Notifications
Clear all

Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Thursday, October 21,2010

38 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
2,506 Views
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Craig Davis

20 Dime - SF/Phil Under

15 Dime - Oregon

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 3:48 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

ATS Lock Club

4 Units Philadelphia Phillies -120

3 Units UCLA Bruins +26

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 3:51 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

KELSO

15 Units Oregon Ducks -25.5

5 Units Philadelphia Phillies -125

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 3:52 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Rich Green

3* UCLA Bruins + 25

3* Giants / Phillies Over 5.5

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 4:25 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

BIG AL

At 7:55 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Giants and Philadelphia Phillies 'under' the total. The Giants won game four in dramatic ninth-inning fashion on Wednesday night and are now just one game away from their first World Series since 2002 (they are trying to win their first title since 1954 when they were the New York Giants). Tonight, we're back to game one starters Roy Halladay and Tim Lincecum, two of the very best in the Major Leagues. In that first NLCS game on October 16, the Giants won in a close-fought 4-3 contest. That game was played at hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Ball Park, but tonight they will meet at the much-stingier San Francisco venue, AT&T Park. In Lincecum's last four home starts of the regular season, and his lone Playoff start, a total of 17 runs were scored in those five games (an average of 3.4 runs per game) and only one of those games went over a total of four runs (a 6-0 loss at home against the Diamondbacks on August 27). Nothwithstanding the 'over' in Game 1 of this series, the Phillies have still gone 'under' in 18 of 25 games in which the Total was 7 runs or less, and Roy Halladay has gone 'under' in 24 of 37 vs. winning teams. Finally, San Francisco has gone 'under' in 23 of 33 this year vs. pitchers with ERAs of 3.00 or less. I foresee a very low-scoring game here. Take the 'under.'

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over Oregon. The Ducks' success certainly hasn't surprised me (after all, I wagered on Oregon at 30-1 odds at the start of the season to win the National Championship), but this number is inflated tonight after the move upward from the opening number of 21.5 to its current 26, notwithstanding the absence of UCLA's injured QB Kevin Prince, and suspended return man Josh Smith. We'll take advantage of the extra line value and play on the Bruins. The Bruins have had an up-and-down season, to say the least. They've looked great in upsets over Houston (31-13) and Texas (34-12), but horrid in losses to Stanford (35-0) and California (35-7). The key for the Bruins is their running game, as they've won when they've rushed well (967 yards on 163 carries vs. Houston, Texas and Washington St.), and they're led by the Pac-10's 2nd leading rusher in Johnathan Franklin (113.2 ypg). Oregon has been susceptible to the run this season, as Tennessee averaged over 5.0 ypr (182 yards on 36 carries), as did Stanford (177 yards on 31 carries), while Arizona State averaged 4.8 (210 yards on 46 rushes). Finally, UCLA falls into a super 89-41 ATS system of mine that plays on certain road teams in conference games off a blowout loss (UCLA checks in off a 35-7 defeat at California 2 weeks ago). Take the Bruins

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 4:59 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Jennifer Barry

30* Oregon Ducks -13.5 over UCLA (1H)

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 5:02 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

David Malinsky

4* Philadelphia Phillies -120

4* UCLA Bruins +25.5

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 5:04 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

401kSports

2* Philly -125

First time around we took Lincecum on the road with good Juice. Today in the same match up I am fading him as a smaller dog?? If I liked him as a +150 on the road, why not take him at home? The Giants have scored 2.4 less runs per game for Timmy L at home than on the road. The Stat of the day though for me is how Halladay has responded to having a subpar outing this year. In the game after Roy H has allowed 4 runs or more, He is 6-1 with a 1.04 ERA. 8 ER in 70.3 IP. Both pitchers pitched well Saturday but I plan on doing a Zig-zag in this rematch and flip it to the other side. I am almost tempted to take the under here as the game will probably be 3-1, but there just is no room for error with a 5.5 total. Much like the Yanks rose up to the challenge yesterday, I see the Phillies not going out quietly here today.

1* Boston -105 over Washington

It's the Bruins' home opener and the second game against the Capitals. Over the past three weeks, the Boston Bruins have traveled from Northern Ireland to the Czech Republic to New Jersey and the nation's capital. After those successful trips, they finally set foot on home ice. Boston got goals from Matt Hunwick, David Krejci and Milan Lucic along with 35 saves from Tim Thomas to beat the Capitals, 3-1, at Verizon Center on Tuesday. Thomas was stellar in the nets again Tuesday, giving him 95 saves against 97 shots during his current three-game winning streak. He is carrying a .979 save percentage and a ridiculous 0.67 goals against average. The Bruins are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. Southeast and 10-4-2 at home against the Caps. Tonight though Tuuka Rask, the #1 goaltender will be back in the nets with something to prove. He is 3-1 lifetime vs the caps with a 1.56 GAA.

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 5:05 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Rocky Sheridan

5* UCLA / Oregon Over 60

5* Philadelphia Phillies -121

3* San Jose Sharks -110

3* Phoenix Coyotes -125

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 5:06 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

KIKI SPORTS

2 Units Phillies -125

1 Unit Oregon -26

1 Unit UCLA/ Oregon Over 61

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 5:07 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Frank Patron

20,000 Unit PAC-10 First Half Move

UCLA Bruins +14.5 (First Half)

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 5:08 pm
(@seanwendi)
Posts: 0
New Member Guest
 

anyone seen bob v 75 dime

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 5:16 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tony George

1 Unit UCLA/Oregon Under 61.5

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 5:32 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Wayne Root

Millionaire: UCLA

No Limit: Phillies

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 5:33 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Jack Jones

20* UCLA / Oregon Under 61.5

 
Posted : October 21, 2010 5:34 pm
Page 2 / 3
Share: