Tom Freese
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10* CFB BLOWOUT WINNER
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Kansas is in a 28-7 ATS Super System that says to on favorites of 21.5 to 31 points if they out gained their last opponent by 1.2 to 2 yards per play vs. a team that averages 0.6 yards per play. The Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS their last 6 September games. Duke is 4-9 ATS their last 13 games after allowing less than 20 points in their last game. Despite their win over lowly Army the Blue Devils were out gained on the playing field by 119 yards. Duke is 2-6 ATS as a underdog of 10.5 points or higher and they are 7-16 ATS after gaining less than 170 yards passing in the last game. 10* PLAY ON KANSAS -
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10* CFB UNDERDOG WINNER
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Navy is 11-2 ATS as road dogs of 7.5 to 14 points and they are 30-10 ATS off a home win. The Midshipmen are 7-3 ATS there last 10 games vs. a team with a winning home record and they are 4-0 ATS their last 4 September games. Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS their last 8 games as home favorites and they are 5-12 ATS off a win by 20 or more points. The Panthers are 1-5 ATS their last 6 September games and they are 4-11 ATS their last 15 games as favorites. 10* PLAY ON NAVY +
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10* "NO BRAINER" SIDE WINNER
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Texas is in a 33-11 ATS Super System that says to Play On home favorites in the first month of the season after closing out last year with 4 or more straight wins if the had a winning record. The Longhorns have been waiting for this game for a long time after their loss to the Red Raiders last year. Texas Tech is 1-4 ATS their last 5 visits to Austin and they are 3-8-1 ATS their last 12 games following an ATS win. The Red Raiders are walking into a hornets nest on Saturday night. 10* "NO BRAINER" PLAY ON TEXAS -
Guaranteed Pick: Hollywood Sports
Game: USC at Washington Huskies Sep 19 2009 3:30PM
Prediction: Washington Huskies
Reason: At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Washington Huskies plus the points over the USC Trojans. The quicker a bettor forgets that this Washington club was 0-12 (1-11 ATS) last season, the better off they will be. This team returns eight offensive starters and ten defensive starters to a new coaching staff that is dynamite. The head coach, Steve Sarkisian, was previously the offensive coordinator at USC and he brought along the Trojans' defensive coordinator, Nick Holt, to run the Huskies defense. They are getting much more out of these players already. Washington also benefits with the return of a now-healthy quarterback in Jake Locker who is a dual-threat runner/passer. Last season, Locker rushed for almost 100 yards per game while he was healthy. This season, Locker is completing over 60% of his passes. This Washington team only lost to LSU earlier in the season by a 31-23 score. Then last week, they throttled Idaho 42-23. Playing at home and getting almost three touchdowns, this Huskies team is dangerous and much improved over last season. Now the Huskies will have the benefit of the insider knowledge Sarkisian and Holt will have about their opponents in the Trojans. USC is coming off their big 18-15 win last week in Columbus against Ohio State -- and it is always dangerous for a college team to stay on the road for two weeks in a row. USC lost to Oregon State last season was the week after their victory over the Buckeyes. This game has letdown written all over it as the USC players can't help but take notice that this Washington club was winless last season. USC always seems to struggle a few times in Pac-10 play -- remember their loss to Stanford two seasons ago. This situation is compounded by the fact that freshman starting QB Matt Barkley has a bruised throwing shoulder. If he plays, will he be effective? If he does not play, then the Trojans will turn to redshirt freshman Aaron Corp to play in his first game. How will he react in his first game on the road? Has he fully recovered from his leg injury? Of course, Sarkisian will be very familiar with Corp's strengths and weaknesses since he oversaw his development last season as the offensive coordinator. Finally, there is a strong 83% ATS system (25-5 since 1992) that looks to play underdogs in the 10.5-21 point range if that team averaged 14 or less points per game last season but return with an experienced quarterback and the game is being played in the first month of the season. Overall, there are a bunch of warning signs here for USC and head coach Pete Carroll. Despite returning only three defensive starters, USC still has the significant talent advantage. Given that, expect a very conservative game plan from Carroll -- running the football and not putting their quarterbacks in a position to make mistakes. Carroll will be extra-cautious matching wits against his former coordinators. The result will likely be a Trojan victory -- but one within the overinflated line that has USC giving 20 or so points on the road. 25 Star PAC-10 Game of the Month on the Washington Huskies plus the points over the USC Trojans. Best of luck for us -- Frank.
