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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Sunday, October 11,2009

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Drew Gordon

200* Atl

50* Den

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 10:35 am
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Blazer

4 49ers

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 10:35 am
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Adam Meyer

GOY - Pats -3

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 10:37 am
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
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New England vs. Denver
Play: Denver +3.5
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For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this game is on the home side: Whether they deserve it or not, the Broncos are 4-0 and new head-coach Josh McDaniels will be in his first head-to-head battle with his mentor as Bill Belichick and Patriots head into Denver as 3 1/2 point favorites. McDaniels brought in Mike Nolan as defensive coordinator and he installed a 3-4 scheme that has paid significant dividends for the Broncos, who have allowed 26 points and two TD's which are both league bests. The unit also ranks atop the AFC in yards allowed (239.8), sa~cks (15) and turnovers (10). Denver is plus-7 in turnover differential and has already converted those takeaways into valuable points. Perhaps most surprisingly, the Broncos are getting efficient play from Kyle Orton, who has completed 59.0 % of his passes for 906 yards with five TD's and no INT's. He went 20 for 29 for 243 yards and two TD's against Dallas last week. Dating back to last season, Denver is 4-1 SU/ATS its last five overall and 15-5 ATS its last 20 vs. New England. On the other side of the field: The Patriots have been sharp at home, and not so great on the road; when asked to evaluate his team, Tom Brady replied: "We're trying to make some improvements," he said. "Obviously, we wish that we would be 4-0, but we're not. We've played some good teams, some good defenses that have really challenged us in some different ways. This week will be a big test for us, (and) another very talented defense, a very well-rounded team, a well-coached team. We've got our work cut out for us." New England is also just 1-2 ATS against conference opponents this season. Bottom line: With nearly 90% of the money on the Patriots, New England continues to be the one of the biggest public teams out there and the oddsmakers know it; and that, I believe, offers us a big opportunity on the undervalued Broncos. When taking all of the above factors into consideration, I look for DENVER to move to 11-3 ATS and 12-2 SU vs. the Patriots when playing in front of the hometown crowd and for New England to fall to 0-2 ATS on the road this season! 10* Broncos
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Indianapolis vs. Tennessee
Play: Tennessee +3.5
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For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this game is on the home side: Tennessee and Indianapolis both made the playoffs out of the AFC South as the Titans finished with the league's best record to end the Colts' run of five straight division titles last season; this year the Colts are 4-0 and the Titans are reeling with an 0-4 record and now have to face the leagues best offense. Despite the awful start, coach Jeff Fisher is trying to stay positive. His 2002 team started 1-4 but managed to reach the AFC championship game; "They'll find a way out of this, and that's all we can do," Fisher said. "I know I've said this before, but you come back and you work and you try to find a way to win the next game and keep your focus on improving." One extremely bright spot for Tennessee has been the play of running back Chris Johnson, who leads the league with 434 yards rushing. He ran for 77 yards and a TD on 19 carries in the win over Indianapolis last season. It has to be pointed out that the Titans are 5-1 ATS their last six vs. the Colts and 6-3 ATS their last nine when playing at home vs. Indianapolis. On the other side of the field: Peyton Manning looks like an unstoppable machine again and his defense has been just as awesome, however I believe the Colts are in for a letdown in this game as they play a desperate home squad; it's interesting to note that Indianapolis is a poor 2-4 ATS over the last two seasons as a road favorite of 3 1/2 to 7 points. Bottom line: Tennessee is already 1-0 ATS as an underdog of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points and over the last two seasons its 4-0 ATS in the same position! Look for the Titans to do just enough in this one to sneak away with the ATS victory! 9* Titans.

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 10:37 am
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The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections

NFL FOOTBALL BLOWOUT CONSENSUS WINNER

Minnesota -10

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 10:40 am
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Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections

WIZARD WIPEOUT LATE STEAM TOTALS BIG EASY WINNER

Dallas / Kansas City UNDER 44

LATE BREAKING NFL NO HYPE BLOWOUT

Philadelphia -15

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 10:41 am
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KBHoops

5* Seattle Pk **POD**
5* Atlanta +1
5* Arizona/Houston OVER 50.5
4* New England -3
4* Washington +5
3* Kansas City +7.5 -120

Pitbull

20 units Atlanta +1
15 units St. Louis +10.5
15 units Kansas City +7.5
15 units Oakland +15.5
10 units Tennessee +3.5

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 10:44 am
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Wunderdog

Oak
Det
Wash
Rams
Denver

Mike Neri

4 Caro
3 Den
3 Seattle

Robert Ferringo

1-Unit Play. Take Boston (-135) over L.A. Angels

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9.5 N.Y. Yankees at Minnesota

1-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-110) over Colorado

Wildcat

10* Jacksonville

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 10:50 am
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Underdog

TENN

Underdog Hotline

Jags

North Coast

Sun Night Marquee

Colts

PPP

4% San Fran
3% Den, Jags

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 10:54 am
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Sports Unlimited

7* Wash
4* Titans
4* Browns

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 10:57 am
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Sports Bank

400 Dallas

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 10:57 am
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SCORE

400 PHILADELPHIA
300 Atlanta
300 Indianapolis

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 10:59 am
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Kyle Bales

15* 49ers -2.5

10* Colts -3.5

5* Panthers -3.5

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 10:59 am
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Dave Malinsky

4* Minny under 41
4* Carolina -4
4* Dallas under 44
4* Cleve 6

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 11:02 am
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Doc's Sports

2 units Dallas Stars

 
Posted : October 11, 2009 11:04 am
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