Seabass
300* Green Bay
200* San Diego
200* KC Under
100* Carolina
100* Washington
50* Indy
50* Teaser Jax, and Denver Under
Steam 100* Miami
Jim Feist
15* Sunday Pro Parlay of the Month
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS at OAKLAND RAIDERS
Take: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Kansas City (1-7 SU/3-5 ATS) had a terrible first half of the campaign. KC has new looks everywhere after trading TE Tony Gonzalez, bringing in a new coach (Todd Haley), a new GM and a new starting QB in Matt Cassell (10 TDs, 5 INTs). They finally tired of RB Larry Johnson, who wasn't doing anything anyway, and cut him. Chiefs coach Todd Haley continues emphasizing that the team cannot continue hurting itself with negative-yardage plays, such as sacks, penalties and losses. There are some signs of improvement, as Cassell had 253 yards passing in a 26-20 OT loss to the Cowboys, and they had a win, 14-6. With left tackle Branden Albert and center Rudy Niswanger back in the lineup, Cassel threw for 262 yards and two scores -- both to newcomer Chris Chambers. Chambers caught three passes for 70 yards in his Chiefs' debut. The Raiders (2-6 SU/3-5 ATS) only compete when the other team is more inept than they are. They followed a stunning win (by blitzing all the time) over the Eagles, 13-9, with a 38-0 home loss to the Jets, giving up 314 yards rushing, and a loss to the Chargers before their bye week. They are 26th in total defense, dead last in total offense. QB JaMarcus Russell (2 TDs, 9 picks) is not an NFL quarterback. Russell has committed 14 turnovers and completed just 48 percent of his passes in a horrific start to his third NFL season. He has been booed heavily in the past four home games and even benched for the first time of his career when Tom Cable sent in Bruce Gradkowski. The Raiders have lost four of the last six games by at least 20 points and failed to reach 200 yards of offense in four of them. In their only other win, 13-10 at KC, they were outgained 409-166! Raiders coach Tom Cable said he can see the mountaintop from his midseason perch, but he should be warned: That's Mount Davis he's staring up at, and it can blow at any time! Oakland is 0-6 ATS the last 6 at home against KC. Take the Chiefs who have a huge edge here at QB.
ATLANTA FALCONS at CAROLINA PANTHERS
Take: CAROLINA PANTHERS
The Falcons (5-3 SU/6-2 ATS) have excellent balance on offense behind QB Matt Ryan (13 TDs, 8 picks), RB Michael Turner, WR Roddy White and newcomer 33-year old TE Tony Gonzalez. The defense has been a concern, replacing 5 starters, and they rank 28th overall. The defense had totaled only 10 sacks until getting 5 against Washington. Carolina (3-5 SU/3-5 ATS) has had its problems, but they are riding a 3-2 SU/4-1 ATS run. The Panthers have talent on offense, with WRs Steve Smith, plus RBs Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams. They got the ground game going in a 34-21 win at Arizona, with 270 yards rushing, and Sunday in a 30-20 loss at New Orleans. DeAngelo Williams rushed for 149 yards and two TDs, and Carolina gained 182 yards on the ground. The run defense has added 340-pound DT Hollis Thomas, a 14-year veteran, and that will be a plus against the Atlanta ground game. This is a division matchup that always provides lots of competition between these teams. Hard to ignore how well the Panthers have started playing, and against the Atlanta defense this Panther team should be able to run the ball at will which will take pressure of their mistake prone QB. Take the home team as a dog here on Sunday.
Rated Picks
5 Units Dolphins Under 43
All 2 Units
Jets
Lions
Cowboys
Saints
Falcons
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
MEGA BOOKIE BUSTER BLOWOUT NON CONFERENCE PLAY OF THE YEAR
Miami -10
BOOKIE-BUSTING TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR
New England and Indianapolis OVER 47.5
Youngstown Connection
NY Jets -6.5
Northcoast
Marquee - New England
Sportbook Guru
Indy/NE Over 48.5
Gold Sheet LTS
1.5 Denver
1 Jets - Chiefs - Seattle - N England
Wayne Root
15* Packers
10* Bills
6* Panthers
4* Redskins
Steve Duemig
30 Dime Panthers
It may not seem like a lot but sometimes a 1 point move means an awful lot. That is the case here with this division matchups that are always close between these two teams. Now we see the line move only one little point but is the way that we always like to see. In reverse ! Atlanta is catching 80% of the spread bets but yet the line has moved down towards the home team Panthers. That means some awfully big money is hitting the Panthers while the public is knocking down their favorite team in the Falcons. Look for the passing game of the Panthers to wake up in this one against a very raw Falcon secondary. Trust me, in this conference, only the Bucs should be catching point at home, no one else.
