Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Bowling Green +3.5
For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this matchup is on the visitors: With the combination of QB Tyler Sheehan and WR Freddie Barnes, Bowling Greens' arial attack remains solid; Sheehan has completed 65 % of his passes for 2,677 yards with 15 TD's and only five INT's.
Barnes has burst onto the national scene by making 99 receptions for 1,054 yards and nine TD's.
It's true the Falcons are 1-5 ATS their last six overall, but dating back to last season they're 9-2 ATS their last 11 on the road and 4-1 SU their last five vs. Buffalo.
On the other side of the field: In Buffalo’s most recent game, an overtime loss to Western Michigan on Oct. 24, Ike Nduka carried 18 times for 172 yards and a TD and has rushed for over 100 yards in three of Buffalo’s last four games; slowing him down in the backfield will be the plan for the Falcons.
The Bulls’ defense came into their last matchup ranked 42nd nationally at 331.1 yards per game allowed but they are now ranked 60th (352.8) after Western Michigan finished with 505 yards of total offense.
It should be noted that the secondary suffered several key injuries during that game and the only healthy cornerback from the two deep was junior Domonic Cook. Junior Josh Thomas and sophomore Joe Petit suffered concussions while senior Kendric Hawkins left with an internal injury.
Bottom line: While it’s a new coaching staff at BG, the Falcons will be looking for a measure of revenge against the Bulls, after last year's end of season fourth quarter meltdown which saw Buffalo win in double OT and then go on to win the MAC East, play in the conference championship game and in the International Bowl.
As the Bulls have been prone to the turnover this season (17 turnovers lost and only six gained, which is tied for 103rd nationally), I look for BOWLING GREEN to make the most of its opportunities tonight and to improve to 3-2 ATS as an "underdog" as Buffalo falls to 1-3 ATS at home and 0-2 ATS when playing the roll of favorite this season! *9* BOWLING GREEN.
Lenny Del Genio
Bowling Green +3.5
The Falcons have major revenge from a 40-34 2OT loss last year to Buffalo where they blew a 27-7 4th quarter lead, enabling the Bulls to clinch the MAC East Title. Bowling Green has covered nine of its last 11 road games (8-1 ATS as an underdog) and won 7 of its last 8 November games SU. Buffalo has beaten just two FBS opponents all season and just one since the opening upset of UTEP. In fact, they have not covered as a favorite all season and just allowed 350 yards passing in their last game, a 34-31 loss to Western Michigan. For a bad and banged up Buffalo defense, the news gets worse against the Falcons passing attack of QB Sheehan and WR Barnes, the latter of whom leads the nation in receiving. The offense has thrown for 343+ yards passing in each of its last four games. Bowling Green is our 15* MAC Game of the Week.
Rocketman
Anaheim -110
Anaheim is 5-2 SU and ATS at home vs Pittsburgh since 1996. Ducks are 11-5 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Home team is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Penguins are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Anaheim. Pittsburgh has been one of the best teams in the NHL this season so far. Anaheim has played below average this season. I think all that changes tonight. We'll play Anaheim for 4 units tonight!
Savannah Sports
2* Bowling Green +3
Eric Degarde
2* Philadelphia +7
2* Washington +11.5
2* Utah +5.5
Tony George
Utah vs. Dallas
Utah same ol same ol, they beat everyone at home and lose damn near every night on the road. A bad road team, and when your defense is allowing 108 ppg, that is just what Dallas needs, uncontested shots at the basket to jump start their 92 ppg average, at home. Dallas allows just 88 ppg, that is 20 ppg less than Utah, plus they also hold a solid rebounding edge here. Like the Mavs at home here to get rolling.
Play 1 Unit on Dallas
Ron Raymond
Denver/Indiana Under
When DENVER played as a road team - During Last 4 Years - Won Last Game by 10 Points or More; the UNDER is 40-22-1 for the Nuggets in this role the L4Y
Evan Altemus
Phoenix vs. Miami
Phoenix has played the LA Clippers, Minnesota, and Golden State to start the season, a very weak schedule. They have also played two of those teams at home. The Suns are still being regarded as the highest scoring team in the league of a few seasons ago, but their line-up is nowhere near as good as it used to be. Miami will be the best defensive team that the Suns have faced this season, and the Heat don’t want to run up and down the floor with Phoenix. The Heat has held their first three opponents to 87 points per game and 38% from the field. I look for this game to be lower scoring with Miami controlling the tempo. Both teams will be fully rested for this game as well, which will help them play better defense.
3 UNIT SELECTION UNDER.
R & R HANDICAPPING
Nuggets at Pacers
Pick: Under 226
We all know that the Denver Nuggets like to score a lot of points at home, but on the raod they are a different team. We are looking for a controled pace tonight in indiana and the Pacers will be able to play some half court ball. the total seems a little high since both teams have been hitting a high percentage of shots. the under is the play tonight.
Mean Green Profit Machine
Maple Leafs
Teddy Covers
Celtics
Wizards
ATS
4 Units Buffalo -3.5
DAVE MALINSKY
Top of the Ticket
4* MIAMI HEAT (-3) over Phoenix Suns
In favoring Miami by less than the value of the court they are making a long-term statement that we do not agree with in this one, and with the style matchup strongly favoring the Heat we can call for a much easier win than the oddsmakers are projecting. We are not Phoenix fans. The chemistry on the defensive end of the court is awful, with Steve Nash and Grant Hill getting long on the tooth, Amare Stoudemire rarely showing interest, and no shot blocker in the middle to make up for the deficiencies (until Robin Lopez returns, and he is still awfully raw). And a lack of quality depth makes it even more difficult to play with defensive intensity for 48 minutes. It will make them hard-pressed to beat quality opponents on the road, but they get thrown into the wrong price range here because of that ridiculously weak opening schedule of the Clippers, Warriors and Timberwolves. Miami is a different story at the defensive end of the court. The Heat have held each of their first three opponents to their season low in scoring, rating #2 in the NBA on our best charts, and #1 in FG percentage allowed. It has been the solid work of Erik Spoelstra bringing that young roster together quickly, and the leadership on the court of Dwayne Wade creating a win-first, me-second focus. And while the Suns have those depth issues that accentuate their weaknesses, Spoelsta?s decision to bring Udonis Haslem off the bench is creating a much better game flow for the Heat, while Joel Anthony is also making major defensive contributions, rating 6th in the league in blocked shots in only 18 minutes per game. Dwayne Wade is a ?finisher?, and now that the cast around him has grown up the Heat are going to be difficult to close out on this court ? since the All Star break LY they are 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS in the favorite?s role, and the Suns do not bring what it takes to alter that flow
Bob Balfe
Suns/Heat Under 216
Power Play Wins
Boston Celtics -6.5
Winning Points
2* Bowling Green