Evan Altemus
3 Units Washington/Chicago Under 40.5
This game sets up to be an ugly defensive battle, featuring two teams with offensive problems. Chicago's offensive line cannot block anyone and struggles even more with Mike Martz's offense. Martz still has Jay Cutler doing deep drop backs even though the line can't block defenders for that long. They are likely to adjust, but it remains to be seen if it will even matter. The Redskins have given up some big yards to opposing offenses this season, but they have also stepped up at times also. They held Dallas, Philadelphia, and Green Bay to a combined 42 points, and they were playing well against Houston before letting them come back. Meanwhile, Chicago's defense has played well this season, and I expect them to step up this week after a poor showing against Seattle last week. Chicago's defense matches up well against Washington's rush first offense. The Redskins want to run the ball primarily, but I expect the Bears good rush defense to shut them down. Look for this game to be ugly and low scoring.
Tony George
New England +3
Set up line? Maybe and strange things happen in the NFL WHEN TEAMS TRAVEL COAST TO COAST BUT Billicheck and the boys will be ready. While it is almost a sure thing that the wrong team is favored which means to take them, New England is in every game and their special teams will eat up a sloppy Chargers team, not to mention an injury report for the Chargers which includes playmakers including TE Gates. While the Chargers offense is racking up numbers, they have 2 wins and simply are going to get outcoached here, Turner is an idiot who cannot get his team on the same page, while the Pats are always focused and HATE to lose. Last time these 2 played was in 2008 and the Chargers beat NE at home, better thi8nk they have not forgot that. Play 1 Unit on New England
Bob Balfe
New England Patriots +3
The Chargers will be without both of their starting wide receivers today and Antonio Gates is a gametime decision. I do not trust Ryan Matthews to carry this team and him being a rookie does not help with respect to picking up the blitz. The Charger offensive line has been below par so far this season and I do not see Rivers having a big game against the savvy Patriot defense. San Diego is just not that good of a football team. The Patriots are spreading the ball around very well on offense. The bottom line is that they simply have more playmakers. Please also note that the Chargers will also be without their kicker today. There is no reason why New England does not win this game with ease. Take the Patriots.
MTi Sports
Vikings at Packers
Pick: Over 43.5
The Vikings are 2-3 on the season and behind both the Packers and the Bears. A loss here would put them in deep hole, and they play in New England next week. Minnesota can’t afford to be passive here. They get to face a Packers’ defense that has been softened up by two straight overtime losses in which they were on the field for 34+ minutes in each. No, the Vikings are not going to win this one by running Adrian Peterson up the middle and trying to win the battle of field position. They have to attack the Packers and Brett Favre should be up to the task. Last season, he was 41-of-59 in two games vs Green Bay and had seven TDs and no INTs. Both of those games went over and the OU lines were 46 and 47’ respectively. Why is the line 44 here?
The Vikings are winless on the road this season and this points to the OVER here, as they are 8-0 OU since 2006, on the road when they lost their last two road games, going over by an average of 12.2 ppg. In addition, Minnesota is 7-0 OU (+13.2 ppg) as a dog when they suffered at least three sacks in each of the last two weeks, 12-0 OU (+11.8 ppg) after a game in which they recorded no sacks and had less than 28 minutes of possession time and 5-0 OU as a road dog after converting at least 50% of their 3rd downs.
Last week, despite playing overtime, the Packers only had 28:03 of possession time vs 37:56 for the Dolphins. Green Bay recorded no sacks (Clay Matthews was out), but they held the Dolphins to 231 passing yards. The Packers are 17-0 OU (+11.9 ppg) when they are off a game in which they recorded no sacks and held their opponent to fewer than 270 yards passing.
Also, Green Bay is 6-0 OU (11.5 ppg) as a home favorite when facing a team that has an average turnover margin of at least +1 per game, season-to-date and 8-0 OU when they are off a game in which they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards, as long as they scored at least 10 points in that game. Let’s take advantage of this relatively low total and play the OVER.
MTi’s FORECAST: GREEN BAY 27 Minnesota 24
Pure Lock
Arizona +6
KING CREOLE
5* GOM SD/NE OVER 48.5
John Ryan
25* TOY Minn/GB Under
ATS Lock Club
6 Units Pittsburgh -3
6 Units Atlanta -3
5 Units Philadelphia +3
4 Units San Diego -2
SEABASS
300* San Diego Chargers
200* Chicago Bears
200* Jacksonville Jaguars
100* Miami Dolphins
100* Arizona Cardinals
100* 2 Teaser Cincinnati Bengals & Minnesota/Green Bay Under
Marc Lawrence
Late phones
3* Bills
3* Panthers
3* Packers
Derek Mancini
40 Dime Chargers
Coach K
BIlls +14 (-115)
Panthers +3.5 (buy half)
Chiefs -2 and Browns +20 (7pt teaser)
Bears -2.5 (buy half)
Chargers -2.5
Lenny Stevens
20* Miami
20* Carolina
10* Cincinnati
10* Chicago
Executive
350% Philadelphia +3
300% Cincinnati +3.5
300% Chicago -3
300% Green Bay -2.5
ASA
3* Cleveland
3* St Louis
Frank Patron
30,000 Unit Bounce Back Lock
Miami Dolphins +3
Wayne Root
Millionaire - Miami
Billionaire - Chicago
No Limit - San Diego
Pinnacle - Tampa
Primetime TV - Green Bay
Perfect Play - Carolina
Ethan Law
3% MINNESOTA +3
2% ST LOUIS +3
Paul Leiner
1000* GB/Minn Over
Payne Sports
5.5 Units Cincinnati +3.5
3.85 Units Buffalo +13
Gregg Price
10* GOW Miami Dolphins
Underdog
Washington
Sean Higgs
10* TOY Chiefs Over