Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Redskins / Jaguars Under 45.5
Washington travels to Jacksonville to take on a Jaguars team that blew an opportunity to put a strangle hold on the AFC South in their 34-24 loss to the Colts last week.
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under":
The Redskins have seen the total go "under" the number in 8 of 14 this year, including in 4 of 7 on the road; last week they lost a high-scoring close one to the Cowboys 33-30, in Dallas.
Washington is struggling in many areas right now but I think we can all agree that Mike Shanahan's 3-4 defensive scheme has been a bust for this team.
It allowed over 400-yards for the fifth time this season in the loss to Dallas; "Definitely embarrassing," OL Lorenzo Alexander said.
Rex Grossman surprised pretty much everyone though with his performance as he ended the day 25 of 43 for 322 yards and four TD's.
Note that Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in both games this year as a road of 3 1/2 to 7-points and in 6 of 7 over the last two years in the same position.
On the other side of the field: The Jaguars have seen the total go "under" the number in just 3 of 14 this year; in last week's loss, the total sailed "over" the posted number of 48.
Jacksonville will now need to sweep its final two games of the season and get some outside help for its inclusion into the NFL's post-season.
So will the Jags suffer a letdown here?
"We'll dust ourselves up," coach Jack Del Rio said. "We'll get back in the ring and go after it. We're going to take our time these 24 hours (to get over the loss). It's going to sting a little bit as it should (but) we're going to come out ready to roll as the weekend approaches."
Maurice Jones-Drew had an ankle injury last week and the result was a season low in rushing for the Jaguars with a total of just 67-yards.
Jacksonville suffered a letdown with its run defense, but limited Peyton Manning to just 229 yards through the air.
Bottom line: I'm expecting the Jaguars to be prepared for Grossman, and look for the much maligned pivot to return to his usual "sub par" self.
That said, I think the Redskins shamed defense will atone for its dismal performance last week, and over the second half of the season.
Jim Haslett's unit had 19 takeaways over the first eight contests, in which Washington won four of, but has a measly five over the past six games.
Consider a second look at the "under" in this one.
Fairway Jay
NFL GOY - KC Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
Washington Redskins
Wunderdog
3 Units Washington +7
3 Units San Francisco +2.5
3 Units San Francisco/ St. Louis Over 39.5
3 Units Cleveland +3.5
3 Units Baltimore/Cleveland Over 39.5
4 Units San Diego/ Cincinnati Over 44
3 Units Cincinnati +7.5
3 Units Seattle/Tampa Bay Over 43.5
3 Units Green Bay -3
3 Units New York Giants/ Green Bay Over 43
3 Units Minnesota/Philadelphia Over 43.5
4 Units New England/Buffalo Over 44
4 Units Houston/Denver OVER 48.5
Teddy Covers
Big Ticket - Bears
Chargers
Bills
Colts / Raiders Over
Matt Fargo
10* Bengals +7.5
10* Redskins
9* Chiefs -4.5
9* Giants +3
9* 49ers
Sixth Sense
3% SAN FRANCISCO +2.5
3% CHICAGO -1
3% OAKLAND +2.5 some 3’s still out there but I wouldn’t pay more than -115 or -120 at the most for the 3
3% INDIANAPOLIS/OAKLAND OVER 47
3% HOUSTON/DENVER OVER 48.5
MIAMI -3.5 Detroit 41.5
Detroit played well last week in snapping their 26 road game losing streak at Tampa Bay, 23-20. They out rushed TB 6.5ypr to 6.3ypr, out passed them 6.6yps to 6.3yps and out gained them overall, 6.6yppl to 6.3yppl. Miami lost against home, this time to Buffalo, 17-14 and the game wasn’t that close. Miami out rushed Buffalo 3.4ypr to 2.6ypr but were out passed badly, 7.5yps to 5.4yps. Overall, they were out gained 5.1yppl to 4.9yppl but that’s only because they threw the ball 20 more times than Buffalo to prop up their overall numbers.
