Bob Balfe
Miami Dolphins -5
The Dolphins are playing great defense and will be going against a Bills team that is without their starting center and one of their better receivers in Lee Evans. Miami needs to win out to have a shot at the playoffs and is too good of a team to lose at home to Buffalo in this spot. Look for the Dolphins to get a convincing home win. Take Miami.
New York Giants -3
The Eagles won the first matchup in Philadelphia, but it was not easy and they were lucky to close that game out for the win. New York has battled injuries all year, but are starting to get healthier. If the Giants lose this game, they might not even make the playoffs as a wild card team. Its hard to sweep a team in the NFC East and I expect for the Giants to play their best football today. Look for the Giants to control the line of scrimmage and to get their fair share of licks on Mike Vick early and often. Take New York.
Colts/ Jaguars Over 48
The Colts have struggled this year, especially Peyton Manning. The loser of this game will most likely miss the playoffs and I just cannot see Peyton having a bad day against the Jags horrible pass defense. Jacksonville has a big offensive line and should run the ball very well also. The Colts do not have a great defense and I expect both teams to score almost at will. Look for a ton of points in this game. Take the Over.
Cincinnati Bengals -1
Cincinnati has struggled this year and are losers of 10 straight games but, today at home, they have their best chance to win over a below-average Browns team. Carson Palmer is turning himself into a bust, but I still will take him at home over a young Colt McCoy. Look for the Bengals to have a big offensive day and to snap their miserable losing streak. Take Cincinnati.
Detroit Lions +4.5
I really do not get the linemakers the last few seasons. The same amount of people are going to bet the Bucs if this line is 5.5 or 9.5 so I do not know why they sell themselves short. Tampa is not a very good football team and, in my opinion, are lucky to be 8-5. Detroit is not a good road team, but their offense is good enough to outscore the Bucs today or to at least make this game very close. The Lions have not won on the road in years and Vegas makes this line under a touchdown? I think Detroit has a good shot at winning their first road game in sometime, but I really question why this line isn’t higher. Either way, Vegas is trying to get players on Tampa which is good for us. Take the Lions.
Seattle Seahawks +7
Seahawks / Falcons Over 46
Out of all the teams in the NFL, I would say Seattle is the team that is mentioned the least (Matt Hasselbeck’s name has not been mentioned at all). Seattle is a dangerous team at home. There are some teams that you just do not go against at home and Seattle is at the top of my list. Atlanta has a great offense and they are going to score, but Seattle can really put themselves in the drivers seat to make the playoffs with a big home win. It's amazing that they are tied for 1st with a 6-7 record, but that’s how it goes in the NFC West. Look for both teams to put up a good amount of points, with Seattle getting a last minute win. This is a perfect spot to play Seattle and the Over. I do not recommend parlays, however. This should be one of the better games on the board today. Take Seattle and take the Over.
New York Jets +5
There is so much negative attention surrounding the Jets this season and they are coming off two pathetic offensive outings, but again (like the Tampa/Lions game) there is a reason why the oddsmakers set this under a touchdown. The Steelers are without Troy Polomalu, who is the heart and soul of the defense. Mark Sanchez has struggled, but he usually responds well after a bad outing. The Jets still have a solid defense and will make a game of this. Look for the Jets to possibly come away with a big road victory. Take the Jets.
