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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Sunday, October 17,2010

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Posts: 318493
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Tim Trushel

Denver

Seattle

 
Posted : October 17, 2010 7:38 am
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Bob Valentino

Chicago Bears

 
Posted : October 17, 2010 7:39 am
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Larry Ness

10* 27-Club Play Houston Texans

Houston faces what is as close to a "must-win" situation as there can be this early into the season. After its 34-10 loss at home to the Giants in Week 5, the Texans are 3-2 this season and facing the Chiefs on the eve of their bye week. They return off that bye week with a very difficult test, traveling to Indy to face a Colts team looking for payback for the Texans' Week 1. All four AFC South teams are 3-2 at this point and Houston can ill-afford to fall to 3-3 with its next game being at Indy. In Houston's 34-10 loss to the Giants last week, Eli Manning picked the Texans defense apart for 297 passing yards. Houston's pass defense is clearly their biggest weakness, as they are last in the NFL in pass defense (329.6 passing YPG). However, the Texans catch a HUGE break this week facing a Kansas City passing attack that is 31st (of 32 teams) in the NFL, averaging 158 YPG. QB Matt Cassell threw for 250 yards with three TDs against the now 0-5 49ers but has just one TD pass while averaging 133.3 YPG through the air in the team's other three games. In those three games, the Chiefs converted a woeful 6-of-34 third down chances (17.6%). TE Moeaki leads the team with 16 catches and no WR has reached 10 catches (RBs Charles and McCluster rank 3rd and 4th in receiving on the team). The Chiefs played the Colts tough but the team is averaging only 19.3 PPG along with 306.8 total YPG. Charlie Weis' offense is scoring only 12.5 PPG and gaining only 286.5 total YPG away from home this season. Kansas City needs to establish its running game behind Thomas Jones and Jamal Charles (ranks 10th at 148.8 YPC / 4.5 YPC) but the Texans' have displayed an ability to stop the run, as their defense is holding their opponents to 79.6 YPG (3.6 YPC), ranking 6th in the NFL (no RB has topped 70 yards in game this year). Kansas City possesses the 25th pass defense in the NFL (239.5 YPG) and I expect Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson to have big days against the KC secondary. Schaub passed for a league-high 4,770 yards last season and while he's not on a pace like that this year, the KC pass D is just what the doctor ordered. Foster, who gained only 25 yards on the ground last week against the Giants (11 carries), but he was the NFL's best RB the first four weeks, averaging 134.8 YPG in topping 100 yards three times. I went against the Chiefs last week with the Colts and won (not as easy as I anticipated), and I'll go against them again here. I mentioned last week that I believe the Chiefs are HIGHLY overrated (remember, KC was just 10-38 the previous three seasons). The Chiefs have played a weak schedule with their wins coming against San Diego (a talented team but a mess), Cleveland and San Francisco, who have combined to go 3-12. As mentioned at the top, Houston really needs this game and its blowout 34-10 loss to the Giants is not exactly a bad thing. The Texans have rebounded to cover the pointspread in EIGHT of the last nine occasions where they failed to score at least 14 points in their previous game. They have also covered the pointspread in FOUR straight games following a home game where they lost by double-digits.

 
Posted : October 17, 2010 7:40 am
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Tony George

Chicago Bears -6.5

Cutler is slated to play, if not for some reason just drop it to a unit play here if it bothers you, but Seattle overrated all year after a couple of lucky wins, and I like them here to get pounded like they did in Denver a few weeks back on the road. Chicago will run Forte who found his step last week and Seattle just 1-10 ATS away from home their last 11 games. Not the same team on the road and they also are running back by committee. Chicago a good team who NOW will balance their attack, and at home they should be more than good here for a blowout of 12 points or more, Seattle managed 3 points on the road at St Louis for crying out loud! Play 1 .5 Units Chicago Bears

 
Posted : October 17, 2010 8:02 am
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401k Sports

4* HOUSTON -4 over Kansas City

Well we are going against the Chiefs again as our top play. The Texans one big weakness is versus the pass, but the Chiefs have been very poor throwing the ball. They fought hard last week against the Colts but managed just 260 total yards and 3 field goals. It is tough to go on the road in back2back weeks against these kind of offenses. The Texans are coming off a totally embarrassing loss at home last week to the Giants. They had less than 200 yards of offense but the Texans seem to be getting healthy and they have a bye next week. I do not see them wanting to go into that bye off back2back home losses. I also think that the Texans run game will be effective here which in turn will open up play action for Schaub. The Chiefs played alot of dime last week to try and take away the Colts passing game which did work but the Colts running game is not as strong as the Texans. I believe the Texans are ready to take out their frustration out on someone and looking ahead to the bye week to try and fix some things. Lets back the Texans at home today as our top play. Houston 28 Kansas city 17!!

