Fantasy Sports Gametime
25* Play Tampa Bay (-170) over Toronto
Tampa has won 49 of the last 62 games as a home favorite of -150 to -200 and they have also won 6 of the last 7 games vs. Toronto at home. Matt Garza has an ERA of 3.40 in home games this season and he also has an ERA of 1.90 vs. Toronto over his career.
25* Play St. Louis (-175) over Chicago Cubs
St. Louis has won 18 of the last 20 games as a favorite of -175 to -250 and they have also won 6 of the last 7 games vs. Chicago at home. Chris Carpenter is 8-2 in home games this season with an ERA of 2.76 and he is also 9-3 vs. Chicago over his career with an ERA of 3.02.
Tim Trushel
20* Marshall
Louisville
Oregon St
San Jose St.
NEXT UPDATE AT 10:15 SO NO NEED TO KEEP HITTING REFRESH SINCE YOU WONT FIND ANYTHING FROM ME
Tony Weston
30 Dime Georgia
15 Dime Tennessee
5 Dime Utah
Georgia at Arkansas
GEORGIA - The Arkansas Razorbacks open the season by destroying Missouri State 48-10 and they get on the good side of the linesmakers, who install Arkansas as about a 2 1/2 point favorite tonight against visiting Georgia.
Well I’m taking advantage of that mistake and taking Georgia in this one. After a tough loss to open the season at a really good Oklahoma State team, the Bulldogs came back last week and pulled out a 41-37 win against Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina Gamecocks.
While the Bulldogs don’t play Arkansas regularly, when they do, they come out on top. Since 2000, these two have met five times, with Georgia going 3-2 ATS, but winning each of those games SU.
In fact, the average margin of victory in those five meetings is in double digits for Georgia, which has beaten the Razorbacks by an average of 15.6 points per game in that stretch.
Consider, too, Arkansas comes into this game having covered in only 2 of its last 11 games in September and is only 1-5 ATS its last 6 games when installed as a home favorite of between 1/2 and 3 points.
The Bulldogs, on the other hand, are 5-2 ATS their last 7 games when installed as an underdog and have covered in 4 of their last 5 games when installed as a road underdog.
Tonight, Georgia will take care of business again and cash in on the road.
Tennessee at Florida
TENNESSEE - Because of Lane Kiffin’s mouth and Tennessee’s inability to beat UCLA last week, the number on this game at Florida is set at a ridiculous 29 1/2 points.
In some places, that number is at 30 points.
And I absolutely love that line and I’m taking full advantage and taking the Volunteers on the road in Gainesville.
Since Urban Meyer took over at Florida in 2005, the Gators have gone 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS against Tennessee, coached under Phil Fulmer for all those years. But in that stretch Florida only beat the Vols by an average of 18.2 points per game.
Consider, too, since Meyer took over, his record in September against SEC opponents has been well below average ATS.
In 10 September meetings against SEC teams the Gators have gone 8-2 SU, but have covered in only 3 of those 10 games. In that stretch they’ve only outscored their opponents by about 14 points per game (30.6-17.6).
Keep in mind, too, over the last two seasons, with quarterback Tim Tebow under center, the team has gone just 3-2 SU and only 2-3 ATS against the SEC in September. And the point differential has tightened, as the Gators have outscored their opponents only 33.2-20.2.
I’m not going to say Kiffin’s team is going to pull off the outright win, but the Vols will keep this one within 30 points.
Take those points and take the Vols on the road in this one.
Utah at Oregon
UTAH - Both Utah and Oregon come into today’s game having failed to cover in each of their first two games of the season.
But, in their first two games of the year Utah has been installed as a favorite and has won each SU. Today, the Utes are catching points and will come damn near close to pulling off the outright victory in Eugene, Oregon.
In their first two games of the season the Ducks have gone 0-2 ATS and only 1-1 SU, losing on the road at Boise State to start the season.
Including both of those non-covers, Oregon has gone only 1-4 ATS its last 5 games in September. And when installed as a home favorite, the Ducks have covered in only one of its last five games.
When installed as a favorite of between 3 1/2 and 10 points Oregon has covered in only four of its last 14 games, while the Utes come into this game having gone 25-5-1 ATS their last 31 games when installed as an underdog.
On the road, Utah has covered in 25 of its last 32 games when catching points and is 13-3-1 ATS its last 17 games when installed as an underdog of between 3 1/2 and 10 points.
Today will be no different as the Utes cash in on the road and flirt with the outright victory.
