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Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 27,2009

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(@blade)
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Steve Duemig

Nebraska at COLORADO +10'

Colorado's Dan Hawkins has somewhat surprisingly been told that he will be returning next year as head coach. That will certainly take the load off his shoulders and that of his players heading into today's home game against Nebraska.

Colorado has delivered in the past as a home dog and this is a great spot to be the spoiler. Clearly Nebraska has a look ahead situation here as the Huskers will play Texas next week in the Big 12 championship game, so this game means nothing to them. We also see major value in a line that has crossed the key number of 10 from the opener of 7.5.

Nebraska really has struggled offensively this year and covering double digits against a rival in a meaningless game is not really a good thing or something to expect the Cornhuskers to do today.

1♦ COLORADO

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 7:28 am
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Tony Weston

Nebraska at COLORADO +10'

I’m erasing that fluke and delivering today as I’m taking Colorado at home against the visiting Cornhuskers of Nebraska.

The Huskers roll into today’s game laying about 10 1/2 points, depending on where you’re playing this. And coming into this game, Nebraska has covered in just 2 of its last 6 games overall. Needless to say, the Cornhuskers will struggle again and get a tough challenge from the Buffaloes.

Despite being only 3-8 SU this season, Colorado is 6-4 ATS and has covered in 3 of its 4 games at home, where it is barely outscoring opponents, on average, 25.4-24.6. It’s close, but, the Buffs are still outscoring teams.

Now they battle a Nebraska team that has had a tough time with Colorado this decade. Since 2000, Colorado has gone 6-3 ATS against the Huskers and going back a little further, the Buffs are 10-3 ATS their last 13 overall against Nebraska.

Keep in mind, too, the underdog in this Big XII rivalry has covered in 10 of the last 13 meetings. It’ll happen again today as Colorado does just enough to cover.

3♦ COLORADO

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 7:28 am
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Bobby Maxwell

UConn vs. Duke, at New York City

I'm on a 15-7 roll with my FREE selections and tonight I've got another one for you as I'm playing UConn against Duke in the NIT tourney finals from Madison Square Garden in New York City.

I think the semifinals of this NIT Season Tip-Off showed us a lot as Duke struggled with its offense in beating Arizona State 64-53 while UConn showed it has a true leader and is a team to be reckoned with in an 81-55 blowout of LSU.

That’s why tonight’s play is on the Huskies as they have much more confidence in what they are running offensively than the Blue Devils do.

UConn has a real star in Jerome Dyson who put up 20 points against LSU on Wednesday. He was a major weapon in last year’s star-studded Huskies lineup until he hurt his knee, but he’s right back where he left off. They also got 20 points from Kemba Walker, and you know the Huskies will have big-bodied bangers in the middle – they always do.

While the Huskies looked very average in the first three games, struggling to put away William and Mary, Colgate and Hofstra, they looked better than any team in Madison Square Garden on Wednesday.

Duke looked confused on offense Wednesday night, seeming to rely on three-point shooting and unable to get anything going inside. Look for the Huskies to dominate the glass and the lane tonight and frustrate the Blue Devils.

Play UConn to get this one and put an end to Duke’s 21-game November winning streak.

4♦ UCONN

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 7:29 am
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WUNDERDOG

Northern Illinois at Central Michigan
Pick: Northern Illinois +13

Central Michigan has locked up the MAC West at 7-0 and will be likely playing 7-0 Temple for the MAC Title. The Huskies have had a good year at 7-4, and an eighth win could be enticing to Bowl Committees, especially knocking off a tough Chippewas team. The Chips have an impressive home resume at 4-0 and winning by an average of 37.8 points per game. That has inflated this line, but it is a bit misleading. The Chips played non-FBS Alcorn State and three of the worst MAC teams at home that have combined for a 7-26 record. The Huskies are well versed on the road with no loss larger than 8 points and that includes a pair of trips into the Big-10. The Huskies boast an 8-3 ATS mark in their last 11 as a dog and I think they have some bite. The Huskies are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 as a dog of 10-20 points. They are also 14-4 ATS in their last 18 following back-to-back ATS losses. I like Northern Illinois with the generous points

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 7:39 am
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Tony George

Illinois +20.5

Some might think a stretch here, but with Big East foe Pitt on deck, this is a dangerous game for Cincy. Illinois has been a disappointment this year, but QB Juice Williams and company have competed well in losses as of late and have the physical strength here to keep this one a lower scoring game and stay within striking distance in the second half.

