ROCKETMAN
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Play: Toronto Blue Jays
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Tampa Bay is 4-17 this year when playing on Friday while Toronto is 15-6 this year when playing on Friday. Toronto is 37-24 this year when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. Tampa Bay comes in losers of 4 of their last 5 games overall. James Shields is 13-12 with a 4.92 ERA overall this year, 7-6 with a 5.32 ERA on the road and has a 5.82 ERA his last 3 starts. Brett Cecil is 12-7 with a 3.76 ERA overall this year, 5-3 at home this season and 2-1 with a 2.95 ERA his last 3 starts. Toronto has won 4 of 6 meetings at home vs Tampa Bay this year. Cecil is 4-2 with a 3.34 ERA overall vs Tampa Bay since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Toronto tonight!
Jeff AlexanderFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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1 Unit on Chicago Cubs +105
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Off back-to-back defeats, look for the Cubs, which are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss, to get back in the win column tonight. The Cubs have won 7 of their last 10 in Milwaukee, and they are a perfect 5-0 in Zambranos last 5 road starts vs. the Brewers. Meanwhile, the Brewers are just 3-11 in Bush's last 14 starts vs. the Cubs. Big Z has been on fire with an ERA of 1.37 over his last 3 starts, while Bush enters with an ERA of 5.21 over his last 3. I'm backing the Cubbies at a nice price tonight.
SPORTS WAGERSFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco –1.03 over SAN DIEGO
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The Giants are now within one game. They have some strong momentum after last night’s blowout win and after the Padres seven-game lead has all but evaporated. The Padres have not responded well to this pressure and once again they’ll feature the second best pitcher on the bump for game two of this series. Clayton Richard’s surface stats over the last month are good but his xERA is not. In fact, Richard’s ERA of 1.67 over that stretch is 1.67 while his xERA is almost three full runs higher at 4.63. xERA does not lie. We see it over and over again that the gap always narrows when it’s so large and no gap is bigger than Richards’. That’s not to say Richard can’t have a good game because he certainly can, as he has a strong GB profile. Thing is, the league is still hitting .262 off him, he’s had an eye-opening 90% strand rate over the last month and the team he’s throwing for is laboring badly. Jonathan Sanchez has filthy stuff. When he’s throwing strikes he’s as tough as any pitcher in the game. His BAA on the year is 50 points lower than Richard at .212. Sanchez has allowed one run or less in three of his last four starts. He’s 0-3 vs the Padres this season in four starts but don’t be fooled by that. He received no run support in those three starts and the Padres hit a puny .176 against him and that’s when they were going good. In 26 IP vs the Padres this year, Sanchez has allowed 16 hits, struck out 26 and did not surrender a single jack. Experience, more talent, momentum and the better chucker gets the call. Play: San Francisco –1.03 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
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ATLANTA +1.22 over St. Louis
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The Cards took the opener of this series last night but so what. They’ve been reeling for close to a month now and it should come as no surprise. This was predictable, as noted in our blog dated April 4. Tony LaRussa and his genius move of hiring Mark McGwire hasn’t panned out. His ploy of having all his reliever’s sport a biker-looking goatee in an attempt to intimidate batters hasn’t panned out and is the lamest move ever. His genius plan of batting the pitcher eighth for a good portion of the season was scrapped after it cost the Cardinals a bunch of potential early game rallies. Anyway, the Braves are an incredible 33-11 v right-handers starters at home and while Chris Carpenter is the straight goods and needs no introduction, this one is all about playing against the Cardinals in what has been an extremely favorable spot for Atlanta all season long. The Card have just eight wins in 22 tries v southpaws on the road and they’ll face a good one here that they’ve never seen before. Mike Minor had a 1.89 ERA in Triple-AAA before his call-up. He was a strikeout pitcher in the minors and that skill has carried over very well to the majors. There has been a lot to like in Minor's first five MLB starts, and his xERA of 3.67 is a strong indication that there’s big potential. His ERA has been inflated by one bad start (6 ER in his last outing) but prior to that he had four quality starts, and his performance this fall may be enough to convince Atlanta to keep him in their rotation for 2011, where he has the potential to emerge as an impact pitcher. Play: Atlanta +1.22 (Risking 2 units).
