Hentai Sports
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Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros
Prediction : Philadelphia Phillies
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The Phillies open a three-game series with the Astros when Cliff Lee takes on Wandy Rodriguez in Houston Friday night. Lee checks in off a rare loss in his last start having cashed in 8 of his last 9 team starts. In those game he has been in commanding KW form with 6 walks and 58 strikeouts. Meanwhile, Rodriguez has dropped 3 of his last 4 team starts while compiling a 5.40 ERA in those games. He’s also 3-6 home in his MLB career team starts in September. Back the best road team in MLB this season with the better arm here tonight.
Stephen Nover
Arizona (+100) at COLORADO
Anytime Dan Haren is in this kind of low range price, it's worth a strong look. Haren is fitting his usual pattern of being dominant in the first half of the season and then tallying off after the All-Star Game.
Haren, however, has turned in quality performances during three of his last four starts.
This is what Arizona pitching coach Mel Stottlemyre Jr. said about Haren in The Arizona Republic: "He (Haren) made a comment to me that his legs are starting to feel a lot better. His (bullpen sessions) have been tremendous. You're starting to see him being on top of his pitches and getting that late life that he had when he was on that hot streak. "As a pitcher, he's a leg guy. You take his legs away, and he can't get the same results as when he's feeling good."
Haren has a 0.90 ERA versus Colorado this season in three starts spanning 20 innings.
The Diamondbacks have been playing solid ball since getting Justin Upton and Mark Reynolds back in the lineup. They have won six of their last eight games. The Diamondbacks are 11-5 in Haren's past 16 starts.
Colorado is 2-6 in its last eight games. They are starting Jason Hammel, who is 2-3 with a 6.47 ERA at Coors Field this season.
The Rockies are without their closer, Huston Street. Untested Franklin Morales is their fill-in closer until Street is ready to resume in about two weeks.
The Diamondbacks also recently lost their closer, Chad Qualls. But Street was more consistent than Qualls and Juan Guiterrez has filled in nicely so far for Qualls picking up a couple of saves and not blowing any leads.
1♦ DIAMONDBACKS
Randall the Handle
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Cincinnati +1.65 over ATLANTA
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Bronson Arroyo has thrown seven full innings or more in six straight starts and he seems to be doing it with relative ease. Since July 10 he’s been one of the best pitchers in the game, as he’s thrown three shutouts over that span and has eight quality starts in nine attempts. Arroyo has not had success against Atlanta but that was then and this is now. Something has clicked with this guy, as he’s completed dialed in and feeling it. Over his last three starts covering 22 frames, Arroyo has an ERA of 1.61. It also doesn’t hurt that the Reds have won nine of 11 and are currently one of the hotter team’s in the league. Atlanta is coming off a huge series against the Fish and had a chance to bury them after winning the first two. However, they lost the final two games and their bullpen was brutally awful. Not only were they battered in the final two but a little mental and physical fatigue could set in as well. Derek Lowe can be tough as shoe leather when he’s on but when he’s not he becomes extremely hittable. Lowe is pretty much a one-pitch pitcher ands he’s only lasted 14.1 innings over his last three starts. The Mets ripped him apart three starts ago and he wasn’t sharp against the Marlins two starts back. So, at this price and with both the Reds and Arroyo very warm at the moment, this pup looks to be a solid investment. Play: Cincinnati +1.65 (Risking 2 units).
