Mike Lineback
5* Baltimore -2.5
BIG AL
Kansas City
Philadelphia
Dwayne Bryant
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5
Boston College +7.5
Wunderdog
Kansas City +3
Baltimore / Kansas City Over 40.5
Kansas City ML +150
Philadelphia -2.5
Green Bay / Philadelphia Over 46
Ben Burns
10* GOY Baltimore / Kansas City Under
Green Bay +3
Sixth Sense
Baltimore -3 KANSAS CITY 40.5
KC has only played one playoff team this year and that was at Indianapolis, in a game they lost 19-9. They played well in that game except they couldn’t put the ball in the end zone for touchdowns and instead had to settle for field goals. Ultimately, that came back to haunt them. Baltimore has played much tougher competition but they have struggled on the road this year. Their only wins on the road by more than three points were at Carolina (again doesn’t count), by six over Houston in OT and two weeks ago at Cleveland by 14. They haven’t played well as of late, struggling at home last week against Cincinnati and although they won 24-10 at Cleveland two weeks ago, they did it on turnovers, but were out gained in that game. Last week Pittsburgh went to Cleveland and won 41-9 to show how different these two teams are currently playing. KC was throttled at home last week by Oakland, 31-10, as they were out rushed 5.6ypr to 4.0ypr, out passed 4.5yps to 2.0yps and out gained overall, 5.1yppl to 2.8yppl. They also allowed seven sacks.
My numbers on this game actually favor KC by 3.5 points and predict about 37 points. One of those sets of numbers used to calculate that 3.5 point line does not factor in the competition, while the other two numbers do. This is KC’s first playoff game in four years. Baltimore would qualify in a 48-20-0 situation if this wasn’t KC’s first playoff game in four years (teams that haven’t been to the playoffs in at least three years tend to play well in their first game). I would consider KC because of the line value but based on how badly they were beaten last week has me worried, along with the situation favoring Baltimore if it weren’t for the situation favoring KC in their first playoff game in a while. The situation still favors Baltimore but isn’t as strong. BALTIMORE 20 KANSAS CITY 17
PHILADELPHIA -2.5 Green Bay 46.5
GB won back in week one 27-20 but this game figures to be much different than week one’s game. Kevin Kolb started that game and was destroyed so badly, he left with a concussion. GB led that game 20-3 before Vick replaced Kolb and almost brought Philadelphia back to the victory. Vick ran for 103 yards in that game and passed for another 175. GB didn’t prepare for Vick in the first game (other than some wildcat formations, etc but will be better prepared for him here). The Packers win last week doesn’t bode well for them here as they qualify in a negative playoff situation, which is 42-18-4 and plays on Philadelphia. But, GB’s defense is solid this year and their strong defense qualifies them in a wildcard situation, which is 21-4-0.
The Packers have suffered a number of injuries this year but their replacements may actually be better than the guys who started the season for them. LB Nick Barnett is out for the season but Desmond Bishop has played much better than Barnett. Rookie S Morgan Burnett is out for the year but Charlie Peprah has replaced the inexperienced Burnett and held his own. TE Jermichael Finley is also lost for the season and they haven’t effectively replaced ****. DE Cullen **** should be back for this game to give GB all of their starters on the defensive line. For Philadelphia, they are banged up on defense, having lost LB Stewart Bradley (probably won’t play), rookie S Nate Allen, DL Graham and they lost their center Jackson in the Packer game. The offensive line has struggled and will face a lot of pressure from the Packers defense.
GB’s defense is very underrated. In the last nine games, they haven’t allowed more than 20 points (with the exception of the NE game where they allowed 31 points but remember an interception return and an offensive lineman returning a kick off to the four yard line accounted for 14 of those points). And remember, in the NE game, Matt Flynn started at quarterback, not Aaron Rodgers Their defense has been so strong this year, GB has scored 10 or less points in three games and won two of those (9-0 over the Jets and 10-3 over Chicago). They lost 7-3 at Detroit. Of their six losses this year, two are by four points and the other four are by three points.
My numbers favor Philadelphia by one point and predict about 45 points. These offenses are pretty even but the GB defense is much better than the Philadelphia defense. With GB getting points and the superior defense, there is some value on GB, especially if you can find three points. GREEN BAY 27 PHILADELPHIA 20
Fairway Jay
Packers / Eagles Over
Larry Ness
10* NFL Playoff Game of the Year
Philadelphia Eagles
Maddux Sports
10 Units Packers / Eagles Over
Nick Parsons
Chiefs 1st Half
PPP
3% Baltimore
3% Green Bay
DOUBLE DRAGON
REGULAR - NEVADA -7
Teddy Covers
Green Bay / Philadelphia Over
Erin Rynning
20* KC Chiefs
Wayne Root
Millionaire - GB Packers +3
No Limit GOY - KC Chiefs +3