Cincy is off a 2 point and 3 point win in their last 2 games and the pressure is building as BCS talk, and the undefeated streak is on the line and in the spotlight. Cincy has not been as loose as earlierr in the season. Illinois as only allowerd 22 ppg their last 3 games, and keep this one close. Cincy disprupting the flow, starting QB Pike today, while pro prospect, he has not played in 4 or 5 weeks, and may affect chemistry. Check on QB Williams status here, but reports out of Illinois is he is playing on a slightly sore ankle.

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 9:05 am
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SPORTS WAGERS
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Buffalo +1.25 over PHILADELPHIA
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This looks like it could be a troublesome spot for the Flyers. They looked fatigued in its last game on the Island before playing a strong third period en route to a 2-1 victory. Now the Flyers will return home after a tough five-game trip in a week that took them to the West Coast for three games, into Colorado and finishing up in Long Island. Not only do the Flyers return home from an exhausting five games in seven days but they’ll play this one in the early afternoon and that’s a tough spot indeed. Also, they could have enjoyed a little Thanksgiving cheer last night with the wife/girlfriend and kids and a few friends, etc, etc. Meanwhile, the Sabres have dropped four in a row and one would have to believe they’d be focused here. The Sabres are extremely well rested with this just being its second game since last Saturday. This is strictly a situational play, as it heavily favors the visitor. Play: Buffalo +1.25 (Risking 2 units).
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NY Rangers +1.02 over TAMPA BAY
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The Lightning have been real tough at home with just one regulation loss all year and wouldn’t you know it, that loss came against the team with the least amount of wins, the Maple Leafs. What’s interesting here is that John Tortorella will return to Tampa to face the team he coached for seven years and without saying anything to his new team, they all know how much this one means to him. No chance the Rangers come up with a sub-par performance in this one. Besides, the Lightning have dropped three of its last four and will face the league’s #1 penalty killing unit here. The Rangers have won two straight, Marion Gaborik has been unstoppable, Chris Drury will play his second game back from injury and the Rangers goaltending might be the most reliable in the business. Play: N.Y. Rangers +1.02 (Risking 2 units).
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Chicago -½ +1.26 over ANAHEIM
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Well, about a quarter way into the season and there’s not a team in the league that looks better than these Blackhawks. This is a potent offense, a strong defense and the addition of John Madden to kill penalties and play against the oppositions top line is vastly understated. The Blackhawks are the straight goods and if the Ducks aren’t at the absolute top of their game, they’ll get beat here like every other team that plays the Blackhawks. We’ve all seen the Ducks play at half speed in about 30-40% of its games this year. The Ducks defense has more difficulty moving the puck out of its own end than any other defense and that should be a huge problem for them in this one. It’s also worth noting that the Ducks are in the midst of a long home stand and in fact, they’ve been home now for nine days and this will be its fourth straight playing at the Honda Center. Being at home for an extended period is rarely beneficial, as players get a little complacent and get anxious to hit the road again. Anyway, Chicago is on a 17-3 run against the Pacific, they’re on an eight game winning streak and they beat the Ducks both times last year. This year they’re better. Note the 4:00 PM EST start. Play: Chicago -½ +1.26 (Risking 2 units).
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Dallas –1.01 over PHOENIX
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In 24 games thus far the Dallas Stars have just six regulation losses and thus, the play here is you got it, the Stars in regulation time. Dallas is healthy and they’re as tough as shoe leather. The Stars have picked up six out of a possible seven points over its last three and that includes a 5-3 win over the Devils. Meanwhile, the Coyotes are sinking fast. They have just three wins over its last nine games and they’ve scored just six goals over its last four games and one goal in its last two. They’ve also been on the road for four of its last five games and so the chances are great that the place will be half-empty and lifeless. It’s very discouraging playing at home when nobody shows up and these Coyotes do not need any more discouragement. Play: Dallas –1.01 (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 9:31 am
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LT Profits
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New York Islanders +115
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The New York Islanders have a bright future after finishing with the worst record in the NHL last season, and they took the Stanley Cup Champion Pittsburgh Penguins to a shootout in the first meeting between these clubs today. The Islanders get the upset call here.

