Marc Lawrence
Baltimore +3.5
The Ravens and Patriots meet for the 2nd time this season at Gillette Stadium, the site where New England beat Baltimore, 27-21. as 2-point favorites the first week in October. The Ravens are 7-4 SU and ATS in post-season play this decade, including 5-0 SU and ATS away from Baltimore in non-division games. The Ravens have been especially competitive under John Harbaugh, the second-year coach who has compiled a solid 22-13 SU and 22-12-1 ATS record during his tenure. When facing a team off a loss, Harbaugh is a stunning 13-1 SU and 12-2 ATS in that role, including 9-0 ATS when his team is off a win. While Bill Belichick is 14-5 SU in his playoff career, he is only 9-9-1 versus the number. Furthermore, the loss of WR Wes Welker is crucial as he is Tom Brady's main possession receiver. A closer look at the tale of the tape shows a New England team that was 7-0 SU against .444 or less opposition, but only 3-6 SU when squaring off against .450 or better competition this season. On the other hand, Baltimore is a staggering 17-2 SU and 15-3-1 ATS when they square off against .625 or less opponents under Harbaugh, including 9-1 SU and 9-0-1 ATS when the Ravens are playing off a win. Going up against a New England defense that surrendered more than 400 yards in four of its final eight games of the season, look for the Ravens to pull the surprise here today. We recommend a 3-unit play on Baltimore
Opposite Action Plays
New England -3.5
Ron Raymond
Arizona
Ken Wisenhunt is one of the best minds in the NFL coaching ranks and he didn’t show the Packers anything on tape last Sunday, knowing they could be playing them again this weekend. The Cards couldn’t care less about last weekend’s 33-7 lost at home, but now it’s time for revenge. Plus, the best player on the field from both teams this Sunday is Larry Fitzgerald and the rule of thumb on Pick’em type games; take the team who has the best playmaker.
The Sportsbooks opened the game at -2.5 and the public is falling in love with last week’s 33-7 score and let’s face it, the Packers are a high profile team and the public loves to bet on public teams. If anything, the line should be going the other way! In fact, the Books made the Cardinals a -3.5 point home fave last week and the Cards already had first placed locked up in the division, so it was a nothing game for Wisenhunt. Take the Cards -1.0 as my 5* NFL WILD CARD BEST BET WINNER.
NFL 80% WINNING BETTING SYSTEM: When ANY NFL Team played as Home team as a Favorite (ARZ) - After a non division game - Playing on grass surface - vs. opponent with a 61% to 70% winning % and they are coming off 2 unders; the Home Fave is 17-4 SU and 14-5-2 ATS. Take Arizona.
Matt Fargo
10* Green Bay Packers
HOT SHOT SPORTS
3* St Marys
Ben Burns
CLE / POR Under 190
I'm playing on Cleveland and Portland to finish UNDER the total. The Blazers have seen each of their last three games finish above the total. That's kept tonight's number generously high. Additional value has been provided by the fact that the number has climbed from its opener. While many will likely expect the Blazers' recent high-scoring trend to continue, I look for this one to be defensive in nature.
Yes, the Blazers have been involved in some high-scoring games of late, most recently a 107-98 win vs. the Lakers. However, it should be pointed out that they've seen the UNDER go a profitable 7-2 the last nine times that they were coming off three or more consecutive games which finished above the total. Additionally, note that the UNDER is 37-17 the last 54 times that they scored 105 or more points in their previous game.
As for Cleveland, the Cavs have seen the UNDER go 6-2 their last eight games. Most recently, they were upset by the Nuggets, a game that stayed below the total by a touchdown. Including that result, they've seen the UNDER go 11-6 when matched up against a team with a winning record. Note that they've also seen the UNDER go 6-3 when coming off a SU loss as a favorite.