Stephen Nover
100 Dime Jets
Bobby Valentino
75 Dime Underdog GOY Jets
Rob Vinciletti
7* Kansas City Chiefs +3
The Chiefs are coming off one of the poorest offensive performances in recent times. They totaled just 67 yards in a 31-0 loss at San Diego last week. That loss sets them up in a bevy of systems. The Best of which is 100% and wins by over 10 points per game. What we want to do is play on road teams if the line is +3 to -3 and they were road dogs of 7 or more with a total of 40.5 or more and they had less than 100 yards rushing and less than 150 yards passing. KC had B. Croyle making the start last week in a crucial divisional game. This hand cuffed the Chiefs from the start. Now they know they have to win. The Good news is the probable return of starting Qb Cassel. A secondary system that dates to 1980 plays on small road favorites off a 24 pr more point road loss. The Rams are off a blowout loss to the Saints. They have not been good against teams with a winning record. They are 3-16 straight up, including 0-9 the last 3 years. They are 1-6 as a home dog of 3 or less and 1-10 at home when the total is 42.5 to 45. KC is 3-1 vs winning teams this year and 18-5 vs NFC West teams. The Chiefs are 8-1 ats vs non divisional teams on the road off a loss of 10 or more and the Rams are 2-7 ats home off a loss of 10 or more vs an opponent off a loss and failed cover. Look for the Chiefs to win this one here today as the NFC West continues to be a mess and the AFC West heats up. Take the KC Chiefs +3
Marc Lawrence
Underdog GOY Seahawks
MTi Sports
4* Lakers / Raptors Under 208.5
The Lakers are playing the last game of a seven-game road trip and they are 5-1 so far, winning each of the last three. They are doing it with defense, holding their opponent to an average of 88.3 ppg on 41.1% shooting on the trip. In their last game, they beat the Sixers 93-81 while holding Philadelphia to 37.5% shooting. Kobe Bryant was 3-of-11 from the field for nine points, but Lamar Odom stepped in with 28 points on 11-of-18 shooting. We'll go UNDER this number.
The Lakers are 0-13 OU (-14.7 ppg) with at most one day of rest after a double digit win in which they allowed less than 40% from the field and 0-7 OU when they are on the road after at least three road wins, staying under by an average of 18.6 ppg.
The player-based trends reveal that LA is 0-9 OU (-18.2 ppg) with at least a day of rest after a win on the road in which Derek Fisher scored fewer than 10 points, 0-6 OU (-17.6 ppg) after a win on the road in which Kobe Bryant shot worse than 33% from the field and 0-5 OU since the start of the 2007-08 NBA season after two wins in which Lamar Odom increased his scoring by at least 15 points over their past two games, staying under by an average of 22.4 ppg.
This is a revenge game for Toronto, as they lost 108-103 in LA on the 5th of November. The Raptors are 0-8 OU at home when facing a Western Conference team they lost to in their first match-up of the season, staying under by an average of 14.1 ppg. This includes an overtime game that stayed UNDER.
Fitting in nicely here is the fact that the Lakers are 0-4 OU (-16.6 ppg) when facing an Eastern Conference team that is seeking same-season revenge. They have had two active dates this season (vs Chicago and vs Washington) and both stayed under by double digits. Take these two UNDER this number. MTi's FORECAST: LA Lakers 100 TORONTO 94
Ben Burns
10* Bengals
10* Panthers
Broncos
Packers/Patriots Under
Great Lakes Sports
4* Cincinnati Bengals
3* Baltimore Ravens
3* New York Giants
Jeff Benton
60 Dime New Orleans
Don’t look now, but the defending champs have won six in a row overall (4-2 ATS) and four in a row on the highway. And Drew Brees has the New Orleans offense in high gear, putting up 34, 34, 30, 34 and 31 points the last five weeks and 30-plus points during their four-game road winning streak.
Now you would think the Saints would be hard-pressed to continue those point-scoring binge streaks today at Baltimore, facing the Ravens’ defense. Except for the fact that defense is a fraud, particularly in the secondary. Baltimore is giving up more than 220 passing yards per game, and over the last three games the Ravens’ have been torched for 258 passing ypg.
And when you look at the Ravens’ four losses, you see the following starting quarterbacks that beat them: Carson Palmer, Tom Brady, Matt Ryan and Ben Roethlisberger. Obviously, Palmer is the QB who stands out – he’s been horrific this year, and in actuality it was Ravens QB Joe Flacco who cost the Ravens in that 15-10 loss back in Week 2. But the other three quarterbacks? All of them are studs, with Brady and Roethlisberger possessing a combined five Super Bowl rings and Ryan piloting the team with the best record in the AFC.
