Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday December, 28

Red Dog SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Jacksonville at IndianaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Jacksonville +39FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Indiana is tough at home but has been off for a week and plays Iowa in Big Ten action next week. The Hoosiers were ranked #1 most of the year and led by 7' Cody Zeller (Player Of The Year candidate) and point guard Yogi Ferrell. Jacksonville has played some decent teams and only lost by 6 to Georgia, by 16 to Miami and 17 to South Carolina. They have one loss by over 30 points and that was by 42 to Wofford. I like our chances with one of the largest lines of the year. Take the underdog +39 points!

Bobby ConnFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Nuggets vs. MavericksFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Over 210½FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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At first look this total doesn't make much sense. You have the Nuggets that are putting up 102.7 ppg while allowing 101.2 and then there is Dallas scoring 99 ppg while allowing 102.5. None of those numbers add up anywhere near 210.5, but that's the reason there is value tonight in the over. You see the Mavs allow 5 points more per game than their opponents score, while Denver scores 5.5 more than their opponents give up. The Nuggets allow 3 ppg more than their opponents score and while Dallas only puts up 1.5 points more than their opponents allow, all of this adds up to a high scoring affair on Friday night.

Timothy BlackFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Air Force vs. RiceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: RiceFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Rice has won 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 with their only loss coming to a very solid Tulsa squad. The Owls are also 5-1 ATS in this last stretch of 6 games. The Air Force Academy has had a down year, especially for their recent standards. The Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Also, in the SU category, the Air Force has lost 3 of those 4 games, which includes a very bad loss to an awful Army team.

Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Golden State WarriorsFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Philadelphia 76ersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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You don't want to run and gun with these Warriors but Philly doesn't run with anyone, slowing the pace down 96 ppg 9th in the NBA. The 76ers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. the NBA Pacific and come off a nice win at Memphis, 99-89, allowing 39% shooting. The Sixers held a 16-2 advantage in fast-break points and outrebounded the Grizzlies 38-37. The Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and the 76ers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Play the 76ers!

Ray MonohanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Missouri vs. UCLAFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Missouri +2.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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A very nice game for a Friday night featuring UCLA and Mizzou. We all know that UCLA has been grabbing headlines as a disappointment and I don’t see how they are going to slow down the Tigers in this one.
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Flip Pressey is probably the best point guard in the country and right now they are the top rebounding team in America - at least statistically.
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They are playing well having just beaten undefeated Illinois in their annual battle and won’t be intimidated by the staid Pauley Pavillion crowd, especially not on a Friday when a lot of students are off campus.
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Shabazz may go off as this game should have flow but I think the Tigers can cruise to a victory.
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The 2.5 is just a nice cushion.

Kyle HunterFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Bowling Green vs. North Dakota
Play: North DakotaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The North Dakota Fighting Sioux just moved to the Big Sky conference this year. This is a team that hasn't played anyone good at all in the past few seasons. They've bumped up their strength of schedule this year, but they haven't beaten a Division I team all season. Bowling Green plays in the MAC which is a pretty strong basketball conference. The Falcons beat Detroit earlier in the season and lost to USF on the road in triple overtime. Bowling Green should be too much for North Dakota to handle. Bowling Green is 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss. North Dakota is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Take Bowling Green.

Rob Vinciletti

Southern Miss at Moreheard St
Play: Southern Miss

SO. Miss has won 18 of the last 20 vs teams under .500, are 8-2 after scoring 60 or less, 4-1 after allowing 60 or less. Morehead St is 1-4 vs winning teams and has been terrible vs Conference USA teams losing 7 of the last 8 times stepping up in class vs USA. They have also dropped 3 of 4 vs teams ranked 51-100 in the RPI Rankings. Look for SO. Miss to win and cover.

Dave CokinFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Orlando Magic at Washington Wizards
Pick: Orlando MagicFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Rerun of the free Wednesday opinion on the Cavaliers. If just winning against Washington is all that's needed to cover the number, sign me up. The Wizards are auto-fade in any closely lined game until Wall returns. The Magic are therefore the choice tonight.

Charlie ScottFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Rutgers vs. Virginia TechFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: RutgersFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Rutgers is the Virginia Tech of 10 Years ago, a good defense, very good special Teams and 1 or 2 Players on offense that will play in the NFL. Meanwhile Virginia Tech is sloppy, undisciplined on offense and doesn't tackle well on defense. Virginia Tech had much bigger goals for Bowl games at the start of the season, while Rutgers has a hungry 1st YR Head Coach that is trying to prove he & Rutgers belong in Big Time College Football. Well their first step is a Win Today, better Team is the Dog !

MTi SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Golden St -6FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Sixers beat the Grizzlies 99-89 in Memphis in their last game. It was a very unusual game. The Sixers guards shot poorly, as Jrue Holiday was 5-of-16 from the field and Evan Turner was 0-4. Late defensive substitute Dorrell Wright shot 8-of-11 for 28 points and Spencer Hawes came off the Bench to shot 9-of-14 to key the come-from-behind victory. The Sixers took advantage of a flat Memphis team. The Warriors should be ready for them.
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First of all, Philadelphia is 0-6 ATS (-10.2 ppg) as a dog off a win in which they trailed by 10+ points. Second, and perhaps more importantly, the Sixers are 0-9 ATS (-9.4 ppg) with rest after a win in which Evan Turner shot worse than 33% from the field and 0-5 ATS (-13.4 ppg) on the road after a win in which Jrue Holiday shot worse than 33% from the field. Compelling evidence indeed.
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The Warriors are off a 94-83 win over the Jazz and when Golden St is playing defense, they are very tough to beat. The Warriors are 9-0 ATS (+9.0 ppg) at home with at most one day of rest after a double-digit win in which their held their opponent to at least 15 points fewer than expected. In addition, Golden St is 7-0 ATS (+7.3 ppg) at home with at most one day of rest after a game on the road in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was at least eight.
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Finally, the Warriors are 5-0-1 ATS (+6.6 ppg) after a win on the road in which Stephen Curry was their high scorer.
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Lay the points.