 
Posted : October 17, 2010 8:04 am
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Brandon Lang

Indianapolis Colts

 
Posted : October 17, 2010 9:32 am
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Ben Burns

Philadelphia Phillies

Anaheim Ducks

 
Posted : October 17, 2010 9:33 am
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Anthony Redd

20 Dime Seattle
20 Dime San Diego
20 Dime Baltimore

Great Lakes Sports

5* GOM New Orelans Saints
4* Chicago Bears
3* Minnesota Vikings

KIKI SPORTS

2 Units Tampa Bay +4.5
1 Unit Oakland +7
1 Unit Washington +3

Paul Leiner

50* SD/StL Over 44.5

Cowtown Sports

5* New Orleans -4
5* Dallas +1

ATS Lock Club

7 Units Pittsburgh Steelers -13.5
6 Units NO Saints -4
5 Units NY Jets -3
4 Units Baltimore Ravens +3

3 Units Philadelphia Phillies/SF Giants Under 7

Wayne Root

TV GOW - Dallas Cowboys
Fav Of Week - New England Patriots
Millionaire - Denver Broncos
Billionaire - Philadelphia Eagles
No Limit GOM - Washington Redskins
Pinnacle - SF 49ERS
Perfect Play - Seattle Seahawks

 
Posted : October 17, 2010 9:42 am
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Jeff Benton

20 DIME BRONCOS

10 DIME BRONCOS/JETS OVER

 
Posted : October 17, 2010 9:49 am
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Must Win Sports

5 Units NY Giants

Rocketman

4* Minnesota Vikings -1

3* Indianapolis Colts -3

NEXT UPDATE AT 11:30 SO NO NEED TO KEEP HITTING UPDATE

 
Posted : October 17, 2010 10:01 am
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Mario Calabrese

50 Units Patriots

KELSO

50 Units NY Jets -3.5
25 Units Ravens +2.5
15 Units Indy -3
10 Units Miami +3
5 Units Detroit +10
5 Units Oakland +6.5

10 Units Philadelphia Phillies -155

Mike Jacobs

2500* Baltimore Ravens +2.5

The Prez

5* Colts

Evan Altemus

3 Units Dolphins +3

King Creole

2* Ravens/Patriots Under

Bob Balfe

New York Jets -3.5

Northcoast

Marquee Total - KC/Hous Over

Steve Duemig

30 Dime - Seahawks
5 Dime - Texans
5 Dime Teaser - Ravens & Falcons

APwins

4 Units Ravens + 3.5
3 Units Dolphins + 3.5
3 Units Tampa + 4
3 Units Raiders + 6.5
2 Units Vikings - 1

NEXT UPDATE AT 12:00

 
Posted : October 17, 2010 10:30 am
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Rainman

5* Bears
3* Kansas City
3* Indy
1* Pitt
1* San Diego
1* Kansas City/Houston Under

Fantasy Sports Gametime

100* Philadelphia -155

25* Vancouver -185

The Boss

500% Untouchable Play New Orleans
300% Bookie Buster Parlay Indy, New England, New Orleans
200% Dog Pound KC
100% Silent Assassins Over Jax, Under New Orleans, Under San Diego

Seabass

300* Denver +3
200* Houston -4
200* SF -7
100* Dallas +2
100* Philly -1

Mike Anthony

Kansas City Chiefs
Browns/Steelers Under 37.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Northcoast

4* GOM- Chi
3* N Orleans, Minn
Marquee: Indy

NEXT UPDATE AT 12:30

 
Posted : October 17, 2010 11:12 am
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Executive

600 San Fran

Street Rosenthal

*200 Indianapolis Colts -3

PPP

4% Minnesota
3% Indy

Sean Higgs

5* Dallas
4* Redskins

5* Giants/Phillies Under

Larry Ness

10* Colts
8* Broncos

ASA

3* Broncos
3* Vikings

Lenny Stevens

20* 49ers
20* Broncos

Pure Lock

Vikings

Underdog

Broncos

Wildcat

7* Vikings

5* Redskins

Sports Bank

49ers

Special K

Colts
Cowboys Over
49ers

Al DeMarco

5 Units Jets Over
5 Units Colts

Gregg Price

4* Dallas

 
Posted : October 17, 2010 2:07 pm
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