SPORTS WAGERSFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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EDMONTON +11 over Calgary
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The Stamps absolutely torched this squad by a 52-5 count just a few days ago in Calgary and now the venue switches to Edmonton. This is a tough call, as the Eskies look pathetically awful. Still, no team is ever as bad as they appear and after that embarrassment five days ago, they’ll be playing for pride here. The Stamps might figure all they have to do is show up to win and that complacency could cost them not only a cover but a win as well. Look, you can break this down all you want. It’s abundantly clear that the Stamps are far superior than the Eskies. However, football is a game of emotion and this Edmonton squad will have plenty of it for this one. It’s so difficult to cover as back-to-back double-digit favorites in consecutive weeks and you can double that when the losing team drops the last one by 47 points. Play: Edmonton +11 (Risking 2.18 units to win 2).
Jack JonesFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers
Pick : New York Yankees
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Rarely will you find the Yankees as this big of an underdog against anyone. I'll gladly take the defending champs at this price Friday, especially considering the Rangers are without their best player in Jsh Hamilton. Texas is just 2-5 in their last 7 games overall and they are really missing Hamilton's bat in the line-up. They have only topped 5 runs once in their last 8 games.
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The Yankees continue playing great baseball, going 9-3 in their last 12 games overall to improve to 87-53 for the season with the league's best record. Javier Vasquez is not having a great year, but he tends to pitch better as the season progresses. Vasquez is 12-2 against the money line in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West. The Yankees are 6-1 in Vazquez's last 7 road starts. Texas is 0-4 in their last 4 games as a favorite in the -110 to -150 range. Take New York Friday.
Info PlaysFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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3* on Pittsburgh Pirates +224
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Reasons the Pirates win:
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1.) System Play. We'll Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (NL), in September games. This is a 27-20 ML System hitting 57.4% since 1997 while gaining +35.5 units of profit.
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2.) Homer Bailey is just 3-3 with a 5.00 ERA this season. He should not be getting this much respect tonight. Paul Maholm is 6-4 with a 3.81 ERA in 18 lifetime starts vs. Cincinnati. Bet Pittsburgh on the road.
Jeff Alexander
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1 Unit on Chicago Cubs +105
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Off back-to-back defeats, look for the Cubs, which are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss, to get back in the win column tonight. The Cubs have won 7 of their last 10 in Milwaukee, and they are a perfect 5-0 in Zambranos last 5 road starts vs. the Brewers. Meanwhile, the Brewers are just 3-11 in Bush's last 14 starts vs. the Cubs. Big Z has been on fire with an ERA of 1.37 over his last 3 starts, while Bush enters with an ERA of 5.21 over his last 3. I'm backing the Cubbies at a nice price tonight.
Lenny Del Genio
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West Virginia at Marshall
Prediction: West Virginia
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This in-state rivalry is played for the "Freinds of the Coal Bowl Trophy," but WVU has been no friend at all to Marshall beating them all nine times and by an average of 33 points per game at that. Even with QB White getting injured in the first quarter LY, the Mountaineers still prevailed 24-7 (outscored the Thundering Herd 21-0 after half), although they did not cover as 20-point chalk. This year, with less talent and playing on the road, the line is more manageable and that's fine by us. No one gave Marshall a shot last week when they opened the season at Ohio State, but the game was essentially over before it started as they fumbled the opening kickoff and watched OSU score three plays later. This is obviously a big game for Herd HC Holliday, who was an assistant at Morgantown the last three seasons and is known as one of the best recruiters in the country. Unfortunately, all those good recruits are on the WVU sideline right now. Marshall was terrible last week, getting outgained 529-199 and turning the ball over three times. The lone TD came on special teams. Take West Virginia.