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Charlie Sports

500* Jaguars +3'
500* Colts @ Jaguars Over 43
500* Miami +4.
30* Portland -2'
20* Florida International +16
20* Troy -13
10* Auburn +10
Chicago -2 Free Play

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 1:06 pm
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Wunderdog

Phoenix Coyotes @ Columbus Blue Jackets
5 Units: Under 5.5 (-125)

The Phoenix Coyotes have been getting a great job from behind the net of late, and have limited opponents to just 19 goals, under two per contest over their last 10. The Blue Jackets have produced just 19 goals in their last eight games and an even worse five in their last three. The Coyotes are playing way under the total vs. an opponent who scored two or less in their last outing as they have turned in a 19-6-1 mark to the UNDER in that situation. They have also played UNDER to the tune of a 37-16-2 mark overall in their last 55 games. The Blue Jackets are on the short side of the total when posted as a home favorite, turning in a 15-7 mark in their last 22 to the UNDER. These teams make the script complete as they have played UNDER in the last four meetings. The UNDER gets the nod in this one.

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 2:50 pm
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Erin Rynning

Playmaker - Magic Over 199.5

Playmaker - Jaguars +3

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 2:51 pm
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POWER PLAY WINS

Phoenix Suns +1.5

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 2:52 pm
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ATS FINANCIAL

3 Units Jax/Indy Under 43.5

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 2:53 pm
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ATS Footbal Lock Club

3 Units Colts -3 Buy ½

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 3:26 pm
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Teddy Covers

Weber State

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 3:37 pm
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Scott Delaney

100-Dime INDIANAPOLIS COLTS ... Don't buy into Indy coach Jim Caldwell's coy ways. He's not fooling anyone, in saying this will be like Game 3 of the preseason. He's not fooling anyone when saying he's not sure how long his starters will play. Plain and simple - he's not fooling anyone.

For this game, tonight, it's full speed ahead with the pedal to the metal! At some point this week, more times than not, I've heard or read into quotes by Caldwell that tell me how clear it is he plans on treating tonight's game like Weeks 1 through 14 - and not the preseason.

I'm not too worried about Jacksonville's traditionally rugged defense, not when its pass D is ranked 26th. Not when Peyton Manning is my quarterback and not when Reggie Wayne has tallied at least 100 receiving yards in five of his last six games against the Jaguars.

There's the steadily improving rushing game, which will tie up Jacksonville's defensive line for a while, not to mention make it extremely tired. You can expect Jags running back Mike Hart to continue turning heads with his power running, giving Joseph Addai breathers here and there. He's become a key component to help provide the Colts with a productive running game, and when you see a back showing signs of life like that, you know he is going to get more work. That means both sets of legs will remain fresh, and the Colts can opt to the running game when necessary.

And when Manning does decide to go up top, you're going to hear the name Pierre Garcon called upon more often. Wayne will get his, but teams are frustrating him with double-coverage, and that means Manning needs to look for a deep-ball threat. Enter Garcon. I expect him to go deep tonight, and haul in a few big passes.

Look, Indianapolis might not have anything to play for, in terms of seeding and homefield, but there's still some sense of pride out there. There's still the matter of competing against the Saints for being the only undefeated team in the league.

Caldwell or Manning might not say it. Sean Payton or Drew Brees might not say it, but you better believe there's underlying theme for both of these teams. That is 'not' to be the first team to lose this season. And since New Orleans doesn't play until Saturday, I'm thinking we're going to see the Colts send a message to the Saints ... don't think that little mental game doesn't go on. Anyone who disagrees with that theory doesn't understand competition and probably never played sports.

Lay the road chalk, which happens to be a field goal right now, with a rising moneyline attached to it. If in fact the game goes to 3-1/2, then, yes, you'll want to buy that half point down. I don't believe the oddsmakers would make a bold move and open themselves up to be sided in this game, but in the event they do, buy the half point down.

