Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday December, 21

DUNKEL INDEX

BYU at Baylor
The Bears look to take advantage of a BYU team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 road games. Baylor is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Bears favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-7)

Game 821-822: Fordham at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 50.673; Connecticut 64.470
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 14
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+15 1/2)

Game 823-824: Florida Atlantic at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 46.800; Indiana 81.632
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 35; 141
Vegas Line: Indiana by 32 1/2; 145
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-32 1/2); Under

Game 825-826: Pennsylvania at Delaware (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 49.318; Delaware 53.523
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 4
Vegas Line: Delaware by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (+10 1/2)

Game 827-828: Bowling Green at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 54.063; South Florida 65.419
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 10
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-10)

Game 829-830: UC-Santa Barbara at Wyoming (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 53.367; Wyoming 70.579
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 17
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-13 1/2)

Game 831-832: BYU at Baylor (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 61.493; Baylor 69.915
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 8 1/2; 146
Vegas Line: Baylor by 7; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-7); Under

Game 833-834: Stanford at Northwestern (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 66.337; Northwestern 64.507
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 2; 133
Vegas Line: Stanford by 3; 129
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+3); Over

Game 835-836: Vanderbilt vs. Middle Tennessee State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 58.011; Middle Tennessee State 66.718
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 8 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 7; 128
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-7); Under

Game 837-838: CS-Northridge at Utah (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 52.034; Utah 62.520
Dunkel Line: Utah by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-7 1/2)

Game 839-840: Buffalo vs. Washington State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 51.960; Washington State 62.061
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 10
Vegas Line: Washington State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-7)

Game 841-842: Southern Illinois vs. Nicholls State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 50.850; Nicholls State 40.075
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 11
Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nicholls State (+13 1/2)

Game 843-844: UC Davis vs. Utah State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 45.070; Utah State 58.909
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 14
Vegas Line: Utah State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-10)

Game 845-846: SMU vs. Wagner (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 53.696; Wagner 53.094
Dunkel Line: SMU by 1
Vegas Line: SMU by 2
Dunkel Pick: Wagner (+2)

Game 847-848: Alcorn State at Santa Clara (11:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alcorn State 40.778; Santa Clara 63.484
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 21
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-21)

Game 849-850: Southern Utah at Denver (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 45.214; Denver 65.179
Dunkel Line: Denver by 20
Vegas Line: Denver by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-19 1/2)

Game 851-852: Western Carolina at Tennessee (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 52.097; Tennessee 63.961
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 12; 139
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 13 1/2; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+13 1/2); Over

Game 853-854: Niagara at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 53.358; Notre Dame 67.472
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 14; 145
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 16 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (+16 1/2); Over

Game 855-856: Morehead State at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 49.238; North Dakota State 65.297
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 16
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-13 1/2)

Game 857-858: Northern Colorado at North Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 45.383; North Dakota 45.686
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: North Dakota by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+2 1/2)

Game 859-860: Northern Arizona at Colorado (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 45.513; Colorado 65.907
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado by 18
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-18)

Game 861-862: Montana at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 52.365; Sacramento State 50.909
Dunkel Line: Montana by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana by 4
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (+4)

Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Orlando Magic at Toronto RaptorsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Orlando MagicFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Toronto is off a win, but struggling, losing 2 of every 3 games. They are ranked 24th in rebounds and points allowed, giving up 100.7 ppg. Orlando is also off a win and playing better, close to .500 with a sharp defense that allowed 94.2 ppg (6th). They are also 8th in the league in rebounding and 6th in assists. The Magic is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and on a 7-3 ATS run overall. Play the Magic!

KelsoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Southern Illinois at Nicholls StateFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Southern IllinoisFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Southern Illinois is a much improved team over the one that finished 8-23 last season and that is reflected by the fact the Salukis were a miserable 2-11 on the road last year and come into this game 3-2 in their “away” games. This is not to suggest Southern Illinois is an outstanding basketball team but merely to point out it is playing well and at a much higher performance profile than is UC-Davis. UC-Davis has beaten only Eastern Washington (2-8) and Sacramento State (6-3) this season and simply seems up against it tonight.

Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Chicago vs. New YorkFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: ChicagoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Knicks and Bulls square off for the second time this season and New York seeks revenge as well as tries to extend its lead in the Eastern Conference. The Bulls might have something to say about that though. The Knicks won their last game, a home win over Brooklyn and they have taken it to their new neighbors the last two meetings. That moved New York to 11-1 at home and 19-6 overall to remain a game ahead of Miami for top position in the Eastern Conference. Being a public team already, this great start to the season has only added to the public love and we are seeing some significant line overadjustments. This is a another case of it as the Knicks were favored by six points against Brooklyn which has a worse record than Chicago and is in the midst of a 2-8 run but they are favored by a larger number here. After starting 8-1 against the spread, New York is just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 games. The Bulls meanwhile have been playing very well as they are 8-3 over their last 11 games with those three losses coming by an average of 6.0 ppg. As a matter of fact, Chicago has been competitive in the majority of its losses, losing only one by double-digits and the other nine coming by an average of 5.6 ppg. The absence of Derrick Rose is still felt but the Bulls make up for it with solid defense as they are allowing 90.3 ppg on 42.4 percent shooting, both of which are second best in the NBA. New York is actually getting outshot on the season 45 percent to 45.7 percent. That obviously is not a big variance but any negative variance is irregular for a team that has such a solid record. Neither team has been great against the number following a win but we give the edge to Chicago as it is 6-4 ATS on the road and is catching a very generous number in this situation.

Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Milwaukee vs. BostonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: BostonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Celtics will be looking to extend a six game winning streak at home, when they host Milwaukee on Friday night. Boston has been a tough place to play for opposing teams, as the Celtics are 9-4 at TD Garden so far this year. Paul Pierce is feeling the hot hand in recent days, shooting over 66% from the field in his last three games.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The 15 year veteran dropped 40 points on the Cavs on Wednesday, becoming the oldest player in club history to score 40 points in regulation time.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Bucks have lost two of their last three, and their leading scorer Monte Ellis is slumping terribly. Ellis was ice cold on Wednesday, shooting just 1-14 in a loss to the Grizzlies. He's shooting just 25% over his last three games. "He's our scorer, so he's the most important player on this team," Brandon Jennings said. "With great scorers like that you shouldn't be too worried because they always come back strong."
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Bucks have only won twice in their last 10 trips to the Garden, however they did win their last visit. That's something the Celtics surely haven't forgotten, and they will be looking for redemption against the struggling Bucks here on Friday night.

Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Bowling Green vs. South FloridaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: South FloridaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
After emptying its tanks in eventual 64-53 midweek loss vs. Michigan State at its Stroh Center, not sure what sort of effort Louis Orr’s BGSU can muster in Tampa. USF is suddenly making a nice fortress out of the Sun Dome, with three straight DD wins over competent opposition. Stan Heath’s no-nonsense defenders will be on lookout for potential breakout Falcon star Chauncey Orr (Louis’ son), who scored 16 on Tuesday vs. Tom Izzo’s Spartans. The Bulls’ “bullish” 6-8, 243-lb. F Toarlyn Fitzpatrick (12.3 ppg) is providing a tough matchup with his ability to float to the perimeter, where he’s draining 45% of his triples.

David ChanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Milwaukee vs. BostonFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: BostonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Milwaukee is 13-11 SU and 12-12 ATS; it's coming off a 90-80 setback at Memphis on the 19th as a 9 point underdog. The Bucks would shoot a season low in field goal % (35) and in overall points. Brandon Jennings had 26 points in the setback. Monta Ellis though was just 1 of 14; in fact Ellis is just 13 of 51 over his last three games.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
It comes as no surprise to learn that the Bucks have gone over the 100 point mark just once in their last 14 games.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Note that Milwaukee is just 4-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Boston is 13-12 SU and 9-14-2 ATS; after three straight losses, it's coming off a 103-91 win over Cleveland as a 9 point favorite on the 19th.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Paul Pierce had a season-high 40 points, going 13 of 16 from the floor, and also hitting all eight from behind the charity stripe.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pierce has shot nearly 67% from the floor over his last three games.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Rajon Rondo continues to be the model of consistency, totaling 46 points over his last two games.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Despite the slow start for bettors, it's still significant to note that Boston is 14-12 ATS in its last 26 as a home favorite in the 3.5 to 6 point range.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
This is also a revenge game for the home side which has lost two of three to the Bucks thus far, including the most recent matchup, a 91-88 win for Milwaukee on December 1st.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Consider laying the points here!

Bobby ConnFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Washington Wizards vs. Detroit PistonsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Washington WizardsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Neither one of these teams have been playing well, but at least Washington has been keeping games closer than expected. The Wizards have lost five straight but have covered 8 of their last 9. Detroit on the other hand has lost six in a row but have only covered one time in that stretch.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Pistons have been shooting awful. They haven't shot better than 42% from the field in their last six games and that puts them into a situation where they are 3-14 ATS their last 17 coming off four straight games in which they shot 42% or worse from the field.

Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Orlando Magic vs. Toronto Raptors
Play: Orlando MagicFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Orlando is 20-2 straight up and 22-0 ats with 1 or less day of rest off a home game where their opponent hoisted up 10 or more 3 point shot and converted at least half of them. We also want to play on road dogs with rest that scored 90 or more as a home favorite of 5 or more and shot 45% or less, vs an opponent like Toronto that scored 90 or more as a home favorite of 4 or less and shot 45% or higher. These road teams have cashed over 80% of the time. Both teams have won 4 straight. Orlando has revenge from an earlier 97-86 loss and has covered 9 of 12 on the road and all 3 off a division game. Look for Orlando to get the cash here plus the points tonight.

Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Ball State at Central FloridaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Ball StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Central Florida is better than Ball State. It's not a landslide by any means, but man for man and on the numbers, the Knights win this game. But if there's one major handicapping factor in the bowls, especially the lesser events, it's motivation, and for this game, it appears to be all Ball State. They're excited, and Head Coach Pete Lembo has made no secret of how important he feels this game is for his program. The Cardinals apparently have a pretty good base of alums in this area, and Lembo has made mention of this bowl location being huge for his recruiting goals. Ball State has never won a bowl game, so they're going to be ready tonight. The downside is twofold. The Cardinals are a lousy defensive team, and especially so vs. the run. Also, QB Wenning is playing, but he's probably not real healthy. Wenning missed most of the practices with his ankle in a walking boot, and if he can't operate, there could be a problem. But more than playing on Ball State, this is a side against UCF. They have sold a mere 4100 tickets for a bowl that's virtually in their back yard. The fan base is decidedly unexcited about the opponent, and no one likes the idea of going to watch a game at dumpy Tropicana. In addition, UCF is off a brutal OT loss in the CUSA title game, and that's not a plus heading into this game. On paper, this is a pass all the way, as my number is the same as the betting line. But I'm taking my shot with what I believe is the more interested squad, so Ball State plus the points gets a play from me tonight.

JR O'DonnellFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
San Antonio -14FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Grab the spotlight tonight as these 19-8 San An Spurs are finally home and will some damage .. They have last played "12 of 16" on the road. The end of that road trip was ugly 0-4 skid... These 5-20 New Orleans Hornets are just what the ailing SPURS NEED.. they have averaged 88.1 points during its 0-9 skid!!! ouch.......... San An Spurs power rated @ - 20 here guys.. DOWN RIGHT UGLY ...TONIGHT.. San An Spurs are 24-2-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record &Spurs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 2 days rest.Home team is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings.

Ray MonohanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Buffalo vs. Washington StateFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Washington StateFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Buffalo is traveling a long way from home for this one...and bringing a 4-7 record with them. Though off campus in Seattle the Cougars can expect a partial crowd. WSU is just 7-4 but other than a loss at Pepperdine looks good. They almost knocked off Gonzaga earlier this month and 6’10 Australian import Brock Motum is looking better and better each game out. The Bulls have only one player who can look him in the eye and not enough on the perimeter to really challenge. The Cougars are shooting 31.5 percent from beyond the arc. WSU are 14-3 ATS in conference games and we're banking on an easy victory Friday night at the KeyArena in Seattle.

Jimmy BoydFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Chicago Bulls +6.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Here come the Bulls. Since getting off to a soft 6-7 start, Chicago has rattled off 8 wins in its last 11 games. It owns a 93-85 victory over the Knicks during this strong stretch of play, and I expect it to challenge New York again tonight.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Bulls held the Knicks to just 32.1% shooting in the first matchup. New York relies on perimeter scoring, which can be an issue against good defensive teams like the Bulls. Few teams get in your grill like Chicago, which ranks second in the league in field goal percentage defense (42.4% shooting allowed per game).
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Bulls have won 5 of the last 6 meetings with the lone loss coming by a single point in their most recent visit to Madison Square Garden.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, and the underdog is on a 4-1 ATS run in the series. Take the points.

Wunderdog

Chicago at New York
Pick: Under 187.5

The Chicago Bulls have been good on the defensive end for the past few years. This year they have had to increase their focus and intensity while they await the return of Derrick Rose. That has led them to holding 14 opponents to under 90 points already on the season. That includes six of their last seven opponents with a winning record. Within that mix was this New York team, who they held to 85 points in their last meeting. It seems that the better the competition, the slower the pace and better the defense is for Chicago. Overall they are 35-16 to the UNDER in their last 51 games, and that includes a perfect 7-0 to the UNDER on rested legs of two day’s rest. The Knicks like to run, but haven't had a lot of success in doing so vs. the Bulls, resulting in 7 of the last 10 meetings falling short of the total. Play on the UNDER.