10 Dime Redskins
Since the Redskins have been so pathetic lately, it's been hard to notice the outstanding play of "big money" Albert Haynesworth. He can destroy a team's offense by himself. He is playing that well. This will also be the 3rd straight physical defense that Denver's offense will see, and they are coming off the dreaded Monday night game. They are working on a short week and they also have to come west to east. We also have our favorite play trigger. The reverse line move. Denver is getting 83 % of the spread bets, yet the spread has moved DOWN towards the Skins! ! It has moved a full point off the opener of 4.5 to 3.5 as of this writing. I fully expect this spread to move up once again as the public continues to pound Denver. When it starts to move back up to the opener grab the Skins and play with the smart money.
5 Dime Packers
Red hot America's team, the Dallas Cowboys versus a Green Bay team that lost to the Vikings and their former QB one week, and then did the impossible and loss to the Bucs!! Now everyone looks at GB as YUK. Good!! That's what we always look for, VALUE.
The line opened, DAL -1 and has moved up to the key number of 3. With Dallas getting 75% of the bets this is where the public has put it. So we are going to take a stand against the public here and bet against them. All we have to do is hope that Coach McCarthy can get through to Aaron Rogers to dump the ball off and quit taking sacks. He also has to straighten out the Special Teams as well. But we will grab the points here, and the value in the line.
Ron Meyer
15* Chargers
10* Steelers
5* Bills
C Stars Sports Picks
5000 Units Denver
1000 Units New Orleans
1000 Units Atlanta at Carolina over the total
EZWINNERS
** 2 STAR SELECTION **
Date: Sunday, November 15, 2009
Game: Denver Broncos @ Washington Redskins
Sport: NFL
Time: 12:00PM CST
Risk/Win: $220 to win $200
(218) Washington Redskins +3.5
(Line from Betjamaica)
** 2 STAR SELECTION **
Date: Sunday, November 15, 2009
Game: Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sport: NFL
Time: 12:00PM CST
Risk/Win: $220 to win $200
(219) Cincinnati Bengals +7
(Line from Betjamaica)
** 2 STAR SELECTION **
Date: Sunday, November 15, 2009
Game: Buffalo Bills @ Tennessee Titans
Sport: NFL
Time: 12:00PM CST
Risk/Win: $220 to win $200
(221) Buffalo Bills +9
(Line from Betjamaica)
** 2 STAR SELECTION **
Date: Sunday, November 15, 2009
Game: Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders
Sport: NFL
Time: 3:05PM CST
Risk/Win: $220 to win $200
(232) Oakland Raiders -2
(Line from Betjamaica)
** 2 STAR SELECTION **
Date: Sunday, November 15, 2009
Game: New England Patriots @ Indianapolis Colts
Sport: NFL
Time: 7:20PM CST
Risk/Win: $220 to win $200
(239) New England Patriots +3
(Line from Betjamaica)
** 2 STAR SELECTION **
Date: Sunday, November 15, 2009
Game: Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Sport: NBA
Time: 8:35PM CST
Risk/Win: $220 to win $200
(708) Los Angeles Lakers -9
(Line from Betjamaica)
Marc Lawrence
Late Phone Plays
3* ST Louis
3* GB
3* Philly
BLACK WIDOW
6* Widow Wiseguy 2009 AFC GAME OF THE YEAR Jets -6.5
The Jets have had a bye week to steam over their loss to the Miami Dolphins, 25-30, last time out. New York completely dominated every phase of that game except for special teams, where they allowed two 100-plus kickoff returns to Ted Ginn Jr. They also gave up a touchdown to Miami's defense on a fumble from RB Shonn Greene. New York outgained Miami 378-104 in that game, not numbers you would expect to see from the losing team. We strongly feel the Jets will put everything together this week and play a complete 48-minute ball game while dominating all 3 phases Sunday against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars are 4-4 this season, but 3 of those wins have come at home against the Titans, Rams and Chiefs who own a combined 4-20 record. The Jaguars have really struggled on the road, going 1-3 away from home which includes a 41-0 loss at Seattle and a 13-30 loss at Tennessee in their most recent road trips. This is a must-win game for the Jets if they want to make any run at the playoffs, and coming off a bye week New York will piece together their best effort of the season Sunday. The Jets are a stellar 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games off a home loss since 1992, covering the spread 87% of the time in this spot. The Jaguars are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. poor passing teams averaging 175 or less passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons. The Jets won't need to throw the ball much Sunday to run away with this game. Jacksonville allows 157 rushing yards/game on the road and 4.4 yards/carry. The Jets average 178 rushing yards/game and 4.8 yards/carry this season, so they should have no problem moving the ball on the ground all game long against this soft Jaguars' front seven. In 4 road games this season, the Jaguars have been outscored by an average of 13.2 points/game. Take the Jets and lay the points. (This is still a 6* Play at -7, and if the line jumps any higher then we recommend buying down to 7).