Detroit averages 4.0ypr against 4.3ypr, 5.7yps against 6.0yps and 5.1yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow 4.7ypr against 4.3ypr, 6.4yps against 6.3yps and 5.6yppl against 5.4yppl. Miami averages 3.7ypr against 4.1ypr, 6.0yps against 6.0yps and 5.0yppl against 5.2yppl. They allow 3.6ypr against 4.2ypr, 5.8yps against 6.1yps and 4.8yppl against 5.3yppl.
I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor Miami by 6.5 points and predict about 39 points. Detroit has won two in a row including their big win on the road last week and now face a Miami team that has been horrible at home laying points. Miami has topped 14 points just once in the last five games so I don’t have any confidence they can score enough to cover this number. Dolphins defense will keep them in the game as they haven’t allowed more than 17 points in six straight games and seven of eight games. The under may be your best option in this game. MIAMI 17 DETROIT 13
PHILADELPHIA -14.5 Minnesota 43.5
Minnesota’s defense is just a shell of what it was last year and years past as they lost at home to Chicago, 40-14. They out rushed the Bears (without Adrian Peterson), 4.8ypr to 3.2ypr but were out passed 7.6yps to 4.3yps. Joe Webb replaced Favre and averaged just 3.7yps. Overall, the Vikings were out gained 5.1yppl to 4.5yppl. Philly stormed back to score the games final 28 points and erase a 21 point deficit in the fourth quarter to defeat the Giants 38-31. Philly out rushed the Giants 9.4ypr to 3.2ypr, were out passed 6.4yps to 5.8yps and out gained the Giants 7.1yppl to 5.1yppl.
Minnesota averages 4.4ypr against 4.3ypr, 5.8yps against 6.0yps and 5.2yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow 3.9ypr against 4.1ypr, 6.2yps against 6.2yps and 5.1yppl against 5.4yppl. Philadelphia averages 5.5ypr against 4.4ypr, 6.8yps against 6.3yps and 6.3yppl against 5.5yppl. They allow 4.0ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.1yps against 6.3yps and 5.3yppl against 5.5yppl.
If Philly was favored by less than -14 points they would qualify in a couple of late season and scheduling situations, which are 53-16-1 and 61-21-2 (including a subset, which is 50-10-1). Numbers favor Philly by 13 points and predict about 48 points. Philly’s offense continues to roll and they have now scored at least 26 points in every game Vick has started and finished. That means they probably get to around 27 to 30 points, at a minimum in this game, against a banged up Vikings secondary. Hard to believe Minnesota can score enough points in this game to compete, much less possibly cover the spread with Joe Webb at quarterback. The only saving grace for Minnesota is Philly continues to get banged up on defense, losing Nate Allen at safety last week and maybe they can have some success because of the injuries. As good as Philly has been, they have only won two games by more than 14 points this year. PHILADELPHIA 31 MINNESOTA 17
JACKSONVILLE -7 Washington 46
Washington fought back from a large deficit at Dallas but still lost, 33-30. The Redskins were out rushed 4.3ypr to 3.7ypr, out passed 7.7yps to 6.0yps and out gained overall, 6.2yppl to 5.4yppl. Jacksonville suffered a big loss at Indy, allowing an onside kick in the final two minutes to go for a touchdown and lose the game and cover, 34-24. They were out rushed badly in the game, 6.5ypr to 3.0ypr but managed to out pass Indy, 7.4yps to 5.5yps. Overall, they were out gained slightly by the Colts, 5.9yppl to 5.8yppl.
Washington averages 4.3ypr against 4.3ypr, 6.1yps against 6.2yps and 5.4yppl against 5.4yppl. They allow 4.8ypr against 4.4ypr, 6.9yps against 6.4yps and 6.0yppl against 5.6yppl. Jacksonville averages 4.6ypr against 4.3ypr, 6.1yps against 6.2yps and 5.4yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow 4.6ypr against 4.4ypr, 7.6yps against 6.5yps and 6.3yppl against 5.6yppl.
