Totals 4 U
TOP PLAYS
UNDER KC
OVER NO
REG PLAYS
UNDER WASH
UNDER NYJ
UNDER RAMS
UNDER CINCY
UNDER SD
UNDER TB
UNDER OAK
OVER NE
PLatinum PLays
PREMIER PICKS (TOP PLAYS)
NYJ
NO
500K Play
SD
400K PLay
DALLAS
REG PLAYS
UNDER SF
SF
CINCY
BUFF
SD OVER
TB
SEATTLE
NE
Dr Bob
No Best Bets
Opinions
Carolina a Strong Opinion at +3 points or more.
Minnesota a Strong Opinion at +4 points or more and I’d take the Vikings in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more.
Houston a Strong Opinion at +4 points or more and I’d take the Texans in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 or more
Anthony Redd
75 Dime Miami Dolphins
Bobby Maxwell
800-Unit NFL Primetime Game of the Year - Pittsburgh Steelers
This game is plain and simple, the Saints have had trouble taking care of the ball and trouble getting it into the end zone and now they have to face the best defense in the NFL. Ouch. That has me grabbing whatever points are out there and taking the Steelers in this matchup. And I expect them to win this thing outright, but will grab whatever points are out there.
Pittsburgh’s defense allows just 13.7 points per game and they are plus-eight in the turnover ratio. Offensively, QB Ben Roethlisberger has won his two starts since coming back from his suspension, leading the Steelers to wins over the Browns and Dolphins. He’s thrown five TD passes and just one INT.
This team without Roethlisberger was damn good, and with him in there, they now have the offense to go along with the defense. This team is 5-1 on the season (4-2 ATS) and narrowly lost to rival Baltimore 17-14 as a two-point favorite.
New Orleans has committed 14 turnovers in the last five games and QB Drew Brees had four interceptions last week in that ugly 30-17 loss to the Browns. Brees has 10 interceptions in the last five games and now he gets this defense that will be coming after him and has safety Troy Palamalu sitting back there waiting for a tipped ball or errant pass.
Pittsburgh is on several ATS streaks, including 27-13-1 in October games, 5-2-1 overall, 19-7 as a ‘dog and 6-0 as a road ‘dog. New Orleans is on ATS skids of 1-4 at home, 2-8 in Week 8, 1-5 as a favorite and 2-8 on field turf.
Look for the Steelers to harass Brees and not let him get comfortable in the pocket. They will get the key turnovers and move the ball on offense and end up winning this game when all is said and done. But I’ll grab the point or two in case something wacky happens in the final minutes. Play Pittsburgh.
Psychic (1-5)
2 units Pittsburgh +1
3 units Jacksonville +6.5
5 units Miami +1 (WISEGUY)
Sports Lock (1-25)
5 units Oakland -2.5
10 units Denver +2.5
25 units Pittsburgh +1 (Non Conference Lock of the Year)
Vegas Express (1-50)
10 units Minnesota +5.5
20 units Detroit -2.5
30 units Seattle +2.5
40 units NY Jets -6
Sports Machine (1-20)
5 units St. Louis -2.5
10 units NY Jets -6
SuperLockLine Plus (1-10)
5 units NY Jets -6
MLB
10 units SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
NFL Guru (1-10)
5 units Tennessee +4
5 units Tennessee over 44.5
10 units Minnesota +5.5 (GAME OF THE MONTH)
Sports Lock (rank 1-25)
Vegas Express - (rank 1-50)
NFL Guru - (rank 1-10)
Sports Machine - (rank 1-20)
SuperLockLine Plus - (rank 1-10)
Psychic (rank 1-5) Major = 4, Wiseguy = 5
Larry Ness
NFL GOY - New Orleans
The Duke's Sports
Pittsburgh (+1') for 2.5 Units
QB Brees has had trouble without Bush and Pierre Thomas in the lineup. He and the New Orleans' offense has become rather predictable as of recent. The well coached Saints will get it together eventually but we see the physical Pittsburgh defense delivering tonight. Pittsburgh, with the top scoring defense in the NFL won't have DEs Aaron Smith and Keisel wreaking havoc off the edge but the Steelers have good enough depth and a great scheme in which their well disciplined players fit in. And offensively. Roethlisberger, who sports a 122.4 rating since he came back, should continue his success against a secondary that hasn't thoroughly been tested since week 3 at home vs Atlanta. Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS on the road vs a team with a winning home record, and covered 8 of their last 9 as a small road dog. The Saints, on the other hand, are a mere 2-11 ATS off a double digit SU loss. Pittsburgh the call.
