BLACK WIDOW
6* Widow Wiseguy AFC North GAME OF THE YEAR Cincinnati Bengals +9
Once again, the Bengals aren't getting any respect from the odds makers. Perhaps when they upset the Baltimore Ravens Sunday, they will start taking notice. Cincinnati should be 4-0 this season if it wasn't for a miracle by Denver in Week 1. Baltimore is a very good team, but they aren't 9 points better than the Bengals Sunday. Ravens' players were making all kinds of excuses after their 27-21 loss to the Patriots last week, and it just goes to show the character of some of their players. The Bengals have a complete team this season, which is what it takes to win in this league consistently. Their defense is giving up just 19.0 points/game. Offensively they have balance, rushing for 123 yards/game and passing for 196 yards/game. So far, the Bengals have not gotten the respect they deserve and players know it. They realize this is their chance to put their names back on the map as one of the top teams in the league, a claim they had a few years ago before Carson Palmer went down with a knee injury. But he's back and better than ever, improving with each game. Ochocinco has worked his way back to becoming one of the game's top receivers, catching two touchdown passes last week. The Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. The Bengals are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5. The Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 5. Take Cincinnati and the points.
4* Redskins/Panthers NFC "Side" Surefire Carolina -3
Carolina is coming off a bye and ready to get going. They are not going to give up on their season, sitting 0-3 right now. But when you look at who they've played it's pretty easy to see why the record is where it is. They have lost to the Eagles, Cowboys and Falcons, three teams with .500 records or better. Now they face easily their weakest competition of the season Sunday in the Washington Redskins. Washington is 2-2 but they are lucky to have two wins. The Redskins beat St. Louis 9-7 at home, a Rams' team that everyone else in the league is demolishing. They beat Tampa Bay 16-13 last week at home, another team that the rest of the league is crushing. They even had to come from behind to beat the Bucs. Carolina is still the better team here Sunday in spite of their record, and that will show on the scoreboard once this one goes final. Look for the Panthers to get back to running the football which is their strength, because Washington has not been good against the run. The Redskins have given up at least 100 yards rushing in all 4 games this season, allowing an average of 128 rushing yards/contest. This is also the same Washington team that allowed the Detroit Lions to end their 19-game losing streak a few weeks back. Carolina is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. They have gone away from what they do best, and over the bye week they have figured out that they need to get back to pounding the rock. Take Carolina and lay the points. (Recommend buying 1/2 point down to -3 after we got in on this line early in the week)
4* Falcons/49ers NFC "Side" Surefire San Francisco -2
The 49ers are 2 seconds away from being 4-0 this season. They have one of the best defenses in the game, and it gives San Francisco a chance to win every contest. Atlanta is 2-1 this season, but in their only road game they looked terrible. The Falcons lost 10-26 at New England in their lone road contest, putting up just 257 yards of total offense in the loss. The Patriots put up 277 passing yards alone, and 168 more rushing to boot. This San Francisco defense is allowing just 13.2 points/game and 284 yards/game, coming off a shutout 35-0 win over the Rams last week behind 3 defensive touchdowns. The 49ers are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. The 49ers are 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0. The 49ers have won 7 of their last 9 regular season games since Mike Singletary took over. Take San Francisco and lay the points.
4* Pats/Broncos AFC "Side" Surefire New England -3
The Denver Broncos are the most overrated team in the league right now because of their 4-0 start. But the Patriots will put an end to the madness by going into Denver and coming out with a win. The Patriots are, by far, the more superior team here and it will show on the scoreboard. The Broncos have been great defensively, but they haven't played an offense like the Patriots. They have played the Browns, Raiders, Bengals who were rusty in Week 1, and the Cowboys who are clearly lacking offensive explosiveness without any proven wide receivers. The Patriots have Tom Brady, Wes Welker and Randy Moss. They cannot contain these three in four quarters. Not to mention the Patriots' defense is playing great this year. The Pats are giving up just 17.7 points/game this season and 287 yards/game and that's impressive considering they've played the likes of the Falcons, Ravens, Jets and Bills, a much tougher schedule than Denver has faced. New England boasts a 25-5 SU & 21-7 ATS record as road chalk of less than a TD in the Belichick era. Take the Patriots and lay the points. (Recommend buying 1/2 point down to -3 after locking this line in early in the week)
5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK Texans/Cardinals OVER 48
This is easily the best Total for your money Sunday. Yes, it's a lot of points, but not for Houston and Arizona. The Texans are scoring 34.0 points/game on the road and giving up 31.0 points/game on the road this year. Arizona is giving up 25.5 points/game at home. After a bye week, look for the Cardinals to get going offensively with a little extra practice time for Warner and his receivers to gel. Houston is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in dome games since 1992. The Texans are 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons. Arizona is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. Arizona is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. These are two great offenses and two of the worst defenses in the league on display Sunday, making a high-scoring shootout inevitable. Take the OVER 48 points here.