I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor Jacksonville by four points and predict about 42 points. Maurice Jones-Drew will probably miss this game and Washington continues to lose players on defense. They were competitive last week at Dallas but that was a divisional game. Jacksonville’s defense is nothing to write home about and that defense has allowed the opponents to score enough that Jacksonville hasn’t won a home game by more than seven points this year. I’m not eager to play a banged up Washington team or to lay points with a poor Jacksonville defense. I would consider the over in this game but my numbers only show 42 points being scored. JACKSONVILLE 24 WASHINGTON 20
ST LOUIS -2.5 San Francisco 39.5
SF was throttled at SD last Thursday, 34-7. They out rushed the Chargers, 4.1ypr to 2.6ypr but were out passed badly, 10.2yps to 3.7yps. Overall, they were out gained 5.6yppl to 3.8yppl. The Rams lost at home to the Chiefs, 27-13. They allowed KC to rush for 210 yards at 5.0ypr to just 3.3ypr and were out passed 5.4yps to 3.4yps. Overall, they were out gained 5.2yppl to 3.3yppl.
San Francisco averages 4.1ypr against 4.3ypr, 6.0yps against 6.1yps and 5.2yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow 3.5ypr against 4.3ypr, 6.6yps against 6.1yps and 5.2yppl against 5.3yppl. St. Louis averages 3.8ypr against 4.3ypr, 5.2yps against 6.3yps and 4.6yppl against 5.4yppl. They allow 4.6ypr against 4.2ypr, 5.8yps against 6.0yps and 5.3yppl against 5.2yppl.
St. Louis qualifies in a negative fundamental rushing situation, which is 126-57-8 and plays against them here. Numbers favor the Rams by just one point and predict about 35 points. Neither team is very good but SF is competitive coming off a loss, which is what they are doing here. And, they have had a few extra days to prepare with their last game last Thursday. SF is 5-2 SU against below .500 teams this year with a blow out loss to start the season at Seattle and a three point loss at Carolina (nothing to be proud about there) but they have competed extremely well in the other games against bad teams, which is what St. Louis is. The 49ers are better from the line of scrimmage, have the situation in their favor, have value in their favor and are getting points. SAN FRANCISCO 21 ST LOUIS 13
TAMPA BAY -6.5 Seattle 44
Seattle managed to keep intact their 14 point or greater margin of defeat in every loss they have occurred this year when they lost at home to Atlanta, 34-18. They actually out rushed the Falcons, 4.3ypr to 2.6ypr but were out passed 4.7yps to 4.1yps. Overall, they out gained Atlanta 4.2yppl to 3.6yppl because Atlanta ran the ball 16 more times. What hurt Seattle most was three turnovers, including a fumble in the end zone, which was recovered for a touchdown by Atlanta. TB lost at home to Detroit, 23-20, ending the Lions 26 road game losing streak. They were out rushed 6.5ypr to 6.3ypr, out passed 6.6yps to 6.3yps and out gained overall, 6.6yppl to 6.3yppl.
Seattle averages 3.7ypr against 4.2ypr, 5.9yps against 6.1yps and 5.1yppl against 5.2yppl. They allow 4.0ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.6yps against 6.0yps and 5.5yppl against 5.2yppl. Tampa Bay averages 4.5ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.2yps against 6.2yps and 5.5yppl against 5.4yppl. They allow 4.9ypr against 4.0ypr, 6.1yps against 5.7yps and 5.6yppl against 5.0yppl.
