Bob Valentino
40 DIME: DALLAS COWBOYS
If your man has this spread at 3 1/2, I want you to buy the half-point and take the Cowboys at -3. I fully expect a double-digit win for Dallas today, but if I'm wrong and this ends up being a 24-21 or 31-28 nail-biter, we do NOT want to get beat by the hook.
Sirduke Sports
7* Cincinnati Bengals +7
Pointwise Phone Service
3* Jets, Denver, Washington, Dallas/San Diego Over , New
England/Carolina Over
2* New Orleans, New England, San Diego, Arizona
Gameday Sports
3* New England -13
2* Denver +7, Dallas -3
1* San Fran +3
Ron Raymond
5* Eagles / Giants Under 44
Steven Budin
25 DIME Dallas
This line has been steady all week at Dallas -3. If you have -3, or even if you get stuck with -3 1/2 after shopping around, buy down the 1/2 point for insurance
King Creole
3* BEST BET Bengals @ Vikings UNDER
2* Broncos @ Colts UNDER
2* Dolphins @ Jaguars UNDER
I visited our ‘Domer Homer’ set that was created in the Playbook database last night, and it revealed that all all Dome HOME FAVS had gone 3-9 O/U since November 1st. I decided to run a query since there are four indoor games on the week 14 schedule. And it looks like some “UNDER”-whelming results are in order... depending on the point spread and the opponent. 6-21-2 O/U since 1991: All Game 12 or greater Dome Home non-division favorites of 6 > points. If these Indoor HOST are taking on an opponent off a SU win, the results improve to an almost PERFECT 1-11 O/U in the last 18 years. The two teams that are active in this 92% Under Systems are the MINNESOTA VIKINGS and INDIANAPOLIS COLTS.
Game One:
In BOTH of our Best Bets, the OU line is alrea~dy coming down off the opening number. so get in ASAP! Both games also feature GREAT teams (.666 >) squaring off against each other. And that’s where we started our querying this week:
1-8 O/U L10Y (0-4 O/U THIS decade) for all GAME 13 > home favs of 4 > points with a W/L percentage of .800 > (Vikings)... facing an opponent with a W/L percentage of .666 > (Bengals).
Cincinnati comes in off BB wins, but they lost the cash (ATS) in both of em.
1-9 O/U S’2003: All road teams off BB SU wins but BB ATS losses (last vs non-div opp).
In those 2 wins, they rushed the ball an amazing 44 and 45 times respectively.
0-7 O/U last 22 years: All NFL teams off BB wins in which they rushed the ball 44 > times... when the OU line is 36 > points.
The Bengals actually come in on a 3-game ATS losing streak.
0-6 O/U L2Y: All GAME 10 > non-division dogs of 6 > pts playng off BBB ATS losses.
Minnesota’s 4-game winning streak finally came to an end of Sunday night (lost 30-17 to Arizona).
1-9 O/U L3Y: All home favs of 3 > pts playing off a SU loss which broke a 4+ game winning streak.
Vikings laid -3.5 pts on the road in that game, and LOST by double digits.
0-6 O/U L5Y: All favs of 12 pts in which they were a fav of -3 > pts.
Let’s wrap up this Best Bet with a hot OU pattern that’s gone a PERFECT 0-6 O/U in the last 8 weeks:
All NFC home favs of -5 > points taking on an AFC opponent. Look for a LOT of running plays in this one. Tick.. tick.. tick!
Game Two:
This is the only other game this week that features two OUTSTANDING teams taking on each other. Since we’re on the ‘UNDER’ in the first game, it would be smart to play the other one as well.
0-4 O/U since 2000: Gm 13 > HF’s of 4 > pts with a .800 > winning % (Colts) vs an opponent with a winning % of .666 > (Broncos).
It looks like the Broncos are BACK in business, with wins of 20 and 31 points in their last 2 games. Sunday’s division win over Kansas City featured 245 rushing yards on 45 attempts. That puts them in solid “UNDER” territory.
5-18 O/U s’1988: All non-division road teams off a SU road win in which they ran for 200 > yards. If they were a FAV in that last win, the numbers improve to 2-11 O/U.
So far this year, NFL teams that ran the ball 45 or more times in a ROAD win have gone a PERFECT 0-3 O/U in their next game.
Playing in the 2nd of BB road games off a division win has produced a high percentage of low-scoring results.
1-10 O/U L6Y: All road teams playing off a SUATS divison road favorite win, when the OU lines is 48 UNDEFEATED home teams against a non-division opponent.
J.B. "The Hizz" Mayer
DIAMOND SELECTION
Green Bay Packers -4
GOLD SELECTION
New Orleans Saints -10
Joyce Sterling
10* Chicago + 3.5
Boston Blackie
5* NFL GOW Seattle +6.5
Heavy Hitter
10* Detroit + 13.5
The ProSource
Total of the Month
Bucs / Jets Over 36 to 37
Teddy Covers
Big Ticket - Dallas -3
WAYNE ROOT
Philadelphia Eagles @ NY Giants Giants
Take: NY Giants Giants
Tom Coughlin is so practiced in the fine art of obsessive caution, he will fib to the media about practically every innocuous, trivial matter.And so again Friday, he was asked simply whether he pays attention to the NFC standings, and to the tiebreakers, that make this game Sunday night against the Eagles triply important. "No," Coughlin said." Philadelphia Eagles. That's all." On the same day that Coughlin was saying this, however, he also was passing out information to players that detailed the NFC EAST standings, the teams' records against their own division and against their own conference. HE WANTS THIS GAME; BADLY according to WAR. This game will be played back to the basics. hard-nose running NFC Style. With the potential for some rain and snow at Meadowlands Sunday night, Brandon Jacobs expects his workload to increase. And he said it's even more important to emphasize the running game and "smash-mouth football" against the Eagles. Jacobs finally broke out of his season-long slump with a 74-yard touchdown reception last Sunday when he caught a four-yard pass and took it 70 yards down the sidelines. A year after shoving the NFL around with two 1,000-yard rushers in their backfield, they're averaging 124.6 rushing yards per game, good for just 10th place in the league. WAR loves running the ball and good defense. Look for NY Giants to controlm the clock much like they did against the Cowboys. Take the NY Giants as the Vegas Legend play.
San Diego Chargers @ Dallas Cowboys
Take: Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys have a stout 8-4 record and a share of first place in the NFC East, but the outlook isn’t so great. An ugly loss to the New York Giants last weekend stripped away the good vibes of a 6-1 wave they had been riding. Avoiding a second straight loss is a must because next up is a trip to New Orleans to face the currently undefeated Saints, and because a two-game losing streak would play into the perception/reality of another promising season going down the drain in December and early January. WAR doesn't see that happening. WAR says the addition to a go to receiver in Austin has Romo happy. The past experience is behind them and they have learned from that. They enjoy a great homefield advantage and this game is all set to use that for a victory. WAR notes they haven’t lost consecutive games all season and won't start now. This game will come down to one area of play: Dallas, the NFL's ninth-ranked rushing defense will be counted on to slow down a hot Chargers squad. San Diego has won seven in a row despite ranking 30th in the league in rushing offense. This bolds well for the Cowboys...take Dallas as WAR's NFC Game of the Year.
Tim Trushel
20* Tampa Bay Over
Baltimore Over