KBHoops
5* Michigan State -4 **POD**
5* Wake Forest -2.5
5* Duke +17
4* Virginia +13
4* Ball State +5.5
3* Miami Ohio +29.5
Pitbull
20* Oklahoma -7
20* Texas Tech -34
15* Minnesota -2.5
15* Auburn +3
10* Georgia -3.5
Mean Green Profit Machine
NC STATE +1 1ST HALF
BUFFALO +5 1ST HALF
MEMPHIS +4 1ST HALF
Payne Sports
Michigan St -1 for 10 units
This to me is a true sucker bet as everyone is buying into what Michigan has done and gone 4-0 to start season but have not beat anyone really as Notre Dame handed them the game. The line opened at a pick with the majority backing Michigan but has rose to 1 and I believe you will see 3 by game time with Michigan St being the slight favorite. 3 doesnt scare me but I love 1 as that is just a win. Michigan St is 7-1 ats their last 8 following against the spread loss the week while Michigan is 1-4 ats their last 5 on the road. Michigan St defense will carry them as their 1-3 record is not relevant to how good they are. They lost a heart breaker to CMU, who is a very good team with a great qb. They lost another heartbreaker at Notre Dame and didnt show up against Wisky, while Michigan only decent win is Notre Dame at home. Michigan has been out gained in the passing yards in all four games and in the rushing only against Indiana. Michigan's defense is one of the worst in the country and Cousins should be able to have a 300 game against this soft defense. Michigan St must sustain a good ground game to make their pass effective and Mark Dantonio is a master mind at great game plans. Even though Michigan St pass defense is suspect, I dont see Michigan qbs beating them through the air as their run defense is respectable at allowing a little above a 100 yards a game. Look for Michigan first road test to not be a good one as Michigan St jumps out early and cruises to a 10+ point victory.
Dr. Guru
12* Marshall +3
12* Miss St. +6
12* Toledo -5
10* Indiana +18
10* Duke +17
8* Illinois +7
Doc's Sports
3-Unit Play Take Chicago White Sox +120 over Detroit Tigers
The pressure is all on the Tigers. We don’t feel that a rookie spot starter can cut the mustard in this spot. Look for a huge redeeming effort today from the Sox veteran, Freddy Garcia. Then, we get to do it all over tomorrow.
3-Unit Play Take Minnesota Twins -110 over Kansas City Royals
As the Twins inch closer to first place in the AL Central, the question is, can they beat Zack Greinke? We feel that they can! It is the last regular-season series in the Metrodome. The Dome is a huge advantage for the Twins. Even though the Royals have nothing to lose, we can’t imagine that they won’t be affected by tonight’s atmosphere and noise. We think the Twins, and Nick Blackburn , will rise to the occasion.
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Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinois
Play: 4* Northern Illinois -6.5
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Western Michigan is 1-5 ATS last 3 years in a road game when the total is between 49 1/2 and 56 points. Western Michigan is 0-2 SU on the road this year and scoring only 13 points per game. Northern Illinois is scoring 36 points per game at home this year. Northern Illinois is 9-2 ATS last 11 meetings with Western Michigan since 1992 including a perfect 5-0 ATS at home vs Western Michigan since 1992. Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Huskies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Huskies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. Huskies are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Home team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Northern Illinois. We'll play Northern Illinois for 4 units today!
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Arkansas State vs. Iowa
Play: Arkansas State
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Iowa is coming off of a huge win at Penn State on national television. Now they have to play an Arkansas State team that the Hawkeyes will likely not be excited to face, especially before continuing Big Ten play next week. Iowa now is being asked to win by over three touchdowns with an offense that isn’t known for its explosiveness. They also showed that they have the potential for letdown performances with their very close win over Northern Iowa to start the season. Arkansas State has played several games against quality BCS conference teams over the last few years, including this season against Nebraska. They failed to cover the spread in that game by only nine points, but the Cornhuskers have been motivated to run up the score against weaker opponents. Iowa has absolutely no reason to win this game by margin. Their highest offensive production on the season came against Iowa State where they only scored 35 points. Arkansas State just has to score around 10 points to cover this spread. Look for this game to be closer than expected.
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4 UNIT SELECTION ARKANSAS STATE.