Steve Duemig
25 Dime - Lions over Redskins.
Game opened at Det -1 and was hit up to -3. Matthew Stafford will be back behind center for the Lions today and that should boost the already confident Lion team that is coming off the bye week. They looked very sharp in their recent home win over the Rams and the Redskins looked absolutely dreadful in winning last week over the Bears. They needed everyone of Hall's picks to only win by 3. Lions are also the NFL's best spread team along with the Jets. Defensive front of the Lions should be able to pressure MacNabb into some turnovers and they have one of the league's best running backs in Best. Buy this game off the 3 if it is there when you go to play it down to -2.5
10 Dime - Jets over the Packers.
Jets coming off the bye week completely healthy and more dangerous. Revis says he is 100% and Santonio Holmes has the extra week to really get into the Jets offensive plan Packers have many injuries and the Jets are not the team you want to be licking your wounds against. They are a team that creates more wounds! They will get after Rogers who is playing behind a beat up offensive line and turnovers could be a big factor with no running game to speak of for the Pack. If a team like the Jets can already have you one dimensional, they will most likely make you no dimensional. If this game has gotten to 7 by the time you play it and I expect it will, then buy the full point down to -6 or at least under the 7 if you can
5 Dime - Cowboys over Jaguars
There is no way in hell that Kitna is a TD worse than Romo in line value. That's ridiculous but that 's what has happened here. Hell even Roy Williams said that he was a s good as Romo. Cowboys are one game away from backing up the U-Hauls to go home but I think the fiery Kitna can be the spark to rally this team. He still has the weapons and he will be going up against the league's worst pass defense. EVERYONE throws on the Jags. Dallas keeps at least a breath of air in it's lungs this week.
Larry Ness
10* NFL Game of the Year - New Orleans
New Orleans has a golden opportunity to make a statement against the Steelers Sunday night. At just 4-3 on the season, the Saints have struggled to maintain their supremacy of the NFL after their Super Bowl run of a year ago. Certainly the injuries to RBs Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush have not helped New Orleans' cause. However, the offense has been productive, as the Saints possess the league's 7th-best offense in yardage (371.9 YPG) and behind the arm of Drew Brees, the 5th-ranked passing attack (279.3 YPG). Brees will be looking to redeem himself this week after an uncharacteristic subpar game where he threw four INTs (two of which were returned for TDs by David Bowens). Those two defensive TDs plus a successfully executed fake punt made the difference for Cleveland in its 30-17 upset win over the Saints in the Superdome. The Saints were 3-1 (lone loss in OT vs Atlanta) after four games. Actually, the Saints would have been 4-0 if Garrett Hartley hadn't missed a 29-yard FG in OT (same kicker who set a Super Bowl record with three FGs longer than 40 yards!). However, the Saints have lost TWO of three since that start, as Brees has thrown eight INTs (had completed 73.8% with seven TDs and two† INTs in the 3-1 start). I already mentioned the Cleveland fiasco but there was also the team's 30-20 loss at Arizona vs the Cards, 30-20. In that game, Max Hall became the first undrafted rookie QB to start and win against a defending Super Bowl champ since Pittsburgh's Kent Nix did so against the Green Bay Packers in 1967. Another quite interesting note from that game is that the Cards became the first team to score 30 points without a rushing or receiving TD since 1993! In those two losses, the Cards and Browns converted just 6-of-26 third down chances with starting QBs Hall and McCoy passing for a combined total of just 227 yards without a TD pass. My point is, the Saints D is just fine. Note, New Orleans has allowed LESS yards than the Steelers (288.4-to-299.3 YPG) in 2010. Of course, Pitt owns that great rush D (63.7 YPG allowed / 2.8 YPC) but Pittsburgh has numerous injuries on the DE and among the LBs, which has helped cause some troubles in the passing game (66.2% completions allowed and 237.7 YPG, which ranks 24th). Big Ben has been terrific in two games back (64.8%, 5 TDs and 1 INT with a 122.4 QB rating) but note that Pitt running game. While people talk about the Saints inability to run as well this year (92.6 YPG / 3.9 YPC), the Steelers are averaging a modest 118.8 YPG on the ground themselves and don't average anymore yards per carry (3.9) than the Saints do! Mendenhall topped 100 yards in two of his first three games but he's averaging 66.7 YPG his last three on just 3.0 YPC (last two with Big Ben back?). The Steelers miss Holmes, as Ward (24) is the lone receiver with more than 15 catches after FIVE games! I'll argue (many may not), that the Steelers are somewhat overrated at this point. The running game is average, Big Ben needs better receivers and the pass D has shown plenty of vulnerability. This team didn't score a TD until OT in its Week 1 win, won at Tennessee in Week 2 on an 89-yard KO return for a TD and four FGs and even last week with Big Ben back, needed a controversial call at the goal line on Big Ben's fumble to escape with a 23-22 win at Miami. Pitt stays on the road for a second week (this time inside on turf) and faces an embarrassed and highly motivated team in the Saints, looking to prove something. Remember what the Saints did to the Pats in that Week 12 MNF game last year when people were questioning whether they were as good as their record indicated? If you don't, ask Bill Belichick (it was 38-17!). One could also argue that the NFL’s crackdown on illegal hits affects the Steelers as much as any team and the last thing Pittsburgh's defenders need is to be "2nd-guessing" themselves. The New Orleans D has improved in the second year under DC Gregg Williams' tenure (3rd in total yards and 3rd in passing yards) and I believe is more than up to the task of containing Big Ben and the Steelers. From there, it's up to Brees. Again, I'm BETTING he comes through!