SPORTS WAGERSFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Ohio +7 -109 over UL MunroeFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Both these teams finished the year 8-4 but the Bobcats played in the much tougher MAC conference while UL Munroe played in the weak Sun Belt. This number is grossly misplaced due to Ohio’s numerous injuries that started accumulating weeks ago and because they lost their final three games by an average of 20 points. We’re not buying into that for a second. Frank Solich’s Bobcats started the year 7-0 and at one point they were ranked. They went 4-0 in out-of-conference games and possess an offense that is capable of racking up 30-40 points on any Sun Belt team including these Warhawks.
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UL Munroe is also equipped to rack up points with an accurate QB that is capable of playing a short passing game to keep the chains moving or going deep to a number of good receivers. Still, when we break it all down we see a very evenly matched fight with both clubs having an equal chance to win. That said, Solich and the Bobcats will use this insulting line as a big motivating factor and with 7 points to work with, Ohio is this day’s biggest overlay.
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Texas Tech -13 over MinnesotaFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Gophers are very likely going to need their defense to produce something in order to have a chance at a cover and that’s something we can’t get too excited about. Should Minnesota fall behind, a distinct possibility indeed, they‘re simply not equipped to play catch-up. Minnesota has topped 16 completions once all year and hasn't managed a 100-yard passing day since the first week of November. The Gophers don't have a receiver with even 20 catches and they have no running game to speak of either. Minnesota managed to win its first four games of the year over UNLV, New Hampshire, Western Michigan and Syracuse and that’s why they’re here. They dropped six of its final eight games while facing a whole slew of ordinary Big-10 offenses.
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The Red Raiders lost four of its final five but played one of the toughest schedules in the nation. Six of Tech’s final eight games came against ranked opponents and some of the most prolific passing attacks in the country. Now facing Minnesota’s stagnant offense, this one should appear in slow motion for the Red Raiders. The energy and excitement that the hiring of favorite son Kliff Kingsbury has infused into the entire Tech program has made its mark on bowl preparation as well. Lastly, the chalk is 5-1 in this Bowl game and this favorite looks as good or better than any of those others.
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Rutgers +113 over Virginia TechFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Had this game taken place before Rutgers blew two opportunities to play in a BCS Bowl, the Scarlet Knights would’ve been a touchdown favorite. Combine a couple of devastating losses with the experienced Hall of Famer coach Frank Beamer going up against first year bowler Kyle Flood and the result is a wrongly priced number here. Rutgers could come in a bit demoralized but they could also come in with a giant chip on its shoulder. They own the nation’s longest bowl winning streak at five with four of those being by double digits and Flood was a part of all of them.
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The Hokies offense is an inefficient, self-destructive group that relies on big plays to put them in a position to score. That won’t work against one of the best defenses in the land. Va Tech’s strength is also on defense and that leaves us with a very likely low-scoring game in which the Scarlet Knights’ chances are every bit as good as the Hokies and probably better.

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NEW ORELANS -2½ over Toronto
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New Orleans has dropped nine of its past 10 at home but have played an incredibly tough December schedule and should bring some momentum from a road win in Orlando in its last game into this one. Prior to beating Orlando, the Hornets faced Indiana, San An, the Clippers and Golden State with the latter three being on the road. All four of those teams are hot and New Orleans was in a position to win three of them. They get a huge break here in facing the Raptors.
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The Raps are 2-15 in road games, including losses in all 10 against West opponents by an average of 16.1 points. Without Jonas Valanciunas and Andrea Bargnani, the Raps are void of a big man in the middle, strongly suggesting they will likely get outrebounded here by a wide margin. The Hornets 6-22 record has them slightly undervalued here but with strong determination and on the verge of something very good, this is a team to watch the rest of the way. This is a cheap price.

Harry BondiFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Rutgers +2 over Virginia TechFREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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One of the main keys to handicapping the bowl games is deciding which team is more motivated and you can put a big check-mark next to Rutgers in that category for this game. The Scarlet Knights will become just the third 10-win team in school history with a win here today and that has been the mantra head coach Kyle Flood has used repeatedly over the last three weeks. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech is a team that is used to a much bigger stage than this when it comes to bowl games and enters a bit down on itself after managing just a 6-6 record (3-9 ATS). The Scarlet Knights, who started the season 9-1, are also as healthy as they have been all season, particularly running back Jawan Jamison, who was hobbled by an ankle sprain the final three games. Look for Jamison to have a huge game and lead Rutgers to that coveted 10th win.

John Ryan

Rutgers at Virginia Tech
Play: Virginia Tech

The simulator shows a high probability that Tech will win this game by 6 or more points. Rutgers stumbles into this bowl game losers of their last two contests and Tech responded with two straight wins just to get to 6-6 and bowl eligible - and they are favored. That alone send up a red flag for support Rutgers. Tech is a solid 16-4 ATS after gaining 3.75 or less yards per play in their previous game since 1992. Head Coach Beamer is a rock solid Beamer is 11-2 ATS in road games off a close win by 7 points or less over a conference rival as the coach of Tech. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 48-19 ATS for 72% winners since 2006. Play on any team that is an average rushing team gaining between 140 to 190 rushing yards per game and now facing a poor rushing team allowing 100 to 140 rushing yards per game and after allowing 2 or less rushing yards per attempt last game. 30 of the 48 winning plays based on the criteria of this system covered the spread by seven or more points. This simply underscores by strong belief that Tech will win this gamne by double digits. Take the Hokies.