The Islanders had a terrible start this season record-wise, but they were also playing in tough luck as they had a bunch of losses in overtime and in shootouts. They have now overcomes that though to reach the .500 mark at 9-9-7, and they have gotten great goaltending despite the fact that franchise goalie Rick DiPietro has yet to play a game this season.
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Dwayne Roloson (2.86 GAA, .916 save percentage) and Martin Biron (2.78, .913) have filled in quite admirably, and the Isles now have a winning home record at 5-3-2 while outscoring their home opponents by more that half a goal per game (+0.60). They seem primed here to get revenge on a Penguins team that had beaten them seven of the last eight meetings.

Now we realize that the Penguins are 5-1 since Evgeni Malkin returned from injury, giving Sidney Crosby some support, but even though they have been winning, the Pens have still not scored more than three goals in any of their last four games, and they may struggle to reach even that modest figure today vs. the red-hot Roloson, who made a remarkable 58 saves vs. the Toronto Maple Leafs on Monday and who is 4-0-2 with a 2.26 GAA at home as an Islander.
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Look for Roloson to remain perfect at home at an underdog price.

Pick: Islanders +115

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 9:32 am
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Tom Freese
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Atlanta Thrashers at Carolina Hurricanes
Prediction: Over
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Atlanta is 23-8-4 OVER off a win and they are 29-14-4 OVER off a win are 29-14-4 OVER their last 47 games. The Thrashers are 9-4-4 OVER their last 17 road games and they are 4-0-1 OVER after scoring two or less in their last game. Carolina is 4-1 OVER their last 5 home games and they are 4-1-1 OVER their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of over 60%. The Hurricanes are 9-3 OVER their last 12 meetings with Atlanta. PLAY ON 'OVER'

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 9:33 am
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Jeff Alexander
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1 Unit on Buffalo -3
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Bottom Line: It's been a disappointing season for Buffalo after a MAC title last year, but the Bulls are coming off a big blowout win over Miami Ohio and I look for them to use that momentum to finish the season out strong today. Also, Buffalo will have revenge on its mind after falling at home to Kent a season ago. Buffalo has been a strong road covering team of late, at 10-2 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. It has been at its best against the spread on the road down the stretch at 6-0 ATS in road games in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 35.8 to 27.3. The road team is a solid 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and I'll ride the road squad again here. Bet Buffalo.

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 9:34 am
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DUNKEL INDEX

Alabama at Auburn
The Crimson Tide look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Alabama is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has Alabama favored by 17. Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-10)

Game 111-112: Pittsburgh at West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 99.160; West Virginia 95.609
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 1; 49
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+1); Over

Game 113-114: Rutgers at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 90.044; Louisville 83.879
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 6; 42
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-3); Under

Game 115-116: Eastern Michigan at Akron
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 55.968; Akron 75.983
Dunkel Line: Akron by 20; 56
Vegas Line: Akron by 16 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-16 1/2); Over

Game 117-118: Buffalo at Kent State
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 78.952; Kent State 73.946
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5; 52
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-3); Over

Game 119-120: Wyoming at Colorado State
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 73.866; Colorado State 71.044
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 3; 45
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 3; 50
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+3); Under

Game 121-122: Temple at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 83.818; Ohio 83.649
Dunkel Line: Even; 49
Vegas Line: Temple by 3; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+3); Over

