Anthony Redd
75 Dime Minnesota / Green Bay Under
10 Dime Kansas City
10 Dime Cincinnati
10 Dime Seattle
10 Dime New England
10 Dime Denver
Rocketman
3* Carolina Panthers +3
401KSports
3* ARIZONA/SEATTLE UNDER 40
Coach Wisenhunt knows he has a young QB in a tough environment so he will want to try and establish a running game and take some pressure off his young QB. The Cardinals are only averaging 11 points a game on the road. The Seahawks have already beat the 49ers and Chargers at home and are only allowing 13 points a game at home. With the Cardinals coming off their bye week, I look for them to have some wrinkles on defense to slow down the Seahawks. Lets go under here Seattle 23 Arizona 13!!!
4* CAROLINA +3 over San Francisco
1* CAROLINA ML +130
I know there will be questions about this pick, but the Panthers are off their bye week and are going back to QB Matt Moore and wide out Steve Smith looks like he will return here as well. The Panthers as a team were embarrassed in the way they played before their bye. The Panthers are 13-3 ATS all-time versus the 49ers. As for the 49ers they did get their first win last week but are now traveling from the west coast to the east coast with a early kickoff and the 49ers are 0-3 SU on the road this year scoring only 6-10-14 points. They have a game across the pond next week so when they are through here they are on a plane to England. Early kickoff against a team looking to make alot better showing off a bye at home give me the Panthers here today to notch win #1. Carolina 20 49ers 16!!!
Jim Feist
San Diego Over
Minnesota
Bobby Maxwell
500-Unit NFL Money Maker - PITTSBURGH STEELERS
This is a tough matchup for the Dolphins because the Steelers are a mirror image of them offensively but have a much better defense – in fact probably the best defense in the NFL. So go ahead and lay the points with Pittsburgh on the road as they will make it six wins in a row over Miami today.
Pittsburgh has won five straight (4-1 ATS) against Miami, including a 30-24 win in the regular-season finale last year, cashing as a three-point favorite. The game was meaningful to both teams as both needed the win to remain in the playoff picture, which neither made.
Steelers’ QB Ben Roethlisberger threw three TD passes in that one and he threw three in his return to the lineup last Sunday in a 28-10 win over the Browns. He will bring life back into the Pittsburgh offense and give the defense that much more of a break in between series. This defense leads the NFL in scoring, allowing just 12 points a game, and rush defense, giving up just 63.8 yards per game on the ground. They have also forced 15 turnovers already this season.
Miami has lost four in a row at home, including ugly losses to division rivals New York and New England this season. The Dolphins were shredded at home for 72 points in those two games, and we all know about their special teams issues against the Patriots.
Pittsburgh is 4-0 in Miami since 1998 and the Steelers are on ATS surges of 34-16-1 in October games, 5-1-1 overall, 4-1 on the road, 6-2 in Week 7 games and 11-5-1 against teams with winning records. Miami is on ATS skids of 1-4 against the AFC, 15-41-1 at home, 2-5 as home ‘dogs and 0-5 in Week 7 games the last five years.
This is a matchup that just doesn’t work for Miami. These types of defenses usually dominate the Dolphins and it will again today. Lay the points and play the Steelers.
100-Unit NFL Smart Play - SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
It’s been a classic Chargers’ season to this point, starting slow. And now it’s about time this team start to turn it on, as they seemingly do every year about this time. That’s why I’m going to go ahead and lay the points with them at home over the Patriots.
San Diego is coming off a tough 20-17 loss at St. Louis on Sunday and it trails AFC West leading Kansas City by only 1 ½ games coming into this week’s action. They know they don’t have to win 11 or 12 games to win their division, but they do need to produce some big wins to instill confidence in themselves.
Chargers’ QB Philip Rivers leads the NFL in passing yards at 2,008 and is second in TD passes and passer rating. Today he gets to face a New England defense that is 29th in the league at stopping the pass, giving up 273.4 passing yards per game.
Plus San Diego is back at home where they have won its two games by a combined 56 points, blowing out Arizona and Jacksonville. I’m also interested to see if the Chargers get rookie RB Ryan Mathews more involved in the offense who is averaging 5.1 yards per carry. But not only running the ball, but screen passes and swing passes seem to be something he could do damage to a maligned Patriots defense with.
These two teams met in San Diego in 2008 with the Chargers getting an easy 30-10 victory as six-point favorites. Of course New England won the previous three games before that, including two playoff wins.
New England is just 1-4 ATS against teams with losing records, while the Chargers are on ATS runs of 6-1 after a non-cover, 6-2 against winning teams, 5-2 in Week 7 games, 15-7-1 at home against teams with winning road records and 21-10-3 after a straight-up loss.
San Diego knows how to bounce back after ugly losses. They’ll get it done at home today against the Pats. Play the Chargers.
