3Daily Winners
Dallas
Baltimore
Minn/GB OVER
WAYNE ROOT
Perfect - Carolina
Drew Gordon
1. 300,000♦ Packers
2. 50,000♦ Bills
1. Packers- To the people thinking their getting "value" with the Vikings plus the points here, I have one thing to say: If it looks to good to be true, it probably is! Guys, to say this is the biggest game of the Aaron Rodgers era is not an under-statement, and I fully expect the Packers signal caller to shine in his team's victory today, and here's why:
Let's start with the single biggest problem the Packers had in their last meeting: Protecting Aaron Rodgers. First of all, the possible return of stud LT Chad Clifton is the answer to Jared Allen, who terrorized Rodgers the last time out. Also, the fact the Packers did not allow a sack at Cleveland is a very positive sign. True, its just the Browns defense, but regardless, this young o-line needed an effort like that one after giving up 25 sacks in their first 5 games - and I believe they can build off that today. Rookie LT T.J. Lang has improved in every game he's played, so even if Clifton doesn't play, I expect the rook to step up after an embarassment the last time facing Allen.
Second, say what you will about the Vikings defense, but against a pass-happy team like the Packers, the loss of CB Antione Winfield is HUGE. He was their best cover corner, and you better believe Rodgers will be looking to throw early and often against this short-handed secondary. Also, after torching Detroit and Clevelan in back-to-back games, Rodges comes into this contest more confident than ever in his offense. Yes, they were two NFL doormats, but fact is this offense needed to work out the kinks in protection, and they did just that.
Third, if the Packers lose this game, the Vikings NFC North lead becomes a real issue. Needless to say, that's big-time motivation for a team that came into this season with a lot of expectations. Everyone knows this is a rivalry game, and both teams want to win, but CLEARLY this game is far more important to the Packers, who are seeking revenge and trying to stay alive in the divisional race.
Finally, trends a plenty pointing away from Minnesota and towards the Pack, as the Vikings are just 1-6 ATS in their L7 against winning teams, and just 3-7 ATS in their L10 as a dog! Green Bay is 4-1 ATS over their L5 as a favorite and 8-2 ATS in their L10 in divisional play! In the end, you may think you're getting a bargain with the Vikings at this price, but the Packers learned their lesson, and I fully expect FAR better protection this time around. Given time, Rodgers will take care of business (especially with Winfield out)!
Take the Packers over the Vikings as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Bills- First thing first, FAR too many bettors are enamored with the Texans in this one, as I see plenty of issues arising for them this afternoon in Buffalo. We all know stud WR Andre Johnson is out, and to say that's a big blow just doesn't cover it. His absence changes the entire gameplan for Buffalo and will allow them to keep their coverages honest (without rolling to one side). Make no mistake, this will not be an easy game for Schaub and company.
While I'm not fan of either Bills quarterback, Edwards or Fitzpatrick, there's no doubt in my mind Fitzpatrick needs to be starting. Even before the concussion, Edwards had lost all of his confidence, and it showed, losing 9 of the L12 games he took the bulk of the snaps. Fitzpatrick meanwhile has not only won 5 straight games as a starter, but he looked good (a.k.a. better than Edwards) in the Bills solid 20-9 win at Carolina last week. It wasn't a huge stat line at all, but he did the one thing that Edwards couldn't do: avoid turnovers! Look for another ball-controll offensive gameplan today, and that should work VERY much in the Bills favor.
The biggest disparity between these two teams comes on the defensive side, where the Texans are extremely vulnerable on the road, allowing 25 ppg on 361 total yards! The Bills meanwhile are a typically stingy AFC East team, allowing 17 ppg on 308 total yards... Not great, but good enough to cover against a Johnson-less Texans offense.
Bottom line, with a HUGE majority of the betting public on the Texans, I'm very much inclined to go the other way here. Texans may be a high-powered offense, but in this particular case (no Johnson, on the road, against a Bills team coming off back-to-back wins), I can easily see them losing outright here. I still want you to take the points, but rest-assured, the majority of the betting public is DEAD wrong about this contest. Buffalo grabs the cash Sunday afternoon at home!
