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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Saturday September 26,2009

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Black Widow

4* Virginia Tech +3

Virginia Tech catching points at home? The oddsmakers have this one all wrong folks. Miami is a good football team, but they are still very young and this road game will be too much for them to handle. Young players also tend to listen to the hype more than veteran players, and the Hurricanes are soaking it all in right now through the media. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech is going under the radar after winning the ACC last year and making a BCS Bowl game. The Hokies love being in this position, because year in and year out they simply find a way to win. Their victory over Nebraska last week was no small accomplishment, either. Virginia Tech is 9-5 SU and 11-3 ATS versus Miami since 1995, including 5-1 against the spread record at Lane Stadium. The Hokies are 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992. The Hokies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. Miami is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as a road favorite, and 9-23 ATS in their last 32 following an ATS win. Take Virginia Tech and the points.

3* Oregon +7

Most have written the Ducks off after their 8-19 road loss to Boise State to open the season. But quietly, Oregon has put together back-to-back wins against quality opponents in Purdue and Utah. Cal is a great team and one of the best in the Pac-10, but they did struggle to beat Minnesota on the road last week in a very close game throughout. Jahvid Best rushed for all 5 of Cal's touchdowns in that one, but we feel the Ducks will have an answer for Best Saturday. Oregon is giving up just 3.3 yards per carry this season, and that's come against teams with good running games. They held Boise to just 31 yards on 17 carries. Oregon is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home meetings with Cal. After losing the last 2 meetings to the Bears, look for Oregon to come out a little extra motivated for this one to get back into the national picture. Cal is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) as a road favorite of 7 points or less since 1992. Take Oregon and the points.

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 11:46 am
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WISEGUY INSIDER

BYU -17 OVER COLORADO ST

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 11:47 am
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Tom Stryker

5* C Michigan

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 11:53 am
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SPORTS UNLIMITED

10* V Tech
5* Stan/Wash Over
5* UNLV
4* Houston

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 12:06 pm
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Mike Rose

5* Iowa

4* Memphis

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 12:07 pm
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Wildcat

10* Cal
7* Kentucky
5* T Tech
5* C. Mich

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 12:08 pm
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EZ Winners

2* Clemson
2* Stanford
2* Temple
2* V Tech
2* Tex Tech Over

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 12:28 pm
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Squares Wanted

Notre Dame vs Purdue
7* Notre Dame -6.5

Jimmy Clausen being the quarterback he is and with the great receiving corps around him i expect the Fighting Irish to pretty much dominate this game. Clausen already has 951 pass yards and a 9:0 touchdown to interception rating thats impressive for only playing three games, he has thrown fourteen touchdowns since his last interception. The Irish have seven touchdown drives of at least 75 yards or more dating back to the Hawaii Bowl, and Purdue has allowed at least 28 points in all three of their games. Notre Dame was changing their front up last week on the defensive side which showed improvement in rush defense, which should be a good emphasis considering Purdue running back is second nationally in yards per game, stop him and win the game. With strong safety Kyle McCarthy having an interception in all three games this season that should help keep Purdue quarterback Joey Elliot in check, Elliot's touchdown to interception ratio is 4:5 and will probably end up around 5:7 at the end of this game. Notre Dame is averaging 200 rush yards per game, and with Clausen nursing turf toe could take some shots at Purdue's 105th ranked defense in yards allowed. If you want to make some money you should definately pick Notre Dame, they will win by at least a touchdown.

5* Miami - 3

5* Cal / Oregon Over 55

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 12:30 pm
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Black Widow

4* Colorado State +17

The Rams are quietly 3-0 to start the season with good wins over Colorado and Nevada. BYU is deflated right now after losing to Florida State 54-28 last weekend in Provo. The Cougars will come out flat Saturday after having their BCS aspirations crushed last week. Colorado State won't have any problem getting motivated for this one Saturday. The Rams lost 42-45 at home last year to the Cougars as 16-point underdogs. Colorado State has had this one circled on their calendars for about 9 months. Colorado State is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) against teams who commit 2.5 or more turnovers/game on the season since 1992. The Rams have forced 10 turnovers in 3 games, while BYU has committed 10 turnovers in 3 games. Right now, CSU is +7 in turnover margin and BYU is -4. The turnover battle will be won by CSU, giving the Rams a chance to win this thing outright. Take Colorado State and the points.

