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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Thursday, October 15,2009

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Tim Trushel

20* LA Dodgers Under 7.5

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 10:23 am
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WAYNE ROOT

Football Upset Club

3*Cincinnati (-2½) over So Florida

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 10:23 am
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Matt Fargo

9* MLB NLCS GM1 DOMINATOR 82% ANGLE

The Dodgers ride some big momentum into the NLCS after a sweep of the Cardinals and they will be out for some payback following a loss to the Phillies in last season’s playoffs. Los Angeles lost the first two games in Philadelphia last season and could not get out of that hole so it will be ready to reverse that this October. The big advantage obviously is starting the playoffs at home where they are 52-31 on the season. Game One starter Clayton Kershaw has been on a sol id role as he has allowed two runs or fewer in seven straight starts even though all of those have not been quality outings. He started his first ever playoff game in the NLDS against the Cardinals and pitched a great game, allowing just two runs in 6.2 innings. He has a 2.79 ERA and 1.24 WHIP on the season and that ERA drops to 1.89 in 17 starts at home. He will be opposed by Cole Hamels who is having some serious struggles. He has a 7.06 ERA and 1.48 WHIP over his last four starts and that does include a rough outing against the Rockies in the NLDS. He mowed down the Dodgers twice last season in the NLCS and pitched two quality performances against them this season making him a perfect 6-6 against Los Angeles. The problem is that he has not pitched against the Dodgers since June and he has been very inconsistent since then. Los Angeles is hitting .278 at home against left-handed pitching. The Dodgers fall into a very solid late season situation as well. Play against National League teams that are averaging 5.0 or more rpg going up against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better in October games. This situation is 14-3 (82.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* Los Angeles Dodgers

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 10:24 am
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Michael Alexander

Cincinnati U vs. South Florida
2 Units S. Florida +2

CINCINNATI is 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite
S. FLORIDA is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog
S. FLORIDA is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.
CINCINNATI is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
2 Units LA Dodgers -135

LA DODGERS are 22-7 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season.
LA DODGERS are 19-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
HAMELS is 4-10 (-10.1 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Montreal Canadians
2 Units Colorado +136

MONTREAL is 43-48 ATS (-9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons
MONTREAL is 8-18 ATS (+26.0 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average 19% of chances since 1996.

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 10:27 am
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Tony Salinas

25* Dodgers (-115) over Phillies

Clear. Winds blowing in from left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 11:11 am
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David Page

South Florida +2.5

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 11:12 am
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Indian Cowboy

4 Unit Play. Take Over 7.5 Philadelphia Phillies @ LA Dodgers

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 11:50 am
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Robert Ferringo

1.5-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (+125) over L.A. Dodgers

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 7.5 Philadelphia at L.A. Dodgers

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 11:54 am
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Teddy June

10* South Florida

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 11:56 am
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Bob Balfe

Phillies +115 over Dodgers
Hamels/Kershaw

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 12:23 pm
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Fairway Jay

15* Big Drive: South Florida

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 1:58 pm
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BEN BURNS

Big East GOY - South Florida

Roast - LA Dodgers

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 1:59 pm
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National Sports Service

5* Cinncinnati/S. Florida over 49.5

3* Dogeres -130

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 1:59 pm
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Trace Adams

1500* - Cincinnati Bearcats

Both schools come in at 5-0 straight up, both schools last played on October 3rd, so who comes out on top tonight?

At 1st glance, South Florida looks like an attractive home dog under the primetime lights, but non-lined wins against Wofford, Western Kentucky, and Charleston Southern make the Bulls 5-0 record look a little more like a paper-tiger than a real tiger with teeth.

The Bearcats have played the tougher schedule, and this Brian Kelly is a no-bullshit coach!

Cincinnati has won the last 3 series meetings, and they have covered the last 5 in this series.

True, the Bulls red-shirt QB Daniels has done well filling in for Groethe, and true the Bulls defensive coordinator held the same position with Cincinnati before Brian Kelly replaced him, but that just won't be enough against this Bearcats team.

No issue laying a few points here, as Cincy senior QB Pike has been on-fire this year through the air, and I have a feeling he will find a way to get his team in the winner's circle both straight up, and against the spread.

I am going with Cincinnati minus the small road chalk to continue on in their quest for perfection.

1500♦ - Cincinnati Bearcats

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 2:00 pm
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ATS

Baseball Lock Club
3 units Dodgers

Football Financial Club
3 units Cinci/USF Over

 
Posted : October 15, 2009 2:03 pm
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