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Boston/CHICAGO over 9½ -1.05
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Two broken down old dogs will face one another here, as Paul Byrd will oppose Freddy Garcia. It’s hard to imagine that this game could possibly stay under this total, as both these starters are complete and utter stiffs. Garcia has pitched in just 17 games over the last three years and in his only start at home this year the Royals tagged him for five runs in four innings. He did pitch decent against the Yanks and Red Sox but don’t put much into that. The Red Sox have seen him already this year and he won’t catch them off guard again. Paul Byrd was a stiff when he was healthy and now he’s making his second start of the year. Byrd actually retired this year and was throwing batting practice to a 13 and under team when the Red Sox called and said they needed help. So, Byrd starting throwing on Aug 5 and the Red Sox purchased his contract and here he is. He threw a seven-inning shutout in his first game back against the Jays but that was an aberration only. This guy is making a bigger comeback than Rocky and even Chris Angel would have a hard time making this illusion work. Play Chicago/Boston over 9½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
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Seattle +1.02 over OAKLAND
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For the second time in two days the A’s are favored over the M’s and that is all you need to know about this game. The Mariners have beaten the A’s five straight and 10 of 13 this season and this one should not be any different. Vin Mazzaro has started six games at home and has one win and four losses. His ERA at home is 5.46 and his BAA is .333. That’s in a pitcher’s park and his numbers on the road are about the same. In other words, Mazzaro is a consistent stiff. Ryan Rowland-Smith pitched eight strong innings, but lost to Kansas City 3-0 on Sunday. Rowland-Smith only allowed five hits, one walk and three earned runs. He struck out seven on 113 pitches and now has a 3.95 ERA. So, what we get here is the better pitcher, the better team, a big psychological edge and a small tag. Get in line. Play: Seattle +1.02 (Risking 2 units).
Hey what's up all? I am new to the board here. Does anyone post Lee Sterling/Paramount Sports plays for football? If not, Can someone please start posting their picks, thank you in advance!
Hey what's up all? I am new to the board here. Does anyone post Lee Sterling/Paramount Sports plays for football? If not, Can someone please start posting their picks, thank you in advance!
We don't post his plays per the owner of this site sorry.
oh ok, thanks Blade..any idea, why? cause Lee may decide to bring lawsuit???...tthats disappointing cause the man is good, thx though
JIMMY BOYD
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1 Unit on Tulsa/Tulane UNDER 64.5
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Tulane averaged just 16.7 ppg last season and I don't expect to see much better results in 2009. While Tulsa puts more talent on the field tonight, it won't be nearly as much as it was blessed with last season and I believe that simple fact keeps this one Under. Record-setting QB David Johnson won't be taking the snaps and talented tailback Tarrion Adams won't be around to get totes. However, with eight starters back, the Tulsa defense should actually be better and that bodes well for our call here. Plus, as we saw with last night's action, the offenses will likely be a little out of sync. The Under is 5-0 in Tulane's last 5 games as an underdog and 6-1 in its last 7 games overall. Take the Under.
Vernon Croy
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Play:New York Yankees
The Yankees are the superior overall team here Friday night and the Jay's ace Roy Halladay (13-8, 3.13) has struggled in his last two starts against the Yankees this season. Doc has allowed an average of 9.5 hits per game and 4.5 rpg in his last 2 starts against the Yankees and he has struggled over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 7.94. The Jays are hitting just .205 as a team over their last 7 games while the Yankees bats have been on fire hitting .317 as a team over their last 7 games. The Yankees are a red hot 10-1 in their last 11 road games against a team with a losing record and they are also a perfect 7-0 in Joba Chamberlain's (8-3, 4.38 ERA) last 7 starts against an AL East division opponent. The Yankees are now 10-2 in their last 12 games against the Jays including a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 games play at Rogers Center. Take the New York Yankees Friday night.
LT Profits
Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles
Scott Feldman may be the biggest surprise on a Texas Rangers pitching staff that has keyed their wild card run, while Chris Tillman is already flashing some of thee brilliance that will make him the future ace the Baltimore Orioles project him to be.
Feldman is an almost shocking 14-4 with a nice 3.72 ERA overall, and he is in peak form right now, tossing 12.2 scoreless innings in his last two starts while allowing a total of eight hits with 13 strikeouts. He has also pitched well in his two starts vs. Baltimore this year, allowing one and three runs respectively. As if that is not enough, Feldman has done his best pitching on the road, where he is a remarkable 10-1 with a 2.92 ERA.
As for Tillman, the youngster looks like the real deal, having allowed three earned runs or less in five of his six starts in his first Major League season, including his last five starts in a row. The Orioles are so high on this future stud that they plan on shutting him down for the year after just another start or two, and Tillman would love nothing better than to finish strong and have some good momentum going into next season.
Finally, do not forget that Texas has the best Under record in all of baseball, at 81-45-7.