While the earlier meeting at Cleveland was high-scoring, the UNDER is 11-4 the last 15 times that the Cavs played at Portland. While I'm not sure how relevant, as I don't generally pay much attention to how team's fare on a specific day of the week, it's also interesting to note that the Cavs have seen the UNDER go 27-7 the last 34 times that they played on a Sunday. I look for those numbers to improve again this evening. *9 Best Bet
GREAT LAKES SPORTS
NFL
4* Green Bay
3* New England
College Hoops
4* Butler
3* Michigan
3* Kansas
NBA
4* Boston
3* New Orleans
3* New Jersey
Teddy Covers
Wash St
Kansas
WAYNE ROOT
Billionaire - Northwestern +8
Millionaire Club - Tennessee
Slam Dunk Club - Washington
OC DOOLEY
4-UNIT NFL Best Bet
Packers at Cardinals
Selection: Cardinals +2'
For those of you who want to make additional wagers I would lean towards the New England Patriots (analysis will be available in the Free section). I would also lean towards New England's Benjamin Watson OVER 32' receiving yards. This evening in college basketball I would lean towards North Carolina to bounce back from a shocking loss earlier in the week
ANALYSIS: Due to a myriad of INJURY issues today's report was delayed (alongh with my typing of analysis). More information on today's early NFL kickoff by 12:40 eastern. Feel free to place those bets on all of the below which have gone through my intense research
Sunday ANALYSIS below
4-UNITS on Cardinals +2' (NFL Best Bet)
3-UNITS on Oregon State +8' (College Basketball LATE NIGHT Best Bet broadcast on Fox-Net)
2-UNITS on Ravens/Patriots UNDER 43' (NFL Total)
ARIZONA: Major line swing with word that Arizona star wideout Anquan Boldin (ankle/knee) most likely will not start. But according to Kurt Warner Arizona prepared for this game WITHOUT including Boldin in the plans. 4 of the 5 injured Cardinals WILL play today. I have found out that Green Bay's secondary has INJURY issues which opens the door for Kurt Warner to have a big day. Last Sunday the Cardinals found out before gametime that a shot at a first-round bye was remote and chose to go conservative against the Packers. Thus I would not read too much into last week's result. Green Bay is on a 7-1 tear but early in the campaign had major problems protecting their quarterback. Arizona has 45 SACKS and can put major pressure on Aaron Rodgers. Here is a whopping 22-3 SYSTEM (88% last decade involving a pair of quality team that have won 60-to-75% of their games) which plays ON teams like Arizona revenging a loss where they scored less than two touchdowns, with a near pick-em line of +3/-3 which is the case today
OREGON STATE: This is a revenge spot for Oregon State who lost the "civil war" on the football field against rival Oregon. I can tell you that Oregon State is UNDEFEATED where it counts this season (6-0 ATS) when facing an opponent with a winning record and that is the case in this late night FOX-NET televised road encounter from Oregon. Take UNDERDOG Oregon State
RAVENS/PATRIOTS UNDER: This is the final "cold weather" game for awhile in the playoffs as all high seeds either play in a dome or at a warm weather site. Prior to last week New England's defense had allowed 10-or-less points in THREE consecutive contests. In the past four games Baltimore has averaged 36 RUSH attempts per game and will be looking to keep the football on the ground since their QUARTERBACK is hurting. Ravens QB Joe Flacco (hip/thigh) left Friday practice early and will be affected by the cold conditions. New England has lost star receiver Wes Welker to injury. Pats 17-6 UNDER in the playoffs since 1992
VERNON CROY
Green Bay Packers @ Arizona Cardinals
5 Units: Over 47
This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and both of these teams are capable of putting up big numbers in a hurry. The Packers are averaging 39 points per game over their last 3 games while the Cardinals are averaging 23.4 ppg overall this season. The Cardinals handed the Packers the game last week but things will be a lot different this week since this is a meaningful game. The Cardinals have averaged 30+ points in each of their last 3 games that they won and the O/U is 18-5 for the Cardinals in their last 23 games when they score less then 15 points in their previous game. The O/U is 7-2 for the Cardinals in their last 9 games after they allow more than 30 points in their previous game and the O/U is 24-8 for the Packers in their last 32 games after covering the number in their previous game. I look for both teams to light up the scoreboard Sunday so take the Over
Sportsbetsnow
2 Units Arizona +1.5
2 Units Rhode Island -1.5
2 Units Maryland -4
Heisman Trophy Club
New Eng
Ariz Over
Executive
250 NE -3
250 Zona +2
MTi Sports
4'* Cavs Over
4* Milw
4* Miami Under