Inside Corner
2 Units Chicago -143
2 Units Washington -1.5 +146
Sammy Jankus
Always play the OTHER SIDE of my game writeups.
3* ARKANSAS -1
Don’t understand this line at all. The Razorbacks’ supposedly powerful offense was held to just 7 feeble points by Alabama last week while the Aggies were putting the hammer down on UAB, 56-19. Plus, unbeaten A&M should enjoy a major fan advantage as this ‘neutral’ site game is being played at the new Dallas Cowboys Stadium in Arlington. I think the wrong team is favored here and the Aggies will win OUTRIGHT – so your play is on ARKANSAS.
Scott Spreitzer
Odds Maker Error GOY
Florida Atlantic
Tim Trushel
20* UTEP
Arkansas
Minnesota
Washington
Mike LinebackFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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4* Washington Huskies +13
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4* Georgia Bulldogs -2.5 (buy ½ )
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4* USC / California Under 47.5
Psychic
2 unit LSU +3.5
2 unit Boston College +4
3 unit Miami, Fl +7.5 (Best Bet)
3 unit FAU -3.5 (Best Bet)
4 unit Michigan St -3 (Major)
4 unit Auburn +3 (Major)
ATS
8 Units Ark -1
8 Units Nev -5.5
8 Units S Fla -6.5
8 Units NC St. +3
2 Unit RR with the four
6 Units Ohio +3
Ben Burns
TOW - Okla / Mia Under
Early Rout - East Carolina
Conf GOY - UTEP
Fairway Jay
20* Big 10 GOY - MICHIGAN ST
15* CALIFORNIA
10* UTAH ST
10* DUKE
10* ARKANSAS ST
10* MINN U
10* MIAMI OH
10* NEVADA RENO
10* OVER INDIANA
10* SMU
Mike Handzelek
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UCLA vs. Stanford
Pick: UCLA +175
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The Stanford Cardinal look like an offensive juggernaut running the ball this year with TB Gerhart holding a 129 ypg average. They've also been catching teams at the right time. Washington after their USC upset & Wash. St. during a flu epidemic are just a few instances where the Cardinal have dominated. Not so fast my fellow window-cashers. This week they face one of the top run-stuffers in the nation in UCLA. UCLA may not contain Stanford to the Bruins usual relinquishment of 74 yards on the ground, but the Cardinal will not have close to the same success they had in their 3 wins. This Bruin squad also has a good secondary that will ball-hawking all game resulting a few Stanford turnovers. On the other side of the ball, UCLA's QB Kevin Craft will settle in with Neuheisel's system. He should be able to exploit a less athletic Cardinal defense who has lost 2 defensive tackles since the opening whistle. Remember, the Bruins come in off the bye week with a well rested & tested "D". With the great line value here, take $200 to risk on these UCLA Bruins to pull off the upset & cash in as our BIG Payback CFB Ml Dogger!
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South Florida vs. Syracuse
Pick: South Florida -275
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Some people are expecting a letdown after the Bulls crushed their intra-state rival, the Florida State Seminole last week. I think Redshirt Freshman QB Daniels will have easier pickings after facing Florida State's defensive front. Injured Grothe knows the Orange and will fill the kid with the right stuff prior to his start @ the Carrier Dome. Despite their big win, the Bulls can lay it all out on the line versus the Cuse' with a bye week forthcoming. Game manager Greg Paulus has stepped up nicely so far (71% completions the last 2 contests), but he's going up a step in competition here. He'll find himself in a lot of hurried throws up against a big defensive front of the Bulls led by DE George Selvie. I don't quite put the defenses of Northwestern & Minnesota in the same league with the Bulls' front seven. The bottom line says South Florida may not look dominant at first, nut should turn on the after-jets with their pure athletic talent over Syracuse in the end. Take the Bulls for the win as we Lay It On The Line one more time for $200 to win.
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East Carolina vs. Marshall
Pick: East Carolina -128
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Skip Holtz heads up as a big tactical edge over his opponent today, Mark Snyder & his Blundering Herd. Even though Marshall stands @ 3-1, they were very fortunate to get past Southern Illinois right here @ Joan C. Edwards Stadium in Huntington and just got pasted by Virginia Tech in Week 2. I don't think RB Darius Marshall (what a perfect fit) will enjoy the holes he plowed through over the past few weeks. Holtz is a pusher and has his Pirates winning 7 of their last 8 Conference USA tilts & should take care of business @ Marshalls' Homecoming. QB Pinckney has had time to master the Holtz system so we're relying on him to show road leadership to stymie the Blundering Herd here. There will be no Chad Pennington's & Randy Moss's on the field for Marshall so we'll put up $200 to win on East Carolina as our Tactical Edge CFB Pusher.
