SPORTS ADVISORS
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
West Virginia (7-2, 2-6 ATS) at (5) Cincinnati (9-0, 5-3 ATS)
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The Bearcats will be shooting for their first 10-0 start in school history when they welcome the Mountaineers to Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati for a Big East matchup between two of the top three teams in the conference.
Cincinnati sits atop the Big East at 9-0, including 5-0 (4-1 ATS) in conference action. The Bearcats rallied to beat Connecticut on Saturday, winning 47-45 but failing as 16½-piont home favorites. Backup QB Zach Collaros will be making his fourth straight start for the injured Tony Pike, who has recovered from a broken non-throwing forearm and is also expected to see some action tonight.
Cincinnati’s offense is third in the nation at 482.6 yards per game and fifth at 40 points per game and has excelled with either QB under center. Pike threw 15 TDs and just three INTs in six starts this season while Collaros has added a running dimension to the position. In Saturday’s win over the Huskies, Collaros racked up 480 passing yards, 75 rushing yards and three TDs, helping the Bearcats to a school-record 711 total yards. However, the stout Cincinnati defense yielded a season-high in points – more than they had given up in the previous three games combined – and let UConn rush for 201 yards and four scores.
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The Mountaineers sit in third place in the Big East at 3-1 (1-3 ATS) against conference foes. West Virginia is coming off a 17-9 home win over Louisville on Saturday, coming up well short as a 17½-point favorite. Star RB Noel Devine, second in the Big East with 1,007 rushing yards, injured his ankle in the victory but is expected to suit up tonight. The Mountaineers defense has allowed 24 points or less in five of their last six games, but in their two toughest road games (at South Florida and at Auburn), they yielded season-highs of 30 and 41 points.
The road team, and underdog, has won five of the last six meetings (4-1-1 ATS) between these two, including Cincinnati’s 26-23 win in West Virginia last year, cashing as a seven-point ‘dog. Prior to last year, the Mountaineers had won three straight and eight of nine in this rivalry, but they’re 1-3-1 ATS in the last five series clashes. West Virginia has won seven in a row in Cincinnati and was the last visiting team to win at Nippert Stadium, as it went there as the nation’s fifth-ranked team in November 2007 and scored a 28-23 victory over the 21st-ranked Bearcats, but failed to cover as a 5½-point road favorite. Since that game, Cincy has won 11 consecutive home games.
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West Virginia has failed to cash in four straight games and is on additional ATS slides of 6-14 overall, 1-4 on the road, 1-5 in Big East games, 1-4 on Fridays and 0-4 against teams with winning records. The Bearcats are on ATS streaks of 8-2 in conference action, 6-2-1 in November games, 6-2 against winning teams and 6-1 at home against opponents with winning road records.
The Mountaineers are on “over” runs of 17-6 in November, 5-2 on the road, 7-0 as an underdog and 5-1 against teams with winning records. Conversely, Cincinnati is on “under” streaks of 5-2 overall, 10-4 at home, 13-6 as a home favorite and 5-1 in November games. Finally, the last two meetings between these teams at Nippert Stadium stayed low.
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ATS ADVANTAGE: CINCINNATI
Temple (7-2, 6-2 ATS) at Akron (2-7, 3-5 ATS)
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The Owls head to the Rubber Bowl for a Mid-American Conference showdown with Akron, looking to maintain their slim lead in the MAC’s East Division with their eighth straight victory.
Temple saw its division lead dip to one-half game when second-place Ohio went to Buffalo on Tuesday and scored a three-point win. The Owls have won seven in a row (5-2 ATS), but the last two were nail-biters, as they got a field goal with three seconds left last Thursday to edge Miami (Ohio) 34-32, but failing to cover as 17-point favorites, after getting past Navy 27-24 on Oct. 31 as a 6½-point road ‘dog. Temple has scored 24 points or more in each of their seven straight wins, but the defense has yielded 24, 24 and 32 points in the last three after surrendering an average of 14.3 ppg in the previous four.
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The Owls are averaging 27 ppg this season, despite managing just 319.2 yards per contest. They do rush the ball for 168.9 ypg, and they’ve won the rushing battle in six of their last seven contests.
Akron snapped a six-game losing streak (1-5 ATS) with Saturday’s 28-20 win over Kent State, cashing as a four-point home ‘dog. QB play has been shaky for the Zips with the trio of Patrick Nicely, Matt Rodgers and Chris Jacquemain combing to throw eight TDs and 10 INTs. The Zips manage just 18.4 point, 291.6 total yards and 105 rushing yards a game while allowing 25.8 points, 357.2 yards and 166.3 rushing yards per contest.