Game 123-124: Alabama at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 110.637; Auburn 93.491
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 17; 44
Vegas Line: Alabama by 10; 47
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-10); Under

Game 125-126: Memphis at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 67.840; Tulsa 89.396
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 21 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 16 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-16 1/2); Over

Game 127-128: Illinois at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 85.991; Cincinnati 107.622
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 21 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 20; 57
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-20); Over

Game 129-130: Nebraska at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 101.123; Colorado 88.858
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 12 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 10; 38
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-10); Under

Game 131-132: Toledo at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 70.536; Bowling Green 80.869
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 10 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 7 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-7 1/2); Over

Game 133-134: Northern Illinois at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 80.029; Central Michigan 95.044
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 15; 54
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 13; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-13); Over

Game 135-136: Nevada at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 92.833; Boise State 109.642
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 17; 82
Vegas Line: Boise State by 14; 71
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-14); Over

NCAAB

Connecticut vs. Duke
The Blue Devils look to take advantage of a Connecticut team that is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games as a underdog between 1 and 6 1/2 points. Duke is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Duke (-2 1/2)

Game 725-726: Florida Atlantic at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 45.217; South Florida 64.685
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-17 1/2)

Game 727-728: Columbia at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 49.960; Syracuse 79.616
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 29 1/2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 28
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-28)

Game 729-730: Nevada at VCU
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 59.946; VCU 63.542
Dunkel Line: VCU by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: VCU by 7
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+7)

Game 731-732: New Mexico at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 68.719; Hawaii 55.991
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-8 1/2)

Game 733-734: Marquette vs. Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 71.592; Michigan 66.092
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 735-736: Creighton vs. Xavier
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 60.215; Xavier 72.198
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 12
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 737-738: Alabama vs. Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 61.953; Florida State 68.535
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 739-740: Iona vs. Baylor
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 52.560; Baylor 61.109
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 741-742: Cornell vs. Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 58.717; Toledo 45.453
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Cornell by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (-12 1/2)

Game 743-744: Vermont at Drexel
Dunkel Ratings: Vermont 52.260; Drexel 56.658
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Drexel by 4
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-4)

Game 745-746: Texas A&M vs. West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 69.259; West Virginia 72.004
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 3
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 747-748: Long Beach State vs. Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 53.546; Clemson 72.198
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 749-750: Portland vs. Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 62.939; Minnesota 71.753
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 751-752: UCLA vs. Butler
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 59.570; Butler 68.395
Dunkel Line: Butler by 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 753-754: Arizona State vs. LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 67.931; LSU 66.547
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 3
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+3)

Game 755-756: Connecticut vs. Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 69.542; Duke 76.976
Dunkel Line: Duke by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-2 1/2)

Game 759-760: Siena vs. St. John's
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 63.881; St. John's 58.502
Dunkel Line: Siena by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Siena by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (-4 1/2)

Game 761-762: Virginia Tech at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 62.629; Temple 70.123
Dunkel Line: Temple by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Temple by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-4 1/2)

Game 765-766: Valparaiso vs. Georgia Southern
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 50.771; Georgia Southern 38.890
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 12
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso

Game 767-768: Rutgers vs. Massachusetts
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 55.734; Massachusetts 54.713
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 1
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+3)

Game 769-770: Michigan State vs. Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 72.787; Florida 68.966
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 4
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+5)

Game 771-772: Iowa State vs. St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 65.398; St. Louis 55.984
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-8)

Game 773-774: Notre Dame vs. Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 65.952; Northwestern 60.885
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 5
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+7 1/2)

Game 775-776: Richmond vs. Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 58.568; Mississippi State 65.476
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 7
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-4 1/2)

Game 777-778: Old Dominion vs. Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 67.013; Missouri 74.173
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 7
Vegas Line: Missouri by 4
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-4)

Game 779-780: Norfolk State at Illinois State
Dunkel Ratings: Norfolk State 41.065; Illinois State 62.540
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 21 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 22
Dunkel Pick: Norfolk State (+22)

