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Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 26,2010

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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DUNKEL INDEX

West Virginia at Pittsburgh
The Mountaineers look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games as an underdog from 1 to 3 points. West Virginia is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel which has the Mountaineers favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+2 1/2)

Game 111-112: Buffalo at Akron (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 57.414; Akron 55.006
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 2 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Akron by 1; 43
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+1); Under

Game 113-114: Central Michigan at Toledo (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 72.424; Toledo 80.555
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 8; 58
Vegas Line: Toledo by 3 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-3 1/2); Over

Game 115-116: Western Michigan at Bowling Green (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 75.988; Bowling Green 71.889
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 4; 63
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 7; 54
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+7); Over

Game 117-118: Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 95.928; Eastern Michigan 59.448
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 36 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 23 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-23 1/2); Under

Game 119-120: West Virginia at Pittsburgh (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 95.526; Pittsburgh 93.374
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+2 1/2); Over

Game 121-122: Louisville at Rutgers (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 92.030; Rutgers 86.542
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 5 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Louisville by 3; 46
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-3); Under

Game 123-124: Ohio at Kent State (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 80.331; Kent State 74.326
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 6; 55
Vegas Line: Ohio by 3; 48
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-3); Over

Game 125-126: SMU at East Carolina (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 77.157; East Carolina 78.789
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 1 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: SMU by 1 1/2; 69
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+1 1/2); Under

Game 127-128: Auburn at Alabama (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 107.627; Alabama 106.411
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 1; 49
Vegas Line: Alabama by 5; 58
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+5); Under

Game 129-130: UCLA at Arizona State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 82.012; Arizona State 98.818
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 17; 58
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 12 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-12 1/2); Over

Game 131-132: Colorado at Nebraska (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 80.917; Nebraska 105.458
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 24 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 17 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-17 1/2); Under

Game 133-134: Southern Mississippi at Tulsa (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 92.306; Tulsa 91.006
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 1 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 3 1/2; 67
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+3 1/2); Over

Game 135-136: Arizona at Oregon (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 99.500; Oregon 115.172
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 15 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Oregon by 19 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+19 1/2); Under

Game 137-138: Boise State at Nevada (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 117.751; Nevada 99.203
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 18 1/2; 74
Vegas Line: Boise State by 14; 68
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-14); Over

NBA

Dallas at San Antonio
The Mavericks look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games as a road underdog from 1 to 4 1/2 points. Dallas is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+4)

Game 701-702: Houston at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 113.016; Charlotte 112.370
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 3 1/2; 199
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Cleveland at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 113.472; Orlando 123.188
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 9 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 11; 193
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+11); Under

Game 705-706: Milwaukee at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 121.386; Detroit 115.493
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6; 186
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Philadelphia at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 112.309; Miami 122.537
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 10; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 11; 194
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+11); Over

Game 709-710: Toronto at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 115.335; Boston 123.768
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 8 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 10; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+10); Under

Game 711-712: Oklahoma City at Indiana (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 120.468; Indiana 116.704
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1 1/2; 205
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-1 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Dallas at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 124.154; San Antonio 124.063
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 188
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 196
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+4); Under

Game 715-716: Chicago at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 120.470; Denver 122.063
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 1 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 3 1/2; 204
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: LA Lakers at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 124.817; Utah 119.369
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-1 1/2); Under

Game 719-720: LA Clippers at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 108.653; Phoenix 115.550
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 222
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 9 1/2; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+9 1/2); Over

Game 721-722: Golden State at Memphis (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 110.397; Memphis 120.468
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 10; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 7; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-7); Over

Game 723-724: New Orleans at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 121.873; Portland 120.472
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3 1/2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+3 1/2); Under

NCAAB

Rutgers at St. Joseph's
The Hawks look to build on their 9-3-1 ATS record in their last 13 Friday games. St. Joseph's is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawks favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+1 1/2)

Game 725-726: Louisiana Tech at Arkansas-Little Rock (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 53.762; Arkansas-Little Rock 50.256
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech

Game 727-728: Miami (OH) at Ohio State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 54.396; Ohio State 77.177
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 23
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 25
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+25)

Game 729-730: Rutgers at St. Joseph's (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 56.047; St. Joseph's 59.500
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+1 1/2)

Game 731-732: Penn State at Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 63.624; Mississippi 65.802
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 2
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 7
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+7)

Game 733-734: UAB at Arkansas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 61.856; Arkansas 59.860
Dunkel Line: UAB by 2
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+2 1/2)

Game 735-736: Troy at Mississippi State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 48.907; Mississippi State 68.629
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 17
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-17)

