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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Thursday, September 15,2011

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Lines2Win

LSU -3.5 (3 Units) - The line finally dropped below -4. The line has come down from -5, as the oddsmakers try to take us off LSU. 88% of the money is on LSU right now. Miss St has a banged up O-line which does not bode well against a great LSU defense. Stay off the -4, we should win this one.

 
Posted : September 14, 2011 5:36 pm
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

Play Texas (-200) over Cleveland (Top Play of the Day)

Texas has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have also won 20 of the last 24 games vs. Cleveland. Alexi Ogando has won 8 of the last 9 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents and he is 1-0 vs. Cleveland over his career with an ERA of 1.13.

Play Detroit (-120) over Oakland (Bonus)

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 9:45 am
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Jimmy Boyd

5* Mississippi State +4.5

3* White Sox -109

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 10:03 am
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Big Al

Mississippi State

LA Dodgers

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 10:04 am
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Insider Sports Report

4* Chicago White Sox

3* Mississippi State

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 10:07 am
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Paul Leiner

100* Tigers -120

50* Rays -110

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 10:23 am
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Wunderdog

Detroit at Oakland
Pick: Oakland +100

It is all over in the AL Central as the Tigers are virtually playing out the string now and they face-off vs. a better than average A's team when they are at home. Max Scherzer has been the beneficiary of lots of runs with 14 wins, despite a pedestrian 4.27 ERA. Scherzer's road numbers are even worse where he has amassed an ERA over the 5 mark. Brandon McCarthy may limit the supply of runs here for the Tigers with his 2.92 ERA at home, where the A's have won five of his last six starts. Scherzer has been better with long rest, but in rotation on regular four day's rest, the Tigers have been bumped in four straight. McCarthy has delivered the cash in 8 of his last 11 starts, so play on Oakland.

Phoenix at Seattle
Pick: Seattle -5.5

The Seattle Storm has been by far the best home team in the WNBA for years running. The last four years has seen the Storm blitz opponents at home to the tune of a 61-7 straight-up record. This is a team that is also peaking at the right time as winners of each of their last four. That includes a game at home vs. Phoenix that they won handily 85-70. Phoenix is always popular because it is a fun team to watch, as they play an up-tempo and often score 90+. That simply doesn't translate well vs. the best defense in the league. In the last 11 meetings, Phoenix is 1-10 straight-up, with the only win by 2 points. Playing in Seattle, they are 0-5 in their last five, and the offense has been derailed, scoring 74 or less in four of the five games. All five games have been decided by 6 points or more, and by an average of 12 points per game. Game one goes to Seattle.

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 10:40 am
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EA Sports Consultants

25* Mississippi St. +3.5

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 11:24 am
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Yankee Capper

5 Units Nationals / Mets Over 9

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 11:39 am
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Freddy Wills

4* LSU / Mississippi State Under 51

3* LSU -2.5 -125

Love LSU and the under in tonight’s game. First of all LSU faced a spread offense like this in week #1 against Oregon and what happened the defense dominated allowing just 95 yards rushing and limited a dual threat QB. LSU again has had more preparation for this game than their opponent. Sure they both played last Saturday, but Miss st was involved in a war with Auburn which they lost surprisingly on the road at the goal line with seconds left. I expect them to be much sore than LSU as LSU faced Northwestern State and surely were looking forward to this game as many players got rest. LSU is also a much deeper team for instance they rotate 5 guys at DT and they should be able to get some push up front vs. a beat up offensive line .

