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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Saturday, September 25,2010

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Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections

COLLEGE FOOTBALL HIGH NOON HANGING

Virginia Tech -4

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:27 am
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Coach Ron Meyer

College Knockout Game of the Year

Miss State -1

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:27 am
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Seabass

300* Notre Dame
100* Arkansas
100* Cal
100* BYU
50* Utah State
50* Wake Forest
50* Ole Miss
50* Boise State

200* Steam Texas

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:28 am
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Ben Burns

8* Oakland A's

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:30 am
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MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE CFB GAME OF THE YEAR

UNLV -10.5

COLLEGE FOOTBALL SEC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH

Alabama -7

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:31 am
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Chuck O'Brien

25 DIME AIR FORCE

10 DIME BOWLING GREEN

10 DIME NOTRE DAME

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:32 am
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BIG AL

ROADKILL - ARKANSAS

HIGH ROLLER - OREGON

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:34 am
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Marc Lawrence

California +6.5

No two ways about it – Cal ran into a buzzsaw in Nevada last Friday. After throttling their first two opponents by allowing just 10 combined points, the Golden Bears’ defense was severely tarnished in a humbling 52-31 defeat. The loss knocked California from the rankings but that could be a blessing in disguise since the Bruins have now lost 11 of the past 14 games in which they were ranked in the Top 25. We're not anxious to bury the Bears just yet, though. Even with their inability to slow Nevada’s Pistol offense, Jeff Tedford’s stop unit has still held all three 2010 foes to season-low yardage. Meanwhile, the Wildcats enter off last weeks' emotionally-charged home win over highly ranked Iowa. That sets the table for the Awesome Angle from our database as it tell us to: Play Against any undefeated favorite of 17 or less points in Game Four if they were a bowl team last season and are facing an opponent off a double-digit loss that owns at least one win on the season. That's because these teams are 0-15 ATS when they allow more than 11 PPG on the season provided the surrendered 34 or more points in its last game. With that, we recommend a 3-unit play on California.

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:37 am
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Lenny Del Genio

Tulane +19.5

This is an absolutely terrible spot for favored Houston, who was once thought to have a shot at an undefeated season and a BCS bowl berth. They were crushed last Saturday at UCLA, 31-13, and not only that but they've lost Heisman candidate QB Keenum AND his backup Turner to injury. The nation's highest scoring offense was held without a TD through three quarters (trailed 31-3) last week as Keenum left the game for a second straight game. Then, in the second half backup Cotton Turner injured his shoulder. Even scarier may be the fact that Houston already was trailing 21-3 at the time of the Keenum injury, so something is clearly not right with the team. He was just 10 of 18 for 83 yds and two interceptions. They ran for just 108 yards in the loss. This has all got to come as a great shock to the Cougars, who must now turn around and lay nearly three touchdowns to a Tulane team playing with revenge for seven straight series losses. Only this time, the Green Wave won't be facing Kevin Kolb or Keenum, they will be facing Terrence Broadway, a true freshman, making his first ever start on the road. Last year's 44-16 result was not as one-sided as it would lead you to believe as Houston led by just a 9-6 margin at the half with only a +32 edge in total yards. Tulane has the benefit of rest, having been off since suffering a loss at Ole Miss two weeks ago. Take Tulane.

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:38 am
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

9* Kansas St. -7

Analysis: For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the home side:

The Knights are 2-1 ATS to start the year; 2-1 SU. Last week they crushed Buffalo on the road 24-10, covering as 7 1/2-point favorites.

UCF is just 1-20 since 2001 on the road vs. BCS teams (average loss was by 21-points).

The Knights have played extremely well to this point; they are allowing fewer than 270-yards per game; they are lead by freshman QB Jeff Godfrey.

When faced with stiff competition though, this team has had a history of folding quickly; over the last two years the Knights are 3-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record.

On the other side of the field: The Wildcats are 2-1 ATS to start the year; 3-0 SU. Last week it beat Iowa State in front of the home town crowd 27-20, covering the spread as a 3 1/2-point favorite.

It's interesting to note that KSU is 26-5 vs. non-BCS teams since the Big 12 was formed in 1996.

Wildcat's coach Bill Snyder won't be making the mistake of "looking past" this team; “Coach Snyder is really stressing this game,” senior quarterback Carson Coffman said, “saying this is the toughest team we’ve played up to this point.”

And that sentiment has rubbed off on his players; “They are going to be a really good team,” fullback Braden Wilson said. “They could very well be the toughest team we have played so far. It is going to be a good, hard-fought game.”

Not only is Kansas State 9-1 SU its last 10 in front of the home town crowd; it's also 8-6 ATS over the last two seasons after playing a conference game.

Bottom line: The Wildcat's will look to establish RB Daniel Thomas early; QB Carson Coffman has to play a conservative game and take what is given to him.

Home field advantage can not be overlooked here either;

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:40 am
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Mike Lineback

BYU +4

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:42 am
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Pro Picks Weekly

Air Force -13.5
Stanford -4.5
Oklahoma -14
Kentucky +14
California +6.5
Oregon -11.5

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:43 am
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Vegas Sportsmasters Consensus Service
Saturday, September 25, 2010
Kentucky (+14) over Florida
7:00 PM -- Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at Florida FIeld
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the East at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 90.

Arkansas (+7) over Alabama
3:30 PM -- Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium
Partly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

California (+6½) over Arizona
10:00 PM -- Arizona Stadium
Sunny. Winds blowing from the East at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 95.

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:49 am
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WAYNE ROOT

W. VIRGINIA - TV GAME OF WEEK

GEORGIA - FAVORITE OF WEEK

ARKANSAS - MILL

NOTRE DAME - BILL

BYU - NO LIMIT UPSET G.O.Y.

CINCY - PINNACLE

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 9:56 am
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Jay McNeil

20 Dime Stanford Cardinals

 
Posted : September 25, 2010 10:01 am
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