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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Sunday, October 18,2009

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(@blade)
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Inside Corner

3.5 units on Giants +3.5
2 units on Texans +5.5
2 units on Texans/Cincy over 44.5
2 units on Arizona +3.5

3 units on Denver/SD under 44

 
Posted : October 18, 2009 10:57 am
(@blade)
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Doc's Sports

3-Unit Play Take Phila (1.5RL+120) over LA Dodgers

 
Posted : October 18, 2009 10:59 am
(@repski)
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HalfBets

8* Redskins -6.5 Best Bet

7* Browns +14

8* Bucs +1.5 1H

6* Titans +9.5

3 Team Parlay for 1* pays 6*

OVER 47.5 Green Bay
OVER 46 Cincy
OVER 47 Giants

Giants v. New Orleans 1pm
PICK: Giants +3 Game (10**) Game of the week

sorry quoted the wrong one

 
Posted : October 18, 2009 11:00 am
(@blade)
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Wildcat

10* Seattle

 
Posted : October 18, 2009 1:03 pm
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Joe D

15* Atlanta

 
Posted : October 18, 2009 1:04 pm
(@blade)
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ASA

3* Chicago

 
Posted : October 18, 2009 1:32 pm
(@blade)
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NSA

20* Seattle -2.5(LATE INFO)
10* UNDER 46.5(LATE INFO)
10* New England -9

10* Dodgers +165

 
Posted : October 18, 2009 1:46 pm
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The Prez

SUN NITE NFL TOP TOTAL *11-3 NFL RUN*

Atlanta may throw the ball downfield with success out of a 2-RB, 2-TE, and 1-WR set better than any other team in the league. Its passing attack was certainly on display last week in a 45-10 win beat-down of San Francisco.

Chicago enjoyed its off week last Sunday and comes into this Week 6 matchup with Atlanta on a 3-game winning streak. A fourth straight win would match the Bears’ longest streak since the Super Bowl season of ’06. This will be Chicago’s second appearance on NBC Sunday night already, but it won’t be easy, as HC Lovie Smith’s team lost in Atlanta in ’08, 22-20. Overall though, they are on a 5-2 SU & 5-1-1 ATS run vs. the Falcons. Under Smith, the Bears are 1-6 ATS when playing with two weeks or more of rest and 1-7 ATS when scoring 25+ points in back-to-back games. Atlanta won big at San Francisco, 45-10, and is one a 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS run at home in Mike Smith’s short tenure. They face a difficult stretch of four road game in their next five following this one.

The Bears are 8-1 to the OVER against teams (Atlanta) that complete 64% or better over the last three seasons and are 8-1 to the OVER against good passing teams averaging 235 or more yards per game over the last 3 seasons. In both situations the average final score exceeded 55 points.

8* Play on the OVER

 
Posted : October 18, 2009 5:53 pm
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Robert Ferringo

1.5-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-175) over L.A. Dodgers

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.0 L.A. Dodgers at Philadelphia

 
Posted : October 18, 2009 5:54 pm
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John Ryan

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons
Prediction: Chicago Bears

Ai Simulator 15* graded play on Chicago as they face Atlanta on Sunday Night Football set to start at 8:20 EST. AiS shows an 86% probability that the Bears will lose this game by 3 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 22-5 for 82% winners on the MONEY LINE since 1999. Play on any team versus the money line after beating the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game and is a team winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. Here is a 2nd system that has gone 42-14 on the money line making 24.5 units since 1999. Play on any team versus the money line that is outscoring opponents by 4 or more points/game and after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored. Here is a 3rd system that has gone 20-6 making 15.4 units on the money line since 1999. Play on any team versus the money line after a cover as a double digit favorite and is a top-level team winning >=75% of their games playing a team with a winning record. Atlanta is just 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games after a win by 14 or more points since 1992. The Bears defense ranks 9th in the NFL and they will be able to contain Atlanta’s running game led by Turner. This in turn makes the Falcons a 1 dimensional team forcing Ryan to win the game with his arm. Rodney White is the Falcons bets receiver and you will see Charles Tillman on him for the entire game. This worked very well against Detroit’s explosive WR Johnson. Furthermore, CB Bowman was burned big time by Johnson for 199 yards on 5 catches and then Tillman took over and limited his production to just 3 catches for 14 yards. In having Tillman in man coverage against White it also takes away half of the field for Ryan and makes safety reads far easier. I strongly believe you will see the Bears play cover 1 enabling them run blitz and keep constant pressure on Ryan if they elect a play action play. The Falcons struggled against NE in their only loss this season. NE’s scheme was ball control via the running game and it worked to the tune of 39 minutes in time of possession and 167 rushing yards. The Bears can more than duplicate that performance and win this game. The biggest matchup advantage for the Bears is their TE Olsen, who will be matched up against LB Peterson. Slant and post routes in play action will be huge opportunities for the Bears. I would not be surprised to see Olsen with 7 or more catches in this game. Take the Bears.

 
Posted : October 18, 2009 6:04 pm
(@scottshapell)
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hey john nice write up, expecting more predictions from you 😉

 
Posted : October 20, 2009 7:35 am
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