Temple has won each of the last two (2-0 ATS) against Akron, including last year’s 27-6 home win as a 2½-point favorite. The last time they were in Akron in 2007, the Owls got a 24-20 victory as 12-point underdogs. Prior to that, the Zips had won six straight in this rivalry – five by double digits – going 5-1 ATS. The SU winner has covered in each of the last 10 meetings dating to 1987.
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The Owls are on positive ATS streaks of 14-5 overall (7-2 last nine), 4-0 on the road this year, 17-7-1 in MAC games, 7-2 overall, 6-2 after a straight-up win and 4-1 on Fridays. Akron is 19-8-2 ATS in its last 29 as a home underdog, but the Zips are on a plethora of negative ATS runs, including 3-9 overall (2-5 last seven), 2-6 in MAC games, 1-5 against teams with winning records and 0-3-1 on Fridays.
Temple is on “over” runs of 4-0 overall and 4-1 in November, but it has stayed below the total in eight of 10 after an ATS loss, 13 of 19 conference games and nine of 13 against losing teams. Akron has stayed below the posted number in four of five overall, but it is on “over” streaks of 10-4 in MAC play, 8-3 at home, 9-2 as a home ‘dog, 5-1 in November and 3-0 after a straight-up win.
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ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
NBA
Atlanta (6-2, 7-1 ATS) at Boston (8-1, 5-4 ATS)
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Two of the hottest teams in the Eastern Conference square off at Banknorth Garden, where the Celtics and Hawks both shoot for their third straight victories.
Atlanta destroyed Denver 125-100 as a three-point home favorite on Saturday, then took three days off before traveling to Madison Square Garden on Wednesday and pounding the Knicks 114-101 as a five-point road chalk. Atlanta has scored in triple digits in six of its eight games, but it has also allowed 100 or more in four straight and six of eight. The Hawks are 2-2 on the road (3-1 ATS).
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Boston rebounded from its first defeat of the season – last Friday’s 110-103 loss to Phoenix as a 10 ½-point home favorite – with consecutive double-digit wins over New Jersey (86-76 on Saturday) and Utah (105-86 on Wednesday). In the rout of the Jazz, the Celtics covered as an 11-point home favorite, snapping a three-game ATS drought. Phoenix is the only team this season to score more than 90 points against Boston, which has held its other eight opponents to an average of 81.4 ppg.
The Hawks took Boston to seven games in a 2008 Eastern Conference opening-round playoff series, eventually losing Game 7 99-65 as a 14½-point underdog. Then last year, the Celtics swept a four-game series from Atlanta, going 2-2 ATS. Each team went 1-1 SU and ATS at home. The host is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings (playoffs included), with Atlanta going just 1-5 ATS in its last six trips to Beantown.
The Hawks are on ATS runs of 4-1 on the road since the end of last year and 3-1-1 when playing on one day of rest, but they’ve failed to cover in five of six on Friday and eight of 11 against the Atlantic Division. Boston is on pointspread surges of 4-1 against the Eastern Conference and 5-2 on Friday.
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Atlanta has topped the total in four straight overall, five of six on the road and five of six against the Atlantic Division. The Celtics are on “over” runs of 28-11-1 at home and 6-0 on Friday, but otherwise they’re on “under” stretches of 9-4 overall, 7-2 against the Eastern Conference and 5-0 when facing Southeast Division opponents. Finally, seven of the last nine in this rivalry have gone over the total, but the under is 9-4 in the past 13 clashes in Boston.
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ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
L.A. Lakers (7-1, 3-5 ATS) at Denver (6-3, 4-5 ATS)
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The Nuggets finally return home to the Pepsi Center after a grueling six-game, nine-day Eastern Conference road trip, and awaiting them will be the defending-champion Lakers, who ended Denver’s 2008-09 season in the Western Conference finals.
Los Angeles returned from a three-day layoff on Thursday and dominated Phoenix 121-102 as an eight-point home favorite. The Lakers have won six in a row, and after starting the season with five consecutive ATS defeats, they’ve covered in three straight games. In its only two road games to this point, Phil Jackson’s squad needed overtime to dispatch of Oklahoma City (101-98) and Houston (103-102), failing to cover in both contests.