Game 737-738: Washington State at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 63.131; Fresno State 57.830
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+7 1/2)

Game 739-740: Boston College vs. Wisconsin (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 58.575; Wisconsin 73.137
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 741-742: Texas A&M vs. Manhattan (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 69.110; Manhattan 48.526
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 743-744: California vs. Notre Dame (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 70.480; Notre Dame 71.059
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 745-746: Georgia vs. Temple (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 59.280; Temple 65.948
Dunkel Line: Temple by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 747-748: Charleston Southern vs. Austin Peay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charleston Southern 46.206; Austin Peay 52.203
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 6
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charleston Southern (+6 1/2)

Game 749-750: Southern vs. Oakland (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern 29.020; Oakland 59.210
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 30
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 751-752: Richmond vs. Wright State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 63.185; Wright State 57.227
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 6
Vegas Line: Richmond by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+7 1/2)

Game 753-754: Purdue vs. Southern Illinois (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 73.003; Southern Illinois 56.206
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 17
Vegas Line: Purdue by 12
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-12)

Game 755-756: VCU vs. UCLA (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VCU 64.542; UCLA 63.518
Dunkel Line: VCU by 1
Vegas Line: UCLA by 1
Dunkel Pick: VCU (+1)

Game 757-758: Tennessee vs. Villanova (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 66.161; Villanova 72.883
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 4
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-4)

Game 759-760: Bethune-Cookman vs. TX-Corpus Christi (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bethune-Cookman 43.196; TX-Corpus Christi 44.904
Dunkel Line: TX-Corpus Christi by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: TX-Corpus Christi by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bethune-Cookman (+3 1/2)

Game 761-762: Northern Colorado vs. Valparaiso (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 55.181; Valparaiso 53.575
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+2 1/2)

Game 763-764: Ohio vs. Kansas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 56.620; Kansas 79.676
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 23
Vegas Line: Kansas by 17
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-17)

Game 765-766: Santa Clara vs. Arizona (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 50.992; Arizona 70.284
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 13
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-13)

Game 767-768: Oklahoma State vs. Virginia Tech (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 64.824; Virginia Tech 64.233
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 769-770: DePaul vs. CS-Northridge (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 56.043; CS-Northridge 46.058
Dunkel Line: DePaul by 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 771-772: Murray State vs. UNLV (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 61.471; UNLV 71.446
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 773-774: Tulsa vs. Stanford (11:50 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 63.687; Stanford 64.855
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 775-776: Southern Utah vs. Ball State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 42.104; Ball State 55.276
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 13
Vegas Line: Ball State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-10 1/2)

Game 777-778: Houston Baptist at AK-Anchorage (6:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston Baptist 45.980; AK-Anchorage 45.750
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 779-780: Drake vs. St. John's (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 51.996; St. John's 65.472
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: St. John's by 11
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-11)

Game 781-782: Weber State vs. Arizona State (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 55.647; Arizona State 64.230
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 783-784: Mercer vs. Western Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mercer 50.574; Western Carolina 52.714
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 2
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 5
Dunkel Pick: Mercer (+5)

Game 785-786: Gardner-Webb at William & Mary (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gardner-Webb 44.605; William & Mary 52.194
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: William & Mary by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gardner-Webb (+10 1/2)

Game 787-788: Bowling Green vs. Niagara (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 48.721; Niagara 52.761
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 4
Vegas Line: Niagara by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-1 1/2)

Game 789-790: Albany at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Albany 44.534; Detroit 58.096
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Albany (+17 1/2)

Game 791-792: Georgia Tech vs. UTEP (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 60.477; UTEP 63.814
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: UTEP by 1
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-1)

Game 793-794: Syracuse vs. Michigan (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 73.062; Michigan 69.309
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 4
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+6 1/2)

Game 795-796: South Florida vs. BYU (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 57.132; BYU 73.003
Dunkel Line: BYU by 16
Vegas Line: BYU by 13
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-13)

Game 797-798: St. Mary's (CA) vs. Texas Tech (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 65.148; Texas Tech 64.142
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 1
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 3
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+3)

Game 799-800: South Dakota at Illinois State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 51.169; Illinois State 58.477
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

NHL

Detroit at Columbus
The Red Wings look to build on their 5-1 record in their last 6 Friday games. Detroit is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100)

Game 51-52: Carolina at Boston (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.105; Boston 12.745
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-185); Under

Game 53-54: New Jersey at NY Islanders (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.157; NY Islanders 10.901
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+100); Over

Game 55-56: Calgary at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.351; Philadelphia 11.718
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+175); Under

Game 57-58: Ottawa at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.447; Pittsburgh 12.204
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-175); Over

