Wayne Root
FAVORITE CLUB - Washington Redskins
VEGAS LEGEND -Oakland Raiders
MILLIONAIRE - New Orleans Saints
BILLIONAIRE - Chicago Bears
NO LIMIT -Baltimore Ravens
PERFECT PLAY - Houston Texans
Nelly's LTS
2* Minnesota
2* New England
2* Chicago
Beatyourbookie
100* Phillies
John Ryan
7* Redskins
7* Browns
7* Raiders
Black Widow
6* Widow Wiseguy 2009 NFC West GAME OF THE YEAR on Seattle Seahawks -2.5
The home team has dominated this NFC West rivalry, and with Matt Hasselbeck back healthy this is a completely different Seattle team. The Seahawks are 2-0 in games where Hasselbeck has played the entire contest. They won 28-0 over St. Louis in their opener and then 41-0 against Jacksonville last week. He has returned from a rib injury that kept him out of action in losses to the 49ers, Bears & Colts. In just 2.5 games, Hasselbeck has thrown for 617 yards and 7 touchdowns to just 2 interceptions. Arizona owns the worst passing defense in the league, giving up 303 passing yards/game. Hasselbeck and this offense will have their way with the Cardinals' secondary, and the Seahawks' defense will continue playing well after recording their second shutout of the season last week. The home team has won 8 of the last 10 meetings in this series. Seattle is 2-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents 29.3 to 8.3 for an average margin of victory of 21 points. Their lone loss came to the Bears after blowing a late lead, also a game where Hasselbeck was not present. The Seahawks are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0. A win Sunday will get the Seahawks right back in the NFC West race, and they aren't about to squander this opportunity. This team simply does not lose at home, especially with star QB Matt Hasselbeck under center. Take Seattle and lay the points. (We got in at -2.5 on Wednesday, but it's still a 6* Play up to -4)
5* NFL Sunday "Early" Double-Digit BLOWOUT on Pittsburgh Steelers -14
The Steelers face a Cleveland Browns team that features one of the worst offenses in the league. The Browns are scoring just 11.0 points/game this season and putting up 248 yards/game. Those numbers get even worse on the road. In 3 games away from home, Cleveland is scoring 5.0 points/game and putting up 193 yards/game. The Browns will not be able to score enough points to stay within 2 touchdowns of the Steelers Sunday, bottom line. In their last home meeting, Pittsburgh beat Cleveland 31-0. Expect a similar final score Sunday. Pittsburgh welcomes back Troy Polamalu and Willie Parker to the lineup Sunday, which only makes this team even more dangerous. Ben Roethlisberger has picked up right where he left off from the Super Bowl, throwing for 1,470 yards while completing 74% of his passes with 8 touchdowns already in only 5 games. This team can now beat their opponents both running and throwing the football. Cleveland can't do either. The Browns won 6-3 last week at Buffalo despite a 2-for-17 passing performance from QB Derek Anderson. Yeah, their defense played well, but the Browns aren't going to keep the Steelers off the scoreboard Sunday like they did against a pathetic Bills' offense. It's clear that Cleveland will miss Braylon Edwards, because they no longer have any proven targets on the outside for Anderson to get the ball to. Cleveland is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after scoring 9 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh has put up an average of 33.0 points/game in their last two contests as this offense is starting to hit on all cylinders. Look for somewhere around a 31-7 final in this one. Take Pittsburgh and lay the points.
5* NBC Sunday Night Football BLOOD BATH on Atlanta Falcons -3
The Atlanta Falcons used their bye week to perfection, bouncing back from a loss at New England to destroy the San Francisco 49ers 45-10 last week on the road. Now they return home to a rowdy crowd that will be cheering on Matt Ryan and company to beat the Chicago Bears on NBC's Sunday Night Football. Atlanta is 2-0 at home this year, outscoring the likes of Miami & Carolina by 10.0 points/game. Their defense is allowing just 13.5 points/game at home. Chicago is very lucky to be 3-1 right now, with a last-second home win against Pittsburgh where Steelers' K Jeff Reed missed two chip shot field goals late. The Bears also had to come from behind to beat Seattle on the road, a Seahawks' team that was playing without starting QB Matt Hasselbeck in that one. The Bears won't get those same kind of breaks against Atlanta Sunday, because the Falcons are one of the most complete teams in the league. Their offense is very tough to tame, averaging 106 rushing yards and 240 passing yards/game with excellent balance. Chicago is having a very tough time running the football right now, which will force Jay Cutler to try and make more plays, which will lead to more mistakes. The Bears are averaging just 89 rushing yards/game on the road and 2.9 yards/carry away from home. This is a tough spot for the Bears, as Chicago is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1992. They have been very fortunate to play a soft schedule with the Seahawks and Lions in their last two, but we see this trend holding true as they travel to face an Atlanta team that has all the tools to compete for the NFC Championship. Also note that Chicago is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992. Take the Falcons and lay the points. (Line is -3 as of Wednesday, if it creeps up to 3.5 by game-time we recommend buying the 1/2 point. But it's still a 5* play all the way up to -4.)
Eric Degarde
4* Philadelphia Under 8
Advanatge Sports
Chiefs +6
Texans +5.5
Jaguars -9.5
Jets UNDER 36*** he feels bad weather will drive this line to 33.5 so play it now....