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Denver started the season 5-0 (4-1 ATS), including two blowout wins at Indiana (111-93) and New Jersey (122-94) to start its recent road trip. From there, though, the Nuggets ran out of gas, losing three of their final four on their journey while going 0-4 ATS. The trip ended with Tuesday’s 108-102 loss at Milwaukee as a 3½-point road chalk. After averaging 115.4 ppg in its first five games, George Karl’s club netted just 95 ppg in the last four.
After sweeping Denver out of the first round of the playoffs in 2007, the Lakers needed six games to dispose of the Nuggets in last year’s conference finals, winning the final two by scores of 103-94 as a six-point home favorite and 119-92 as a 5½-point road ‘dog. Los Angeles also won three of four regular-season meetings (2-2 ATS), and it is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 battles with Denver.
The Lakers have cashed in six of their last eight on Friday, while Denver’s current 0-4 ATS downfall is offset by positive pointspread surges of 9-3 at home, 23-7 versus Western Conference opponents, 11-5 against the Pacific Division and 12-5 when playing after one day of rest.
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The over is 5-1 in L.A.’s last five overall, 4-1 in its last five on Friday, 5-2 in its last seven on the road, 9-3 in its last 12 when playing on back-to-back nights and 4-0 in Denver’s last four at home. Conversely, the under is on streaks of 7-3 for the Lakers against the Northwest Division, 9-4 for the Lakers against winning teams, 10-3 for the Nuggets against winning teams, 5-2 for the Nuggets against Pacific Division foes, 10-3 in this rivalry (playoffs included) and 6-2 when these teams meet at the Pepsi Center.
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ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
353 - 241 run 58 %
Free winner Cleveland St -1
8)
DUNKEL INDEX
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West Virginia at Cincinnati
The Bearcats look to build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 conference games. Cincinnati is the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has the Bearcats favored by 15 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-9)
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Game 113-114: Temple at Akron
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 82.890; Akron 75.983
Dunkel Line: Temple by 7; 41
Vegas Line: Temple by 4; 44
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-4); Under
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Game 115-116: West Virginia at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 91.196; Cincinnati 106.898
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 15 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 9; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-9); Over
NBA
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Atlanta at Boston
The Celtics look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games as an underdog. Boston is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 13 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-8 1/2)
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Game 701-702: Utah at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.629; Philadelphia 114.940
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 2 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 1; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-1); Over
Game 703-704: New Jersey at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 108.931; Orlando 129.670
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 20 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 15 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-15 1/2); Over
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Game 705-706: Golden State at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 112.536; New York 112.561
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 227
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 224 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+1 1/2); Over
Game 707-708: Portland at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.972; New Orleans 120.251
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2; 190
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+2); Under
Game 709-710: Dallas at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 125.245; Minnesota 109.081
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 16 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 11; 196
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-11); Over
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Game 711-712: Atlanta at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.238; Boston 130.994
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 13 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 8 1/2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-8 1/2); Under
Game 713-714: Houston at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 124.240; Sacramento 112.652
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 11 1/2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 4; 210
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4); Over
Game 715-716: LA Lakers at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 125.545; Denver 124.087
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 3; 212
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+3); Under
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Game 717-718: Toronto at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 115.819; LA Clippers 117.564
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 209
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+3); Under
NCAAB
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NC-Greensboro at Duke
The Blue Devils look to take advantage of an NC-Greensboro team that is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games against the ACC. Duke is the pick (-30 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by 37 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Duke (-30 1/2)
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Game 719-720: CSU Northridge at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: CSU Northridge 57.913; Purdue 73.805
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 16
Vegas Line: Purdue by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS Northridge (+19 1/2)
Game 721-722: William & Mary at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 51.854; Connecticut 78.360
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 26 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 24
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-24)
Game 723-724: Youngstown State at Xavier
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 50.539; Xavier 72.785
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 22
Vegas Line: Xavier by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-17 1/2)
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Game 725-726: Miami (OH) at Towson
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 52.909; Towson 54.052
Dunkel Line: Towson by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Towson (+1 1/2)
Game 727-728: Cleveland State at St. Bonaventure
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 61.149; St. Bonaventure 58.851
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-1)
Game 729-730: Dartmouth at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 49.504; Boston College 66.996