Game 59-60: Nashville at Minnesota (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.423; Minnesota 11.403
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-135); Under

Game 61-62: Chicago at Anaheim (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.120; Anaheim 11.027
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+100); Over

Game 63-64: Tampa Bay at Washington (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.356; Washington 12.082
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-180); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-180); Under

Game 65-66: Detroit at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.340; Columbus 11.316
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100); Over

Game 67-68: Toronto at Buffalo (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.134; Buffalo 12.291
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 69-70: Montreal at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 13.083; Atlanta 11.440
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-110); Under

Game 71-72: NY Rangers at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.822; Florida 10.799
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+100); Under

Game 73-74: St. Louis at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 10.420; Dallas 11.964
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-125); Over

Game 75-76: San Jose at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.004; Vancouver 12.082
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-130); Under

 
Posted : November 25, 2010 11:06 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

John Ryan

Ohio at Kent St.
Play: Kent St.

5* graded play on Kent State as they take on Ohio University set to start at 11 AM EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Kent State will lose this game by fewer than 3 points and has a strong opportunity to win the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 38-10 ATS for 79.2% winners since 2000. Play on home dogs after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers facing an opponent after 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers. Here is a money line system that supports Kent?s bid for an upset win and has produced a 31-7 record for 19.8 units since 2000. Play against a road team using the money line that is an average offensive team gaining between 330 to 390 yards per game facing a good defense allowing 280 to 330 yards per game after 7+ games of he regular season and after being outgained by opponent by 125 or more total yards last game. Take Kent State.

 
Posted : November 25, 2010 11:09 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Marc Lawrence

New Orleans Hornets at Portland Trail Blazers
Prediction: Portland Trail Blazers

When the Trailblazers host the Hornets in Portland Friday night they will take the court with revenge from a 20-point loss they suffered earlier this season at New Orleans. That's good news for Blazers' backers considering the Hornets are 0-4 SU and ATS in this series in followup affairs after having knocked of Portland in an earlier meeting. With the Trailblazers having had six days off since it's last game, a 103-94 home loss to Utah, look for the Trailblazers to get back on the win track here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Portland.

 
Posted : November 25, 2010 11:09 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Matt Fargo

Boise State vs. Nevada
Play: Nevada +14

While Auburn and Oregon go earlier in the day, there could be some scoreboard watching from Boise St. to see if either of those teams went down but there should not be any motivational difference win or lose from those two undefeated teams. Boise St. has one task at hand and that is to win, where it has won 10 straight in this series. The last time the Broncos came to Reno, they were 6.5-point favorite and left with a touchdown victory. Has the disparity of these two teams grown by a touchdown since then? Boise St. may have gotten better but not by a ton as the Broncos went perfect during that regular season as well and its only loss came in the Poinsettia Bowl against TCU by a point. I know Nevada is better this season however as the Wolf Pack are 10-1 this season after going 7-5 in the regular season back in 2008. Even in 2006 when Boise St. was a perfect 13-0 and Nevada was 8-3 coming into this game, the Work Pack were only 2.5-point underdogs. This shows how much these lines are overadjusted. The Broncos have rolled over nearly everyone in their path as they have compiled an 8-2 ATS record which includes a perfect 4-0 away from home. Maybe the inflated numbers don’t matter in the case of Boise St. until you look at the schedule and see those true road games came against Wyoming, New Mexico St., San Jose St. and Idaho. Those first three teams have a combined six wins this season and overall, the four teams have a combined record of 11-34. you can’t fault the Broncos but wins and covers can be deceiving. One argument you will hear is that Nevada has a great rushing attack but it is negated as the Broncos are excellent against the run. The Wolf Pack are fourth in the country in rushing offense while Boise St. is first in rushing defense. That is certainly a concern but Boise St. has faced only one team with a rushing offense ranked better than 42nd in the nation in rushing offense and that came against Virginia Tech, which is 19th, in the first game of the season. The Hokies ran for 128 yards, the second most allowed this season. On the other side, Nevada has a very average defense and it is going to take something special to stop the Broncos offense which is 4th in the nation in total offense and second in scoring offense. The Wolf Pack are ranked 67th in total defense and 38th in scoring defense and to be fair, this will be the best offense it has seen as the schedule has played a part in those rankings, similar to the Boise St. rankings. The Nevada offense has the ability, unlike other teams Boise St. has faced, to play catch up with a potent offense. Nevada has been favored by double-digits in seven of its 11 games this season and has been an underdog only once, by 2.5 points at home against California in a game it won by 21 points. This is a very big switch and the Wolf Pack fall into a great based on the big line that is arguably unjustified. Play on home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points after two or more consecutive straight up wins, after the first month of the season. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average point differential bring a touchdown. 3* Nevada Wolf Pack

 
Posted : November 25, 2010 11:09 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

David Chan

Boise St. @ Nevada
Pick: Nevada +14.5

Boise State very well could be the best team in the country. But the oddsmaker is asking too much of the Broncos making them lay two touchdowns on the road against Nevada in Reno.

