RAS
UC Davis +3.5
Montana State -5.5
Texas Christian +1
Don Wallace Sports
4* Dallas -6
4* New Orleans -11
4* New England -4
4* Baltimore -11
4* Atlanta -3
Pure Lock
Buffalo Bills
Seabass
400* St Louis
200* Steam Minny
200* Steam Detriot
100* Pitt Over
100* Hous
100* Teaser SF and Houston
Wayne Root
Upset Club - Rams
Millionaire - Vikings
Perfect Play - Steelers
No Limit GOY - NY Giants
North Coast Phones
4* GOM Baltimore
3* New Orleans
3* Minnesota
Marqee Giants
The Duke's Sports
Minnesota (+3') for 2 Units
Packers/Vikings 1:00: The Vikings are not fond of their coach and have limited incentive with a playoff berth out of equation; however, like every other NFL team, they are professionals and are playing for their jobs. In this instance, we see the Vikings showing up to play hard today. Favre has practiced hard all week in prepping for his last meeting vs his former team. Sidney Rice's return will surely add value to the receiving corps despite the limited time he'll see. And the Vikings' defense remains solid. The dog in this series is 17-6 ATS and the Vikings have covered 4 of their last 5 home games. The Vikings are looking to avenge their 28-24 loss from October 24th. Green Bay is a sluggish 1-8 ATS in November vs an opponent off a double-digit SU loss with revenge, and they're 2-10 ATS as a .500 or greater team on the road vs a division opponent off a division game with revenge. The Vikings are a perfect 7-0 ATS in November off a SU loss vs a .500 or greater opponent off back-to-back SU wins. Minnesota the call.
Bryan Leonard
Buffalo at Cincinnati
How is it possible to have the most improved team in the league over the past four games with nobody knowing it? But that's exactly what the Buffalo Bills have done after starting the season 0-5 while being outscored by a combined 74 points. The last four games Buffalo lost by 3 at Baltimore, lost by 3 in overtime at Kansas City, lost by 3 in Toronto against Chicago and beat Detroit at home by 2. Now they are catching six points at Cincinnati? This is a team starting to believe in themselves that are still considered the dregs of the league. Buffalo is the kind of under the radar bargain you rarely find in the NFL. They are 3-1 ATS in road games this year and 3-0-1 ATS the last four times they have taken the field.
Cincinnati entered the season as the defending AFC North Champions. They are currently 2-7 having lost six straight games. Two weeks ago they openly talked about beating the Steelers in a must win situation. They lost at home to Pittsburgh 27-21. Last week they had a negative five turnover game against the Colts but to their credit they refused to give up sneaking in with a one point spread cover. But now at 2-7 and way out of the playoff race do you really think this cast of characters will self motivate themselves to play well against what they consider a bad football team? After all Cincinnati is just 1-8 ATS as a home favorite the past three seasons.
After facing Buffalo the Bengals take on the Jets, Saints, Steelers, Browns, Chargers and Ravens to end the season. Since this is the Holiday Season you can put a fork in them, their season is over. And if we know that you know this cast of characters has already planned their off-season vacations.
Vince Akins
Giants at Eagles
Pick: Giants +3.5
The public is all over the Eagles after Michael Vick and the Eagles historic performance on Monday night while the Giants laid an egg at home against Dallas last week. Yet Vick was great in that game and is great, while New York was just brutal last week. However, you never want to read too much into one week. Before last week, New York was the consensus top team in the NFC while Philadelphia was more of a question mark. Things are ever-changing in the NFL and we look for them to change again here.
Things were so good for Philadelphia offense in that 59-28 win that they had extraordinary days both running and throwing the ball. They rushed for 260 yards while throwing for 332. The Eagles are 0-7 ATS (-8.7 ppg) since October 29, 2006 at home the week after a game in which they had at least 150+ yards rushing (team=Eagles and H and 150<=p:RY and 20061029<=date). Also, the Eagles are 0-6 ATS (-7.8 ppg) since September 25, 2005 at home the week after a win in which they had at least 300 yards passing (team=Eagles and H and 300<=p:PY and p:W and NB and 20050925<=date).
Despite being torn up by Jon Kitna last week, the Giants still have a strong pass D, as they’ve allowed opponents to complete just 54.98% of their passes. The Eagles are 0-7 ATS (-13.0 ppg) since October 06, 2002 within 3 of pick when facing a team that has allowed less than 55% completions season-to-date.