ATS Lock Club
6 Units San Diego
5 Units Pittsburgh
5 Units NY Jets
Cowtown Sports
5* SD -3.5
3* Detroit -3
3* New Orleans -1
KELSO
50 Units Detroit Lions -2.5
25 Units Seattle Seahawks +2
10 Units St. Louis Rams -2
5 Units Minnesota Vikings +5.5
5 Units Bucs/Cardinals Under39.5
John Ryan
25* Green Bay
Rainman
3* Dallas
3* NY Jets
1* Denver
1* Tennessee
1* New Orleans
1* Jets Under
Wayne Root
No Limit GOY - Saints
Upset Club - Bengals
Upset Club - Lions
Al DeMarco
15 Dime NY Jets
Next update at 11;45 est so no need to keep hitting refresh!!
ATS Financial
4 Units St. Louis -1
4 Units Detroit -2.5
SPORTBOOK GURU
10 Units Buffalo/Kansas City Under 46
10 Units San Diego/Tennessee Under 45
5 Units Tampa Bay/Arizona Over 39
5 Units San Fran -2
5 Units Cincinnati -1
3 Units Washington +3
Northcoast
3'* Jets
3* Dallas
3* S Diego
Marquee - Saints
SEABASS
300* Detroit
200* Buffalo, Carolina
100* San Diego, Arizona
100* Teaser Buff/KC Over and Saints
Next Update at 12;15 So no need to keep hitting refresh
Dwayne Bryant
San Diego -3.5
Saints +1
Dave Malinsky
4* CINCINNATI/MIAMI OVER 44
Last Sunday we turned a 4* Over ticket in the Cincinnati/Atlanta matchup, noting that both offenses were bringing more to the table than the scoreboards had been able to show, particularly in terms of red zone efficiency, a “pendulum” category that can bring reversals if you know where to look. The result was a game that saw 71 points and 921 yards recorded, and we believe we are in the right place at the right time for the Bengals once again.
Carson Palmer has the best set of weapons he has ever had to work with, Terrell Owens and Chad Ochocinco out wide, Jordan Shipley in the slot, and Jermaine Gresham over the middle. But three of those four pieces are in their first season in a Bengal uniform. That meant some early growing pains, but a bye week before playing the Falcons gave some needed time to work out the kinks, and the result was 412 passing yards and three TD’s from Palmer, with the three starting WR’s combining for 25 catches and 317 of those yards. Much of this came out of no-huddle sets, and we will see even more of that going forward, which taxes a Miami secondary that lost Will Allen early and is without S Renard Jones here, while Nolan Carroll will not be 100 percent if he does play. In only their third home game all season, look for the Bengals to set an even faster pace.
It is making stops that is the big problem for Marvin Lewis, and his defense will struggle again. They are allowing 4.5 per rush, which means plenty of room for Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams, and the pass rush is the worst in the league, coming up with only six sacks in 211 opposing pass attempts. That rush does not get any better without the suspended Antwan Odom, and a secondary that had been the strength of the unit will be without Roy Williams and Adam Jones, and has Jonathan Joseph (ankle), Leon Hall (hamstring) and Morgan Trent (knee) all playing through injuries. They were scorched to the tune of 7.2 yards per play at Atlanta last week, and have a difficult time getting off the field here, especially as Chad Henne and Brandon Marshall continue to develop their chemistry (42 hookups for 524 yards already).
Evan Altemus
3 Units Dallas -6.5
Jon Kitna is a capable back-up, and he started moving the ball successfully last week against the Giants once he got a few snaps and better rhythm. Dallas started out well last week before Tony Romo got hurt. After his injury and he left the game, the enthusiasm seemed to automatically disappear. Dallas has been in a must win situation every week it seems, losing game after game. However, they finally face a weak opponent that they can beat up on. Jacksonville is truly awful this season, evident by two straight double digit losses. The Jaguars struggles seem to be not as well publicized by the media, but they are still just 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. I expect Kitna to play well and give a spark to the offense, while Dallas’s defense should have no problem stopping Jacksonville’s offense. All three Jaguars quarterbacks are banged up, but David Garrard is expected to start. Look for Dallas to have a good game and cover the point spread.
3 Units Seattle +3
Seattle is again being overvalued here, while Oakland is being overvalued just based on last week's game. People have already forgotten just how bad the Raiders offense has been with Jason Campbell as quarterback. Oakland are just 1-2 against the spread at home this season with poor performances against Houston and St. Louis, and their only point spread cover was in a game against San Diego where the Chargers committed several mistakes and gave the game to Oakland. However, Seattle will not play poorly in this game. They are focused under new head coach Pete Carroll, and he has added several good pieces to this offense. They have a rejuvenated Mike Williams who has been unstoppable at wide receiver, as well as adding Marshawn Lynch, and some good pieces on defense. Seattle also played well in their last road game. Look for the Seahawks to win this game outright.