KELSO
200 Units Seattle Seahawks -7
25 Units Washington Redskins +3
10 Units Green Bay Packers -3
5 Units Pittsburgh Steelers -3
5 Units New England Patriots +2.5
Brandon Lang
40 Dime Minnesota Vikings +3
Maddux Sports
10 Units Chicago Bears -3
10 Units Buffalo/ Baltimore Over 38
10 Units Seattle Seahawks -6.5
10 Units San Diego Chargers -2.5 -115
10 Units Green Bay Packers -2.5
Chuck O'Brien
75 Dime Atlanta
Cowtown Sports
5* Atlanta -3 Buy ½
3* Washington +3
3* Seattle -7
Bob Balfe
St Lou +3
Wash +3
New England +3
Green Bay -3
ATS Lock Club
Pittsburgh -3
Atlanta -3
Philadelphia +3
San Diego -2
NSA
20* Washington Redskins +3 (Syndicate Info GOY)
20* Tennessee Titans -2½
20* Baltimore Ravens -13
10* New Orleans Saints -13
10* Oakland Raiders +8
10* Miami Dolphins +3
Boston Blackie
5* Oakland Under 42.5
Miami Over 41
Minnesota Under 44
Northcoast
3'* Vikings
3* 49ers
3* Seahawks
PPP
4% Falcons
4% Patriots
3% Steelers
3% Seahawks
Steve Budin
100 Dime Pittsburgh Steelers
Don Wallace
4* San Francisco -3
4* New Orleans -13
4* San Diego -2.5
The Duke's Sports
Kansas City (-9) for 2.5 Units
Jacksonville/Kansas City 1:00: The Chiefs' defense has made meaningful strides under DC Crennel. We're going to look for them to put the clamps down on a Jacksonville' offense that had to bring in veteran journeyman QB Todd Bouman on account of injuries to their #1 and #2 guys --Garrard and Trent Edwards. The heavy burden on the run game with Jones Drew should limit their effectiveness as KC will stack the box and force the Jaguars to throw. Offensively, the Chiefs have a very good RB tandem in Charles and Jones to keep the sticks moving and allow Matt Cassel to settle in; after all, the Jaguars' defense allows a generous 5.1 ypc. Technically, Jacksonville, which got thumped last Monday, are 5-12 ATS off a 14+ defeat. The Chiefs, on the other hand, are 7-3 ATS following a SU loss, 5-2-1 ATS in week #7, and they're playing with revenge from last season's narrow defeat. With KC getting back to playing well at home, we'll look for them to deliver.
Scott Rickenbach
10* Chicago
8* Arizona
8* San Diego ML
8* Philly +3
8* Green Bay -2.5
MR EAST
POWER-EAST SYSTEM 161-90 ATS 64.2%
3 UNITS OAKLAND RAIDERS +9
Oakland has been hit hard by the injury bug. Looking at the QB situation, the Raiders have had Charlie Frye on the injured reserve since the season started. Jason Campbell went down last week to what appears to be a torn miniscus, and Bruce Gradkowski was lost to a shoulder injury. It appears the starter will be Kyle Boller. The good news for the Raiders is Darren McFadden is likely back, and he should get plenty of opportunities with the Denver run stop unit way below average. We have seen countless times how teams step up when someone goes down, and I expect that from the Raiders here. Remember, they went to Denver last year as a double-digit dog behing J.P. Losman, and JeMarcus Russell at QB. They have gotten the money 3 straight times in Denver, and this one is part of my POWER-EAST system that is 161-90 ATS since I discovered it back in 2002. The play is on Oakland.
King Creole
2* Steelers/Dolphins Over 41
Don't look now... but Sunlife Stadium in Miami has turned into a haven of 'OVER-kill'. Last year, Dolphin home games went 7-1 O/U with an avg of 53.5 PPG. So far THIS year: 2-0 O/U (54 and 55 points!). So we'll gladly step out with another 'OVER-dose' of points. Miami pulled off the road upset against Green Bay on Sunday, and that sets them up for this:
20-5 O/U s'2005: All AFC home teams playing off a SU road dog win vs a NFC foe. If these teams were a dog of + 4 < pts last game, results improve to 7-0 O/U.
Both Miami AND Pittsburgh came off their Bye Week with impressive wins on Sunday.
12-2 O/U s'91: All home teams playing off a SU win after their Bye Week (MIA) vs an opponent ALSO off a SU win after their Bye Week (PIT) (7-0 O/U if the host was a DOG last game).
If that's not enough 'OVER-all' ammo, here's some more:
Pittsburgh plays off a BIG fav division home win (vs Cleve)... and a division home loss (to Balt) in their last 2 games.
(1) 4-0 O/U s'97: All road favs of 7 pts.
(2) 5-0 O/U s'04: All Conference road teams playing off a SUATS div home WIN... and a SUATS div home LOSS.
Here's a division OU tendency that we don't want to 'OVER-look':
AFC East home teams (MIA) are 5-0 O/U in the last 4 years in Game 2 > versus an AFC North foe (PIT) when the OU line is > 42 pts.
Marc Lawrence
Buffalo Bills +13
When the Bills meet the Ravens in Baltimore Sunday afternoon they will take the field with the support of one of the most powerful system of all in the NFL from our database. It tells us to: Play On any winless NFL dog of more than six points with a week of rest from Game Four out in the NFL season. Teams in this role are 16-0 ATS, winning 10 of the 16 contests in straight up fashion. Our powerful database also reminds us that non-division double-digit favorites in this league are just 36-66-2 ATS against winless opposition, including 6-19 ATS when the favorite is off a loss. Toss in the Bills' 8-0 ATS mark in games off back-to-back losses when taking on an opponent they beat in its most recent meeting and Baltimore's 3-5 straight up record in games before a Bye Week and we'll grab the points in this matchup today. We recommend a 3-unit play on Buffalo.