BRYAN LEONARD
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MIDWEST GRUDGE MATCH
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Michigan State at Notre Dame
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Michigan State enters this game off a tough last second home defeat to Central Michigan. But word out of East Lansing was that the Spartans were looking past the Chippewas and towards this matchup. Considering that the Spartans had won their last 14 home meetings against the MAC by an average of 28 points we can certainly see why they took Central Michigan lightly. Michigan State has won in South Bend each of the past six meetings posting a perfect 6-0 spread mark. They covered the spread in those games by a combined 84 points! Since Mark Dantonio has come to East Lansing the Spartans have lost at home four times. After the previous three home losses Michigan State won and covered each game, doing so by a combined 52 1/2 points against the spread.
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The Irish continue to be a play against as the national media continue to promote a team that hasn't won consistently since 2006. Notre Dame has lost 2 of their last 3 home games in straight up fashion and are on an 8-15 spread run at home. Charlie Weis is only 8-13 ATS in the role of home favorite and this team needs to win the turnover battle to have any chance of covering this spread. In their last six home games the Irish are 4-2 straight up, but they own a whopping +17 turnover advantage in those games. If you are averaging a three turnover advantage per game playing at home and you are just 4-2 straight up and against the spread you are a vastly overrated football team. While we like the way the offense is playing this year the defense continues to underproduce. Last week when facing a freshman quarterback with a scatter arm they still permitted 6.1 yards per play. We don't expect the stop unit to be any better here as they go from facing "The Pistol" offense against Nevada, to the spread offense of Michigan, to a traditional offense of Michigan State this week. Last year the Spartans ran all over this smallish Irish stop unit outgaining Notre Dame on the ground 203-16.
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The Spartans have a solid coaching advantage here to go along with the better defense. Coach Dantonio has cashed 7 of his 10 road games since taking over the job. We look for the Spartans to keep this close throughout and another outright road victory would not be a surprise.
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PLAY MICHIGAN STATE
Mike Handzelek
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Boston College vs. Clemson
Play Clemson Play -6.5
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Don't think this Clemson team is taking last Thursday's loss lying down. They will use their extra prep time to stymie the rookies @ QB for Boston College (Shinskie & Tuggle) and chew up a lot of clock with a beefcake offensive line that can blow you off the line of scrimmage. The Tigers will remember getting knocked out of the ACC Championship 2 years ago @ Death Valley (Clemson Memorial Stadium) by Boston College and use it for that intangible edge. Kyle Parker should be able to burn the BC defenders deep with sudden impact. Head Coach Frank Spaziani makes his rookie coaching debut for the Eagles. Dabo Swinney will have his troops ready with QB Parker having a 5-2 ratio, RB Spiller has rushed for 99 yards & WR Ford having 8 receptions good for a 22.4 yard average for the Tigers. This is a very balanced attack with strong 2nd half finishing power. Take the Tigers ATS for $200.
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Ohio State vs. Toledo
Play: Toledo +20.5
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This Buckeyes' team is a talented bunch but Illinois still remains on deck for the Big Ten opener. The problem exists with taking on a very experienced Toledo club that can move the ball (1,117 yards thus far this year). During the past 6 seasons, the Rockets have disposed of Pitt, Kansas and Iowa State @ home and upset Colorado & Michigan on the road. Wells is gone from last year's squad and the Buckeyes lack a true playmaker this season. Putting everything on Terrell Pryor's shoulders only takes you so far especially after a deflating national TV loss to USC. Rockets Head Coach Tim Beckman has this team buzzin' after a 54-38 road win versus Colorado. Remember Beckman was Ohio State's defensive backs coach a few years back and served under Tressel. Rockets QB Opelt has a nice 7/2 TD/INT ratio but his defense has kicked nicely with 6 INT's thus far for a +4. I don't think Ohio State is going to have enough for a blowout on the neutral surface @ Tressel's hometown in Cleveland. Take the Toledo Rockets but of course buy to + 21 1/2 to get on the right side of a key number.
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Cincinnati U vs. Oregon State
Play Oregon State +1
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Oregon State won't forget being literally embarrassed turning it over 7 times in a 34-3 loss to Cincinnati 2 years back @ Nippert Stadium. Mike Riley will have his troops highly motivated in their home venue @ Reser Stadium. This is the same team that also upset the USC Trojans twice in a row in Corvalis. Jaquizz Rodgers is still the ticket (6.7 yards a rush, 3 TD's, almost 100 yds in receptions) and will be up against a Bearcat squad that almost lost every defensive starter from last year. QB Canfield is completing 79% of his passes and has a good 3/0 TD/INT ratio to add to the Beaver cause. For Brian Kelly & his Bearcats, I'm afraid hiring a new defensive coordinator plus switching to a new 3-4 alignment will haunt them on this cross-country trip. They're not playing Rutgers or SE Missouri State this week and reality sets in here. In the meat and potatoes of our extensive homework, Cincinnati has lost their last 6 by an average of 21 points to non-conference BCS schools when travelling. I'm afraid Pike's arm won't be enough to get the "W" in Beaverland Saturday night. Whack the Beavers as our Leroy's Contest Revenge Play for $200.
