King Creole
2* Jacksonville / Dallas Over 42.5
Dallas comes in on a 3-Game 'OVER' streak in which the average combined points has been 60.6 PPG. The Monday night game against the Giants had a final score of 41-35. Meanwhile, the Jaguars also allowed a ton of points last week, losing 42-20 to the KC Chiefs.
4-0 O/U since 1998: All WEEK 15 or less NFL games in which BOTH teams allowed 40 or more points the previous week.
9-0 O/U last 4 years: All non-division home favorites of > 3 points who went 3-0 O/U in their last 3 games (DAL)... when the OU line is > 44 points.
Not only have the Cowboys gone 'OVER' in each of their last 3 games, but they have also gone 0-3 SU and ATS.
7-0 O/U since 2002: All non-division home favorites of -4 to -10 points playing off BBB SU and ATS losses (DAL)... versus an opponent off a SU road loss (JAX).
Don't forget... it's a short week for the Cowboys, who played on Monday night.
6-0-1 O/U since 2005: All NFL teams playing off a MONDAY night division home favorite loss.
6-0 O/U since 1994: All home favorites of 4 > points w/ an OU line of 42 > points... after scoring AND allowing 35 > points against a division opponent in their last game.
We have a situation with the Jaguars playing their SECOND road game in a row against an opponent playing their SECOND home game in a row. Great spot for a high-scoring outcome.
26-5 O/U since 2004: All non-division home favs of 8 < points playing off a home game (DAL)... versus an opponent playing off a road game (JAX
401k sports
1* San Francisco +135 over Texas
1* San Fran -1.5 runs +190
Note you are laying 1.5 runs not getting 1.5 runs here. You will get better odds here later in the day, so you probably want to wait to put this one in. That may be fine by everyone anyway considering how many wagers we are placing during the course of the day.
There are so many reasons I feel this might be a perfect time for San Fran to take control of this series. Bumgarner has been far more comfortable on the road all year. he has a 1.95 road era, which is 2.75 rpg less than at home. His WHIP, Groundball to flyball and BB to K per IP ratio are all much lower on the road. All this stuff is amazing considering he is just 21 years old. The difference in the bullpens is night and day w/SF being 10x better right now.
Hunter hasn't pitched well at all during these playoffs. In just 7.1 IP over 2 starts, he has allowed 6 runs 5 earned on 11 hits. He is throwing the ball consistently 2 MPH harder on the gun than he did during the reg season is what I have noticed. That small difference is a HUGE difference in the movement on his pitches. it straightens them out and keeps them on one level plane, making it far easier for hitters to square the ball up. Because the Texas relief corps has been shaky(putting it nicely), Washington may be forced to stick with Hunter even if he looks like he is struggling. This would be great for us.
Texas is just 1-7 in the last 8 games ump Mike Winters has been the home plate ump.
So we get the starter who is pitching better, the better bullpen, a more aggressive offense(good vs Hunter) ,and a more experienced manager here plus we are getting a solid doggie price. Sign me UP!!!
2* OK City -6.5 over Utah
We are catching Utah in a bad spot here. They are hurting ad their depth is not good. Their starters are playing a ton of minutes because of lack of depth. Utah right now is going through some tough opponents to play when you aren't deep. Denver, Phoenix and now the Thunder who can run anyone into the ground.
The Thunder were caught napping by the Pistons Friday night and survived but got a good scare. Coach Brooks gave them a good earful about not digging in defensively and putting a team away when they are down. This is always good to do after a win as it resonates better when the mood is good and keeps a team grounded. .
Craig Davis
100 Dime Tampa Bay Rays
30 Dime Miami
20 Dime Pittsburgh
Stephen Nover
100 Dime SD Chargers
ETHAN LAW
2% SEATTLE +2.5
2% DENVER +2.5
2% DETROIT -3
2% DALLAS -6.5
2% CAROLINA +2.5
Brandon Lang
San Diego 1st Half
Great Lakes Sports
5* GOM - LA Lakers
4* Cincinnati
3* Denver
3* New Orleans
Chuck O'Brien
75 Dime Miami
Pure Lock
Miami
LT Profits
3* Panthers
2* Dolphins
2* Saints
Joe D
20* Rams
15* Raiders
Next update at 12:45 so no need to keep hitting refresh
Marc Lawrence
San Diego Chargers -4
Three straight win and covers, all by 14 or more points ATS has the Titans doing the Tennessee two-step. They dance out onto the road knowing teams in this role are just 1-6 ATS as dogs. They also take on a slumping San Diego squad that has cleaned up in this series, going6-0 SU and ATS. The Chargers have also dominated the AFC South, going 15-3 ATS since its inception, including9-1 SU and ATS at home. All good news for a team that needs a win like Proctor needs Gamble. There is a lot to be said for backing teams riding a three game SU and ATS losing streak but our best guess is none of them ranked No. 1 statistically on the both sides of the ball. Our database chimes in with this clincher: QB Philip Rivers is22-4 SU and 20-5-1 ATS at home as a dog or favorite of 11 or less points against sub .750 opponents as a starter in this league, including 10-0 SU and ATS before Game Ten of the season . With Tennessee having yet to top 345 yards in any game this season, we'll look for the Bolts break out in a big way today. We recommend a 3-unit play on San Diego.
