Marc LawrenceFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boise State vs. Tulsa
Play: Tulsa +10
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When the Golden Hurricane play host to the Broncos in a non-conference clash of non-conference leaders they will do so knowing they are 12-1 SU at home under head coach Todd Graham, including 11 wins in a row. On the flip side, Boise State is just 1-10 ATS as a road favorite off a non-conference win. With that, look for the Hurricane to improve to 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS at home against a .500 or greater opponent off a win here tonight. Grab the points in this upset maker here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Tulsa.
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Boise St at Tulsa
Pick: Over 53
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In light of the struggles we’ve seemed to have to begin the college football season, I’ve decided to simply use my numbers for the remainder of today’s plays. Situational and matchup analysis have yielded little for us so far but it seems that my efficiency ratings have been performing solidly. So, for the remainder of today’s selections we’ll be basing our plays solely on the difference between our numbers and the betting line.
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Tulsa (+9') for 2 Units
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Good value with a well coached Tulsa team on the rise. Tulsa has played 4 of their first 5 on the road and eagerly await this prime time affair. The Golden Hurricane has a well functional offense behind accurate QB G.J. Kinne and an ever improving offensive line that has paved the way for a running game of 168 ypg. We'll look for Tulsa ball control vs a Boise State defense that allows 5 ypc. Tulsa is 8-1 ATS at home vs teams with a greater than .500 mark off a SU win, and they're 6-0 ATS at home vs a team with a winning road record. This is a bad spot for Boise State: they're 1-5 ATS in game 6 and 0-10 ATS as a road favorite off a non conference SU win. Tulsa the call.
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Boise State vs. Tulsa
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OK...Boise St. is everyone's play tonight, Vegas just does not give cash away, this is a contrarian play. Look at the numbers and while they favor Boise State, they stats are pretty close. Tulsa was beaten badly by Oklahoma on the road, their only loss. Look at the last 2 years here, and this game has been a tight one, a 3 point game last year in Boise. Tulsa has a capable QB in Kinne and they are 10-1 ATS their last 11 at home. This is Boise's States final real test in conference action and simply put, I do not think they walk out of Tulsa without a fight. Boise State has RB issues. Although they are the better team, these mid week games are always tough. Tulsa defense is tough against the run and allows just 16 ppg, and Boise St allows just 12. Both teams have explosive offenses. With an offense that can trade punches and a more than decent defense, and at home, I am grabbing the points.
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Play 1 Unit on Tulsa
Ron RaymondFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles vs. Rangers
Play Under: 5.5
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When LOS ANGELES team played as a Road team - Total is 5.5 - Last 5 years - Coming off 2 unders; the UNDER is 10-0-0 for the Kings in this role. Take the UNDER.
Does anyone have ATS LOCK CLUB HOCKEY PICKS or know how they do with hockey I know they are pretty solid with with Football or who is the best with hockey picks THANKS
a.t.s.
3 tulsa +9
Black Widow
6* Widow Wiseguy Boise State/Tulsa ESPN ATS BLOOD BATH on Boise State -9.5
The Broncos have been a covering machine this decade, and the odds makers continue to fail to adjust their lines properly. They are 12-2 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons alone. Boise State is not favored by enough points tonight as they'll crush Tulsa on the road. The Broncos need style points for any chance to be in the National Championship game, and a blowout win over a decent Golden Hurricane team will give them those style points they need. Boise is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after a win by 17 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Boise is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Broncos are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. THe Broncos are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992. Boise is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons. That's a 33-0 ATS Angle backing the Broncos tonight. This team just plays the game the right way. They are outscoring opponents by 26 points/game behind a balanced attack on offense that rushes for 192 yards/game and throws for 248 yards/game. Tulsa has played a very easy shedule, with the exception of a road game at Oklahoma where they lost 45-0. Boise is the same caliber team as the Sooners with a defense that can shut down this Tulsa offense. It's inevitable that the Broncos run away with this one by game's end. Take Boise State and lay the points.
Does anyone have ATS LOCK CLUB HOCKEY PICKS or know how they do with hockey I know they are pretty solid with with Football or who is the best with hockey picks THANKS
I didn't even know they did NHL ???
Rocketman and Rickenbach are very good with Hockey.
Savannah Sports
2* Tulsa +9.5
DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
3* Pitt -130
2* Rangers / Kings over 5.5
2* Dallas -160
3* Tulsa +9.5
Dr. Bob
Boise St. (-9.5) 28 TULSA 20
Over/Under Total: 54.5
Boise State is known for their high scoring offense, but the Broncos are a great team because they have a very good defense. That unit started the season by shutting down a good Oregon attack and the Broncos have allowed just 4.5 yards per play in 5 games to a schedule of teams that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average team. That unit should control an overrated Tulsa offense that has scored a lot of points on bad defensive teams but was shutout by Oklahoma - the only good defensive team that they've faced. Boise isn't as good as Oklahoma defensively, but Tulsa actually rates as a worse than average offense after adjusting for opposing defenses faced. The Hurricanes have averaged only 5.4 yppl in 4 games against Division 1A teams that would combine to allow 5.8 yppl to an average team. Boise State has allowed 4.4 yppl or less in 4 of their 5 games (only a potent Fresno State team had more) and my math model projects just 4.3 yppl for Tulsa in this game.
Tulsa, while not as good as perceived offensively, is better than most people think defensively. the Hurricanes have allowed just 4.6 yppl in their 4 D-1A games to teams that would average 4.9 yppl against an average defense. That unit will defend Boise's rushing attack well, as the Broncos rate as just average running the ball without D.J. Harper in the lineup (he's missed the last two games and is out for the season). Jeremy Avery is still a good back, but new #2 back Doug Martin is a big step down from Harper. While Boise's rushing attack may stall against a good Tulsa run defense (3.6 yprp allowed to teams that would average 4.6 yprp against an average team) the Broncos' Kellen Moore (8.7 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 5.9 yppp to an average QB) should have his usual strong outing against a mediocre Tulsa pass defense that's allowed just 5.4 yppp but to quarterbacks that would combine to average just 5.2 yppp against an average defense.
Boise has pretty big edges regardless of which team has the ball and my math model gives the Broncos a very good 57% chance of covering the spread in this game. However, Tulsa applies to a very strong 49-10-2 ATS home underdog momentum situation that is 9-0 ATS since I discovered it. Boise, meanwhile, applies to a negative 34-86-4 ATS road letdown situation and Tulsa has a 59% chance of covering a fair line based on the situations. Overall, Tulsa is about a 52% play and the under looks like a pretty good play.
Mike Lineback
4* Boise St Team Over 32.2 -115
4* 7 pt Teaser -130 Boise St -2 and Over 48
Teddy Covers
Tulsa Under 54.5
Larry Ness
25* Wednesday GOY Tulsa