5* Wiseguy NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH Cowboys/Packers OVER 47
It's inevitable that this game is going to result in a shootout between the Packers and Cowboys Sunday. Green Bay is really hurting defensively right now, giving up 38 points in each of their last 2 games to the Vikings and Bucs. Yes, some of those points can be attributed to turnovers offensively, but still their defense is not getting the job done. Now they have to face a Cowboys' offense that is hitting on all cylinders right now, and scoring 27.1 points/game on the season. Green Bay is going to have to try and win this one in a shootout, and lean on an offense that is scoring 26.9 points/game this season. The Packers are 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Green Bay is 15-4 OVER (+10.6 Units) after allowing 35 points or more last game since 1992. The Packers are 27-13 OVER (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons. Green Bay is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=5 rushing yards/carry since 1992. The Packers are 15-5 OVER (+9.5 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=375 yards/game since 1992. The OVER is 8-1 (89%) in Packers last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The OVER is 20-5-1 in Packers last 26 vs. NFC opponents. Last but not least, the OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the OVER 47 points.
4* New Orleans Saints -13.5
New Orleans is going to score nearly every time they get the ball, and St. Louis won't be able to score enough points to keep up with them and stay within two touchdowns. The Saints have actually played their best football away from home, going 3-0 and outscoring their opponents by 19.3 points/game. They are scoring 40.3 points/game away from home and allowing 21.0 points/game on the road. Their 3 road wins have come at Philly 48-22, at Buffalo 27-7 and at Miami 46-34. All 3 of those teams are better than the Rams, which obviously isn't saying much since St. Louis is 1-7 this season. St. Louis is 0-3 at home, losing by 27.7 points/game. They are scoring just 11.0 points/game at home and allowing 38.7 points/game. They lost to Green Bay 17-36, to Minnesota 10-38 and to the Colts by a final of 6-42. We see no reason the Saints shouldn't be able to blow out the Rams like those three teams already have, and New Orleans should really be more than a two-touchdown favorite Sunday. The Saints are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. Take New Orleans and lay the points.
4* Minnesota Vikings -16
Minnesota already beat the Lions 27-13 on the road earlier this season. They actually trailed in that game 10-0 before coming back to cover. Now they get the Lions at home, and this game has an even bigger blowout written all over it. The Vikings are coming off a bye, so they have had time to get healthy and should be very hungry to hit the field at home Sunday after having now playing last weekend. Detroit continues finding ways to get blown out. The Lions actually led Seattle 17-0 last week before getting outscored 32-3 the rest of the way to lose by 12 points. The Lions are now 0-4 on the road this season, losing by 20.0 points/game. So even with this big spread, there is still plenty of value with the Vikings. Plus, Minnesota will remember their slow start at Detroit earlier this season and will make a point to get off to a fast start this time around to put the Lions away early. The Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. The Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. No letdown here at Minnesota returns from their bye week and dominates from start to finish. Take the Vikings and lay the points.
4* Denver Broncos -3
After back-to-back losses, the Broncos are finally starting to show value again this week as they travel to Washington. Had they not been blown out the last 2 weeks by the Ravens and Steelers, the Broncos would be closer to a 7-point favorite against Washington this week. Their struggles the last 2 games places all value with Denver this week as they are clearly the better team than the Redskins, and that will show on the field Sunday. Washington has now lost 4 straight games, including 2 home losses to the Chiefs and Eagles by 8 points or more. The Redskins are only scoring 12.2 points/game at home this season, and now Clinton Portis is out with a concussion, taking away their best weapon on offense. Denver's defense has been stout, holding opponents to just 15.5 points/game. Points will certainly be hard to come by for Washington again this week, especially against a Denver team that is very hungry following 2 straight losses. It's easy to see which team will be more motivated. Players in Washington are just looking forward to the end of the season after all of the negative publicity they have been getting through the first 9 weeks en route to a 2-6 record, while Denver has playoff aspirations and really needs this win Sunday to get back on track. The Redskins have really struggled against AFC foes as well. Washington is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. Denver is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992. Though their offense has struggled the last 2 weeks, Denver won't need many points Sunday to cover this spread as they face one of the worst offenses in the league. Take Denver and lay the points.
4* Kansas City Chiefs +2
In a game like this between the 1-7 Kansas City Chiefs and the 2-6 Oakland Raiders, you have to look for motivational edges because clearly both teams have nothing to play for the rest of the season as far as the playoffs are concerned. K.C. will be up for this game after blowing a late lead to Oakland at home earlier this season, losing 10-13. Oakland will find it hard to get motivated Sunday, and that's why the Chiefs are the play here. There is also another interesting angle in this game, where the road team has been absolutely dominant over the last few years. The road team is 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between Kansas City and Oakland. So with Kansas City coming in hungry to avenge their loss earlier this season to the Raiders, and the road team being dominant over the last 3 years, we'll side with the underdog Chiefs to get the job done Sunday. Take Kansas City and the points.