SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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WINNIPEG +5½ over B.C. LionsFOR SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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It would not be difficult to make a case for the Lions here. B.C is coming off a nice road win in Saskatchewan, they’ve won two in a row, three of four and five of seven while the Bombers have one win in their past 10 games. However, this isn’t as easy as it looks for the Lions. Last week’s win in Saskatchewan was hugely emotional, as the Lions needed a drive in the final minute to secure it. That was on Sunday and now the Lions, with back-up QB Demarco Thomas starting again and in a big letdown spot, will play their second road game in six days. Prior to last week’s win, the Lions had just one other road win the entire season in Edmonton back in mid-July. We’ve been pointing out all season that the Lions just don’t look that sharp, that something is off and we’ve seen nothing over the past month to change our minds. DeMarco Thomas looked rather unpolished and the defense he’ll face here is relentless in their pursuit of the QB.
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The reason the Bombers are 2-10 is not because of a lack of talent, it’s because of turnovers. In 12 starts, the Bombers have had nine, three-turnover games and it keeps putting them in a deep hole they can’t get out of. Winnipeg easily has the Eskimos beaten last week but turnovers in the fourth quarter did them in again. Still Max Hall, who gets his second consecutive start, looked very good at times. Hall is an ex-NFLer that seems to be getting quite comfortable and that makes him dangerous. The Lions have lost twice already this season to pivots with a similar resume under better circumstances than this. The number here may appear small and tempting to spot but we’re urging you to be very cautious laying these road points in a game the Bombers can definitely win outright. We’re calling the upset here.
Passing MLB
Kyle Hunter
Utah St vs. San Jose St
Play: Over 61
I’ve cashed in on 56% of my college football plays over the past four seasons. I’ve already locked in several big plays, including a rare 5 Star TOP Play for this Saturday. Get all my premium selections right here.
Utah State Aggies:
The Aggies enter this game with a 1-0 conference record in the Mountain West; however, the team has struggled to put together consistent play thus far this season. In their two victories, the Aggies have scored a total of 122 points and allowed only 26 points. However, in their two losses to Utah and USC the Aggies have only scored 40 points and allowed 47.
Currently, Utah State is ranked 25th in the nation for passing yards at 293.3 per contest and 57th in rushing yards at 190.8 per game. The Aggies are led at the quarterback position by junior Chuckie Keeton who will look to exploit the weaknesses in the San Jose State defense by continuing his hot start to the season. Thus far Keeton has thrown for 1102 yards and 14 touchdowns against only one interception.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Utah State secondary needs to do a much better job against San Jose State. This year, the Aggies’ secondary has given up four touchdowns and has yet to intercept a pass. In last year’s matchup against the Spartans, the Aggies allowed QB David Fales to pass for 467 yards and three touchdowns.
San Jose State Spartans:
After shutting out Sacramento State 24-0 in the first game of the season, the San Diego Spartans have lost their last two games to #5 Stanford and Minnesota. In the two losses, the Spartans have allowed 828 yards of total offense by their opponent. Against Minnesota, the Spartans run defense was downright awful with the Golden Gophers rushing for 6 touchdowns on 67 carries for a whopping 353 yards. Given the dynamic dual threat ability of the Aggies’ QB, the Spartans are in for a real test on Friday.
Despite the struggles on defense, the Spartans passing attack led by QB David Fales has helped lead the team to the 24th best passing yards in college football with 293.3 yards per game.
Pick: Over 61
The Spartans passing offense should move it easily against the Utah State secondary for a second straight year. Chuckie Keeton and the Aggies offense shouldn’t have a problem moving it up and down the field consistently against a mediocre San Jose State defense either. Look for a lot of points to be scored here. Take the over.
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MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE (+23.5) over BYUVlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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This is a classic "sandwich" game for BYU, so well gladly take the generous points. After opening the season with Virginia and Texas, the Cougars knocked off in-state rival Utah for the first time in three years last week in the annual "Holy War." Next week they have another big rivalry game against Utah State. With all that said, it's difficult to expect a fully focused effort from BYU tonight, and it's certainly a reach to lay 23.5 points with an offense that has averaged just 23 points per game this season. Play the dog.
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Utah State (-9) over San Jose StateFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Boy, have these two schools gone opposite ways when it comes to playing the better college teams on their schedule. Utah State has played well against better schools, but San Jose State has lost by double-digits. San Jose State's offense doesn't compete with the Aggies offense, and if Utah State scores at will this game gets ugly quick. The home team hasn't fared well ATS, covering only 3 out of their last 8 meetings. This series was owned by San Jose State, but all of the sudden the Aggies have won four in a row (3-1 ATS). I like Utah State to win this game because they have not ONE but TWO tough home games coming on, and they will love to home on a winning streak instead of a two-game losing streak.
Will Rogers
San Diego vs. San Francisco
Pick: San Francisco
I'll go with the Giants tonight as my free play over the Padres. Both teams come into the final series of the year off two straight wins (I had SF last night) over a different NL West foe, but the Giants are at home and IMO, the wiser investment.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Homefield Advantage - The Giants are 17-7 when hosting the Padres the last three seasons. That includes a 5-1 record this year. San Diego is not a good road team to begin with as they have a 30-48 record away from Petco Park. For what its worth, they are just 9-28 in Friday road games the last three seasons.
2. Burch Smith - In his six starts this season, he is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.698 WHIP. He's been better lately, but his ERA on the road is still 6.75.
3. X-Factor - Giants starter Ryan Vogelsong has a 13-5 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -150 the last three seasons.
Larry Ness
Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles
Pick: Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox are two games ahead of Oakland for the league's best record, as they open this three-game series in Baltimore on Friday night. Meanwhile, the A’s wrap up their season with three games in Seattle. The Red Sox will be content to earn the top seed overall but after going 69-83 last year, the fact that a three-game sweep of the Orioles would match the fourth-best record in franchise history (1978), has to be tempting. However, that’s just fluff. The task at hand is to win tonight, then take Saturday’s and Sunday’s games as they come (depending on how the A’s do in Seattle).
The Red Sox have to like their chances tonight, with Clay Buchholz on the mound. He comes in 11-1 with a 1.60 ERA on the season, limited to just 15 starts because a strained neck kept him out for more than three months. Boston is 13-2 in games Buchholz starts, giving him MLB’s 8th-best moneyline mark of plus-$1,030. Buchholz seems to be finding his form, as his pitch counts have increased steadily from 74 to 91 to 106 since returning to the mound on September 10. He’s allowed just 11 hits and two ERs over three starts (17 innings), posting a 2-1 record with a 1.06 ERA.
Buchholz has been quite remarkable in his six road starts in 2013, allowing just 22 hits over 38 innings with a 35-13 KW raio and an 0.95 ERA (he’s 5-0 and the Red Sox 6-0). It’s also worth noting that Buchholz is 3-0 with a 1.13 ERA over his last three starts against Baltimore, including seven scoreless innings in a 3-1 victory on April 8.
Scott Feldman gets the nod for Baltimore. The Orioles added him (acquired from the Cubs) prior to the trade deadline and he’s 5-5 with a 3.57 ERA in 14 starts with the Orioles (team is 7-7). However, the team can’t have too many complaints about his efforts down the stretch, as Feldman is looking for his NINTH straight start allowing three ERs or less. However, Baltimore is just 4-4 in his last eight starts, as a lack of run support has prevented Feldman from earning a couple of more wins. That’s the problem he faces again tonight, up against Buchholz. Boston wins, then does some “scoreboard watching” out in Seattle, where Bartolo Colon faces “King Felix.” The Red Sox will be rooting for “the King.”