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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Sunday, August 29,2010

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Northcoast

3* Steelers Over

 
Posted : August 28, 2010 9:27 am
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

50* Play Cincinnati (-220) over Chicago Cubs

Chicago has lost 18 of the last 24 games after having won four or five of the last six games and they have also lost 37 of the last 60 games vs. division opponents. Chicago has lost 11 of the last 15 games vs. Cincinnati and they have also lost 37 of the last 66 day games.

50* Play St. Louis (-190) over Washington

St. Louis has won 9 of the last 10 games as a road favorite of -175 to -200 and they have also won 14 of the last 17 games vs. Washington . Adam Wainwright has won 5 consecutive games when pitching on a Sunday and he has also won 9 of the last 11 day games.

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 7:52 am
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John Fina

Broncos

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 7:54 am
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Stephen Nover

100 Dime - Oakland Athletics

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 8:33 am
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Chris Jordan

600♦ Indians

200♦ Orioles/Angels Under

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 8:34 am
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Anthony Redd

75 Dime - Steelers

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 9:13 am
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Mike Lineback

4* POD Red Sox / Rays Over 8.5

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 9:28 am
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ATS Lock Club

4 Units Denver Broncos +2.5

5 Units Chicago White Sox -120

4 Units Florida Marlins -110

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 9:29 am
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Beat Your Bookie

10* Play Denver (+2.5) over Pittsburgh (Top Play)

Denver is 9-0 SU & ATS in pre-season games coming off a home loss the last 3 seasons
Denver is 3-0 SU & ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less the last 3 seasons
Denver is 7-0 SU in pre-season games coming off two losses against the spread

10* Play Milwaukee (-170) over Pittsburgh (POD)

Pittsburgh is 3-19 in road games when playing on a Sunday the last 2 seasons
Pittsburgh is 8-34 in road games after batting .250 or worse over the last 20 games
Pittsburgh is 4-30 as a road underdog of +125 to +175

5* NY Mets (-160) over Houston

New York is 11-2 in home games when the total posted is 7 runs or less
New York is 23-9 in home games vs. NL Central Division Opponents
RA Dickey is 5-1 in home games this season with an ERA of 1.93

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 9:32 am
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Lenny Del Genio

20* Division Dog of the Month

Oakland A's +135

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 9:42 am
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David Malinsky

4* ATLANTA/FLORIDA OVER

We do not believe that the markets are correct here, and now that the 7’s are being cemented it is time to get in play. Yes, we understand someone using the full-season numbers of Josh Johnson to try to force this Total down. But those are not the proper measurements for what he brings today.

When half of your games are in the heat and humidity of South Florida, it is a long MLB summer for a pitcher, especially a power guy. That is becoming a factor for Johnson, but the fact that injuries made his limited 2007-08 cycles meaningless from a fatigue standpoint keeps the real impact from showing. As such, the fact that he was at 9-3/1.70 prior to the All Star break this season, and a 2-2/3.99 since then, may only look like a short-term slump. Instead, it is a real pattern. If we eliminate the 2007-08 seasons from the charting, the Johnson career path is at 2.23 in all games before the All Star break, and 4.05 afterwards. That is significant. It is not just bad luck right now, but rather the fact that he is laboring – over his last six starts his W’s per 9 are at 4.03, after a 1.95 previously. And three times in those six games he has been at 19.2 PPI or higher, a plateau that he had not reached since his first start of the season. The bottom line? His full-season numbers are not the proper identifier, and on a hot and humid afternoon in Atlanta it will not be easy to snap back to form, especially against a patient offense that leads the N.L. in both W’s and W’s per plate appearance by a wide margin, which means high early pitcher counts.

Meanwhile the Marlins get a favorable transition here – is there a better way to get the rhythm and timing of a right-handed sinkerball down than by facing a guy with similar stuff the night before? Derek Lowe becomes much easier to read and time if you just saw Tim Hudson, especially since he brings lesser stuff, and note that the two key cogs in the heart of the Florida lineup, Hanley Ramirez and Dan Uggla, particularly like the matchup – they are a combined 22-50 lifetime against him, with 10 extra-base hits.

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 9:46 am
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ROCKETMAN

3* Boston +140

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 9:50 am
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NICK "BOOKIEKILLER" PARSONS

10* Rays / Red Sox Over 8.5

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 9:51 am
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Triple Crown Sports

3* Detroit

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 9:52 am
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KELSO

10 Units Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5

25 Units Oakland A's +135
15 Units Minnesota Twins -165
10 Units Cleveland Indians -145

 
Posted : August 29, 2010 9:58 am
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