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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Saturday September 12,2009

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SquaresWanted

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 2 TRIFECTA

Central Michigan vs Michigan St.

The battle of Michigan certainly goes through East Lansing. The Spartans have lost a lot during the off season in offensive production, but the residual taste of success has only added more drive for this Spartan team to build upon. Central Michigan is not a team Michigan State can take lightly. Central Michigan has Dan LeFevour, a dynamic senior quarterback who is a true competitor. CMU was picked as a MAC favorite by the media for good reason. CMU went 8-5 last season with a heartbreaking defeat against Florida Atlantic in the Motor City Bowl. Nonetheless, CMU is coming off a road loss to Arizona in which the wildcats were able to contain LeFevour to 6 points and 182 total yards. CMU also gave up 448 yards to Arizona along with 19 points. Considering the Spartans approach of two quarterbacks, a commitment to running the ball, and a established defense, CMU will need much more than just LeFevour to show up if this game is going to be remotely close to a 14 point spread. As such, the first play of the Week 2 Trifecta is:

5 units Michigan St. -14

Notre Dame vs U. Michigan

As much as the Michigan faithful would like to believe, the hiring of Head Coach Rich Rodriguez was not made by consensus. The heat that Michigan has taken since the beginning of his reign has rocked this team’s confidence to its core. A previous season record of 3-9 and alleged NCAA violations have not helped the UofM cause. Nevertheless, Michigan’s home opener win against Western Michigan is the exact thing the wolverines need to rebuild their confidence. Michigan’s performance against Western Michigan was much improvement over last season. Michigan easily gained 439 total yards of offense and only had one turnover the entire game. However, this game will be much more of a true test of how far Michigan has come since their dismal 3-9 season. Notre Dame has had their fair share of critics, in which Michigan knows all too well. Notre Dame started this season by routing Nevada 35-0 at home. Weiss understands all too well what Rodriguez has been dealing with in quieting such critics. The advantage Notre Dame possesses coming into this matchup is experience. Michigan will be using their true freshmen Tate Forcier to lead the way. As much as freshmen are unpredictable, Forcier was very much composed during his first start as quarterback. While Michigan remains unproven under the tutelage of Rodriguez, the talent, drive, and heart of the Wolverines cannot be ignored. That and the fact that Notre Dame is dramatically overrated, Michigan will make this match up of determination not to repeat last year’s embarrassment. Besides the fact the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games played between these teams, the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games played. This old rivalry is on its way to be renewed. As such, the second play of this WEEK 2 Trifecta is:

5 Units U.Michigan +3

USC vs Ohio State

The implications of this match up has National Championship contender written all over it. For those that are not as savvy in deciphering the hype surrounding this game, do not be fooled by the exclusive coverage of USC Quarterback Matt Barkley versus Ohio State Quarterback Terrelle Pryor. The reality of this game will come down to the little things. While there is always anticipation of big plays to be made by dynamic players, the game changing factors of this game will be solely on the shoulders of each team’s defense. This is not to negate the ability of either team’s offense, but rather to understand the importance that the defense will allow the offense to do what it does best. Yet, in order to do that, each team must be focused enough to minimize errors and useless penalties. Evidently, both USC and Ohio State had strong showings in their season opener. Ohio State did survive a slight scare from Navy, and it could even be concluded that Navy did more to give away the game than Ohio State did to win the game. Consequently, a win is a win and each team is set to do battle on the grandest of scales.

As such, here are the cold hard facts of why Ohio State has not gotten over their inability to compete in big games: In the last three years, Ohio State has only won one game against marquee opponent. In the same time, Ohio State has lost to Florida, LSU, Texas, and of course USC. Ohio State is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played at home. Ohio State is also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. An interesting note about this current Ohio State team is that many of the starters either were not around or did not have significant roles in any of the losses to such marquee teams. Thus, the level of experience that would naturally be an advantage has become much more even.