Greg Roberts
5* - AUBURN -7
4* - ARKANSAS -2
igz1 sports
3* UAB +7
College Bettor
Kansas -23
Virginia Tech -5
Baylor -10
Cincinnati -1
Auburn -7
Golden Contender
On Saturday the system club play is on Texas Tech. Game 183 at 8;00 eastern. These plays are 10-5 since last season. Today we play against Texas. The Longhorns fit into a negative system that has cashed 17 of 21 times. What we want to do is play against game 3 conference home favorites of 5 or more points if they are off back to back non conference wins of 10 or more and 21 or more and are taking on an opponent who has won 10 or more of their last 22 games. The Red Raiders are large dogs here today. However they have played well early on and will play well here tonight. This is a big rivalry, and while most feel Texas will win big,its worth noting that they are just 1-7 against the spread with revenge, vs an opponent off back to back wins. Take the generous points here as this game is much closer than expected. On Saturday I have the Big college Game of the month going as well as 2 plays from a solid 28-4 system that is 4-1 this year. I also have a big Blowout system play and the ACC 96% Mismatch system side. Last weeks dog of the week won outright with Michigan. This weeks big dog will too. Dont miss any of these big plays. Most go early this week.. Take the Texas.Tech plus the points as the system club play.
Scott Spreitzer
Clemson
DGB Sports
Texas A&M
Rocketman
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Tennessee @ Florida
Play: 3* Florida -29.5
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Tennessee is 1-1 on the season while Florida is 2-0 this year. Florida is 20-6 ATS last 3 years in all games. Florida is 13-4 ATS last 3 years against conference opponents. Florida is 19-5 ATS on Saturdays last 3 years. Florida is 19-6 ATS last 3 years when playing on grass. Florida is 19-6 ATS last 3 years as a favorite. Florida is 10-3 ATS at home the past 3 years. Florida is averaging 59 points per game overall this year and allowing only 4.5 points per game this season. Florida beat Tennessee at home in 2007 59-20 as only 6 1/2 point favorites. Volunteers are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games. We'll play Florida for 3 units today!
ATS Lock Club
15 VA Tech -4 1/2
8 Wash +19 1/2
7 S D St -3
6 Ark -2
5 Iowa -3 1/2
Frank Patron
20000 unit winner #10 in a row
BYU -8
Trace Adams
1500* - Oregon State Beavers
500* - Baylor Bears
EVERYONE is in love with this Cincinnati team, and there is no doubt Brian Kelly has turned this program around. The problem is, the Bearcats lost a ton of players off of last year's Orange Bowl team, and thus far they have yet to be exploited.
Meet Jaquizz Rodgers!
Meet Corvallis, Oregon!
This is a combination that can be very, very tough on opposing teams, especially teams that DON'T normally travel to the pacific northwest, and Cincy qualifies.
Also remember Oregon State was blasted by 31 points at Cincinnati back in 2007, 34-3, so a payback is in order, especially when you consider that the Beavers outgained the Bearcats by over 100 yards, BUT imploded with 7, count'em, 7 turnovers!!!!!
Revenge is served in this one my friends, just you watch and see.
Take Oregon State over Cincinnati, and thank me later.
1500♦ - Oregon State Beavers - 6:45 pm
Baylor's win at Wake Forest opened my eyes to this team, and the extra prep time for this game certainly will helps matters.
UConn's starting QB Frazer is out with a knee injury, and truth be told, the Huskies were having a hard time fiding a rhythm on offense anyway.
The Huskies play solid defense, but that can only last so long on the road, and remember Baylor was able to stay inside of the number in an 11-point loss last year at Connecticut.
With revenge on their side, the decided home field advantage on their side, and a team that has covered 9 of their last 11 under Art Briles, including 6 in a row dating back to last year on their side, I cannot take the points here.
The Bears also went 3-0 when favored last year, while the Huskies are on a 4-9 spread run their last 13 as the underdog on the highway.
This one has BLOWOUT written all over it!
500♦ - Baylor Bears
Stephen Nover
30-Dime Virginia Tech
10-Dime Michigan State
5-Dime Oklahoma
5-Dime Colorado State
30-Dime Virginia Tech - The oddsmaker opened Virginia Tech too short and the wise guys have taken advantage pounding the Hokies. They are on the right side.
The oddsmaker was giving Nebraska too much credit for its pasting of Sun Belt teams Florida Atlantic, which never travels well when stepping up in class, and Arkansas State.
It doesn't matter that Nebraska has a huge revenge angle either after last season's 35-30 home loss. The Cornhuskers aren't in Virginia Tech's class. The Hokies had a top 10 defense last year in yardage (279.4 yard per game) and scoring (allowing 16.7 points per game). They held Nebraska to 55 yards rushing on 25 attempts, a feeble 2.2 yards per run.