Either way Miss State is at home where they do play terrific defense and were ranked 17th in the nation last year with 8.5 tackles for loss per game. This total is a little high due to how many points LSU scored vs. Oregon and what Miss State’s defense did 5 days ago at Auburn. I think it’s just too high for this type of game, a divisional with two tough defenses. LSU RB Spencer Ware is fresh he had just 6 carries last game clearly holding on for this game, but he’ll have a lot of trouble running as I expect Miss State to really concentrate on stopping the run because Jarret Lee has not been able to hurt teams down the field he has been a game manager. That’s why I don’t see LSU putting up major points like they did vs. Oregon these teams know each other and the crowd will be crazy. On the other side Miss state has put up yards that has led them to #1 offense in the SEC as of today, but they played Memphis and Auburn’s defense both not worth any mention. LSU is possibly the best defense in the country they held Ballard to 28 yards rushing on 11 carries in last year’s 29-7 victory and Chris Relf had 35 yards passing and 2 INT’s. I expect much of the same in what will likely turn into an ugly game as LSU still has just as much talent in the secondary with Mathieu and Claiborne. Miss state’s head coach Dan Mullen is just 2-9 vs. the SEC West with the only two victories being vs. in state Mississippi. I don’t trust him in big games like these and Les Miles teams always seem to be ready.

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 11:57 am
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Stan Lisowski

3* Chicago White Sox

KC is 27-48 vs. southpaws the last 2 seasons. Royals go 18-30 to open up a series and are 10 games under 500 in divisional play. Sox starter Buehrle stands 22-11 lifetime pitching against Kansas City.

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 1:29 pm
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Trace Adams

1500♦ LSU

Chuck O'Brien

40 Dime Tampa Bay Rays

Jeff Benton

30 Dime LSU

Matt Rivers

300,000♦ LSU

Dom Chambers

60 Dime LSU

Dereck Mancini

60 Dime Mississippi St

Al DeMarco

10 Dime Mississippi St

Anthony Redd

60 Dime Mississippi St

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 1:30 pm
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Matt Fargo

10* LSU / Miss St Under

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 2:15 pm
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Power Play Wins

Mississippi St +3

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 2:15 pm
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Al DeMarco

10 Dime Mississippi St

LSU has dominated its series against Miss State, winning 18 of the last 19 meetings (15-4 ATS), including 11 in a row by an average score of 30-13. But this is a statement game for the Bulldogs in their home opener after falling short on the one-yard line in last week's 41-34 loss at Auburn, a game where they enjoyed considerable advantages in first downs (31-21) and total yardage (531-381). That loss cam on the heels of a 59-14 season-opening blowout of Memphis on the road.

The Tigers coasted last Saturday against a cupcake, crushing Northwestern State 40-27. They opened with a 40-27 upset of Oregon, holding the Ducks' ground game to just 95 yards.

Like Oregon, the Bulldogs also run a spread attack. Unlike the Ducks, who rely on their speed to run outside, Miss State likes to run between the tackles with Vick Ballard (166 yards vs. Memphis; 135 vs. Auburn) and quarterback Chris Relf (20-33, 195 yards passing vs. Auburn; 106 on the ground) leading the charge behind a big offensive line that will be without injured left tackle James Carmon.

Defensively there's no doubt LSU has one of the stingiest units in the country while Miss State's sprung a leak at Auburn last week, allowing those Tigers to run for 235 yards and average 6.5 per carry.

On offense, LSA's Jarrett Lee, who was 10-of-22 for 98 yards against Oregon, left last week's rout of Northwestern State with an ankle injury after completing 8-of-11 for 92 yards. This will be the senior's first true test of the season and playing in Starkville with the cowbells ringing is a tough task.

Dan Mullen has resuscitated the Mississippi State program, but he knows as everyone else does that his team needs a signature victory, one bigger than last year's triumph over a then-mediocre Florida squad.

The oddsmakers have priced this game accordingly based on the public's witnessing of the Tigers' destruction of Oregon. They've made this price cheap in order to get plenty of LSU money. The strategy has worked as this number has slowly risen to 4 and 4 1/2 as I release this play.

Can Miss State win this game outright? Yes, they can. But either way this is probably a field goal game in either direction so taking the points and going against the public favorite is the way to go.

 
Posted : September 15, 2011 2:17 pm
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