4* Army +10

Iowa State should not be favored by double-digits over a good Army team. Remember, the Cyclones lost at home to Iowa 35-3 two weeks ago and this team is still rebuilding. Army is built to win right now, and they are 2-1 in the early going. Had it not been for two interceptions returned for touchdowns against Duke, the Black Knights would be 3-0. They outgained the Blue Devils 385-236 in that game, but 4 turnovers cost them the win. Army is rushing for 258 yards per game through 3 games. Iowa State is giving up 200 rushing yards per game through 2 home games this year. The Black Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big 12 & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Iowa State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Take Army and the points.

4* Oregon State +1

Oregon State is getting no respect early in the season, and that's why they are getting the right price Saturday. This team has only lost to Cincinnati 28-18 at home, and the Bearcats are worthy of being a Top-5 team this season. Now they face Arizona at home, a team that has one of the worst offenses in the country. The Wildcats put up just 17 points last week at Iowa, and one of those touchdowns was a defensive score. They rushed for 148 yards which was respectable, but completed just 10-of-26 passes for 105 yards. Oregon State is stout against the run, which will take away Arizona's strength and force the Wildcats to put the ball in the air. The Beavers are giving up only 78 rushing yards per game and 3.2 yards per carry in 3 games. Oregon State is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games since 1992. Take the Beavers and the points.

3* Kentucky +22

This is an in-between game for the Florida Gators. What we mean by that is Florida was very hyped to play Tennessee last weekend, and they'll be very hyped to play LSU next weekend down in Baton Rouge. That makes this a look-ahead game for the Gators, while this is the biggest game in the minds of Kentucky players perhaps ever. It's clear the Florida is lacking the same explosiveness they had last year en route to a national title. The Gators managed to put up just 23 points against Tennessee, and only 323 yards of total offense. The Vols' defense is good, but Tebow is lacking weapons outside like Percy Harvin who can turn a small gain into a touchdown. Florida's last meeting at Kentucky was in 2007, where the Gators escaped with a 45-37 victory. They'll have to escape with one again Saturday, because they aren't about to blow Kentucky out of their own building. Florida players are also battling the flu right now. Running back Jeff Demps, tight end Aaron Hernandez and defensive end Jermaine Cunningham were isolated last week because of flulike symptoms. They all took the field against the Vols, but none seemed to play up to par. Demps, who had a 101-degree temperature, ran four times for 31 yards and a touchdown. Hernandez caught four passes for 26 yards, while Cunningham finished with one tackle. Kentucky is 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog. Take the Wildcats and the points.

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 12:34 pm
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Preferred Picks

5* Virginia Tech

3* Arizona
3* Kentucky
3* Rice

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 12:35 pm
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Mean Green Profit Machine

UAB - Texas A&M Over 64.5

Notre Dame - Purdue Over 60

Texas El Paso - Texas Under 63

Arizona - Oregon St Under 44.5

SF Giants

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 12:51 pm
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Jim Kruger

Top play Stanford

Reg- T Tech, Minn, Temple, Rice Over

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 1:11 pm
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WISEGUY INSIDER

BYU -17 OVER COLORADO ST

QUADRUPLE NON CONFERENCE DOG PLAY OF THE YEAR

Purdue +7

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 1:12 pm
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The Experts Guaranteed Selections

ULTIMATE EXPERTS REVENGE PLAY OF THE YEAR

Penn St -9

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 1:14 pm
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ATS Lock

4 Units Astros
4 Units Indians

 
Posted : September 26, 2009 1:17 pm
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