In general a home loss to the rival Cowboys, gets New York next game. The Giants are 6-0 ATS (9.6 ppg) since September 21, 1992 after a straight up loss at home versus the Cowboys (team=Giants and p:HL and po:team=Cowboys and 19920921<=date).
What was unusual about that game was because of the big plays, NY actually held the ball for 37:51 despite the 33-20 margin. The Giants are 8-0 ATS (10.4 ppg) since December 04, 2005 within 3 of pick after a game when they had more than 34 minutes of possession time (team=Giants and -3<=line<=3 and 34*60<p:TOP and 20051204<=date).
As a 13-point favorite, they failed to cover by 26 in the game. The league is since December 13, 2009 when they controlled the ball more than their opponent last game but failed to cover by at least 19 points (p:ats margin<=-19 and 1800<=p:TOP and 20091213<=date).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: NY Giants 27, PHILADELPHIA 21
Evan Altemus
1* Colts / Patriots Under 50
These teams are known for high scoring offenses and porous defenses over the last few years. However, both offenses have been down this season. New England's offense hasn't be anywhere near as potent as in recent years, and now they don't have Randy Moss, who was the only receiver that stretched the field. Now they focus more on throwing to their talented rookie tight ends and shorter passes. Meanwhile, Indianapolis' offense is dealing with injuries to several key players on offense. They are dealing with injuries to seven important players on offense heading into this game. Several players are questionable and nowhere near 100%. The Colts have had the luxury of facing some very weak defenses this season, as well as facing some better teams at home. However, they have been held somewhat in check by Cincinnati, Philadelphia, and Kansas City, but those defenses are far from the better defenses in the league. Bill Belichick usually has a good game plan against Peyton Manning as well. Before last year's debacle, the Patriots had held the Colts to 20 and 18 points in their last two games against them. In addition, this game will be outside at Foxboro, and the Colts offense is vastly different outside compared at home on turf. I expect the Patriots game plan will be to use ball control offense with short passes and runs in order to keep the Colts offense off the field. Look for this game to be lower scoring and fall under the inflated total.
King Creole
1* Browns / Jags Over 43
Both the Brownies and Jaguars are on major "Over" runs as of late. Cleveland comes in with a 4-0 O/U record in their last 4 games (6-1 O/U last 7). And the Jaguars are 3-0 O/U in their last 3 (5-1 O/U last 6). The Jaguars scored 35 pts vs Dallas BEFORE their Bye Week... and 31 pts vs Houston AFTER their Bye Week...
5-0 O/U since 2003: All non-division home teams playing off BB SU wins in which they scored 31 > points in EACH game (JAX) vs any opponent off a SU loss (CLEV)...
6-0 O/U since 2006: All Conference teams playing off a SU and ATS win (and 'OVER) in the games BEFORE and AFTER their Bye Week (JAX).
Cleveland is a VERY 'short' road underdog in this game. Combine the pointspread and the current 'Over' streak by each team... and a high-scoring outcome will be the result.
18-5 O/U since 2001: All non-division road underdogs of LESS than (<) 3 points playing off an 'Over' (CLEV) versus an opponent also off an 'Over' (JAX) when the OU line is < 45 points. In the last 4 years, these teams are 10-2 O/U...
The Jaguars rushed for 165 yards in their home win against the Texans last week.
4-0 O/U THIS season: All favorites of yards (JAX).
Marc Lawrence
St. Louis Rams +3
The Falcons fly out onto the road for the first time in over a month when they last played at Philadelphia in a 14-point loss in which they were outstatted, 474-293, on October 17. That's a long time between flights and this should be a rocky flight. It doesn't help matters knowing Atlanta is 1-13 ATS in games off back-to-back victories against teams off a straight up loss, including 10 straight failures in a row. The database cements it with the fact that NFL non-division road favorites of three or more points off three straight home games are 3-21 ATS when facing .666 or less opponents since 1980. With four of the Rams' five losses this season being by just 11 combined points, we'll stay at home with the dog here today. We recommend a 3-unit play on St. Louis. Thank you and good luck as always.
MTi Sports
5* NY Giants +3
David Malinsky
5* UNC / Vandy Over 147.5
3GSports
10* Philly
5* Seattle
4* SF
4* STL