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston College by 24 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (+24 1/2)
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Game 731-732: Valparaiso at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 55.365; Ball State 53.826
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Ball State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (+1 1/2)
Game 733-734: Arkansas-Little Rock at Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas-Little Rock 53.651; Mississippi 65.271
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 13
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas-Little Rock (+13)
Game 735-736: New Orleans at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 46.979; Georgia 57.904
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 11
Vegas Line: Georgia by 16
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+16)
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Game 737-738: Massachusetts at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 54.647; Central Florida 62.283
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-3 1/2)
Game 739-740: Pennsylvania at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 47.804; Penn State 66.367
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Penn State by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-14 1/2)
Game 741-742: UL Monroe at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 46.343; LSU 68.690
Dunkel Line: LSU by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: LSU by 18 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-18 1/2)
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Game 743-744: Northern Illinois at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 49.783; Northwestern 66.486
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 14
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-14)
Game 745-746: Loyola-Chicago at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 52.386; Kansas State 71.689
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+21 1/2)
Game 747-748: Hofstra at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 52.166; Kansas 73.819
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 27
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+27)
Game 749-750: Drexel at St. Joseph's
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 56.921; St. Joseph's 57.076
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (+5 1/2)
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Game 751-752: South Florida at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 58.759; SMU 53.976
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 5
Vegas Line: South Florida by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-1 1/2)
Game 753-754: Idaho at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.527; Utah 69.418
Dunkel Line: Utah by 15
Vegas Line: Utah by 12
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-12)
Game 755-756: Georgetown at Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 62.509; Tulane 62.843
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 10
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+10)
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Game 757-758: Bradley at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 59.454; BYU 69.693
Dunkel Line: BYU by 10
Vegas Line: BYU by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+13 1/2)
Game 759-760: Northern Iowa at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 63.364; Denver 53.602
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 10
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 5
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-5)
Game 761-762: Cal Poly at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 46.604; San Francisco 52.744
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+12 1/2)
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Game 763-764: New Mexico State at St. Mary's (CA)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 51.889; St. Mary's (CA) 67.596
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-7)
Game 765-766: Stanford at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 64.913; San Diego 60.799
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 4
Vegas Line: Stanford by 1
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-1)
Game 767-768: Pacific at Pepperdine
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 56.446; Pepperdine 46.949
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Pacific by 4
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (-4)
Game 769-770: South Alabama vs. Houston Baptist
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 54.704; Houston Baptist 36.452
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston Baptist (+20 1/2)
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Game 771-772: Sacramento State at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 34.302; Rice 57.883
Dunkel Line: Rice by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: Rice by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (-15 1/2)
Game 773-774: WI-Green Bay at UAB
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 58.544; UAB 65.076
Dunkel Line: UAB by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: UAB by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-2 1/2)
Game 771-772: Sacramento State at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 34.302; Rice 57.883
Dunkel Line: Rice by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: Rice by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (-15 1/2)
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Game 773-774: WI-Green Bay at UAB
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 58.544; UAB 65.076
Dunkel Line: UAB by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: UAB by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-2 1/2)
Game 775-776: Samford at Kent State
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 46.843; Kent State 61.868
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 15
Vegas Line: Kent State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-11 1/2)
Game 777-778: Portland State vs. Belmont
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 57.928; Belmont 51.002
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 7
Vegas Line: Portland State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-6 1/2)
Game 779-780: Wright State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 57.350; Washington 77.058
Dunkel Line: Washington by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 14
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-14)
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Game 781-782: Loyola Marymount at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 43.300; Boise State 56.997
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-10)
Game 783-784: North Dakota at Montana
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 36.982; Montana 59.437
Dunkel Line: Montana by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (-12 1/2)
Game 785-786: UC Davis vs. Colorado State
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 51.891; Colorado State 51.911
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 1
Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (+1)
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Game 783-784: North Dakota at Montana
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 36.982; Montana 59.437
Dunkel Line: Montana by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (-12 1/2)
Game 785-786: UC Davis vs. Colorado State