This is a very tough road venue to win at. Believe me, I know from having been to many Wolf Pack games. It's not a fluke that Nevada has won 11 in a row at home.

The 19th-ranked Wolf Pack haven't had a team this strong in 20 years. This is their best team since joining the FBS in 1992.

Quarterback Colin Kaepernick and running back Vai Taua are as good as skill position players as Boise State has.

Kaepernick is just 16 rushing yards short of becoming the first player in FBS history with three seasons of at least 2,000 passing yards and 1,000 rushing yards. Taua is the NCAA's active career leader with 24 games above 100 yards rushing. He's tied for first in the nation this season in touchdowns with 19.

No WAC team has played Boise State more tough recently than Nevada. Three years ago Boise State had to go four overtimes before nipping the Wolf Pack by two points. Nevada lost to the Broncos by a touchdown at home two years ago and last year Nevada lost by 11 points at Boise. The Wolf Pack have averaged six yards per rush during these last three years against the Broncos.

Boise State has a vastly superior defense, especially in the secondary. But the Wolf Pack offense can match the Broncos' production. The Broncos rank No. 2 in scoring and fourth in total offense. Nevada is fourth in scoring and third in total offense.

 
Posted : November 25, 2010 11:10 pm
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Jim Feist

New Orleans vs. Portland
Play: Under 189

A pair of dynamite defensive teams meet in the Northwest: Portland is 9th in the NBA in points allowed, New Orleans 3rd (91 ppg). The Hornets are 9-5 under the total plus riding a 3-0 run under. The intense Hornets allow .435% shooting by opponents, sixth best in the league. Look for a fierce defensive effort from both teams, Play the Hornets/Blazers Under the total.

 
Posted : November 25, 2010 11:11 pm
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Frank Jordan

Auburn vs. Alabama
Play: Auburn +4

This is a big match up down South as Auburn is looking to stay in contention for the national championship game. Auburn is is 11-0 on the year as they head to big rival Alabama. Alabama is the defending national champion and the number 11 team in the league. At 9-2 a win over Auburn would go a long way to getting back in the top 10 and a major bowl game. Look for Alabama to fall once again to an SEC opponent as Auburn is simply too good this year. Play Auburn

 
Posted : November 26, 2010 7:05 am
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Steve Merril

Western Michigan vs. Bowling Green
Play: Western Michigan -7

Bowling Green has no home field advantage and they stand an awful 6-20 ATS in their past 26 home games, including 1-3 SU/ATS this season. The Falcons have nothing to play for today with a 2-9 SU record and it appears they are wearing down as they have been out gained by -283 and -157 total yards in their past two games and by -580 total yards in the past four games, while going 1-3 SU/ATS. Bowling Green is a bad team on both sides of the ball. They are averaging just 22.5 points per game and only 4.2 yards per play (versus opponents that allow 26.8 ppg and 5.4 yppl). The Falcons have perhaps the worst rushing offense in the nation with just 58 yards per game and only 2.0 yards per rush (versus opponents that allow 146 yards and 3.9 ypr). Bowling Green also struggles to throw the ball as they average only 5.8 yards per pass (versus opponents that allow 7.0 ypp), so it will be difficult for Bowling Green to catch up once they get behind today. Western Michigan is only 5-6 SU this season, but they have been strong in conference games, outscoring MAC opponents 35.9-21.4 points per game on average, compared to a Bowling Green squad that stands 1-6 SU versus MAC opponents, being outscored 19.4-29.4 points per game. The Broncos average 31.5 points per game (versus opponents that allow just 29.4 ppg) and they should have no problem moving the ball against a bad Bowling Green defense that permits 32.9 points per game and 431 yards per game and 6.1 yards per play (versus opponents that average just 26.1 ppg and 375 yards and 5.5 yppl).

 
Posted : November 26, 2010 7:05 am
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Rob Vinciletti

Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs
Play: San Antonio Spurs -4

While many try to guess when the Spurs will have their long 12 game winning steak snapped and who will do it I will just cap their game one at a time. Dallas applies to a system that dates to 1990 which plays against road dogs of less than 5 that come in off a road dog win and a prior home favored win and ats loss. These teams fail over 82% of the time. Dallas has been solid on the road and come in off the upset win in OK.City. The Spurs squeaked out a win at Minnesota. The Spurs are 7-1 at home this season and have been clicking on all cylinders right now. Lay the small number.