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 3:37 pm
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Northcoast

Marquee

Colts -3

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 3:39 pm
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Seabass

50* Colts

50 * Troy
50* Denver

50* Mon Un

100* Steam Orl/Mia Under

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 3:40 pm
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SIXTH SENSE

Opinion

Indianapolis -3 JACKSONVILLE 42.5

Indy jumped out to a 21-0 lead over Denver last week, allowed the Broncos back at 21-16 and then scored the final touchdown to win 28-16. The final stats are interesting because Denver out passed Indy 6.0yps to 5.2yps and overall, out gained Indy 4.8yppl to 4.5yppl. Indy was dominating the game after their first three scores when they were leading 21-0 but the longest drive they had after those first three scores was a four play drive, other than the final score of the game, where they drove 14 plays and 80 yards. Peyton Manning was also intercepted three times. Jacksonville lost at home to Miami 14-10 and were out passed 6.7yps to 4.2yps by a Miami passing attack that isn’t that good. Overall, they were out gained 5.0yppl to 4.0yppl. For the season, Indy averages just 3.8ypr against 4.2ypr but 7.5yps against 6.3yps and 6.1yppl against 5.4yppl. The defense has been great this year, allowing 4.1ypr against 4.4ypr, 5.6yps against 6.2yps and 5.0yppl against 5.4yppl. Jacksonville rushes the ball well, at 4.6ypr against 4.3ypr and is averaging 5.5yppl against 5.4yppl overall. The defense has been good against the rush at 4.0ypr against 4.3ypr but the pass defense has been poor, allowing 6.8yps against 6.0yps and overall they allow 5.6yppl against 5.3yppl. Indy qualifies in a letdown situation, which is 78-39-7 and plays against them here. Jacksonville also qualifies in a 52-25-1 situation. Jacksonville also qualifies in fundamental rushing situations, which are 132-68-5 and 560-422-30. Numbers favor Indy by 9.5 points and predict about 42 points. Rasheed Mathis may come back for Jacksonville this week. For Indy, they have said they will play their starters who are healthy. Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis didn’t practice this week and are listed as questionable. It’s hard to tell if they will play or not. If there were no questions about whom and how long starters will play for Indy, this line would be closer to seven. If that were the case I would consider Jacksonville because of the situations but without a fair line, it is very hard to play Jacksonville. And, it’s hard to tell if it is a fair line because we don’t know who is and isn’t playing for Indianapolis. I’ll call for a close game but can’t make it a best bet. INDIANAPOLIS 21 JACKSONVILLE 20

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 3:52 pm
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KELSO

5* Fresno St -15

5* Heat +4

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 3:56 pm
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
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Orlando/Miami Under 201

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the "under":
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Michael Beasley dunked home a Dwyane Wade miss to seal a victory in the waning seconds of the Heat’s visit to Orlando last month, and the Magic will look to atone for that surprising loss Thursday night when they try for their seventh win in eight trips to Miami.

The Magic appeared on their way to a 13th victory in 14 regular-season games against the Heat when Wade air-balled a jumper in the closing seconds, but Beasley grabbed it and dunked it to give Miami a controversial 99-98 win.

Rashard Lewis had his worst game of the season in the Magic’s loss to the Heat, shooting 3 of 15 and finishing with nine points.
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Orlando throttled the Raptors last night; I expect an offensive "letdown" this evening though.

Dwight Howard spent the evening showing why he’s the league’s reigning Defensive Player of the Year, finishing with 14 rebounds and eight blocks.

Keep in mind the total has gone "under" the posted number in 11 of Orlando's last 16 on the road overall.
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On the other side of the court: On the topic of his teams recent success: "We have to get that chip back on our shoulder," forward Udonis Haslem said. "At the start of the season, people were picking us to finish near last in the league. Then we started well and people started thinking we're better than people first thought. We might have exhaled a little bit. But that can't be us. We have to get it back."

It's interesting to note that Miami has seen the total go "under" the posted number in three of five games vs. division opponents.
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Bottom line: I expect both teams to create offense through their defense; when taking all of the above into account, the sharp money is on the UNDER!

9* UNDER.

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 4:04 pm
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Ron Raymond
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Orlando/Miami Under 199
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When ANY NBA Team Played as Road team as a Favorite - Before a non division game - Last 2 years - During the month of December - Coming off vs Eastern conference opponent - Coming off a 1 ATS win - Scored between 116 - 120 POINTS FOR in their last game; the UNDER is 11-4-0 for the Road Favorite (ORL) in this spot the last 2 seasons.
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ATS Calculator has this total landing on 198.91 points.
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Parity Value Index has the UNDER coming in at 62% on this game.
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Take the UNDER.

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 4:05 pm
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Mike Lineback

Chicago Bulls -2.5

 
Posted : December 17, 2009 4:06 pm
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