alabama barely prevail and I suspect the same for Texas today. The Horns are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight and I believe are prime for an upset defeat. Sure its a gutsy call but Oklahoma State often comes up big against the heavyweights in the Big 12 as a home underdog. Robinson is on fire hitting 23-of-27 last week and he is getting great protection, which I think is the key to beating Texas.
4* Idaho -3
I've been staring at this price all week and wondering why is Idaho so cheap? Louisiana Tech is making their 3rd trip out west in a four-week span. They were in Nevada and lost 37-14 to the WolfPack on October 9th. Last week at Utah State and lost by two 23-21. The Bulldogs are 0-4 SU and ATS on enemy fields this year. This makes them 1-11 ATS in their last dozen on the road. I have them 5-20 SU away since 2006 and 13-38 on the road since 2002. Idaho was 7-0 ATS this year until losing 70-45 last week at Nevada, a game in which the Vandals put up 404 passing yards but couldn't stop a red-hot Nevada team on the ground (484 rushing yards). Of course Nevada has now won four straight and scored 63 versus UNLV with over 700 yards of offense. Idaho has five wins this year and three more home games left so they are driving toward bowl eligibility. They play Boise State on the road so these final home games are huge for this program. The home team is 16-2 ATS when Louisiana Tech is involved. Idaho QB Enderle has an NFL-caliber arm with 342 yards and four touchdowns last week at Nevada. Before getting run over by Nevada, Idaho was actually 15th in the country against the run and you can bet the coaching staff will stress rushing defense this week. Idaho is #21 in total offense, LA Tech #76. If Idaho can get ahead early this could really get ugly considering the Bulldogs have a very lackluster passing game at #96 in the country. But the big intangible is travel with Louisiana Tech's 3rd trip out west in a four-week span and a horrible track record on the road.
Executive
Baseball Lock of year
500% Yankees
JEFF CLINE
20* MISSISSIPPI
10* UCONN
10* UNLV
10* SOUTH CAROLINA
DAVE COKIN
UNDER THE HAT - MIAMI FL
3* BOISE ST
3* KENTUCKY
JIM FIEST
PLATINUM - COLORADO
PLATINUM - OKLA ST
INNER CIRCLE - IDAHO
INNER CIRCLE - UTAH ST
5* INDIANA
4* IOWA ST
3* UTEP
SCOTT SPREITZER
KO - INDIANA
KO - UTEP
KO - FLORIDA
TKO - TEXAS A&M
5* TEMPLE
TEXAS SPORTS WIRE
5* NORTHERN ILLINOIS
5* WIZARDS
DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
5* Yankees -120