Tampa Bay qualifies in a late season situation, which is 61-21-2, including a subset, which is 50-10-1. Numbers favor TB by five points and predict about 46 points. The situation favoring Tampa Bay is extremely strong. Combine that with the fact Seattle’s losses have all come by 14 points or more so they are not competitive when they don’t win. Add to that in their last eight games, their only wins have come against Arizona twice and Carolina. Seattle has also allowed at least 34 points in six of their last eight games. But, in Tampa Bay, we have a team who has been hurt badly by injuries the last few weeks and if we agree Carolina isn’t very good then we must take out TB’s 13 and 15 point victories over Carolina and realize only one other win by TB this year has been by more than three points (a 21-0 shutout of SF). Seattle actually played decent on defense last week but turnovers killed them. I will favor TB because of the situation but am too worried about their banged up defense laying this many points to make them a best bet. TAMPA BAY 27 SEATTLE 20
New England -7.5 BUFFALO 44
NE avoided a scare by the Aaron Rodgers less Packers on Sunday night, holding on for a 31-27 victory. They out rushed GB 7.1ypr to 3.8ypr but were out passed by Matt Flynn 5.4yps to 5.0yps. Overall, they out gained the Packers 5.8yppl to 4.6yppl. The Packers ran the ball 38 times to dilute some of their overall numbers. Buffalo came up big at Miami in their 17-14 convincing win. They were out rushed 3.4ypr to 2.6ypr but out passed Miami 7.5yps to 5.4yps. Overall, they out gained the Dolphins 5.1yppl to 4.9yppl but it was really worse than that when you consider Miami threw the ball 20 more times than Buffalo to prop up their overall numbers.
New England averages 4.3ypr against 4.1ypr, 7.1yps against 5.9yps and 5.9yppl against 5.1yppl. They allow 4.2ypr against 4.0ypr, 6.6yps against 6.2yps and 5.6yppl against 5.3yppl. Buffalo averages 4.3ypr against 4.0ypr, 5.8yps against 6.1yps and 5.1yppl against 5.2yppl. They allow 4.6ypr against 4.1ypr, 6.2yps against 6.2yps and 5.4yppl against 5.2yppl.
I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor NE by seven points and predict about 61 points. NE has won 14 straight games against Buffalo and not many of those recently have been competitive in Buffalo, with NE winning by at least seven points in each of the last six years and by 13 or more other than their seven point win last year. NE has also scored at least 31 points in six straight games. If they do that again, Buffalo will be hard pressed to cover, knowing they haven’t scored more than 19 points in seven of their last eight games. The last time NE came to Buffalo with an offense close to what they have this year was in 2008 and they left with a 56-10 victory. I would like the over in this game but the weather looks to cold and Brady has been under the weather this week. NEW ENGLAND 34 BUFFALO 23
CHICAGO -1 NY Jets 36
The Jets came up with a much needed victory at Pittsburgh, 22-17. They were out rushed 5.9ypr to 3.9ypr but out passed Pittsburgh 5.7yps to 4.9yps. Overall, they were out gained 5.3yppl to 4.8yppl but Pittsburgh threw 17 more passes than NY. Chicago destroyed Minnesota 40-14. They were out rushed 4.8ypr to 3.2ypr but out passed the Vikings, 7.6yps to 4.3yps. Overall, they out gained the Vikings 5.1yppl to 4.5yppl.
New York averages 4.3ypr against 4.1ypr, 5.7yps against 6.3yps and 5.1yppl against 5.4yppl. They allow 3.6ypr against 4.1ypr, 5.6yps against 6.3yps and 4.8yppl against 5.3yppl. Chicago averages 3.8ypr against 4.3pr, 6.0yps against 6.2yps and 5.0yppl against 5.4yppl. They allow 3.8ypr against 4.3ypr, 5.7yps against 6.1yps and 4.9yppl against 5.4yppl.
The Bears qualify in a home momentum situation, which is 85-42-9. Numbers favor Chicago by two points and predict about 32 points. Bears laying less than a field goal in this game and they have already defeated GB and Philadelphia at home this year. They were blown out versus NE but the Jets are not NE and they Jets suffered the same fate against NE as well. Sanchez is a little banged up and may not finish this game. Have to believe the Bears defense can do enough to confuse Sanchez into some mistakes. CHICAGO 20 NY JETS 10
Baltimore -3.5 CLEVELAND 40
Baltimore won a close game at home against NO, 30-24 but dominated the line of scrimmage. They out rushed the Saints 5.3ypr to 1.9ypr, including 208 yards rushing. They out passed the Saints 6.4yps to 4.9yps and out gained them overall, 5.7yppl to 4.3yppl. Those numbers are even worse when you consider NO threw the ball 26 more times while Baltimore ran the ball 25 more times. Cleveland disappointed again at Cincinnati, losing 19-17. Both teams rushed for 4.2ypr but Cleveland gave up 9.1yps, while throwing for 7.6yps themselves. Overall, Cleveland out gained Cincinnati 6.5yppl to 5.8yppl but that’s only because Cincinnati ran the ball 31 more times than Cleveland to water down their overall numbers.