USC is starting a true freshman with Barkley as quarterback. Yet, USC is not been known to have incompetent quarterbacks no matter how fresh they are. Barkley has the added advantage that he is surround by teammate that have not only played but also have won in big games. This certainly will be a factor contributing to why USC is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against BigTen opponents. Even with playing on the road, one cannot say enough in the mental preparation that Pete Carroll has his team go through to prep for such big games. Yet, as much as the media and the critics want you to believe that this game is a battle of untested talented quarterbacks, the winner of this game will be the team that comes out with the full package. As such, given the defenses and mental lapses shown by Ohio State against Navy, it is safe to conclude USC is the much better prepared team to lay another beat down to this young Buckeyes team. Hence, the Top Play of the Trifecta is:

10 Units USC -7

MLB

10 Stars St. Louis -125

5 Stars Baltimore / Yankees Over 9.5

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 10:28 am
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Sportsboss

Early Card

4* Iowa State
4* East Carolina
4* Notre Dame
3* Buffalo
3* UAB
3* Houston

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 10:29 am
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KBHoops

5* Mississippi State +14.5 **POD**
5* Ohio State +7
5* North Carolina -4.5
4* Buffalo +11
4* Michigan +3

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 10:31 am
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Underdog

UTEP


Tony Diamond

Ohio U.

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 10:52 am
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Street Rosenthal

*300 Chicago Cubs -183

I am taking the Cubs for another win today. I have several starter trends against the Reds Starter Johnny Cueto that total 2-20 SU. I also have the Reds as 9-23 SU since 2004 on the road after a loss in which they drew 5+ walks and it is not the first game of a series. Finally, I have the Cubs as 31-5 SU since 2004 as a 140+ favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last 4 games. Take the Cubs for the win.

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 10:52 am
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Score

400% UTAH
300% TCU
300% USC

Sports Bank

400 Notre Dame

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 11:04 am
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FREDDY WILLS

South Carolina POD

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 11:24 am
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Destroy The Book Sports

10* Sea/Texas Over 9.5
10* Cleveland -143
7* San Diego -113
7* CWS +116
7* Marlins RL
5* NYM/Phi Over 9.5

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 11:28 am
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Eddie Roman

$15,000 College Football 5 TD Human Mortal Burial

$15,000 College Football 5 TD Human Mortal Burial

BYU Cougars -18 over TULANE

There will be no letdown with BYU today. None at all. First of all, letdown's generally happen when a team that won a big game the week before, like BYU did last week, play a team that is just as talented as they are the week after and instead of preparing hard, they have a bad week of practice and they get caught.

Letdowns do not happen against teams with inferior talent like Tulane has. It simply can't happen. That's how much more talented BYU is over the Green Wave. Remember this now, BYU was right in that game with Oklahoma last week before Bradford got hurt. He went out of the game last in the 2nd quarter and the score was 10-7. This team was step for step with the Sooners. There's no doubt in my mind they can't go to Tulane and win 48-13.

BYU's defense held Oklahoma down. The same team that was scoring 60 points a game last year at will couldn't move the ball against BYU. You mean to tell me Tulane, who couldn't move on Tulsa is going to score enough points to cover this one today, please now.

Tulsa destroyed this team and Tulsa isn't even that good plus I think we have tremendous value here. Tulsa, who is no where near the team BYU is, was laying 14 points lats week vs. Tulane. Now we get the 9th ranked team in the country and we only have to lay four points more, that's a mistake right there. This line should be higher and you'll see why today. Max Hall will have a stellar day and the BYU defense will make life miserable for Tulane's young signal caller. I'll lay the wood here because this is simply a 5 td win for BYU.

$5000 College Football Double Play

Over 46 Points Notre Dame at MICHIGAN

Kansas Jayhawks -12.5 over UTEP

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 11:59 am
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Wunderdog

Game: Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Angels
3 units Los Angeles Angels -1.5 +170

Game: Washington at Florida
3 units on Washington +190

Game: Washington at Florida
4 units Washington +1.5 -110

Game: Toronto at Detroit
3 units Toronto +180

Game: Seattle at Texas
5 units Texas -190

Game: Seattle at Texas
3 units Texas -1.5 +110

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 12:00 pm
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SPORTS UNLIMITED

5* Minnesota
4* UTEP
4* Ohio State

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 12:04 pm
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Tony Wright

5* Tenn
5* N Dame

Windy City Sports

10* Minnesota
7* UTEP
6* USC Over

Sports Doctor

75* Wash St
50* Oregon

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 12:14 pm
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Northcoast late phones

4* gow unlv
4* smu
4*n.d.
3* penn st.
3* s.mississippi
3* auburn

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 12:46 pm
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Northcoast late phones

4* gow unlv
4* smu
4*n.d.
3* penn st.
3* s.mississippi
3* auburn

Amazing how many games these guys send out on a Saturday and expect their clients to win. :rolleyes:

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 12:50 pm
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Scott Spreitzer

Oddsmaker Error Gom!

UNLV

Blockbuster Blowout

So. Miss.

 
Posted : September 12, 2009 1:04 pm
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