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Colorado State vs. Idaho
Pick: Idaho +3.5
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Don't look now but the bubble just burst on being undefeated for the Colorado State Rams and they're now faced with having to go on the road to the tough Kibbie Dome in Moscow to tangle with the up and coming Vandals. Robb Akey definitely has his troops believing after going to Northern Illinois and taking care of business going away 34-31. They amassed 477 total yards while punting only once for the game. Their lone blemish was a loss on the road @ Washington (who upset USC) but built up confidence doing it putting up 23 in Seattle. They return a defensive secondary that's solid amongst 8 returning starters on "D". One constant thing is the Vandals being MONEY as underdogs covering 8 of 10. Another thing to point out is Colorado State's big distraction in Utah waiting in the wings. They also stand @ 1-8 ATS as road dogs. Before Game 11, home dogs coming off back-to-back home dog and away dog wins are a near perfect 11-1 ATS. Add to this a consistent 13-2 ATS run by the home squad when Colorado State is involved and it adds up to a $200 play on the Idaho Vandals as our Nightime Bailout Brawler 24-3 System Play.
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Wyoming vs. Florida Atlantic
Pick: Florida Atlantic -167
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The Owls have not had a winning season thus far dropping their first 3 scheduled. However, they have been battle tested against the likes of Nebraska, South Carolina & a respectable UL Monroe squad in the all-important Sun Belt. FAU outgained the Warhawks by 125 yards in the loss. Howard Schnellenberger has shown cat-like quality when his back is against the wall as you will see a different Owl team taking the field this afternoon. They face a Cowboys' club who are a very dismal 2-13 ATS their last 15 away. Last week was a promising showing @ brand new Lockhart Stadium in Ft. Lauderdale for Florida Atlantic. Rusty "Big Play" Smith is still there pumping it up @ QB for the Owls. He played a big part in knocking off Memphis & Central Michigan in back-to-back bowl appearances. The Cowboys' secondary is filled with short defenders so look for Smith to exploit them to the fullest by creating mismatches in his intermediate routes. let's also take note that Schnellenberger has had a 75% ATS success when @ home immediately off defeat. The SUPER ANGLE applied to this game states to take a recent bowl team @ home against a sub .700 non-conference opponent if they're off back-to-back losses with the last loss being at home. Since 1990, this ATS gem has cashed in @ a 25-5 clip and is good enough for 83% window cashing. FAU fits the bill. Now it's time once again for the rookie on the road factor. Frosh baby QB Austyn Carta-Samuels may have had first time success last week in the comfy confines of War Memorial Stadium in Laramie, but he takes his game onto the real stuff and will feel the pressures of his 1st rookie road game. Hop on Florida Atlantic as our Down But Not Out Rejuvenator play for $200 to win.
LT Profits
5* BOSTON COLLEGE
3* IOWA ST
3* AIR FORCE
3* WAKE FOREST
2* TEMPLE
Dominic Fazzini
20 Dime - Alabama
5 Dime - MIAMI
ALABAMA
The Crimson Tide defense is ferocious, and seems to be getting better each week.
Alabama is allowing just 202.5 yards per game, including 47.3 on the ground, both of which rank second in the nation. Even with star linebacker Donta Hightower suffering a season-ending injury last week in the Tide's 35-7 over Arkansas, that doesn't fare well for the Wildcats.
Kentucky managed just 179 yards and went 3-for-16 on third downs last week in its 41-7 home loss to top-ranked Florida.
And if Alabama isn't scary enough on defense, its offense is averaging 40.5 points and 490.5 yards per game. QB Greg McElroy heads a balanced attack, and went 17 of 24 for 291 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions last week.
The visitor is 3-0 against the spread in the teams' last three meetings, and the Crimson Tide is just 3-4 ATS in their last seven games vs. Kentucky despite going 6-1 straight up. But after getting a scare last year in a 17-14 victory over the Wildcats, coach Nick Saban is not going to let his team be caught by surprise today. Take Alabama to cover the points in an easy victory.
MIAMI
There were some rumblings that Oklahoma star quarterback Sam Bradford would start today for the first time since injuring his right shoulder in the team's season opener, but redshirt freshman Landry Jones will make his third straight start.
Jones has helped the Sooners win by a combined score of 109-0 the last two weeks against Idaho State and Tulsa, but that wasn't like going into Miami to face a Hurricanes team hungry for a victory after being embarrassed 31-7 at Virginia Tech last weekend.
Hurricanes sophomore QB Jacory Harris suffered some growing pains against the Hokies, going 9 of 25 for 150 yards with an interception and a lost fumble, but I think that experience will benefit him today against Oklahoma. And Miami's offensive line should be able to provide enough support for the 'Canes to penetrate the Sooners' defense.
