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Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 27,2009

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Charlie Scott

Pittsburgh U vs. West Virginia
Play: Pittsburgh U +1

I never thought I would write this ,but Pitt Head Coach Dave Wannstedt has them playing sound fundamental football. Pitt has advantages vs WV with the better defense, better running game, and Pitt's offense values the ball and doesn't turn it over, West Virginia has been a turn over machine at times this season. Easy decision for me,take the superior team at Pickem or +1

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 4:31 pm
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Murray Hill Mike

Michigan State at Florida
Play: Michigan State

Consider the team trends. Michigan State is 15-5 ATS in all neutral court games, 6-0 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick, 12-2 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week, 15-5 ATS when playing on a neutral court, 13-4 ATS in road games in non-conference games, 6-0 ATS in road games after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games, 21-10 ATS in road games after playing a game as favorite, 14-6 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games and 13-6 ATS in all tournament games. Florida is 1-3 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 3.5 to 6 points, 6-10 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games, 2-5 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, 8-18 ATS after 3 straight wins by 15 points or more and 3-7 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins. Take Michigan State

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 4:32 pm
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MTI Sports

Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves
Prediction: Over

The Suns are 8-0 OU (+31.1 ppg) on the road after a win at home in which Steve Nash had more assists than points and 8-0 OU (+33.6 ppg) on the road after two home wins in which Amare Stoudemire had more turnovers than assists in each. Also, Phoenix is 9-0 OU (+12.2 ppg) on the road with at most one day of rest after a double digit home win in which they shot at least 50% from the field and 9-0 OU (+13.6 ppg) on the road with at most one day of rest after a double digit win in which they shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them. When they?re hot, theyre hot. Take the OVER.

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 4:33 pm
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Lenny Del Genio

Atlanta Hawks at Philadelphia 76ers
Prediction: Atlanta Hawks

Look for the Hawks to rebound from last night's Thanksgiving massacre at the hands of Orlando against a banged up Sixers squad. Philly will be without PG Williams and F Speights and Elton Brand did not play last game. Road favorites with a win percentage between .600 and .750 that are off BB SU losses are 44-19 ATS the last five seasons. If favored by more than 3.5 points and less than 9.5, that number jumps to 30-8 or 78.9%. Sixers have lost four straight and eight of 10. Not enough points for them against a quality opponent like Atlanta. Take Atlanta.

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 4:33 pm
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Dave Price

1 Unit on Cleveland Cavaliers -4

I know Charlotte has won back-to-back games at home and the Cavs have a big showdown with Dallas tomorrow night, but I think Cleveland is just too deep and too talented not to take care of business here. Cleveland has already posted an 11-point win over the Bobcats this season and that plays right into a strong system that says to play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss where they scored less than 85 points, off a home win by 10 points or more. This system is a terrific 40-14 ATS since 1996. The Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Charlotte and the Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Cash in with Cleveland.

 
Posted : November 27, 2009 4:34 pm
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