Baltimore averages 3.7ypr against 4.1ypr, 6.4yps against 6.2yps and 5.2yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow 4.0ypr against 4.1ypr, 5.7yps against 6.2yps and 5.1yppl against 5.3yppl. Cleveland averages 4.0ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.0yps against 6.1yps and 5.1yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow 4.1ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.4yps against 6.1yps and 5.3yppl against 5.2yppl.
I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor Baltimore by only .5 point and predict about 36 points. Baltimore has played a pretty tough road schedule this year and when they have played teams below .500, they lost at Cincinnati, blew out Carolina (who hasn’t) and won by six at Houston on an interception return in OT. Cleveland has also been competitive at home this year with their only losses by more than two points to Atlanta by 10 (they were in control of that game until Jake Delhomme came in and starting turning the ball over) and by six to the Jets in OT. But, they have not looked good lately. They have suffered some injuries on defense and haven’t been able to move the ball as well on offense the last three weeks (not scoring more than 17 points). The value lies with Cleveland but I don’t like how they’re playing as of late. I’ll call for a three point game and let the line dictate which way I lean. BALTIMORE 20 CLEVELAND 17
KANSAS CITY -5 Tennessee 43
Tennessee jumped out to a big lead and unlike the Giants held on to it in their 31-17 victory over Houston. The Titans ran for 4.9ypr to just 1.8ypr for Houston. They threw for 7.9yps to just 5.1yps for Houston. Overall, they out gained the Texans 6.3yppl to 4.3yppl. KC dominated St. Louis in their 27-13 victory. They ran for 210 yards at 5.0ypr to just 3.3ypr for the Rams. They threw for 5.4yps to 3.4yps for the Rams and out gained them overall, 5.2yppl to 3.3yppl.
Tennessee averages 4.4ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.2yps against 6.5yps and 5.4yppl against 5.5yppl. They allow 3.9ypr against 4.4ypr, 5.9yps against 6.6yps and 5.1yppl against 5.6yppl. Kansas City averages 4.8ypr against 4.3ypr, 6.0yps against 6.4yps and 5.4yppl against 5.4yppl. They allow 4.2ypr against 4.1ypr, 5.8yps against 6.3yps and 5.2yppl against 5.4yppl.
I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor KC by two points and predict about 36 points. I don’t have a good read on either of these teams as of late and respect Tennessee’s defense where they may be able to keep this game close. KANSAS CITY 20 TENNESSEE 16
Indianapolis -2.5 OAKLAND 47
Indy ran all over Jacksonville last week in their 34-23 win. They rushed for 155 yards at 6.5ypr while limiting Jacksonville to just 3.0ypr. They were out passed by Jacksonville, 7.4yps to 5.5yps and out gained Jacksonville slightly, 5.9yppl to 5.8yppl. Oakland destroyed Denver 39-23 as they ran for 264 yards at 6.4ypr to 3.2ypr for Denver. They threw for 9.2yps while allowing 7.2yps to the Broncos. Overall, Oakland out gained Denver 7.5yppl to 4.6yppl.
Indianapolis averages 3.6ypr against 4.3ypr, 6.7yps against 6.6yps and 5.6yppl against 5.6yppl. They allow 4.7ypr against 4.5ypr, 6.1yps against 6.5yps and 5.5yppl against 5.6yppl. Oakland averages 4.9ypr against 4.1ypr, 6.1yps against 6.3yps and 5.6yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow 4.5ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.2yps against 6.3yps and 5.4yppl against 5.4yppl.