Pick: Rangers/Orioles Under 9
LEE KOSTROSKI
Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox
PICK: Boston Red Sox
Freddy Garcia has allowed eleven runs in three starts for the White Sox and his ERA at home is 10.38. Boston has won 14 of the last 18 meetings and the Red Sox were winners last week in a game with Garcia on the mound. The Chicago bullpen has also imploded with a 7.36 ERA over the past ten games. Chicago has lost nine of the past ten games and a miracle win on Wednesday saved off a longer losing streak as the White Sox have faded out of the playoff picture.
Paul Byrd made an outstanding debut for 2009 in his return to the Red Sox, pitching six scoreless innings last week against Toronto. Byrd rarely gets strikeouts but he has been an effective big league pitcher and can step into a favorable situation and deliver results. Boston’s bullpen has also been among the best in baseball all season long including a 2.63 ERA over the last ten games. The White Sox are back at home for the this game but it will not be a favorable situation having played a make-up game at Wrigley on Thursday, in what was an 11th straight road contest.
Boston has scored about six runs per game in the last ten games as the Red Sox have won seven of the last nine. While Chicago is batting .226 in the last ten games, Boston has hit .283 including .293 against right-handers. Boston has won six of the last eight games at U.S. Cellular Field and the Red Sox are 7-1 in the last eight games Byrd has started for them. Chicago is 4-10 the last 14 Fridays as they have typically opened series poorly.
Nick “The BookieKiller” Parsons
Los Angeles Angels @ Kansas City Royals
PICK: Los Angeles Angels
For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this game is on the visiting team: Los Angeles puts its perfect record against the Royals in 2009 in the hands of Jered Weaver on Friday, with the right-hander looking to bounce back from an uneven August. Weaver pitched a shutout at Cleveland on Aug. 19 and tossed six scoreless innings in the Angels’ 4-3 loss to Oakland on Saturday, but in between gave up five runs in 5 1-3 innings of a 10-7 defeat to Detroit on Aug. 24. He has a 5.43 ERA in nine starts since the All-Star break, and went 3-2 with a 4.58 ERA in August. His counterpart, Gil Mech (6-10, 5.09), has had bigger problems. The right-hander has an 8.14 ERA in four starts since being activated from the disabled list, the worst of which came Saturday at Seattle as he allowed seven runs in four innings of an 8-4 loss and I look for him to struggle again today. Look for the ANGELS to improve to a perfect 5-0 (+5.4 units) after getting shut out.
John Ryan
San Francisco at Milwaukee
Play: Milwaukee
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Milwaukee Brewers as the face the SF Giants set to start at 8:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 59-23 making 31.8 units since 1997. Play on home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 with a NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season and with a cold starting pitcher sporting a WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 5 starts. Giants coming off a very tough loss at Philadelphia as their ace Lincecum certainly pitched well enough to win, but Pedro Martinez clearly showed he still has it on the big stage in a big game. Now, the Giants have had to travel to Milwaukee and must try to recover from losing 2 of 3 in Philadelphia while Colorado still plays in their home confines. Milwaukee is also 20-7 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team posting a win percentage of 54% to 62% this season. Take the Brewers.
oh ok, thanks Blade..any idea, why? cause Lee may decide to bring lawsuit???...tthats disappointing cause the man is good, thx though
When someone asks not to be posted we oblige.
Tyler Wilson
Red Sox at White Sox
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Veteran righty Paul Byrd stepped in last week and was outstanding for the Red Sox, beating Roy Halladay. He throws strikes and faces a slumping White Sox team that just traded slugger Jim Thome. Chicago goes with erratic Freddy Garcia (0-2, 5.94 ERA) and Boston has a much better offense plus a deep bullpen. A great spot for the road team, play the Red Sox.
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Handicapping Tip of the Day: The 49ers play at the Chargers tonight. San Diego is 7-4 SU/ATS the last two-plus preseasons under Norv Turner. San Fran is 2-9 SU, 5-6 ATS its last 11 preseason road games.
Yankee Capper
St. Louis Cardinals RL -145
Cubs/Mets Under8.5 (+110)
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Houston/Tampa Bay Under 34
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Tulsa/Tulane Over 63