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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Tuesday, November 2,2010

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(@paulhous)
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Just bet the Heat every single game this year. That's it. a very real opportunity!

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 2:42 pm
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Wayne Root

Millionaire - Arkansas St

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 3:01 pm
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Just bet the Heat every single game this year. That's it. a very real opportunity!

Laying big numbers all the time which you will be doing will send you to the poor house faster than following Brandon Lang. 😆

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 3:04 pm
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Magic - Knicks canceled tonight.

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 3:06 pm
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

25* Play Edmonton (+125) over Vancouver

25* Play Minnesota (+110) over San Jose

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 3:16 pm
(@paulhous)
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Okay. Point well taken, however, I live down here by Miami and these guys actually want to cover the spread every night. The quotes from these guys indicate that there will be no mercy. They got together for the sole purpose of blowing teams out every single game that they possibly can. The only other entity in sports that I know of that loves to cover the spread like the new Heat team is Nick Saban. I guess we will see, but I believe the Heat will cover better than 65% this year.

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 3:21 pm
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401kSports

2* Miami/Minn under 192.5

Right now Miami is still learning where to position each other on their offensive sets in order to be most effective on the offensive end of the floor. While this takes time, it has been a point of emphasis to maintain a commitment to defense. Defense is mostly effort and despite having less time to work together, each person can always give maximum effort. Miami has held their 4 opponents to an average of 80.75 ppg. This is the 1st out of conference game for Miami and it is against one of the bottom feeders. Even if Miami allows 85 points this game, they still would have to win by 28 to send this game over. That is a high total to count on when your starters are resting.

2* Edmonton +115 over Vancouver

This is the first of six meetings between the Northwest Division rivals. The Canucks are riding a three-game winning streak. Vancouver made it three in a row with a 3-0 victory against the New Jersey Devils on Monday night at Rogers Arena. However, Vancouver is off to an 0-3-1 start away from home. Meanwhile, Edmonton is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home and Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver. Khabibulin is 4-0-2 with a 1.78 GAA in his last six games versus the Canucks

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 4:23 pm
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Jeff Benton

15 Dime Detroit Pistons

Since knocking off the Heat 88-80 in an emotionally charged season opener, the Celtics haven’t covered a pointspread. One night after upsetting Miami, Boston lost 95-87 at Cleveland, and then on Friday they barely held off the Knicks 105-101 as a 9½-point home favorite. True, the aging Celtics got a full three days off to rest up for this contest in Detroit, but I still say it’s a bad spot for the defanding Eastern Conference champs.

Why? Because this game kicks off a stretch in which the Celtics play five games in four different cities from now through Monday. That includes a home contest tomorrow night against Milwaukee, which is followed by three extremely grueling tests against the Bulls (home), Thunder (road) and Mavericks (road). So if ever there was a game where coach Doc Rivers would reign in his big horses with a big lead in the fourth quarter, it’s this one. Rivers knows the NBA season is a marathon, not a sprint, and with guys like Shaq, K.G., Pierce and Allen, Boston is competing in the senior citizen division of that marathon.

Indeed, the Pistons are still sealrching for their first win of the season, as they’re off to an 0-3 starts with losses to the Nets and Bulls on the road as well as Kevin Durant and the Thunder at home. However, Detroit had a shot to win two of those games, blowing late leads at New Jersey (101-98 loss) and Oklahoma City (105-104 loss at the buzzer). And the Pistons did cash in both of those contests as an underdog.

Besides, Detroit’s 0-3 record kind of belies its statistics. The Pistons’ shooting percentage (43.2 percent) is nearly identical to their opponents’ (43.4 percent) and they’ve been far more efficient from three-point land (43 percent) than their foes (27.7 percent). Detroit’s problem has been free-throw shooting (66 percent) and rebounding (it has gotten out-boarded in all three games by a combined 142-124). Well, I doubt the rebounding thing will get fixed tonight (Boston is outrebounding opponents by seven per game), but the Celtics have their own free-throw shooting woes (68.8 percent). The latter is a big deal when you’re this big of a road favorite in what should be a game that comes down to the final four minutes.

Going back to last season, the Pistons are on pointspread upticks of 8-2 overall, 8-1 as an underdog, 5-2 after a SU loss, 4-0 against winning teams and 6-2 against the Eastern Conference. Meanwhile, Boston is in ATS funks of 2-5 folloring a SU win, 3-8 when coming off three days or more of rest and 10-22 when laying between five and 10½ points.

Bottom line: The Pistons are pretty desperate for a victory and they’re getting the Celtics in a good spot. Will they get that victory? I’m not going to go that far – although it wouldn’t shock me – but I do believe they’ll cover an inflated number. Take the points.

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 4:25 pm
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ATS Lock Club

3 Units Middle Tennessee State

4 Units Atlanta Hawks

3 Units Boston Celtics

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 4:27 pm
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Rich Green

3* Arkansas State + 1.5

3* Portland Trailblazers + 2.5

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 5:05 pm
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The Duke's Sports

Arkansas State (+2) for 2.5 Units

The home team has covered 5 of the last 6 in this series and we're going with the home dog tonight. Ark State, which is on a 5-1 ATS roll, has a veteran team that's been in every game this season, including a cover at #2 Auburn. QB Ryan Aplin is making sound decisions running the offense. He also gives the Red Wolves the running dimension in which he has gained nearly 300 yards with 7 TDs this season. On the other hand, Dwight Dasher and Logan Kilgore, who have split duty do to ineffectiveness at the QB position, have a combined 5 TD / 11 INT margin. Defensively, the Blue Raiders have a slight edge but not meaningful enough to warrant laying points on the road in this series, especially walking into revenge. MTSU, which won 38-14 at home last season, is just 1-5 ATS vs an opponent with revenge. Moreover, they're also just 1-5 ATS as a favorite of less than 12 points off a double-digit SU win vs a sub .500 opponent. Good situation for Ark State her under veteran HC Roberts who is 31-11 ATS at ASU Stadium.

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 5:09 pm
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Keith Fredrick

Middle Tennessee at Arkansas State
Pick: Arkansas State +2

ASU is better than their 3-5 record indicates, as losses have come to Auburn, Indiana (ASU dominated stats in that one), and Troy - and they are 3-2 in the league, with a 4-1 record a real possibility with a break or two. On the other hand MSTU is 3-4 (2-1 in the league) but really have not played a "good" game all year long in this view. Finally, note that the home team has won seven of nine in this series.

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 5:11 pm
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MTi Sports

Memphis +8.5

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 5:12 pm
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KELSO

10 Units Arkansas State +1.5

5 Units Atlanta Hawks -3.5

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 5:18 pm
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Rocky Sheridan

10* Middle Tennessee State -1.5

7* Edmonton +120

5* San Jose -130

 
Posted : November 2, 2010 5:29 pm
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