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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, January 5,2010

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WAYNE ROOT

Millionaire - Iowa

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 1:25 pm
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ATS LOCK CLUB AND TOTALS
3 Units on GA Tech (-5) over Iowa, 8:20pmET

3 on the over 50.5 g.tech gm

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 2:19 pm
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WAYNE ROOT

Millionaire - Iowa

3* Purdue (-8) over Minnesota

6* New Mexico (+3) over San Diego St

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 2:35 pm
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NHL PRO PICKS

Dallas +151
Atlanta +175
Columbus +190

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 3:35 pm
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Scott Delaney

60-Dime GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS

A definining moment for both programs and both coaches.

And all due respect to Kirk Ferentz, of Iowa, but I love my chances with Paul Johnson tonight.

I love the Jackets and everything they're about. I've watched them several times this year, and the one thing I've never not seen is cohesiveness. This is a team of players who play all 60 minutes and who rally around one another.

And I especially like this team since it is in quadruple-revenge in the Bowl season. The Jackets haven't had much success in the postseason lately, losing their last four bowl games, including a 38-3 blowout loss at the hands of LSU in last year's Chick-fil-A Bowl.

Not worried, though, as Paul Johnson is a good coach and has his hands around this program - by the jugular. And when you have a disciplined coach, an experienced quarterback, a solid team and a tremendous rushing game, you're going to have the edge when your opponent is is 0-7 all-time against your league, like Iowa is versus the ACC.

I know the Hawkeyes have a stellar defense ... that's what they said about TCU last night, though.

And this is a Yellow Jackets team that used a completely different approach to move the football, and come in as one of the most productive rushing teams in the nation thanks to that hard-to-halt spread offense. Georgia Tech finished the campaign second in the nation in rushing, rumbling for a sick 307.2 yards per game on the ground, on a lofty 5.3 yards per carry.

And if Iowa decides to collapse a lineback or safety or both to help fill the gaps, ol' Josh Nesbitt can throw the ball too. Despite the fact the Jackets rarely turn to their aerial game, Nesbitt has thrown for 1,689 yards and 10 touchdown strikes this season. His favorite target is star wideout Demaryius Thomas, a 6-3, 230-pound beast who creates matchup problems vertically. He comes into this one with 46 receptions, for 1,154 yards and eight touchdown receptions.

There's too much G Tech all around for Iowa tonight, and the Jackets are going to roll big.

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 3:37 pm
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CHARLIE

500* Iowa+5
500* Iowa vs Georgia Tech Under 50'
500* Sacramento+2'
30* Charlotte-6' (30*)
20* Georgia Tech-5' (20*)
20* Rhode Island pk (20*)
10* Dayton-17' (10*)
Dallas-8 Free Play

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 3:39 pm
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Kelso

50 Units Ga Tech -5.5

50 Units Purdue -9
10 Units Georgia +5
10 Units San Diego St -3.5
5 Units UCF +16
5 Units Rockets +7.5

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 3:40 pm
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Notre Dame -1.5

For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on Notre Dame in this one:

No. 10 UConn beat Notre Dame 82-70 on Saturday; Luke Harangody scored 31 points and grabbed nine rebounds for Notre Dame (12-3, 1-1), which lost for the first time in four games.

No pun intended; I expect a rebound tonight.

Ben Hansbrough, the brother of former North Carolina star forward Tyler, had 14 points and Tyrone Nash added 11 for the Irish, who were playing their first true road game of the season. Notre Dame’s only other games outside South Bend were in the Chicago Invitational Challenge in November.

“I feel pretty good about my group, first time on the road,” Notre Dame coach Mike Brey said. “We came back. We answered some big punches from a good team.”

There were 17 lead changes in the game, and UConn didn’t take control until late in the second half.

Keep in mind that Notre Dame is 12-3 SU its last 15 on the road overall and 4-1 SU its last five vs. South Florida.

On the other side of the court: Louisville crushed South Florida 73-52 on Wednesday night in the Big East opener for both teams.

South Florida shot just 38 percent, turned it over 21 times and made just 13 of 27 free throws; expect a similar lapse in play this evening.

Keep in mind that the Bulls are already a poor 0-1 ATS this season after scoring 60 or less points in their previous game.

Bottom line: Look for NOTRE DAME to improve to 6-3 ATS this year when playing the roll of favorite and for South Florida to fall to 0-2 ATS vs. conference opponents!

7* NOTRE DAME

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 4:07 pm
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Tony George

Dallas -8.5

Home after an embarrassing loss to the Lakers where the Mavs were humiliated, I expect them to bounce back against a go against Detroit team who have dropped 9 in a row and their only win in their last 10 games was at home against Golden State. They are 3-11 on the road this season and although getting Price back has helped offensive production, it has produced no wins. Dallas will have their ears pinned back and have depth that Detroit does not. Like Dallas in bounce back mode on a strong home court, and if they come out firing can win by 15 in this game. Detroit 37% from the floor and 81 ppg their last 5 games, that will not cut it in Dallas. Play 1 Unit on Dallas.