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
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10* Bookiekiller
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USC vs. California
Play: USC -4.5
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Although it suffered a melt-down two weeks ago against Washington, and one of the "spiritual leaders" of its team experienced a freak accident this past week, I believe that USC will outlast Cal in this one as I expect the Golden Bears to suffer a let-down after they had their worst defeat in eight years of coach Jeff Tedford's coaching regime at California last week. It's safe to say that USC's running back Stafon Johnson won't be playing in this one as he had emergency surgery to his throat after a weightlifting accident on Monday. Last week USC held the Cougars scoreless until giving up a touchdown with 22 seconds remaining in the game. The Trojans finished with 403 yards of total offense as freshman QB Matt Barkley, who’d missed the previous game with a bruised shoulder, went 13 of 22 for 247 yards and two TD's. The key for USC in this game will obviously be to contain Jahvid Best; the Trojans, who are holding opponents below 60 rushing yards per game in 2009, limited Best to 30 yards in a 17-3 victory over Cal last season. Southern Cal may only be 2-4 ATS its last six overall, but its 13-1 SU its last 14, 5-1 SU its last six on the road and 4-2 ATS its last six on the road vs. California. On the other side of the field: The Golden Bears had their six-game winning streak snapped last week with an embarrassing 42-3 rout at Oregon. After averaging 48.7 points in their first three games, they failed to score after Vince D’Amato’s 47-yard field goal gave them a 3-0 lead. The Bears managed just 207 yards of total offense - 77 rushing. Best was held to 55 yards on 16 carries after averaging more than 137 yards in the first three games; starting QB Kevin Riley was replaced in the fourth quarter after going 12 of 31 for 123 yards. I Look for Cal to fall to 0-6 SU vs. USC, to 3-7 ATS over the last three seasons off a loss against a conference rival and to 2-4 ATS the last two seasons when playing the roll of underdog. Bottom line: I feel there is tremendous value on USC as it rallies together on the field from its "off field" issues, and look for it build off last weeks convincing performance and to take advantage of the Golden Bears shaken psyche from last week's beatdown; expect USC to move to 4-1 ATS over the last two seasons as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 10 points, to 10-6 ATS over the last three seasons off a win against a conference rival and to 8-4 ATS over the last two seasons when playing against a team with a winning record!
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Air Force vs. Navy
Play: Air Force +3
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The Falcons, our top College Revenge play this week, look to snap a 6-game series losing streak against Navy when they take on the Midshipmen in Annapolis today. In the two losses the last two years Air Force has suffered frustrating losses while outgaining Navy in both games, 885-625. To make matters worse, the six losses in the series have been by an average 5.5 PPG. Our database comes to the Falcons side, noting that road dogs of 7 or less points with revenge off a win-no-cover as a favorite of 17 or more points in its last game are 24-8-1 ATS against an opponent off a win, including 7-0 ATS if the road dog rushes the ball for an average 225 or more yards per game on the season. With Navy 0-11 SU and ATS at home against an opponent off back-to-back wins that is not undefeated, look for the Falcons to snap the streak at six here today.
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25* Non Conference GOY
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Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
Play Arkansas -1
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These old SWC (remember that conference?) played every year for 66 straight seasons with the Razorbacks holding a 38-24-3 all-time edge (won 10 of last 15). However, it was Texas A&M winning the last meeting, 13-3, in College Station back in 1991. Obviously, all that is old news and was simply stated for historical perspective. What is applicable is that, including bowls, A&M is 3-15 SU on the road vs. non-conference BCS teams. Note that this game is being played in Texas, which is why this line is in the Pick 'Em range and we're jumping all over it. Last Saturday's results set us up perfectly here. We were against the Hogs in Tuscaloosa, as they went down and got hammered, 35-7, by heavily favored Alabama. However, despite that poor result on the scoreboard, note Arkansas never gave up and was not outclassed as expected in the trenches. In fact, take out a 52yd TD run by Terry Richardson early in the 1st Quarter and the Razorbacks held the Tide to just 82 yards rushing on 40 attempts. Very impressive to say the least (allowed 'Bama to rush for 320+ previous year). Now they step down in class to face an Aggies defense that allowed 37.4 PPG last year as well as 462 YPG. Against the better foes, they were even worse, allowing 41 to Miami, 56 to Oklahoma State, 66 to Oklahoma and 49 to Texas. Bobby Petrino's offense certainly has the horses to hang that kind of number on A&M here as QB Ryan Mallett (Michigan transfer) led the nation in passer rating heading into the Alabama game. The Aggies 3-0 start is a bit fraudulent when considering the level of opposition (New Mexico, Utah State, UAB) compared to what Arkansas has faced the last two weeks (Georgia and Alabama). Against Utah State, the questionable A&M yielded 517 yards to the "other" Aggies. Razorbacks score more than Bill Clinton here.
Jim Kruger
GOLD - USC
SILVER - MICHIGAN ST - WASHINGTON U - NC ST - FLORIDA ST
Mike Rose
5* UNDER TENNESSEE
3* WASHINGTON - OVER WAKE FOREST - UNDER MIAMI FL - UTEP
Jefferson-Sports
MICH ST -3 -130 1 unit
FLA ATL -3 1 unit
TULSA -17 small play
Executive
600% Oregon St +5'
300% Tennessee -2'
300% Colorado St -4
Score
400 Mississippi
300 C Florida
300 USC