Two other QBs – Buffalo’s Ryan Fitzpatrick (29-for-43, 382 passing yards, 4TDs and 34 points) and Houston’s Matt Schaub (31-for-62, 393 yards, 3 TDs and 28 points last week) also lit up the Ravens’ defense. Even though Baltimore escaped with overtime wins in both of those games, if you add them to the Ravens’ four losses, you get an average of 23.2 points per game allowed. In their other seven contests (all wins), Baltimore surrendered just 14.7 ppg and only nine total touchdowns.
Now look at the list of quarterbacks from those seven games: Mark Sanchez, Seneca Wallace, Charlie Batch, Kyle Orton, Chad Henne, Brian St. Pierre and Josh Freeman.
See a trend there?
So why has Baltimore struggled so much against quality quarterbacks? The main reason two raw, inexperienced cornerbacks. But the dirty little secret is Ray Lewis and the pass rush has been virtually nonexistent. The Ravens have just 24 sacks (only seven teams have fewer, and four of those seven have either 22 or 23 sacks, meaning Baltimore is very close to ranking near the bottom of the league in that category. In their four losses to the Bengals, Patriots, Falcons and Steelers, Baltimore recorded only nine sacks.
How does all this relate to today’s game against New Orleans? Well, Drew Brees has been dropped 18 times in 13 games, including just five times in the last five weeks. And while Brees has been uncharacteristically careless with the football this season (tied for the NFL lead with 18 INTs), the Ravens – despite the pick-six in overtime last week that beat Houston – has just 13 interceptions this season.
Bottom line: At this time of year, I like to back teams with momentum, and the Saints with six straight wins clearly have it. Conversely, the Ravens are just 5-3 SU and 3-4-1 ATS in their last eight games. That includes the two overtime wins over the Texans and Bills (which obviously could’ve gone either way). The other victories were against overmatched opponents Tampa Bay, Carolina and Miami. In fact, the Ravens’ last six victories have come against teams with losing records. Their last three games against winning teams? All losses to the Patriots, Falcons and Steelers (who are a combined 31-8).
Brees and the Saints offense continue to exploit Baltimore’s secondary, and the underrated New Orleans defense (19 points or less allowed in seven games) contains the Ravens’ suddenly one-dimensional offense (66 rushing ypg last three weeks) and the defending champs roll to a 31-21 win.
ATS Lock Club
6 Units Indy -4.5
5 Units Miami -4.5
5 Units Saints +2.5
4 Units Atlanta -5.5
4 Units NC State +2.5
3 Units Fl Atl -6.5
Craig Davis
75 Dime Teaser Saints & Falcons
Sean Michaels
50 Dime New York Giants
Derek Mancini
30 Dime Ravens
Michael Cannon
40 Dime Saints
20 Dime Cowboys
Brandon Lang
30 Dime Atlanta Falcons
Al DeMarco
15 Dime Cowboys
LPW Sports Forecast
10 Unit Game of Week Dallas -7 over Washington
Obviously a big factor here is direction and Redskins at this point have none and are dealing with internal discord.Cowboys get revenge from early season loss here.
10 Unit Underdog Game of Week Detroit +4.5 over Tampa Bay
Both teams have played a lot of close games, with Tampa Bay winning a good amount of theres and Detroit losing 7 games by 8 or fewer points and obviously after last weeks win , havent quit on season.Should take some momentum from last week with them and TB is 3-14 ats last 17 home games.
6 Units Houston/Tennessee Under 47.5
5 Units Denver/Oakland Over 42
Maddux Sports
20 Units Seattle +6
10 Units Buffalo +5
10 Units Detroit +4.5
10 Units Cleveland +1.5
10 Units NY Jet +6
Billy Coleman
Colts -4.5
Saints +2
Packers +14
Pacers +9
Canadiens +105
Erin Rynning
20* NFL GOY Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens
Indianapolis Colts