Oakland qualifies in a momentum situation, which is 73-33-2. They also qualify in fundamental rushing situations, which are 136-73-5, 81-34-3 and 295-200-22. Numbers actually favor Oakland by 2.5 points and predict about 51 points. Great value and situations favoring Oakland in this game. The lone concern here is Manning versus Campbell and Campbell against Freeney and Mathis. Indy still has playmakers on defense and if they wreak havoc that could tilt this game in the wrong direction. But, Indy is banged up and they’ve won only one game on the road this year by more than three points when they defeated Denver by 14. They’ve also scored at least 24 points in every road game this year so despite being banged up they will score their share of points. They scored at least 27 points in six of their seven road games last year (not counting the season final at Buffalo where they pulled their starters). But Indy has also allowed at least 24 points in all but one of their road games this year (Denver being the exception). Oakland can score as well and they have scored at least 23 points in five of their last six home games. Oakland has finally gotten somewhat healthy and along with Jacoby Ford starting to play, they have playmakers on offense not only in the running game but at receiver and in the kick return games. The defense is serviceable and with Indy banged up at receiver, this gives the Raiders a chance. OAKLAND 33 INDIANAPOLIS 28
Houston -2.5 DENVER 48.5
Houston fell behind early at Tennessee and could never get back in the game in their 31-17 loss. They were out rushed 4.9ypr to 1.8ypr, out passed 7.9yps to 5.1yps and out gained overall, 6.3yppl to 4.3yppl. Denver was beaten handily at Oakland 39-23. They allowed the Raiders to rush for 264 yards at 6.4ypr while gaining just 3.2ypr. They allowed 9.2yps and gained 7.2yps. Overall, they were out gained 7.5yppl to 4.6yppl.
Houston averages 4.7ypr against 4.3ypr, 6.5yps against 6.1yps and 5.8yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow 3.9ypr against 4.4ypr, 7.4yps against 6.5yps and 6.0yppl against 5.6yppl. Denver averages 3.8ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.4yps against 6.1yps and 5.4yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow 4.6ypr against 4.4ypr, 7.1yps against 6.1ps and 5.8yppl against 5.3yppl.
I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor Houston by three points and predict about 56 points. Tim Tebow will get the start again this week. Denver ran the ball an awful lot last week with Tebow in charge. But, his passing numbers are good when he does throw and against this Houston defense he should have some success. Houston has struggled, losing seven of their last eight games, including some in last second heart breaking mode. This game against Denver gives them a chance to get another win. Whether they win or lose this game, there should be plenty of points scored. Houston has allowed at least 24 points in all but one game this year (Rusty Smith started as a rookie quarterback for Tennessee) and at least 29 points in nine of their last 10 games. Denver also gives up their share of points, having surrendered at least 24 points in nine of their last ten games, including at least 29 points in five of their last six games. HOUSTON 31 DENVER 27
GREEN BAY -3 NY Giants 43
The Giants blew a 21 point fourth quarter lead and allowed the games final 28 points to be scored by Philadelphia in their 38-31 loss. They allowed Philly to rush for 197 yards at 9.4ypr while gaining just 3.2ypr themselves. They out passed Philly 6.4yps to 5.8yps. Overall, they were out gained 7.1yppl to 5.1yppl. GB gave a great effort at NE with back up quarterback Matt Flynn but it wasn’t enough in a 31-27 loss. They were out rushed by NE 7.1ypr to 3.8ypr. They did out pass NE 5.4yps to 5.0yps but were out gained overall, 5.8yppl to 4.6yppl partly because they watered down their overall numbers with 22 more runs than NE.
New York averages 4.7ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.8yps against 6.5yps and 5.8yppl against 5.5yppl. They allow 4.3ypr against 4.4ypr, 5.3yps against 6.2yps and 4.9yppl against 5.5yppl. Green Bay averages 3.9ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.9yps against 6.3yps and 5.6yppl against 5.4yppl. They allow 4.6ypr against 4.2ypr, 5.5yps against 6.1yps and 5.1yppl against 5.3yppl.