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Nevada vs. Colorado State
Play: Nevada -150
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Colorado State may have had the upper hand winning 8 of 9 in this series but they're not playing a familiar Colorado team this week. They're facing a Nevada squad that won't be playing from behind like in Week 1 @ Notre Dame. The Wolfpack have used their off week wisely to prepare for a master ground assault gameplan featuring RB Tuau & dual-threat QB Kaepernick. Remember Colorado State lost a big chunk from their front seven and will be hard pressed to stop Nevada's diversified offensive weapons with 2 weeks prep time this afternoon @ Hughes Stadium. Raising the red flag for us is Colorado State's big struggle with Weber State in barely pulling it out 24-23 last week @ home in Fort Collins. Steve Fairchild has done a nice job since arriving, but catching a Nevada team off a humiliating loss to Notre Dame puts him at a big disadvantage. The Rams also has a big Mountain West opener with Brigham Young on deck. Our Wild & Wooly West Coast Brawler Play is to take the Nevada Wolfpack for $200 on the ML for the win.
Joe Wiz Pay-After-You-Win Sports Service
108 Purdue
Added Bonus: 150 Florida
MLB Bonus: 960 Milwaukee
NCAAF: 2-5 (-3.50 units)
MLB: 5-1 (+3.30 units)
NFL: 1-0 (+1.00 unit)
Maddux Sports
Added Play
3 units on Hawaii +7
BEN BURNS
I'm taking the points with FLORIDA STATE. The Cougars have gotten off to a great start. In Week 1, they were fortunate that Oklahoma QB Bradford went down with an injury and they knocked off the Sooners. They carried that momentum into last week's game and crushed Tulane. That's caused this week's line to be higher than a touchdown vs. a much tougher opponent. I feel that provides us with excellent value on the visiting Seminoles. Yes, the 'Noles are just 1-1 SU and they admittedly haven't been as impressive as BYU. However, that loss came by only four points in a game in which they were leading in the fourth quarter. It also came vs. a Miami team which just completely outclassed a highly ranked G-Tech team on Thursday night football. In other words, maybe that loss wasn't quite so bad afterall. Also, while BYU was all "pumped up" from the Oklahoma win, leading to the beating of Tulane, Florida State was "deflated" from the Miami loss. That led to a less than impressive 10 point win over Jacksonsville State. Lets not forget that the Noles, who have now had plenty of time to recover from the Miami loss, haven't started 1-2 in 20 years. Last week's results help us in two ways here. For starters, we're getting a better line than we would have if the Seminoles had won in a blowout and BYU had won in a close game. Additionally, while this is a very big game for both teams, it may have been easier for the Noles to work extra hard in practice than it would have been for the Cougars, who may be starting to pat themselves on the back a bit. While the Noles are practically never road underdogs in this range, the Cougars are just 3-9 ATS (6-6 SU) the last dozen times that they were home favorites in the -7.5 to -10 range. It's also worth pointing out that the Seminoles are 5-1 ATS (6-0 SU) the last six times they played a road game with a total ranging between 52.5 and 56. FSU QB quarterback Christian Ponder said this of the game: "It's good timing. We can put those two games in the past, and we have a great opportunity this week. This could really be a changing factor for the rest of the season..." While I respect the Cougars, I expect a close game and won't be shocked if the Noles spoil their National Championship dreams.
Apeche
14 Army,Cal over,LSU
22 Clemson,Okl St,UTEP,Texas
18 Colorado over,Alabama
12 UCLA
20 Auburn over
16 Florida,UL Monroe
25 SMU,Iowa St
27 Kentucky
Lenny Stevens
20* Clemson
20* Akron
10* Colo
10* Nevada
10* Arks
Jim Feist
TV GOW - Arkansas
Gamblers Alley
10* Northern Illinois
Scott Spreitzer
25* UAB
25* Nevada
25* Auburn
Situational Blow Out Of Month
Florida
The Hook
2*- Auburn -7
1*- Michigan St +10