Take the Bills plus the points over the Texans in this NFL match up.
NHL PRO PICKS
CAROLINA HURRICANES
5 Dime Sports
5 DIME PLAY-POD
+2 DIME BONUS
NY Giants@Philadelphia
5 Dime Play Take NY Giants -1 The Giants are coming off 2 losses and I just can't see 3 in a row, not against the Eagles who could have lost last week against Washington if it wasn't for Washington's turnovers. Now that would have been pretty lucky for Washington, but still Philly didn't even score in the 2nd half. Eli needs more time in the pocket that's for sure and he will be tested again in Philly. Mario Manningham is Questionable for the Giants, but I expect him to play in this kind of big game, where the Giants need a win. The Giants are 2-0 in the NFC East and going into Philly for this NFC East showdown, coming off of 2 losses is a perfect spot for this type of team to bounce back. Omar Gaither is listed as OUT for this game, which will soften up the middle for the Giants run game. Also Brian Westbrook is listed as Questionable and did not practice this week after suffering a concussion last week. Look for the Giants to bounce back and win 21-17.
2 Dime Bonus Play Under 44.5 This is a straight situational play as the under the total is 23-13 in the last 36 games of the NYG-PHI series, also Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
4 DIME PLAY
Denver@Baltimore
4 Dime Play Take Denver +3.5 Wow, who would have thought the Broncos would be 6-0 right now? The Ravens have been struggling lately and are not sure exactly if they are an actual contender this year. Denver is riding high and has much more power than anyone thought. Denver has the #2 defense and is #1 in points allowed. Orton has thrown for 9 TDs this season with only 1 INT, he is also sitting at number 7 in QB rating (100.1), yeah Orton. As long as Denver has a good game plan to stop Ray Rice on the ground, I believe Denver keeps rolling and keeps playing as a complete unit and with the leagues #1 sack specialist (Elvis Dumervil 10 sacks) they probably do. Both teams are coming off a bye week, so both teams will be rested, even better for an undefeated team heading into Baltimore. Denver is also 6-0 ATS this season. Take the undefeated underdog.
3.5 DIME PLAY
Houston@Buffalo
3.5 Dime Play Take Houston -3 (buy the half) First off if you can't get -3, this is a good play at -4, but for the records I am at -3. Andre Johnson, man he is a beast, 16.7 ypc average and 634 yards with 4 TDs. I can't see the Bills not letting him breakout in this one. Plus Slaton has picked it up the past couple of games and that is what they have been missing. With both of them on the field and doing well, we can expect Schaub to add to his 16 passing TDs that he already has. Not to mention Owen Daniels, man this guy is good. Between Johnson and Daniels they account for 9 of Schaub's 16 TDs. This team is becoming more versitle every week. I am definetly not convinced that Ryan Fitzpatrick is a solid QB in the NFL. He definetly has received a good amount of playing time in the past season, since he played for Carson Palmer when he was out last year. But still, its Ryan Fitzpatrick and right now he's sitting on a 44.7 completion percentage. T.O. did not practice this week and his injury is not listed, but it's not like he has been a factor this season anyways. The Bills have only one rushing TD this season from all of their running backs and that's not going to cut it with Houston's powerfull offense coming to town. Buy the half but not thinking it will really matter.
3 DIME PLAY
Seattle@Dallas
3 Dime Play Take Dallas -9 (buy the hook) Dallas has been in this situation this season already when they played Carolina as a -9 point favorite, which they covered. The Seattle and Carolina rankings are very comparable and Seattle is sitting at 0-2 on the road this season and 0-2 ATS on the road this season. Mario Barber is back in the lineup and he favors well against Seattle's defense. Tony Romo is coming off his best game this season going 21 for 29 with 311 passing yards and 3 TDs with no INTs. He is still proving to the public that he deserves the roll he is in as the starting QB in Dallas. With Miles Austin performing as one of the best receivers in the league the past couple of weeks, this allows Romo to relax knowing his receivers are going to make plays. Seattle has two key players to watch and they have not even been that great. One is T.J Houshmandzadeh and he can be a threat, but I have a feeling he gets shut down this week. The other is Nate Burleson who is very comparable to T.J.. I am not saying they can't be play makers on Sunday, but that's all Seattle has, who you gonna count on Julius Jones, come on, this guy shouldn't even be a starting RB in the NFL. My opinion I guess, but still, I like the Cowboys to beat up on the Seahawks as they did the Falcons last week, they must have something against birds, lol.