Virginia Tech, on the other hand, rushed for more than 200 yards against Nebraska. The Hokies hold an edge in both the defensive and offensive lines. The Cornhuskers are 1-5 against the spread as a non-conference road underdog.
Virginia Tech opened with a 52-10 romp over Marshall rolling up 605 yards of offense, including 444 on the ground. Freshmen Ryan Williams and David Wilson each rushed for more than 160 yards. Marshall could manage just 252 yards of offense.
The Hokies haven't lost a non-conference home game since 1998. They've won 31 straight such games. Virginia Tech is 12-0 straight-up and against the spread under Frank Beamer as a home favorite of 21 points or less versus non-conference opponents.
10-Dime Michigan State - Who made this spread, Lou Holtz? It's way too high.
The Spartans are a talented team looking to reach their stride with a high-powered offense that can definitely stay in this game, especially if Notre Dame doesn't clean up its sloppy mistakes. This isn't a given with the Irish considering they're coached by Charlie Weis. He's among the worst coaches at a major program. There's no excuse for bad game management, terrible game-calling decisions and sloppy penalties.
The Irish have won just 11 of 29 games during the past two plus seasons under Weis. Notre Dame is 1-6 against the spread as a double-digit home favorite versus an opponent off a loss. The Irish also are 1-4-1 against the spread the week after playing rival Michigan.
Michigan State loves to play in South Bend. The Spartans are 10-2-1 against the spread versus Notre Dame. They've beaten the Irish straight-up at Notre Dame the past six times! The Spartans are laying in the weeds following a surprising loss last week to Central Michigan.
Notre Dame appears to have a great offense averaging 35 points and 500 yards. Michigan State, though, has the necessary pass rush ability from its defensive line to drop seven into coverage. The Spartans' defensive line already has five quarterback sacks.
The Spartans aren't without weapons either. They have home run threats at running back wide receiver. Notre Dame had trouble handling Michigan's speed last week. The Spartans have explosive targets to with Blair White and B.J. Cunningham. Each is averaging more than 16 yards per catch.
Michigan State can come at Notre Dame with a pair of quarterbacks. Kirk Cousins is an accurate pocket passer with time, while Keith Nichol can provide a spark with his mobility.
5-Dime Oklahoma - The line has moved higher, but Oklahoma is still underpriced considering the talent gap between these two teams. The Sooners should be at least three touchdown favorites against the Golden Hurricane. That's what the line would have been, if not higher, if the Sooners weren't upset by BYU.
Yes, Heisman Trophy winner Sam Bradford is out with a shoulder injury. But backup Landry Jones was even more highly recruited than Bradford was. The Sooners won't miss a beat with Jones behind center. The redshirt freshman completed 18 of 32 passes for 286 yards and three touchdowns last Saturday in the Sooners' 64-0 romp over Idaho State.
Tulsa is starting its third different quarterback in three years. The Golden Hurricane are down from last year. Don't put much stock in their victories against Tulane and New Mexico. Those are two very bad teams.
This is Tulsa's third consecutive road games. The Sooners aren't going to take the Golden Hurricane lightly because Tulsa is just good enough for Oklahoma to take serious. The Sooners have already faced a 3-3-5 defense, which is the kind Tulsa prefers.
Oklahoma is a proven money-maker in these type of spots. The Sooners have gotten the money nine of the past 10 times they've been a favorite of 10 or more points versus a non-conference foe.
5-Dime Colorado State - I'm not sold on Nevada being a road favorite in this matchup. The Wolf Pack have covered once in seven tries as road chalk the past two seasons. They opened the season by getting smacked on the road, losing 35-0 to Notre Dame.
Colorado State is an improving team under second-year coach Steve Fairchild. He took the Rams to their first bowl game since 2005 last season and has them at 2-0 this year. The Rams were impressive opening week upsetting in-state rival Colorado on the road, 23-17. The Rams just nipped Weber State, 24-23, last week. Keep in mind, though, Weber State was ranked in the top 10 in the FCS coaches poll.
Nevada had an inconsistent passing attack versus the Irish. The Wolfpack have a high-powered offense. I safe to say they won't get shutout again. But their defense has many holes.
The Rams have the most experienced offensive line in the country. They can have their way with a soft Nevada defensive front thus keeping the ball away from Nevada.
Colorado State has beaten Nevada in seven of of the last eight meetings. The Rams are 24-10-1 against the spread when taking points at home, including 4-0 as a home 'dog under Fairchild.
Bob Valentino
50 DIME: AIR FORCE (minus the points vs. New Mexico)
If this number jumps up to 17 1/2, you are to buy the half point and lay 17 with Air Force. 17 is a key number in football, and buying the half point to get to that number is smart insurance!
Kelso
100 unit Air Force
50 unit SMU