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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays for Wednesday, October 14,2009

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Scott Spreitzer

NHL ONE-TIMER FAVE OF THE MONTH!

I'm laying the price with the Rangers

 
Posted : October 14, 2009 3:49 pm
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TeddyJune

10* Tulsa Golden Hurricanes

 
Posted : October 14, 2009 4:00 pm
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Street Rosenthal

*200 Dallas Stars -157
Last night we faded the public and now tonight we will side with them. This is a great spot to catch Dallas in tonight. Nashville is 2-8 last 10 on Wednesday and 1-9 away on Wednesday in the last 10 games. Dallas is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Nashville.

*200 Chicago Blackhawks Over 6
I am taking the Blackhawks and Oilers over the total tonight. I have the Blackhawks as going over the total in 8 of their last 12 games. I also have the Oilers going over in 9 of thier last 13 road games. Also, we have the Blackhawks as going over 5 of their last 5 games at home. Finally, we have the Oilers as 7-3 over their last 10 games vs the Northwestern division. Take the over for the win.

*200 Boise State -8
Number 5 ranked Boise St comes into Tulsa on Wednesday night to face probably their toughest opponent remaining on their schedule. The Golden Hurricanes are 0-4 all-time against the Broncos. I have so many trends pointing to a Boise State victory that it almost scares me. Here are a few of those trends. Boise State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road. The League is 1-8 ATS (-11.8 ppg) since October 26, 2007 as a home dog vs. Boise State. The League is 2-10 ATS (-10.5 ppg) since November 18, 2006 as a dog vs. Boise State after an away game. Tulsa is 0-4 ATS (-18.6 ppg) since September 21, 2007 as a dog after a win. Tulsa is also 2-7 ATS (-13.9 ppg) since November 23, 1996 as a dog after a win on the road. I also have Boise as 9-0 ATS since 2002 in game 6 and when they won their previous game and they are a favorite of less than -11 points. Take the better team on the road tonight. Without a doubt Boise State is a higher caliber team that will be focused to play tonight.

 
Posted : October 14, 2009 4:11 pm
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Tony Karpinski

10* Conference USA Game of the Month

Boise State vs. Tulsa
Pick: Tulsa +8.5

The Public is all over Boise St tonight because of their #5 ranking and media hype. Vegas just does not give cash away, this is a contrarian play. This is a RARE Nationally televised Primetime game for them.
This game includes a PERFECT 19-0 ATS angle. Here, what we want to do is play on any home dog of more than 7 points, if it's off back-to-back wins, has a win percentage between .701 and .832, and scored 25+ in its most recent game. Tulsa is 4-1 this season, and its only loss came at Oklahoma, 45-0 as an 18-point underdog. Otherwise, the Golden Hurricane have been solid, as they've gone 2-0-1 ATS with one game off the board. Tulsa has won its last two games vs. Sam Houston (56-3) and Rice (27-10) so it falls squarely within our 19-0 system (which hasn't lost in 29 seasons).

By now, everyone is well aware of Boise State's great home record (66-2 straight-up since 1999; 40-17 ATS). But when the Broncos take to the road, they are definitely beatable, as evidenced by their 14-15-1 ATS record since 2003, including a poor 0-6 ATS as a favorite of more than 7 points vs. a foe off a win. In its last game, against unheralded Cal-Davis, Boise looked nothing like the 5th-ranked team in the country. It was held to a season-low 101 rushing yards, and only defeated Cal Davis by 18 points, 34-16. That's not the kind of effort a team wants to have as it goes into Chapman Stadium to take on Tulsa's high-octane offense. The Golden Hurricane have the seventh-ranked QB in the country in G.J. Kinne (1142 yds, 10 TDs, 2 Interceptions), and have won 13 of their last 14 at home.

Boise State has RB issues and injuries. Also, Tulsa defense is tough against the run and allows just 16 ppg, and I expect a tough hard battle late into the 4th quarter and we'll back the home underdog tonight!

 
Posted : October 14, 2009 4:12 pm
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Northcoast

Marquee - Boise St

 
Posted : October 14, 2009 4:12 pm
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Rocketman

Carolina Hurricanes

 
Posted : October 14, 2009 4:13 pm
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BIG AL

Tulsa

 
Posted : October 14, 2009 4:28 pm
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Seabass

30* Tulsa

 
Posted : October 14, 2009 4:40 pm
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Billy Coleman

5* GOM Pittsburgh - 125
3*Edmonton
3*Minn/Anaheim under 5'

 
Posted : October 14, 2009 4:50 pm
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John Ryan

Game: Boise St. at Tulsa
Prediction: Tulsa

Reason: Ai Simulator 10* graded play on Tulsa as they host Boise State set to start at 8:00 EST. AiS shows an 84% probability that Tulsa will lose this game by 8 or fewer points. This is going to be a big test for Boise State and a game that I see them quite possibly losing based on the AiS grading and summary projections. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 30-10 ATS for 75% winners since 1999. Play on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 275 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games and with an inexperienced QB as starter. This system reflects a solid defense that supports a developing QB that many times is vastly under rated by the betting public. This system has also gone 12-3 for 80% winners over the past 3 seasons. Boise’s offense is not executing at a high level. In their last game, which followed a BYE week, the Broncos had nine penalties, were stopped on six of 10 third-down attempts and produced 13 points on four first-half trips in the red zone. The defense was poor as well for a team that aspires to gain a BCS berth. Noteworthy though is that the defense was playing without their leader Wilson, who was out due to a shoulder injury. But last I checked, one man does not a team make. So, even though he is back tonight, it does not change how poorly they played last week. Tulsa has a strong offense that is executing well and is led by QB G.J. Kinne, who ranks 7th in the FBS subdivision with a 161.7 passer rating. He has thrown for 1142 yards, 10 Td’s and just 2 interceptions. Tulsa is in a perfect role noting they are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Supporting a possible upset here is a money line system that has produced 63% winners and a 45-27 record making 41 units since 1992. The average play has been a dog of +151. Play against a road team versus the money line that is a good rushing team gaining 190 to 230 YPG facing an average rushing team gaining 140-190 YPG and after allowing 2 or less rushing yards/attempt last game. Take Tulsa and add an optional 2* amount on the money line.

 
Posted : October 14, 2009 5:51 pm
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SPORTS BANK

300 Boise

SCORE

300% Boise St

Stan Lisowski

Boise St Over

The Greatest

5* Tulsa +9

ATS Financial

Boise/Tulsa Over 54

 
Posted : October 14, 2009 5:53 pm
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