 
Posted : November 26, 2010 7:06 am
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EZWINNERS

Pittsburgh Panthers -3

The offensive line has been a huge problem for West Virginia as their offense has been sputtering. West Virginia running back Noel Devine has gone three games without reaching 100 yards rushing, and the passing game has been almost non existent. The Panthers defense should be able to keep the Mountaineers struggling on the offensive side of the ball and their offense should be able to put some points on the board against the West Virginia defense. The Pittsburgh offense is potent and ranks fourth in the nation in passing efficiency. The Panthers have won two straight back yard brawls and I look for them to make it three in a row. Lay the points.

 
Posted : November 26, 2010 7:09 am
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Jimmy Boyd

1 Unit on Boise State -14

The Broncos can make a big statement with a big win over Nevada. With a chance to move up into the third spot in the BCS poll, I fully expect the Broncos to be all business tonight.

It's not always apples for apples when comparing results of games against like opponents, but in this case I think it tells the story. Nevada lost by 6 points to a Hawaii team that Boise State clubbed 42-7. Also, Nevada only defeated a Fresno State team by 1 point that Boise kicked 51-0. This tells us that the Broncos are more than capable of blowing out this Nevada team.

While the last 3 meetings between these teams have been decided by 11 or fewer points, that certainly hasn't been the norm in this matchup. The Broncos have won 10 in a row against the Pack by an average of 29.0 points.

The Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings with Nevada, including a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings at Nevada. This Boise State team is special, and I expect it to show the nation just how special tonight. Lay the points.

 
Posted : November 26, 2010 7:10 am
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Nelly

Arizona State - over UCLA

The Bruins could be down another QB as Richard Brehaut left last week's loss. UCLA still can reach a bowl game with wins in the next two games but Arizona State's postseason hopes are already cashed since they played two FCS teams. UCLA won 23-13 last season at home in a fairly even statistical game and the Bruins have actually covered in six of the last seven meetings between these teams. Arizona State has had almost two weeks to prepare for this game and this has been a team that has played tough with several top teams. ASU has one-point losses to Wisconsin and USC on the road while also giving Stanford and Oregon very tough games. Wins from UCLA over Texas and Houston no longer look impressive.

 
Posted : November 26, 2010 7:12 am
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Sam Martin

Colorado at Nebraska
Prediction: Nebraska

It was a tough loss for the Cornhuskers last week, and there's more than a few conspiracies circulating with the officiating as Nebraska is leaving the Big 12 after this season, but regardless of what happened last week we think the Cornhuskers will rebound with a big win here. This is the last regular season game in the Big 12 for Nebraska, and we think they are going to pound Colorado on the ground much like Baylor did when they put up 309 rushing yards on the Buffaloes. Huskers go out in style!

 
Posted : November 26, 2010 9:09 am
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Tom Freese

Arizona Wildcats at Oregon
Prediction: Oregon

Arizona is 7-3 straight up this year. The Wildcats are 4-9 ATS their last 13 road games and they are 2-6 ATS their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Wildcats are 1-4 ATS their last 5 November games. Oregon is 10-0 straight up this year. The Ducks are 9-2 ATS off a bye week. Oregon is 27-10 ATS their last 37 games after passing for less 170 yards in their last game. The Ducks are 7-2 ATS after allowing less than 20 points in their last game.

 
Posted : November 26, 2010 9:10 am
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Jack Jones

Northern Illinois -24

There's not a team in the land that wants to play Northern Illinois right now. The Huskies are 9-2 this season, outscoring their opponents 36.4 PPG to 19.9 PPG on average. Northern Illinois has won 8 straight games and are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. During this 8-game winning streak, five of those wins have come by 26 points or more. Against MAC opponents this season, UNI is outscoring them 44.4 PPG to 17.7 PPG or an average of 26.7 PPG. They should have no problem winning by that margin against Eastern Michigan Saturday.

EMU is 2-9 this season, getting outscored 20.5 PPG to 41.5 PPG or an average of 21.0 PPG. Common opponents is a great way to compare teams, and these two schools have faced the same five teams this year. Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS against common opponents, outscoring them by 27.4 PPG. EMU is 0-5 SU & 2-3 ATS against the same teams that UNI has played, getting outscored by 23.4 PPG. All this adds up to yet another blowout win for the Huskies, who are coming off 35-point and 38-point blowouts in each of their last 2 contests, respectively. Bet Northern Illinois Friday.

 
Posted : November 26, 2010 9:11 am
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