3 DIME PLAY
Oakland@San Diego
3 Dime Play Take San Diego -16 ( buy the hook) The Chargers finally got on track last week against KC and now Oakland comes to town, what is this a gift from the heavens. What a break for a team that just played Pittsburgh and Denver. The first time these two teams met this year Oakland was coming off a game that they had high momentum and they almost won. This time they find themselves back to being the slum loards of the NFL. JaMarcus Russell is sitting on 2 TDs and 8 INTs this season and is becoming a locker room disfunction. With Darren McFadden out Oakland looks to Michael Bush (3.6 ypc) and Justin Fargas (3.8 ypc). Oakland's offense is the worst in the league, but they have pulled out two wins this season and I would not be surprised if that's what they end with. Look for the Chargers to continue with how they finished last week at Qualcomm stadium, which we all know is a tough place to play if you are the team paying it a visit.
Scott Spreitzer
Div GOY GB Packers
The Boooj
50 units on Dallas -9.5
10 units on Houston -3.5
10 units on Miami +3.5
Frank Patron
20000 Unit NFL Lock
Green Bay Packers -3
NorthCoast
3'* Dallas
3* Indy
3* Carolina Over
Marquee - Marshall
Inside Corner
4 units Denver Broncos +3.5
3 units Broncos/Ravens OVER 41.5
3 units Houston Texans -3
3 units Raiders/Chargers OVER 41.5
Kelso
200 units Cardinals
15 units Bears
5 units Texans
4 units Chargers
3 units Ravens
Paramount Sports
1.5 Unit Baltimore -3.5
1.5 Unit Tennessee -3
1 unit Seattle +9.5
1 unit SL Rams +3.5
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Denver vs. Baltimore
Play: Baltimore -3
For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this matchup is on the home side: Denver is perfect thus far, both SU and ATS, but I feel its luck will run out on Sunday against a determined Ravens team off its bye-week.
The Broncos have given up a league-low 11 points per game; but they'll be in tough on the road; the Ravens average 28.1 points per game, fifth-best in the NFL.
On the other side of the field: Baltimore's defense is looking to avoid allowing a 100-yard rusher in three straight games for the first time ever with middle linebacker Ray Lewis in the lineup.
However, with a matchup against Knowshon Moreno, who ranks 19th in the league with 63.5 rushing yards per game and is 35th with 3.8 yards per carry, the Ravens have an opportunity to return to form.
This will be Baltimore's second game this season against a 3-4 defense. In Week 2 against the Chargers, quarterback Joe Flacco completed 17 of 26 passes for 190 yards and two touchdowns. He was sacked only once.
Dating back to last season the Ravens are 15-5 ATS their last 20 overall; they are also an awesome 6-2 ATS their last eight at home and 5-1 ATS its last six vs. Denver overall.
Bottom line: I look for Flacco to have a strong game in front of the home town crowd and more than anything this play comes down to who wants it more; after a week off to heal and off three losses in a row, I look for BALTIMORE to improve to 3-1 ATS this season when playing the roll of favorite. BALTIMORE 7*
Rocketman
Miami vs. Jets
Play; Jets -3
Miami is 0-2 SU on the road this year. Miami is scoring only 10 points per game on the road this year. Miami is allowing 25.3 points per game overall this year. NY Jets are allowing 14.9 points per game overall this year and 14 points per game at home this season. NY Jets are 23-9 ATS since 1992 overall vs Miami. Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Dolphins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November. Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November. Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Jets are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Jets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. Dolphins are 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 meetings. Dolphins are 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New York. We'll play the NY Jets for 3 units today!
Mike Lineback
Baltimore -3