GB qualifies in a late season situation, which is 61-21-2 but they don’t qualify in the best part of that situation. Numbers favor GB by two points and predict about 40 points. Aaron Rodgers comes back from his concussion this week. This could be a tough game for GB as the Giants front four could cause problems for Green Bay. But, the Packers defense has been superb this year and should be able to create some problems for Eli Manning. I expect a lower scoring game and slightly favor GB laying the short number and at home. GREEN BAY 23 NY GIANTS 17
San Diego -7.5 CINCINNATI 44
SD blew out SF 34-7 as the Chargers were out rushed 4.1ypr to 2.6ypr but out passed SF 10.2yps to 3.7yps. Overall, they out gained SF 5.6yppl to 3.8yppl. Cincinnati defeated Cleveland 19-17 as the Bengal’s rushed for 188 yards as both teams averaged 4.2ypr. Cincinnati also threw for 9.1yps while allowing Cleveland to throw for 7.6yps. Overall, they were out gained 6.5yppl to 5.8yppl primarily because Cincinnati ran the ball 31 more times than Cleveland.
San Diego averages 3.9ypr against 4.3ypr, 8.0yps against 6.4yps and 6.2yppl against 5.5yppl. They allow 3.7ypr against 4.4ypr, 5.0yps against 6.1yps and 4.5yppl against 5.4yppl. Cincinnati averages 3.7ypr against 4.1ypr, 5.8yps against 6.0yps and 5.0yppl against 5.2yppl. They allow 4.6ypr against 4.1ypr, 6.6yps against 6.2yps and 5.7yppl against 5.3yppl.
I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor SD by 11.5 points and predict about 48 points. Bengal’s are beaten up and that didn’t hurt them last week against an average Cleveland team but could cause problems against a very good SD team. The Chargers continue to be banged up at receiver as Gates, Floyd and Crayton will probably miss this game. But, SD, somehow and someway, keeps plugging along and scoring points. I like SD in this game but they come off of three home games in a row so they may look a little better than they are. They did run all over Indy in their last road game but they lost their first four road games on the season (mostly because of poor special teams play) and won by only six at Houston. Cincinnati defeated Baltimore at home this year and lost by six to Pittsburgh and by four to New Orleans so they can compete. I’ll side with SD but it’s not as easy as it looks. SAN DIEGO 27 CINCINNATI 17
Dr Bob
3* Raiders
2* 49ers
2* Browns
Opinions
Packers
Bills
DOUBLE DRAGON
GOM - CHARGERS -7
RAVENS -3
LIONS +3.5
CHIEFS -4.5
BEARS -2
RAIDERS +3
EAGLES -14
FALCONS -2.5
Chuck O'Brien
30 Dime Chiefs
10 Dime Bills
Stephen Nover
100 Dime Colts
Bob Valentino
75 Dime Browns
Don Wallace Sports
4* Detroit +3.5
4* San Francisco +2.5
4* Baltimore -3.5
4* Kansas City -5
4* San Diego -7.5
Brandon Lang
Baltimore Ravens -3
R.A.W. FOOTBALLL
5* KANSAS CITY
4* SAN FRANCISCO
4* DETROIT
4* NEW ORLEANS
3* FLORIDA INT.
Anthony Redd
25 Dime Vikings / Eagles Under 1st Half
25 Dime Vikings / Eagles Under
25 Dime Florida International
Steve Budin
Chicago Bears
Trace Adams
KC Chiefs
Ethan Law
2% Texans/Broncos Over 49.5
2% Rams/49ers Under 30
2% Green Bay -3
Maddux Sports
10 Units Buffalo +7.5
10 Units Chicago -2
10 Units Cleveland +3.5
10 Units Kansas City -4.5
10 Units Washington +7
Andy Fanelli
90 Dime St Louis Rams
60 Dime SD/Cinci Under
Derek Mancini
30 Dime Oakland Raiders
Jay McNeil
10 Dime Bills
Matt Rivers
150,000* Lions
75,000* Ravens
Craig Davis
50 Dime Rams
25 Dime Texans
20 Dime Florida International
Brett Atkins
50 Dime Oakland Raiders
10 Dime SF 49ers
Joel Tyson
50 Dimes Jacksonville
10 Dime Kansas City
Trace Adams
2000 Dime Kansas City
Great Lakes Sports
4* Miami Dolphins
4* St Louis Rams
4* Minnesota Vikings