Game 781-782: SE Missouri State vs. St. Bonaventure
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 35.468; St. Bonaventure 58.626
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 23
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-15 1/2)

Game 783-784: Bradley vs. Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 58.927; Oklahoma State 68.323
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-6)

Game 785-786: Illinois vs. Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 60.569; Utah 68.353
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 8
Vegas Line: Illinois by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+8 1/2)

Game 787-788: Nicholls State vs. Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Nicholls State 42.772; Washington State 64.853
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 22
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 789-790: Houston vs. San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 62.364; San Diego 61.697
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 791-792: Jacksonville State vs. Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 44.321; Georgia 57.531
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 13
Vegas Line: Georgia by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-12 1/2)

Game 793-794: College of Charleston at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 52.885; Tennessee 78.414
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 25 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 23
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-23)

Game 795-796: Tennessee Tech at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 44.138; Kansas 82.337
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 38
Vegas Line: Kansas by 35
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-35)

Game 797-798: Weber State at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 54.982; BYU 70.053
Dunkel Line: BYU by 15
Vegas Line: BYU by 19
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (+19)

NBA

San Antonio at Houston
The Spurs look to take advantage of a Houston team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as a favorite. San Antonio is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+1)

Game 701-702: Atlanta at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 118.999; Philadelphia 116.448
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 199
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+4); Under

Game 703-704: Washington at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 114.951; Miami 119.622
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Cleveland at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 120.484; Charlotte 112.627
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 8; 179 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 4; 186
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-4); Under

Game 707-708: Toronto at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 117.465; Boston 123.040
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 10 1/2; 204
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+10 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: Milwaukee at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.970; Oklahoma City 123.758
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 197
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-5); Under

Game 711-712: Dallas at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 123.464; Indiana 116.948
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 6 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 3 1/2; 199
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: LA Clippers at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 111.937; Detroit 118.234
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 6 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 4; 181
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-4); Over

Game 715-716: San Antonio at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.407; Houston 121.249
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 1; 199
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+1); Over

Game 717-718: New York at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: New York 112.961; Denver 122.628
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 9 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 13; 218 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+13); Under

Game 719-720: Phoenix at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 120.046; Minnesota 109.071
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 11; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 9 1/2; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-9 1/2); Under

Game 721-722: Memphis at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 112.785; Portland 127.163
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 14 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Portland 11 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-11 1/2); Under

Game 723-724: New Jersey at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 109.909; Sacramento 112.732
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 4 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+4 1/2); Under

NHL

St. Louis at Nashville
The Blues look to build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 Friday games. St. Louis is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Blues favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+130)

Game 51-52: New Jersey at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.968; Boston 11.893
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+125); Over

Game 53-54: Buffalo at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.519; Philadelphia 12.132
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); Under

Game 55-56: Pittsburgh at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.958; NY Islanders 12.032
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+130); Over

Game 57-58: Colorado at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.759; Minnesota 11.058
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-130); Over

Game 59-60: Chicago at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 13.425; Anaheim 12.226
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-145); Over

Game 61-62: Atlanta at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.331; Carolina 11.639
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-120); 6
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+110); Over

Game 63-64: Calgary at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.257; Detroit 10.931
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+125); Under

Game 65-66: NY Rangers at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.967; Tampa Bay 11.566
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-110); Under

Game 67-68: Toronto at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.808; Florida 11.529
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+120); Under

Game 69-70: St. Louis at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.653; Nashville 12.539
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+130); Under

Game 71-72: Dallas at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.441; Phoenix 11.566
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-110); Over

Game 73-74: San Jose at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.828; Edmonton 11.997
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+145); Under

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 9:42 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Jimmy Moore

Nevada @ Boise State
Pick: Boise St -13.5

The Broncos are very strong on offense especially on the Smurf Turf. Nevada has been very impressive but they really haven't played anyone good lately and they were shut down early in the season against Notre Dame. Boise is determined to let nothing get in the way of a perfect season and Nevada does not appear to be able to do anything to stop them.