As stated in last week's NFL writeups, the Redskins opponents at the time the Skins played them have all been winless now that KC lost to Dallas in OT last week (a winner for us with the Chiefs). As bad as that is, some of these teams got their first win against these same Redskins... the pitiful Lions snapped a massive losing streak against them, the Panthers only win is against them and the Rams, who have been wasted by everyone this season only lost 9-7 against them. Tampa has lost every game by at least thirteen points and only fell by 3 to Washington. They are becoming dysfunctional with the owner forcing an "offensive consultant" onto Jim Zorn's staff to help with the offense, all without introducing Sherman Lewis to the coach or asking his opinion. The offensive line lost their two best remaining linemen for this game, Chris Samuels for this week at least and Randy Thomas is gone for the year. They have a castoff from the Bills, who have line issues of their own. How bad must he be to have been released by a team starting two rookies on their line? The other new starter has been out of football for four years after Buffalo cut him as a former #1 draft pick. This is a team lacking in confidence and chemistry. Granted, the Chiefs are no prize. But they do bring effort every week and have shown improvement while being the youngest roster in the NFL. They have been in every game to the end despite huge yardage negatives in most of their events this season. They should have beaten Dallas last week and this will be the third NFC East game for them in a row. The advantage they do have is Todd Haley and Clancy Pendergast as the head coach and defensive coordinator, both of whom were on the Cardinals staff last season. The Cardinals played Washington last year, so they have a familiarity with the Redskins, knowledge and game tape of tendencies of what worked in the past. The Skins staff has no such knowledge of an out of conference foe. In a game that will likely be played in rain and wind, creating a low scoring affair, remember that the Skins have struggled to score in perfect dome conditions. That bodes poorly to gain much of a margin, if any, over a team that is close in desperation to themselves and will be around all day long. Consider an UNDER play as well as long as it stays above 34. Chiefs 13, Redskins 6.
While the Bengals are obviously much improved on defense and special teams, some of the improvement has been matters of circumstance. They could just as easily be 0-5 as 4-1 right now, or even 5-0 spare the miracle tipped pass that Denver captured to beat them at the end. Each and every game has been tight and emotional, with the last three being AFC North games. So now these same Bengals, who after three straight division wins and the sadness and heartache that fueled last week's win after their defensive coordinator's wife died suddenly on Thursday night, now play a non-division game against a team that manhandled them last year. I struggle to see how they can gather the emotion needed to play a game that has no bearing on their division lead. Of course, the "revenge motive" is there, but even NFL athletes can't "bring it" 16 times or more each season. There are flat spots. Every team has them. It is one of the key situations I look for in handicapping this sport, both NCAA and NFL. Cincy may look at Houston's losses and 2-3 record and think that they can mail in a victory. Remember, this is a team that is just now tasting a small amount of success after YEARS of miscues and misery. They have been told all week how great they are and are on all media shows. The Texans defense is poor so far this year, most certainly. But they made a couple of scheme changes last week in game and shut down the Cardinals in the second half. Maybe that will turn some things around. ear in mind that even with all of the Bengals success this year, they are only +11 in points over their opponents, so they aren't blowing anyone out. These same basic Texans won by 29 last year over Cincy, and while the Bengals are better probably, are they 34 points improved over the previous result? Each season is different of course, but some teams match up poorly against others regardless of records or talent. This writeup says that Houston wins the game.Texans 27, Bengals 23.
Yes, the Jags are bad. However, they are not "Rams" or "Raiders" bad. After the beatdown in Seattle, a game that set up so poorly for them, they come home with the bye week ahead of them to earn a chance at redemption. Jack del Rio hasn't lost the team and they will give an effort that St. Louis can not match. The Rams are now outdoors, off surface, very thin at wideout and are soft defensively. Even getting Bulger back shouldn't make much difference without wideouts to spread the field and enable the running game to get started. The Rams are on an 0-15 run and 5-10 against the spread over that period. While the Rams changed coaching staffs, they still have some of the same players and plays. This may help Jacksonville in some small part, because long time Ram wideout Torry Holt is now on their side of the field and has some insight on both the St. Louis offense and defense after so many seasons there. The Saints average more points per game offensively than the Rams have scored all season. Even going to a no-huddle to start the game didn't help, Kyle Boller fumbled an it was returned for a TD on the first series. I will take David Garrard and Maurice Jones-Drew's skills in a must win home game before the off week, before the season is lost so early. With a tough division slate ahead, these games are vital and I feel confident that a big bounce back off of last week's disaster, and this is the Rams fourth trip in six weeks. Are the St. Louis players still trying? Jaguars 35, Rams 13.
Even in perfect game conditions, I would still look hard at an UNDER in this game with Buffalo and the Jets. The Bills can't do anything offensively, have two rookies and a first year starter on the offensive line and have lost eleven straight games going against a 3-4 defense. The good news for them is that they are getting healthier in the back seven defensively and should have success slowing the rookie QB of the Jets, who won't be placed in risky situations with the elements. The Jets defense was ripped publicly by new coach Rex Ryan after the MNF game and have a short week to correct things. The Bills shouldn't provide much of a test after the three point effort last week against the Browns, 32nd in defense in the NFL. They have scored only 20 points total in the last three games. Add the rain, snow and winds of 20+ to a late afternoon start and you have a good, old fashioned field position battle.Jets 3, Bills 2.
igz1 sports
3* Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Under 38
Drew Gordon
300000* GOY Oakland
50000* Texans
Stephen Nover
10 Dimes - Ravens
10 Dimes - Saints
10 Dimes - Bills
10 Dimes - Rams
10 Dimes - Panthers
Carolina Sports
5 Redskins
3 Jets
Burns
Raiders Bills Chargers
Main Event Bears Under
Early Destruction Saints
Spreitzer
KO Jags
TKO Bears
Chiefs
Anthony Redd
15 Dime Browns
15 Dime Ravens
15 Dime Titans
Executive
400% Washington
300% NWO ?
150% CINCY
100% CHI
100% BUFF