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 4:08 pm
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Rocketman

Charlotte -6

Chicago is 0-6 ATS this year when playing back to back days. Charlotte is 8-2 ATS this year against Central Division opponents. Charlotte is 12-3 ATS this year when playing against a team with a losing record. Charlotte is allowing only 89.7 points per game at home this year. Bulls are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss. Bulls are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 vs. NBA Southeast. Bulls are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bulls are 4-13-3 ATS in their last 20 games following a SU loss. Bulls are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. Bulls are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Bulls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. Bulls are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Bulls are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Bulls are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Central. Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Bobcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. Bobcats are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU win. Bobcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Bobcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Bobcats are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. Bobcats are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Bobcats are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 vs. Eastern Conference. Bobcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Bobcats are 37-16 ATS in their last 53 games following a ATS win. Bulls are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings. We'll play Charlotte for 3 units tonight!

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 4:09 pm
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Evan Altemus

Akron pk

Rhode Island is coming off of a big win against Oklahoma State over the weekend, in what was basically a home game being played in Connecticut. Now they have to play at Akron right before conference play starts. Rhode Island’s problem in this game will be their defense. They are allowing teams to shoot an average of 46% from the field this season, while Akron is holding teams to 42% shooting and 40% over their last 5 games. Rhode Island is in a classic letdown spot, playing a team on the road that plays better defense than they do. Akron has played very well over the last few weeks, covering against the spread in five of their last six lined games. Look for the Zips to get the home win.

3 UNIT SELECTION AKRON

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 4:09 pm
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Marc Lawrence

Iowa +4.5

When Iowa tackles Georgia Tech in the Orange Bowl Tuesday it looks to have the makings of a ‘last-team-with-the-ball wins’ game. Iowa was 4-1 SU in games decided by three or fewer points and an astonishing SEVEN of the Hawkeyes’ games were decided in the final minute of play. Somewhat less dependent on adrenaline, the Yellow Jackets managed to win five of six games by 6 or less points. Tonight’s slugfest pits Iowa’s punishing defense (No. 10 nationally in scoring and No. 11 in total ‘D’) against Tech’s 2nd-ranked rushing offense that finished No. 11 in points scored. Fortunately for Iowa HC Kirk Ferentz, he’ll head for the sideline after spending more than a month figuring out how to slow Paul Johnson’s lethal triple-option attack. Georgia Tech’s stop troops have been shredded in their previous two games against Georgia and Clemson. So with both offenses threatening to run wild, we defer to our database for this juicy tidbit: .600 or greater bowl dogs of more than three points off one-win exact versus a conference opponent that allow less than 25 PPG on the season are 25-4 ATS against an opponent that allowed 14 or less points in its last game, including 11-0 ATS if the opponent is off a spread win of two or more points. Additionally, Ferentz is 31-16-1 ATS as a dog versus a foe with at least one loss, including 25-9-1 ATS if the Hawkeyes own a .200 or greater win percentage. Iowa also posted a 6-2 SU and 6-1-1 ATS mark versus bowlers this season while holding four opponents to season-low yardage. By comparison, the Ramblers are 2-9 ATS as chalk off a win against greater than .500 opposition off a win. Tech doesn’t fare well in postseason play, either, going 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS the last four years. With Iowa QB Ricky Stanzi healthy again, we're hawking the Hawkeyes tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Iowa.

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 4:10 pm
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Bob Balfe

Iowa / Georgia Tech Over 50.5

The Yellow Jackets triple option cannot be stopped nor can it be contained. Opponents can only hope they can outscore GTech or if they beat themselves with turnovers. This is the most frustrating offense for defenses and for gamblers who bet against them. Iowa doesn't have a great offense, but they can score against this suspect GTech Defense. Look for Georgia Tech to get it done on the ground with Iowa doing their damage in the air. I think Iowa will put up a good amount of points which will help this go over the total. In the end look for Georgia Tech to run away with a big win. Take GTech -5.5 and the Over 50.5

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 4:11 pm
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Ron Raymond

Nashville -115

Keys to selection: When NASHVILLE team played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 5 years - After a conference game - Coming off a 2 goal win; the Predators are 10-2 SU in this spot. Take Nashville.

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 4:11 pm
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Lenny Del Genio

Phoenix -2.5

We were on the right side of the previous Suns game, a shocking 128-103 upset at the hands of Memphis last Saturday night. It was a shocking defeat and only the team's third home loss of the season, although also their third in the last five tries. Still, this team also did beat the Lakers and Celtics last week and after being caught in an obvious letdown spot last game, we look for them to bounce back strong vs. the slumping Kings here. Thanks to strong showings by Sacramento against the Cavs and Lakers, opponents no longer overlook this team. Off the bad loss, Phoenix definitely won't and this is the Suns only road game in a 17-day span, so the game will mean something to them. We love this price range as well with Phoenix at 40-20-1 ATS the last 61 times it has laid four or less points on the road. The Suns are 12-3 ATS after allowing 120+ points their previous game. They already have one win over the Kings this year and scored 139 points on them in last season's final meeting. Take Phoenix.

 
Posted : January 5, 2010 4:12 pm
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