Miami is 8-1 at home vs. nonconference BCS teams, and have won by an average of 21 points. It is also 5-1 ATS as an underdog. I'm not saying the 'Canes win today, but I do believe they stay within a touchdown of the Sooners, especially with OU starting a freshman QB making his first start on the road. Take Miami to cover the points.
Boston Blackie
5* SMU +28
RICE +17
COLO.ST -3.5
Freddy Wills
Michigan State -3 (4.5 Dime POD )
Miss State +6 (4-Dime POD Runner Up)
Ball State +5 (3-Dimes)
Wisconsin +3 (2.5 Dime Play)
Boston College +4 (1.5 Dime Free Play )
Tony Weston
30 Dime USC
10 Dime Michigan
5 Dime Virginia Tech
USC at California
USC - No matter how their seasons are going, no matter which direction each team is headed, when USC and Cal get together in their annual Pac-10 showdown, it almost always goes the way of the Trojans.
Over the last decade USC has gone 7-3 SU against the Golden Bears. And while you may be put off by that 4-6 ATS record the Trojans have compiled against Cal in that stretch, don’t let that get the best of your judgement.
After Cal cashed in 5 of 6 meetings from 1999-2004, USC has covered in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
It’s also important to note that in their last 4 meetings the Trojans have been favored, on average, by about 12 1/2 points (12.3). For tonight’s matchup, USC is laying only about 4 points. And that number has gone down after opening at about 6 1/2.
In their last four meetings, USC has beaten Cal by an average of 15 points per game, including last year’s 17-3 victory. The last couple of games in Berkeley have seen USC cover as an 18 1/2 point favorite in 2005, winning 35-10, then covering as a 4-point favorite in 2007, beating the Bears 24-17.
Things won’t be any different tonight as USC pulls off another victory SU and ATS against Cal.
Michigan at Michigan State
MICHIGAN - So far this season the Michigan State Spartans have not looked good at all, save a 44-3 beat down of Division II Montana State to start the season.
But since that win, the Spartans have gone 0-3 SU and have covered in just 1 of those games, a 33-30 loss on the road at Notre Dame where Michigan State was catching 10 1/2 points.
Now, coming off a 38-30 loss as a 2-point underdog on the road at Wisconsin, the Spartans are installed as a favorite? That's right, most places have Michigan State laying about 3 1/2 points against visiting Michigan.
I'm taking those points and I'm taking the Wolverines in this one.
While some people are a little gun shy to take Michigan on the road with a freshman quarterback starting under center, the team has almost quietly turned into one of the better teams in the country.
The team has erased last year's nightmare season in head coach Rich Rodriguez's first year and have jumped to a 4-0 SU start, having cashed in 3 of those games.
Consider, too, historically in this series the Wolverines have had Michigan State's number in this in-state rivalry.
Since 2002, the Wolverines are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS against the Spartans, with one of those SU and ATS losses coming last year in that aforementioned nightmare season for Michigan.
Consider, too, in this series the road team has covered in 5 of the last 6 meetings and the Spartans are just 1-4 ATS their last 5 home games and have covered in just 11 of their last 34 games when installed as a home favorite.
The Wolverines, on the other hand, have covered in 7 straight games when installed as a road underdog of between 3 1/2 and 10 points and are 8-3 ATS their last 11 games when catching any points on the road.
Michigan will flirt with the outright victory and be in a position to pull it off. I'm not suggesting taking the Money Line on the Wolverines, but do take the points and take Michigan on the road in this one.
Virginia Tech at Duke
VIRGINIA TECH - When Virginia Tech and Duke get together, it’s usually not very pretty. Since these two started playing regularly in 2004, this has been a one-sided affair with the Hokies dominating the Blue Devils.
Since 2004, Virginia Tech has gone a perfect 5-0 SU against Duke, having covered in 3 of their last 4 meetings. In that stretch the Hokies have outscored the Blue Devils, on average, by 29 points per game.
Last year was the closest Duke has kept this annual meeting, losing 14-3 as a 14 1/2 point underdog. But consider that in this season the road team is 4-1 ATS and Duke has covered in just 13 of its last 45 home games.
Also, the Blue Devils have covered in just 11 of their last 38 games when installed as a home underdog and are 2-5 ATS their last 7 games in conference action.
Virginia Tech, on the other hand, has covered in 11 of its last 14 games when installed as a favorite on the road and is 28-11 ATS its last 39 games in conference. Also, don’t be afraid by the number the Hokies are laying as the team has covered in 5 straight games in which it has laid 10 1/2 points or more.
It’ll happen again as Virginia Tech cruises to another victory over the Dukies.