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 51.891; Colorado State 51.911
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 1
Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (+1)
Game 787-788: Winston-Salem at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Winston-Salem 37.768; Oregon 60.275
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon by 20
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-20)
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Game 789-790: Morehead State at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 57.017; Kentucky 65.917
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 9
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+20 1/2)
Game 791-792: NC-Greensboro at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 41.138; Duke 78.716
Dunkel Line: Duke by 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 30 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-30 1/2)
Game 793-794: Wofford at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 55.289; Pittsburgh 77.560
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 17
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-17)
Game 795-796: St. Peter's at Seton Hall
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 46.128; Seton Hall 67.649
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (-17 1/2)
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Game 797-798: NC-Wilmington at Appalachian State
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Wilmington 43.522; Appalachian State 50.441
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 7
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 11
Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (+11)
Game 799-800: Austin Peay at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 53.330; Tennessee 71.203
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 18
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 24
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+24)
Game 801-802: Tennessee Tech at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 45.302; Minnesota 71.097
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 25 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 21
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-21)
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Game 803-804: Siena at Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 61.678; Tennessee State 52.444
Dunkel Line: Siena by 9
Vegas Line: Siena by 14
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+14)
Game 805-806: Idaho State at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 54.470; Iowa State 61.811
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+13)
Game 807-808: Rider at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 50.398; Mississippi State 72.275
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 22
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-15 1/2)
Game 809-810: Utah State at Weber State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 63.330; Weber State 58.843
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-4)
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Game 811-812: Niagara at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 57.495; Auburn 73.970
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Auburn by 6
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-6)
Game 813-814: Howard at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Howard 41.651; Indiana 57.324
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Indiana by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Howard (+19 1/2)
NHL
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NY Islanders at Carolina
The Islanders look to take advantage of a Carolina team that is 0-9 in its last 9 games versus the Atlantic Division. New York is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Islanders favored by 1./2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+110)
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Game 51-52: Anaheim at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.467; Columbus 11.686
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-120); Under
Game 53-54: Minnesota at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.792; Washington 12.354
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 55-56: NY Islanders at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.719; Carolina 10.323
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+110); Over
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Game 57-58: Calgary at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.668; Buffalo 11.415
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+130); Under
Game 59-60: Los Angeles at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.117; Atlanta 11.321
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 61-62: Toronto at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.667; Chicago 11.557
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-210); 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+180); Over
Rob Vinciletti
Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics
Play: Boston Celtics -8.5
The Celtics look like the team of 2 years ago. They have been playing sound ball and qualify in a solid never before seen cutting edge system. What we want to do is play against teams like Atlanta that are road dogs of 5 or more points that won as a 5 or more point favorite in their last game if they had 3 or more days rest going into the win,while tonight's opponent is coming off a home favorite win. These road dogs are 1-29 straight up and 5-23-2 ats. The Celtics have won the last 8 meetings in the series covering in six of them. When Boston is at home with a total of 190 to 195 they are 24-1 su and 17-7 ats. Look for another big effort from Boston.
Marc Lawrence
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Utah Jazz at Philadelphia 76ers
Prediction: Utah Jazz
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The Jazz journey into Philadelphia to face the Sixers knowing they are 8-2 ATS as dogs on this court. They are also 10-3 SU and ATS in this series when playing off a loss. Look for Philly to drop to 3-9 ATS at home off one win exact against a Western Conference opponent off one loss exact here tonight.
BIG AL
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Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets
Prediction: Denver Nuggets
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Los Angeles is starting to right itself from its poor start in Las Vegas. The World Champs dropped their first five games against the spread, but have won three straight ATS since last Friday. However, those three spread victories came at home at Staples Center, and it will be a lot more difficult getting the cover tonight at the Pepsi Center. The Nuggets will have revenge from last season's playoff loss to Los Angeles, and they also come into the game tonight off an upset loss at the hands of Milwaukee. That game was Denver's fourth ATS loss in a row, and they lost three of those four games outright (with a 1-point win at Chicago on Tuesday being the only triumph). But off these string of ATS losses, Denver falls into a super 63% ATS system of mine that plays on certain teams off three or more ATS losses vs. unrested foes off 3 ATS wins. The Nuggets have had this game circled on their calendar since the schedule was announced, and they'll get the cover tonight. Lay the points.
Matt Fargo
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NC Willmington at Appalachian St.
