NorthCoast
3'* Tenn
3* Wash
3* Miami
Marquee
SD Over
Great Lakes
5* N. England -1' GOM
4* Tenn -3
3* Dallas -2'
Al DeMarco
15 Dime Play - New Orleans
Note: This line is fluctuating between 7 and 7 1/2 points. In either case, I urge you to buy down the 1/2 point, reducing New Orleans to either a -6' or -7 favorite. I don't think I have to explain the implications of doing so in the even of the Saints winning the contest by just a touchdown.
New Orleans is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games, a stretch in which Drew Brees has completed 68% of his passes, averaged 332 yards per game, and fired 29 TD strikes. After consecutive double-digit road routs of Philadelphia and Buffalo, the Saints find themselves hosting a New York squad that's 2-7 ATS in its last nine road outings versus the NFC.
Like New Orleans, the Jets carry a 3-0 record into this contest following an opening-week road win at Houston and consecutive home victories against New England and Tennessee. But New York's defense has yet to be tested by an offense as productive or diversified as the one it faces today as the Saints are averaging 40 points and 438 total yards a game. Rex Ryan's stop unit has played well, but today it takes the field with a banged-up secondary against Brees and his outstanding corps of receivers.
Although Brees gets the bulk of publicity for his team's offensive exploits, the key to its success this season has been a strong ground game. Mike Bell, the former Bronco castoff, powered the rushing attack in the season's first two games (143 yards vs. Detroit; 86 yards at Philly). In his absence last week at Buffalo, former starter Pierre Thomas returned from injury and carried the ball 14 times for 126 yards and two touchdowns in his season debut. Their contributions have limited Reggie Bush's workload, making him more effective as a situational contributor (13 carries/64 yards rushing plus 3 receptions vs. Buffalo).
New York's 24-7 season-opening road rout of Houston is less impressive in hindsight considering how awful the Texans have played defensively. The 16-9 home upset of New England was a solid win, despite rookie Mark Sanchez's struggles for most of the game, but it came against a foe missing numerous defensive contributors. Last Sunday's 24-17 win versus visiting Tennessee was less than inspiring considering the Jets managed just 11 first downs and 229 total yards as 14 of their points resulted from two costly turnovers committed by the Titans.
This is a statement game for the Saints, one where they can announce to the nation and league they're a serious playoff contender with a solid double-digit rout of the undefeated Jets and their rookie field general Rex Ryan, who is easily the early leader in the Coach of the Year derby.
This is not the Saints of years gone by, a team that relied on Brees exclusively to move the chains because of its unproductive ground game and porous defense. Bell and Thomas have given Brees the ground support he lacked, while new defensive coordinator Gregg Williams has instilled a toughness and bite missing in years past with his unit responding with nine takeaways in three games.
New Orleans has covered five of its last six versus the AFC.
David Malinsky
5* Vikings
4* Det/Chi Under
4* San Diego
4* Tennessee
3* W Sox
3* KC
3* Mariners
Donnie Black
20* Miami
Chris James Sports
3* Tennessee Titans -3
2* Washington Redskins -7.5 (Buy down to -7)
2* Dallas Cowboys -3
Jr Tipps
10* SD
10* NO
10* Chicago
Bankers Sportswire
500 Miami
300 KC Over
Lenny Del Genio
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NFL Oddsmaker Mismatch
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Seattle vs. Indianapolis
Play: Seattle +10.5
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Playing at 10:00 PT, without your starting QB, against a Colts team that has won 13 straight regular season games certainly seems like a disadvantage on paper, but this is an overlay. The Colts are very banged up on the defensive side of the ball right now with the latest casualty being DE Dwight Freeney. Bob Sanders (knee) is still hurting and not practicing while LB Brackett (knee) and CB Hayden (hamstring) are also not 100%. Indy looked very good last week against an Arizona team that could not run the ball and DB Cromartie seemed hell-bent on single-handedly losing the game for the Cardinals. This smells like a trap game for the Colts, who are off BB road wins and just 3-8 ATS their last 11 home games. The road team owns a 4-1 ATS advantage in this head to head series. The Indianapolis defense has been anything but consistent this year, giving up 237 yards rushing to Miami and they needed a late stand just to beat lowly Jacksonville. Seattle can run the ball, rushing for 167 yards in the opener vs. St. Louis. The Colts are just 35-54 ATS vs. teams with a losing record. Like we said, this is an overlay. Backup Seneca Wallace is a more than adequate QB for the Seahawks. Seattle is our NFL Oddsmaker Mismatch.
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Tennessee vs. Jacksonville
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First and foremost, Jacksonville has virtually no home field advantage, yet they are being priced as if they do. The Jaguars really have trouble getting fans to the stadium, which has resulted in several blackouts locally of their games. In addition, Jacksonville does not desperately need this game after winning last week. However, Tennessee does need this game after a horrendous 0-3 start to the season. Their schedule has been tough though, playing early season games against the NY Jets, Houston, and Pittsburgh. They have been in a position to win all those games, and they have been leading at one point in all the games as well. The Titans have also dominated this series, winning four out of the last five meetings between these two teams, including covering against the spread in both games last year. Tennessee is still a quality team, despite their poor start, and I expect them to come out strong in this must win situation. Look for the Titans to get a dominant road win.
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4 UNIT SELECTION TITANS.
Lenny Stevens
20* Ravens
20* Broncos
10* Bengals
10* Bills
10* Steelers
Karl Garrett
50 DIMER - NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
10 DIMER - TENNESSEE TITANS
I looked at this line and thought, "gee, the Jets are getting a ton of points for an undefeated team!" But that is exactly what the linesmakers are hoping you will say, and they are hoping that you will get sucked into backing the Jets plus the points.
The problem is the Jets have a big divisional Monday night game in Miami on-deck, and at the end of the day, Mark Sanchez is still a ROOKIE on the road.
The Superdome ain't exactly an easy place to deliver for the opposition, and the Saints have covered 7 of their last 9 in the Dome, including routing Detroit on opening Sunday.
New Orleans has played their last pair away from home, and they do have a bye week on-deck. Drew Brees is on a mission this season, you can just sense it.
You watch, this game will not be close. It will not be close at all, as the Saints pull away from the Flyboys in the Big Easy, and make it look easy the way a One-and-Only 50 Dimer should be!
Take the Saints.
10 DIMER - TENNESSEE TITANS
Just just have to wonder how a 13-3 regular season team last year is off to an 0-3 start this year?
I gotta believe the "law of averages" will be in Tennessee's favor this afternoon, and it doesn't hurt that they are playing a team that I don't happen to feel is very good anymore.
Oh yeah, sure, the Jags came up big at Houston last week, but that only gives us some added line value with the Titans today.
Jacksonville has covered just once in their last 9 home games, and were swept at the hands of the Titans last year both straight up, and against the spread.
Tennessee went 5-2 against the spread as a road favorite last year, and I don't see any way in the world they are losing this game.
Have to "remember the Titans" today.
Take them!
Wildcat
10* Ravens
Underdog Sportsline
Cleveland
PPP
4% Tenn
4% Dall
3% Wash
3% Balt
3% Cincy
3% NO