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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Sunday, September 26,2010

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Anton Wins

3 Units Dallas +3

2 Units Dallas +120 ML

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 8:54 am
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Brandon Lang

40 Dime - Bengals -3

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 8:55 am
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Larry Ness

10* 27-Club Play - NY Yankees

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 9:04 am
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KELSO

50 Units SF -2.5
10 Units Washington -2.5
3 Units Texans -2.5

10 Units Cincinnati -3.5
10 Units San Diego -4.5
5 Unit Parlay

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 9:05 am
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ATS Lock Club

6 Units Vikings -11.5
5 Units Chargers -4
4 Units Jets +2.5
4 Units Falcons +3.5

4 Units SF Giants +105

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 9:07 am
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

100* Play Tampa Bay (-200) over Seattle

Seattle has lost 33 of the last 40 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have also lost 7 of the last 8 games vs. Tampa Bay. Luke French has lost 6 consecutive road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is 1-5 in road games this season with an ERA of 5.66.

50* Play Toronto (-200) over Baltimore

Baltimore has lost 13 of the last 16 games vs. Toronto and they have also lost 52 of the last 67 road games vs. division opponents. Baltimore has lost 52 of the last 70 road day games and they have also lost 64 of the last 90 games as an underdog of +175 to +250.

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 9:08 am
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NSA

20* Tennessee +3
20* San Diego -4
20* Pittsburgh Under 33
10* Atlanta Over 48.5
10* Colts -5.5
10* Buffalo Under 42.5

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 9:15 am
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Northcoast

3'* Bengals

3* Steelers

3* Redskins

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 9:16 am
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Pro Picks Weekly

Buffalo +14.5
Cleveland +11.5
St. Louis +4.5
Seattle +4
Miami -1

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 9:18 am
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Chris Jordan

400* Texans

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 9:24 am
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National Sports Service

Atl/NO Over
Baltimore
New England
Denver

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 9:25 am
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Garcia Covers

Carolina/Cinn Under

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 9:25 am
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MR EAST

35-9 ATS SITUATION BOMB

3 UNITS BUFFALO BILLS +14.5

The Buffalo Bills look about as bad as a team can get, and they will summon the services of QB Ryan Fitzpatrick to relace the struggling Trent Edwards. The problem is Fitzpatrick is a downgrade in my opinion. Many are going to line up on the New England bandwagon here, as they are off a loss, and most will feel this team back in Foxboro is going to bring it strong. History shows us a different point of view on this game. All si not what it appears, as teams that are coming off a loss as a favorite and favored by 12 or more, are 9-35 ATS since 1992! That means New England is in a 20.4% cover situation for this one. I'll go with Buffalo here.

SUNDAY PLAY OF THE DAY

3 UNITS CINCINNATI BENGALS -3

The Cincinnati Bengals have opened with 2 very difficult games, and they played the first 2 quarters poorly, but since have looked impressive. Carolina has struggled on offense vs the Giants who just gave up a ton, and the Tampa Bay Bucs who look better but haven't beaten anyone yet. Jimmy Claussen will get his first start for Carolina and I don't expect much from him. He completed less than 50% of his passes last week, and for just 3.9 yards per attempt. He is not ready for this level of play yet and the Bengals will cash in on mistakes. The Panthers haven't gotten anything going on the ground either, so they will be in trouble.Carolina is getting killed in the air as they are getting no pressure with just 1 sack in 2 games. September home teams after at least 1 loss in a competitive line from -3 to +3 are 48-85 ATS since 1983. I'll go with Cincinnati in this one.

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 9:29 am
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King Creole

1* Chiefs / 49ers Over 37

Kansas City comes in as one of the pleasant NFL surprise teams, with a 2-0 SU record to start the season. They have gone 7-1 O/U since 2003 when playing at home off BB SU wins. Also 7-1-1 O/U when playing NFC West Division opponents. We also note that the Chiefs have gone 'Under' in EACH of their first two games. If you read this week's Playbook Totals Tipsheet, then you already know that there is great value on the 'OVER' in this situation.

19-4 O/U L6Y: All GAME THREE home teams (CHIEFS) who went 'Under' in each of their first two games.

The Chiefs will be taking a game off next week, as they are one of the first four NFL teams that will have their BYE.
18-8-1 O/U L6Y: All Game 1-4 home teams who have a BYE the next week (CHIEFS). If the OU line in these games is < 46 points, the results improve to 16-3 O/U.

Inter-Conference games in the 3rd week of the season also have HIGH-scoring tendencies...
8-1 O/U L7Y: All Game Three AFC home teams (CHIEFS) versus a NFC opponent (49ERS) when the OU line is 45 < points.

As mentioned above, the Chiefs come in at 2-0 SU... while the Niners come in at 0-2 SU...
8-1 O/U since 1992: All GAME THREE home team with a 2-0 record (KC)... versus a team with a 0-2 record (SF)... when the OU line is 41 < points.

Despite the respective W/L results, the Niners are STILL laying points on the road.
12-1 O/U L4Y: All GAME THREE underdogs of 13 < points (KC) who won 4 or LESS games last season.

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 9:29 am
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Evan Altemus

3 Units SF 49ers -2.5

The spot here isn’t the best for the 49ers because of coming off of a demoralizing home primetime loss to the defending Super Bowl champions. They also have a shorter week to prepare because of playing on Monday. However, I feel that they are in an absolute must win situation here after starting the season 0-2. The 49ers cannot afford to lose this game. Overall I feel that they got some of their problems fixed from week one in last week’s game. Alex Smith played better and got some much needed confidence. Kansas City meanwhile is probably the weakest 2-0 team there is. They were dominated yardage wise by San Diego in their season opener and played a very poor Cleveland team last week. The Chiefs offense is still very bad and not able to move the ball much. They arguably wouldn’t have won last week’s game either if not for an interception return for a touchdown. I feel that the 49ers improved their communication issues as well as Alex Smith’s confidence. Look for them to use a strong defensive performance and power running game to get the win.

 
Posted : September 26, 2010 9:29 am
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