DOUBLE DRAGON
PANTHERS -4
RAVENS -9
49'ERS -2.5
BRONCOS +3
TITANS +3.5
The Prez
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6* NFL BIG GAME TOTAL
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Falcons / 49ers Under 41
8* PREZIDENTIAL CLUB PUNISHER
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Bengals / Ravens Over 42
10* SUPREME COURT CLUB GOM
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Texans / Cardinals Over 49
8* PREZIDENTIAL CLUB PUNISHER
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New England Patriots -3.5
7* CHAIRMAN'S CLUB CRUSHER
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Indianapolis Colts -3.5
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4 units Indy -3
3 units New England Under 42
2 units Minnesota Over 40
3 units Buffalo -5.5
Steven Budin
25 Dime Release - Carolina
Tim Trushel
20* Seattle
Cincinnati
Tennessee
FRANK PATRON
20000 UNIT NFL LOCK
HOUSTON / ARIZONA OVER 50
RatedPicks
Baltimore Ravens: -8.5 2 units
Pittsburgh Steelers: -10.5 2 units
Atlanta Falcons: +2.5 2 units
Texans / Cardinals Over 50 2 units
New England Patriots: -3 2 units
Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 (+140) 2 units
Minnesota Twins: +165 1 units
Wayne Root
Football Upset Club
7* Broncos (+3) over Patriots
6* Seahawks (-1½) over Jaguars
Psychic
2 unit Tampa +15
2 unit Cincinnati +9
3 unit Dallas -8.5 (best bet)
3 unit Cleveland +6 (best bet)
4 unit Atlanta +2.5 (major)
4 unit Tennessee +3.5 (major)
5 unit New England 3 (wiseguy)
Jim Feist
20* Hi Roller
CINCINNATI BENGALS at BALTIMORE RAVENS
TAKE: CINCINNATI BENGALS
The Bengals (3-1 SU/2-2 ATS) have problems on defense and a weak offensive line, but they have been very competitive. They are the cardiac kids, winning in spectacular fashion with a late TD against the Steelers, then topping the Browns in OT Sunday, 23-20. That’s because QB Carson Palmer (6 TDs, 5 INTs) has been leading the charge, most noticeable in a stunning win at Green Bay, 31-24. They’ve been looking for more balance on offense to take the heat off Palmer, giving the football more to RB Cedric Benson. He rushed for 141 yards against the Packers, 76 against the Steelers and 74 against the Browns. When you realize they lost the opener to Denver on a fluke TD in the final seconds, this team should be 4-0. Baltimore (3-1 SU/ATS) is led by QB Joe Flacco (8 TDs, 3 INTs, 1,203 yards) and very good offensive coordinator Cam Cameron, who is sharp at keeping the opposition guessing. The Ravens are coming off their first loss, 26-21 at New England, despite 363 yards. A late drive could have won it, but a fourth down pass was dropped inside the 10. The Ravens defense has give up points this season in bunches and really they have been out scoring their opponents in their wins. The Bengals offense should be able to keep up here and with nearly double digits in our back pocket, we'll take a very good offensive dog with the Bengals over the Ravens.
BEN BURNS
Div. GAME OF THE YEAR!!
I'm taking the points with TENNESSEE. The Titans have certainly gotten off to a disappointing start. Indeed, they had Super Bowl dreams coming into the season and now they find themselves at 0-4. While making the playoffs is still mathematically possible, its going to be extremely difficult. That said, a win over the division leaders on national TV will go along away. I believe that the Titans are more than capable of pulling it off. Tennessee isn't ready to panic. Fisher is a veteran coach, one who took his 2002 team all the way to the AFC Championship game, after that team started 1-4. He was quoted as saying: "They'll find a way out of this...I know I've said this before, but you come back and you work and you try to find a way to win the next game and keep your focus on improving." Yes, the Titans have some injuries on defense and yes the unit got lit up last week. However, they're better than that performance indicates and I expect them to bounce back with a much better effort this week. Keep in mind that the Titans held the Steelers to 13 points in the opener and they allowed an average of only 14.6 points per game all of last season. Also in fairness to the Titans, this is only their second home game all season. They lost their first (vs. Houston) but that was only by three points. I had the Texans in that game, so wasn't that surprised to se the Titans stumble. However, that was off a very tough loss vs. the defending champs. the Titans were laying a touchdown, instead of getting more than a field goal, and they weren't quite in "desperation mode" yet, as they should be here. Looking back a bit further and we find the Titans at 12-5 their last 17 games here with each of the last two losses coming by only a field goal. That includes a 31-21 victory over these same Colts a little less than a year ago. In fact, the Titans have taken two of the last three meetings with the Colts here and the lone loss came by only two points. Looking at the last nine meetings between these teams here and we find that the Colts have won only two of them by more than two points. Despite their 4-0 start, the Colts have looked vulnerable at times. In their only other divisional game, they beat Jacksonville by just two points. They also were fortunate to beat Miami by four, a game the Dolphins controlled much of the way. They're just 2-4-1 ATS the last seven times that they were road favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. They're also 1-4 ATS the last five times that they played a road game with an over/under line ranging from 45 to 49.5 points. The Titans are 4-0 ATS the last four times that they were underdogs in the 3.5 to 9.5 range. I expect them to play their best game of the season and improve on those numbers here. *10 Top AFC South side
KIKI Sports
GOY Colts
Kelso
100 units Bengals
15 units Panthers
4 units Giants
5 units Falcons
3 units Cards
Brandon Lang
40 Dime SF 49ers
10 Dime NE/Den Over
10 Dime Texans
10 Dime Chiefs
10 Dime Colts
Free Play Ind/Tenn Over