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 10:20 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Jim Feist

Clippers at Pistons
Pick: Under

So where did this mini-win streak, 2-1, by the LA Clippers come from? By playing some defense. The Clippers held Denver under 100 points in a big upset, and held Minnesota to 87 in another win. Even in the last game, a loss at Indiana, the Clippers allowed 86 points and 37% shooting. Marcus Camby had 15 points and 21 rebounds for the Clippers. They head to Detroit to play a Pistons' team that has had offensive trouble because of injuries, but is 7th in the NBA in points allowed. Look for a defensive duel in Auburn Hills, play the Clippers/Pistons Under the total.

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 10:21 am
(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
Prominent Member
 

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
359 - 248 run 59 %

Free Play FRI Phoenix Suns -9

================================

I personally think the books lost a lot of money yesterday.
Everything was just too easy !!! 😉

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 11:25 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

John Ryan Sports

Pittsburgh Panthers @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Pick: Pittsburgh Panthers -1

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Pittsburgh as they take West Virginia set to start at 7:00 EST. AiS shows a 72% probability that Pitt will win this game by 3 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 28-7 ATS for 80% victories since 1999.Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road cover where the team lost as a dog and with a victorious record on the season. AiS shows an 87% probability that Pitt will gain between 350 and 400 total yards and also gain 6 to 6.5 yards per play. Note that WVU is just 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 350 to 400 total yards over the last 2 seasons; 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 total yards per play since 1992. Take Pit.

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 4:29 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

SPORTS WAGERS

Pittsburgh -1 over WEST VIRGINIA

Pittsburgh and Cincinnati will play each other in the Big East championship game but that doesn’t mean Pitt won’t be playing their hearts out tonight. In Year Five of the Dave Wannstedt era, Pittsburgh finally has a legitimate shot at a BCS game and a chance to finish the year with one loss. Many remember Wannstedt for his annual collapses with the Miami Dolphins, a legacy of failure he has slowly removed since coaching the college game. Readers of this space know that I have little respect for West Virginia’s Bill Stewart’s coaching ability, and backing him in big games is something I would never recommend. Once again, the Mountaineers and their fans believed they had a National Championship caliber team and for the second year since Rich Rodriguez left they failed to win any of their marquee games. As the season goes along at West Virginia, the team seems to get worse, showing a 1-2 mark in their last 3 games with an ugly loss to underdog South Florida and a loss to Cincinnati without QB Tony Pike that ended their Big East hopes. I have little faith Stewart can now motivate his team to play out the string, especially with a highly motivated opponent who needs to win this game. Pittsburgh quarterback Bill Stull and running-back Dion Lewis are one of the best QB-RB duos in College Football and you can rest assured knowing they will deliver Saturday. If West Virginia couldn’t stop awful Louisville from running the ball, or contain below average South Florida quarterback BJ Daniels from having his best game of the season against them, odds are Lewis and Stull are in for field days. This is one of the best plays of the year and I would highly recommend a bet on Pittsburgh. All the factors point to a Pittsburgh romp and the motivation will assure the effort is there. Play: Pittsburgh +1 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).

L.A. Clippers +1.52 over DETROIT

The Clip Joint has a horrible history at the Palace but man, this game sure look winnable. The Pistons have dropped six in a row and now Ben Gordon joins Prince and Hamilton on the rack. That doesn’t leave many options to run the team at the all-important guard position and it also leaves the Pistons with one less scorer. The Clippers play real solid defense and they’re loaded with big men. They’re coming off a disastrous shooting performance against the Pacers but a repeat of that is highly unlikely. The held Indiana to just 86 points and they should hold this opponent to 90 or less. The Clippers have a few nice wins under its belt, including a win over Denver and a road win at Ok City. They must be sick of losing to this bunch and for the first time in awhile they really have a shot to pull off the minor upset. Play: L.A. Clippers +1.52 (Risking 2 units).

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 4:31 pm
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