Prediction: NC Willmington
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This line is pretty much based off of last year?s teams and results. UNC-Wilmington had an absolutely miserable season last year as it went 7-25 and just 3-15 in the CAA. The Seahawks were hit hard with injuries, personnel issues and overall bad luck after winning 20 games the previous season. Things will be different this season however even though almost every preseason hoops magazine is predicting them to finished last in the conference once again. They were hit hard mostly on the inside as the Seahawks had no size and were actually using guards at the power forward position. That changes this season as UNC-Wilmington actually has size and depth down low. East Carolina transfer John Fields made the C-USA All-Freshman team in 2006-07 as he led the entire conference in shooting at 62.4 percent. With bodies down low, point guard Chad Tomko can only get better after averaging 15.6 ppg last season and he also finished fourth in the CAA in assists while leading the conference in steals. Appalachian St. is a team on the rise following a disappointing 2008-09 season. The Mountaineers bring almost every player back from last seasons 13-18 team and they also brought back former head coach Buzz Peterson who last coach them in 2000. The problem last year was turnovers as Appalachian St. averaged 17.5 tpg which was near the bottom of the nation. A year of experience together should help that and cause that to decrease but it certainly is not a good sign that during the 94-81exhibition victory over Mars Hill, the Mountaineers committed 26 turnovers. They were similar to the Seahawks in many ways including the fact that they could score as they averaged 76 ppg but couldn't stop the opposition as they allowed 76.8 ppg. During the fall workouts, the Mountaineers have been slowed by injuries and illness. Forward Josh Hunter returned from knee surgery just two weeks ago, and 6-10 center Isaac Butts has practiced just three times since his return from surgery on November 5th. The flue also hit the locker room and while no players will miss the game, time was lost on the practice floor as well as conditioning. This is a ton of points in a matchup of two teams that are fairly equal and the underdog prevails in this one. 3* UNC-Wilmington Seahawks
JIM FEIST
TORONTO RAPTORS / LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
TAKE: TORONTO RAPTORS
After playing the Hornets, Mavs and Spurs on the road, playing the banged up Clippers will be a treat. It's also the start of a 4-game trip out West and this is the best shot the Raptors will have for a win. The Clippers' seemingly unending injury issues became even more acute this week, when they learned that leading scorer Eric Gordon would be sidelined for at least 10 more days because of a strained left groin muscle. He will miss a minimum of six more games and won't return until Nov. 23 against Minnesota at the earliest. Center Chris Kaman said he considered Gordon's absence "a tougher loss" than that of rookie forward Blake Griffin, who has not played this season because of a stress fracture in his left kneecap. Gordon is averaging 18.9 points, 4.0 assists and 3.3 rebounds in 38.4 minutes per game. The Clippers have lost 2 in a row and are on a 1-5 ATS run. Play the Toronto Raptors.
EZWINNERS
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West Virginia Mountaineers @ Cincinnati Bearcats
Play: West Virginia Mountaineers +9.5
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The Mountaineers 3-3-5 defense is equipped to slow down the high powered Cincinnati offense. Cincinnati quarterback Tony Pike should play, but not start this game, so we will have to see how sharp he is after the missed time. Connecticut's performance against Cincinnati revealed the crack in Cincinnati's armor. On offense the Mountaineers are 33rd in the nation in rushing offense at over 180 yards per game. West Virginia running backs Noel Devine (should play) and Jock Sanders should be able to run the ball with success and keep the Cincinnati offense off of the field. The road team is 4-1-1 against the spread in the last six meetings. Take the points.
Bobby Maxwell
Portland -2 at NEW ORLEANS
Rutgers pitches a shutout for another FREE winner on Thursday, making me 7-1 with my last eight comp plays. You want another one tonight and I've got it on the Blazers as they visit New Orleans for a matchup with the Hornets.
It can’t be a good thing that the Hornets fired head coach Byron Scott and replaced him with the general manager Jeff Bower. Sounds like the guy who put the roster together thinks he can do better than a proven coach. It’s going to end ugly, we all see it coming. So tonight, let’s go ahead and lay the chalk with a very good, young Portland team in New Orleans.
The Hornets are giving up 105 points a game and just got smoked by Phoenix 124-104 on Wednesday. They just don’t seem to have any motivation and gave up 40 points in the first quarter on Wednesday.
Portland has won four in a row (SU and ATS) including easy wins in Memphis and Minnesota on Tuesday and Wednesday. The Blazers took two of the last three against New Orleans last season, cashing in four of the five series matchups last year. Back on Feb. 2, Portland went to the Big Easy and scored a 97-89 win as a three-point ‘dog.
In fact, the Blazers have won four of the last seven and cashed in five of those seven.
Portland has been built the right way, with smart trades and good draft picks. Brandon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge are two guys that can flat out score the ball. Throw in the headiness of guards Andre Miller and Steve Blake and you’ve got a fine NBA squad.
New Orleans just doesn’t have enough punch. Chris Paul is outstanding, but the other starters struggle if everything isn’t going just perfectly.