Winning Angle
10* Play San Francisco (-2) over Denver
Denver has lost 19 of the last 27 games against the spread when playing after the 1st month of the season and they have also lost 9 of the last 10 games against the spread coming off an OVER the total.
BONUS PLAYS
5* Play Tampa Bay (+3) over Carolina
5* Play Pittsburgh (+1) over New Orleans
Fantasy Sports Gametime
1000* Play Miami (+2) over Cincinnati
Cincinnati has lost 3 consecutive games and they have also lost 8 of the last 10 games when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points. Cincinnati has lost 8 of the last 11 games when playing in the month of October and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 games as a home favorite of 3 points or less.
1000* Play Tennessee (+3.5) over San Diego
Tennessee has won and covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games and they have also covered the spread in 8 of the last 9 games coming off two or more games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. Tennessee has covered the spread in 11 of the last 13 games after scoring 30 or more points in two straight games and they have also covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 games after covering the spread in three or more consecutive games.
1000* Play Pittsburgh (+1) over New Orleans
New Orleans has lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread and they have also lost 7 consecutive home games against the spread coming off an upset loss by 10 points or more. New Orleans has lost 28 of the last 42 home games against the spread when playing in weeks five through nine and they have also lost 14 of the last 19 games against the spread vs. AFC North Division Opponents.
The Sports Capper
10* Play Tennessee (+3.5) over San Diego*
Tennessee is 4-1 SU & ATS in road games when the total posted is between 42.5 and 45 points and they are also 4-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. Tennessee is 8-2 ATS when playing in weeks five through nine and they are averaging over 28 points a game on offense this season.
BONUS PLAYS
5* Play Carolina (+3) over St. Louis
5* Play Pittsburgh (+1) over New Orleans
The Boss
1000% Godfather over KC/Buffalo
700% Round table Dallas
Must Win Sports
Teaser - Titans & Redskins
Big Money
Tampa Bay
Boston Blackie
5* Denver Under 42.5
Executive
400% KC Chiefs
Carolina Sports
5* Chargers
4* Cowboys
3* Bills
3* Vikings
Blazer
4* Rams
3* Broncos
The Real Animal
5* Detroit
4'* KC / Buffalo Over
Underdog
Seattle
Asa 1t 4-jets, 3- caro
ats 6-sd, 5-pitt, jets
ben burns 10-sf under, ariz, no, 9-det, 8-sd
big money 1t tb
blazer 4- st l, 3-den
carolina sports 6t 5-sd, 4-dall, 3-buff, mn
dr. Bob op: Caro, mn, hou
inside info 3-ne
joe d 8t 20-st l, 15-oak
kelso 50-det, 25-sea, 10-st l, 5-mn, tb under
lenny stevens 20-caro, det, 10-mn, sd
lt profits 3-caro, 2-mia, no
million club 6t 2- det, kc
nationwide (goldst) 10 top: Den, reg: Dall, caro, buff over, pitt over
neri 3-sd, mn, no
ness 1t 10-goy: No
preferred picks 3-no, gb
private players 4-jets, 3-st l, kc, sea
pure lock 1t mia
underdog 1t sea,
wildcat 7- no, 5-ne
I am stuck at work today and will be busy till the early games kickoff but will try and update what I can, sorry.
Vegas Tout
NFL POWER PLAY OF THE YEAR
Play Miami+1 over Cincinnati
Miami is 11-3 ATS when playing as a road underdog the last three seasons and they have also covered the spread in 11 of the last 13 road games vs. AFC Conference Opponents. Cincinnati is 1-10 ATS when playing as a favorite the last two seasons and they are also 0-4 SU & ATS vs. AFC East Division Opponents. TRIPLE YOUR NORMAL WAGER HERE
Bonus Play
Play Pittsburgh +1 over New Orleans
James Patrick Sports
Bills
Jags
Bucs
vikings
Saints
Bob Valentino
40 Dime NFC Game of The Year
Detroit Lions
Mike Rose
8* Saints
Alex Smart
7* Seattle
The Prez
8* Lions
Sports Bank
400 New Orleans
Wayne Root
Primetime TV Game of the Week - NY Jets
Board of Directors - Kansas City
Perfect - Carolina
Millionaire - Cincinnati
Billionaire - Detroit
Ben Burns
GOM - LA Clippers +4