Portland is on ATS runs of 7-2 on the road, 19-7 as a favorite, 7-0 on Fridays and 4-0 overall. Meanwhile, the Hornets are on ATS slides of 8-23 as an underdog, 3-11 overall, 1-4 at home, 2-9 against the Western Conference and 0-5 on Fridays.
Go ahead and lay the chalk with the Blazers.
3♦ PORTLAND
Dominic Fazzini
Portland -2 at NEW ORLEANS
South Florida looked like crap Thursday, making me a loser with my complimentary selection and ending my three-game winning streak. But I'm coming back strong with an NBA winner tonight.
The Hornets already have given coach Byron Scott the boot, and general manager Jeff Bower, who has never been a head coach, is taking over on the bench. I don't see this as a solution to their problems.
New Orleans isn't getting much scoring from anyone other than Chris Paul, David West and Emeka Okafor, and Peja Stojakovic is shooting just 35.3 percent from the field.
The Trail Blazers put veteran point guard Andre Miller into the starting lineup four games ago and haven't lost since. They are holding opponents to 89.6 points per game, and only one has cracked 100 points.
Portland is also getting balanced scoring, led by Brandon Roy's 20.8 points per game, and should present a variety of problems for the Hornets, who are allowing 105 points per game.
The Blazers have covered in their past four games overall, are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 as a road favorite. Take Portland to cover tonight.
4♦ PORTLAND
MTi Sports
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Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Clippers
Prediction: Toronto Raptors
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Over their last three games, the Clippers have been at home vs an unrested opponent. They beat the Grizzlies 113-110 laying four but then got hammered by the Hornets as a 1 point dog and then lost to the Thunder as a 2? point favorite. LA held a 69-66 lead going into the fourth quarter, but managed only ten fourth quarter points and lost 83-79. It will be a challenge for the Clippers to compete here. LA is 0-8 ATS with at least one day of rest off a loss as a favorite in which they led at the end of the third quarter. With the Raptors a perfect 6-0 ATS (+12.3 ppg) with at least a day of rest after a win in which Chris Bosh was the Raptors' high scorer and the Clippers 0-10 ATS (-8.1 ppg) after a loss at home in which Chris Kaman had more turnovers than assists, consider laying the small number.
JR TIPS
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LAKERS at NUGGETS
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The Denver Nuggets are putting a little more emphasis on tonight's matchup when they face the defending champion Los Angeles Lakers for the first time since last season's Western Conference finals. Coach George Karl said he wants his team to reintroduce themselves to the Lakers as this rivalry already got heated in the Preseason with eight technical's in a Nuggets' 119-105 victory.The Nuggets will try to improve to 3-0 at home as they play their first game at the Pepsi Center since Nov. 1st ending their six-game eastern conference road trip with a 108-102 loss to Milwaukee on Wednesday. Carmelo Anthony is averaging a career-best 30.2 points this season and will be guarded by the Lakers new forward Ron Artest. Kobe Bryant had 29 points and center Andrew Bynum added 26 with 15 rebounds as Los Angeles shot a season-best 57.6 percent from the field and won its sixth straight Thursday 121-102 over Phoenix. This Nugget team will play at a high level as the team and their fans have been waiting for this Laker team since they were blown out on their home court to end the Western Conference Finals. The Lakers are playing a back to back and stil without Paul Gasol, look for the Nuggets to make a statement tonight.
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TAKE NUGGETS-3
Tom Freese
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Atlanta at Boston
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Boston is 70-34 ATS their last 104 games when their opponent scored 100 or more points in their last game and they are 5-2 ATS on Friday. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS their last 5 games vs. Eastern Conference foes and they are 5-1 ATS their last 6 games vs. Atlanta in Beantown. Atlanta is 17-35 ATS their last 52 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of over 60%. The Hawks are 3-9-1 ATS their last 13 games as an underdog and they are 1-4 ATS on the road vs. a team with a winning vs. a team with a winning home record and they 1-5 ATS on Friday. PLAY ON BOSTON -
Game 811-812: Niagara at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 57.495; Auburn 73.970
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Auburn by 6
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-6)
Game 763-764: New Mexico State at St. Mary's (CA)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 51.889; St. Mary's (CA) 67.596
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-7)
When the Dunkel lines are this far away from the Vegas lines I am going to bet on the team that Dunkel recommends and the percentage of wins versus losses may be quite high. I will report on this thread tomorrow if I had success with this.
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